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Razzball Hoops’ ultimate draft day tool is here!  Well, actually whoever sniped Myles Turner before I could get him in my first RCL draft is the ultimate draft day tool!  Slim’s projections in a sortable spreadsheet is back, and a huge thanks to Slim for all of his statistical Nostradamus-ing and Rudy for all of the… um… Excel-lent sort-ing…  See what I did there?!  These guys should’ve been the stars of CBS’s Numb3rs!  I actually have no clue what that show was about, but if it was about fantasy basketball I’ll sure feel dumb…  Rudy helped us get all of Slim’s projections in the Official Top 200 back into interactive mode, and he’s probably ready for a month off from math with baseball wrapping up.  I can’t wait to see his charcoal drawings from his month away in Amish country!  Anyway, here’s Slim’s 15-16 projections to utilize on draft day, and be sure to put them to test in the 2015-16 Razzball Basketball Commenter Leagues.  Plenty of leagues open with October drafts, so sign up today!

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Note: Filters and sorting in the table below apply to the output!

#PLAYERPOSFG%FT%3PPTSRBSASTSTLBLKTOMINNOTES
Aaron Brooks, CHIPG0.4100.8151.710.52.41.10.60.21.420Any backup to Rose is worth owning as a handcuff, and he was decent in spot starts last year. They could still play Hinrich at starting PG though…
Aaron Gordon, ORLPF0.4550.5800.811.57.51.50.90.91.628Summer Ball ultimate small-sample 3 games of 21.7/11.7/2.7/1.3/1.7 and hit 6-12 treys. FT% is a concern, but upside for some great D-stats and a trey or two. Off jaw surgery, he may have to start with a mask which hopefully doesn’t impact his game.
Al Horford, ATLPF/C0.5400.7400.216.07.53.30.91.41.532Going to be very overlooked in 15-16, gives great value in high-volume FG% and microscopic TO that many drafters ignore for bigger counting stats. MPG risk with some blowouts likely sink his value a tad.
Al Jefferson, CHAPF/C0.4850.6800.017.58.61.70.71.31.232Fell down to 48th in per-game stats, but a lot had to do with missing 5 MPG with some easing in off injury mixed in there. Still was able to maintain the blocks, and has a better playmaker in Batum on the wing. Should have a nice bounce back, health concern keeps him from going higher.
Al-Farouq AminuSF/PF0.4250.7200.610.07.81.61.30.71.430Admittedly an oversight, but I don’t like his game one bit. I think he’s benched for buzzier young guys as the season moves on, as they paid him for depth anticipating the cap expansion for next year. In 22.6 MPG, he’s 6.4/5.3/1.1/1.0/0.6 shooting 43.7% as a starter over his career in 174 games. The steals are nice, and obviously he was raw in some of those starts, but I don’t have a very oppor
Alec Burks, UTAPG/SG0.4350.7851.216.54.33.21.00.22.034Exum injury opens up a huge gap at PG, as Burks should see starting SG minutes and backup PG minutes. There’s upside in steals as the Jazz are a defensive juggernaut, and a healthy shoulder could translate into a lot more treys.
Amir Johnson, BOSPF/C0.5650.6450.210.06.81.60.60.91.628Awful rotation and B-Rad runs his bigs thin. I’ll pass in 12ers.
Andre Drummond, DETPF/C0.5300.3800.016.013.51.20.92.01.632Obviously a full-blown punt-FT big, as we move through the ranks I’m treating each pick as a ‘best pick in a vacuum’. Upside for monster post stats with no Monroe.
Andrew Bogut, GSWC0.5350.5450.06.07.92.50.51.51.524Nice glue guy for defensive stats when healthy, but he’s undraftable since he’s… never healthy.
Andrew Wiggins, MINSG/SF0.4500.7900.821.05.22.91.20.82.438Clear upside to have a superstar fantasy season, his post-ASB FT volume was insane. I see monster scoring with a solid FG%, along with baby steps in the D stats.
Anthony Davis, NOPF/C0.5150.8100.226.010.52.41.43.01.636Fantasy’s unquestioned per-game titan, fantasy rightfully questions the durability. He’s going to add in a few deep balls and Gentry wants him to have even more O touches. Viva El Brow!
Archie Goodwin, PHXPG/SG0.4200.7450.611.53.92.40.90.41.924Likely the main G off the bench, Goodwin finally showed some flashes last year. Will have some dynamic nights off the pine.
Arron Afflalo, NYKSG/SF0.4300.8451.715.53.42.20.50.11.734Tough season last year, really disappeared on the Blazers, but the Poppycockers need offense and another point on that triangle to handle a lot of rock.
Avery Bradley, BOSPG/SG0.4350.7951.614.03.31.91.10.21.532The only Celtics starter you can really feel good about getting 30+ MPG, he can provide a few late PTS/3PTM/STL to round out your roster.
Ben McLemore, SACSG0.4300.8101.712.53.21.81.00.21.732Shocked me with a solid sophomore season, but I think cedes minutes to Collison and Belinelli off the bench.
Bismack Biyombo, TORC0.5100.5750.06.07.90.30.31.91.024Per-36 blocks are awesome, and in a few more minutes in TOR should get to 1.5-2.0 blocks and have nice boards. Won’t do much else though…
Blake Griffin, LACPF/C0.5050.7400.322.57.95.31.00.52.336Nothing seems unrepeatable from last year, love the emerging dimes and improving FT stroke. DOWN – Same thought as with Gobert, I want the elite bigs or a PG. Very small move down.
Bojan Bogdanovic, BKNSG/SF0.4600.8201.410.53.11.10.60.11.328Lost his starting spot to scrubs like Markel Brown and Karasev last year, but is in line to give it a second shot as a starter out of the gate. ThrAGNOF!
Bradley Beal, WASSG0.4300.7951.917.53.93.61.30.32.136This rank is likely well below ADP, but Beal regressed in several areas last year – mainly in Pts and AST:TO. Injury concerns with his legs also sink him a bit.
Brandan Wright, MEMPF/C0.5900.6800.08.04.20.50.61.10.518Like Aminu I’m going to pull in the numbers as a starter over his career – 54 games of 7.1/3.7/0.5/0.5/1.0. Not only does he need an injury to the old vets ahead of him, but then he needs to get enough run to do better than that. And his FG% gets overvalued sometimes as it’s soooooooo low volume. But he does have a solidified role, and worthy of a rank.
Brandon Knight, PHXPG/SG0.4200.8302.016.03.04.71.20.12.232Dropped the TO in PHX, cranked a ton of treys, and while the FG% in his brief stint for the Suns was awful, I think he can gel well with Bledsoe. Markieff possibly forcing a trade gives some upside.
Brook Lopez, BKNC0.5100.8100.017.57.20.80.51.61.73024th in per-game, played an amazing second half, but the obvious injury risk doesn’t justify a higher pick.
C.J. McCollum, PORPG/SG0.4300.8101.814.03.22.41.40.21.830A chance to move up a tad if the opening night starter, but 15.7/3.4/2.4/1.6/0.3 in per-36 last year with 2 treys isn’t exactly teeming with potential superstardom. I’ll likely let someone else overreach.
Carmelo Anthony, NYKSF/PF0.4450.8201.723.06.43.20.90.42.436Only 30th in per-game last year, sure injuries factored in, but I don’t think there’s enough reliability here to draft him higher.
Chandler Parsons, DALSF/PF0.4700.7352.116.55.33.41.20.41.936Primed for a bigger role in the O, but he’s off arthroscopic knee surgery and has had lingering back issues. Even at this high feels a little risky, but there’s enough upside… DOWN – Just came out he had a ‘minor hybrid’ microfracture surgery on his knee, and then they like, put in bone marrow to try and regrow cartilage… it’s just all sorta giving me the heebie jeebies. Won’t be ready for ca
Chris Bosh, MIAPF/C0.4700.7851.320.06.72.20.80.72.134A little risk as he comes off a major health scare, should score a ton of points and keep hitting treys to help his Stl+Blk going down.
Chris Paul, LACPG0.4800.8801.618.04.310.52.00.12.334CP3 is equally as locked into #6 for me. Obvious awesome dimes, low TO, nothing is unreaptable.
Clint Capela, HOUPF/C0.5750.6000.07.56.80.60.61.41.020Any backup to Dwight is worth owning as a handcuff (deja vu!), and should play either way off the pine. Even as a reserve, should get big swats. UP – I seem to get him as my last pick for blocks in every draft.
Corey Brewer, HOUSG/SF0.4300.7350.89.53.21.41.20.21.222Steals late, Brewer also showed he can score a little in reduced minutes with a decent perimeter stroke.
Cory Joseph, SAPG0.4750.7850.38.52.82.70.70.21.022Will see a career-high in minutes as Lowry’s pure backup and some combo G, fantasy upside is limited by low steals and treys.
Courtney Lee, MEMSG/SF0.4550.8601.110.52.31.91.00.21.030Overall rank last year was nice, but he started mad hot from the field. Will get minutes and 1/2/1 3PTM/AST/STL which is nice this late.
D’Angelo Russell, LALPG0.4150.7601.413.54.43.81.10.23.030TO and rookie inconsistency will be really frustrating, and I see Clarkson being a bigger facilitator.
Damian Lillard, PORPG0.4250.8602.726.04.67.51.20.33.036Time to start getting saucy with it! With one of the most horrific starting 2-5 runing mates a PG has ever had in the history of the NBA (well, maybe the Sixers at times last year!). the Blazers are going to tell Lillard to try and put up MVP numbers in a tank season. Monster points/treys, a good bit of dimes, the steals have become respectable, but it’ll cost a high-volume FG% and a few too man
Danilo Gallinari, DENSF0.4150.8702.216.54.92.10.90.51.532Probably my #1 sleeper this year, post-ASB 18.6/4.8/1.9/1.3/0.5 shooting 44.3% from the field, making 2.8 treys, hitting 3.8 FT at 89.1%, and only turning it over 1.3 per. Still only 27, got the big extension to be ‘the guy’, and there will be less shots from the PG with Mudiay taking over for Lawson. Upside to be a dynamic all-cat contributor.
Danny Green, SASSG/SF0.4400.8402.111.04.42.11.21.01.130Shots/3s to go down, I don’t trust a big minutes increase, and has stretches of invisibility. It’s his super power! 23rd per-game last year seems mighty unrepeatable with Aldridge.
Darren Collison, SACPG0.4600.8151.115.02.94.81.30.22.230George Karl has said Colly and Rondo will play some minutes together, and in a league embracing more and more combo guard sets, he could play more minutes than you’d expect. Rondo on a 1-year deal could be moved as well.
David West, SAPF0.4750.7700.010.56.22.80.50.51.426I think he gets more run than some (although Slim’s Proj looks right on), as he cleans up with the second unit. Actually, Slim’s line would make him rank a bit higher than this rank.
DeAndre Jordan, LACC0.6900.4100.012.014.00.81.02.21.334If you’re already FT-punting you don’t care, but 5.7 FT attempted a game is outrageous. Going to go way, way up as the NBA didn’t change the rules. Although, you should care a little bit even in FT-punt as it’s so bad for real basketball his minutes are likely going to drop.
DeMar DeRozan, TORSG/SF0.4250.8300.422.54.43.81.10.32.436Pts is still a category, which is fortunate for DeRozan since he doesn’t do much else. AST:TO regressed, treys regressed, but maybe some of that had to do with the bad groin injury. Still worth a fringe top-100 selection.
DeMarcus Cousins, SACPF/C0.4750.7700.025.012.53.21.51.74.034These last 3 are all razor thin, but Boogie takes a huge hit on your TO, and that’s without your team having a PG. That said, he was playing some of his best ball in the 2nd half last year. Now has Rondo to facilitate without stealing shots, along with Willie Cauley-Stein to take some defensive pressure off.
DeMarre Carroll, TORSF/PF0.4700.7301.913.55.91.81.50.31.234Limited upside over last year for a few more shots and a few more treys, steals and blocks from the wing should translate.
Dennis Schroder, ATLPG0.4250.7800.812.52.84.90.70.12.126In a 10-game 29:13 MPG starting sample – 14.1/3.4/7.7/0.7/0.0. Teague is usually durable, but I expect them to play more combo G this year as a tandem.
Deron Williams, DALPG0.4150.8201.514.53.46.80.90.22.632Showed in starts last year he can still be usable, although his FG% was sub-40%. 55 starts at 32:53 MPG have me thinking he could hold up most of the year on those kankles. Kyrie’s injury shed a little more light on a really thin PG draft class this year.
Derrick Favors, UTAPF/C0.5100.6900.017.08.41.50.91.81.832FG% dropped after Kanter was dealt, will be playing a more mid-range game. Low FT% and blocks not developing into an elite stat keep him a little lower than Slim would like.
Derrick Rose, CHIPG0.4200.8201.518.03.35.40.70.33.330There’s no way I could feel good having Rose on my teams. Even in his MVP season he wasn’t a fantasy elite, and still projects to have way too many TO and microscopic steals. Pass.
Devin Booker, PHXSG0.4000.8001.07.01.91.00.40.11.018The sweet stroke will translate right away, and gives the Suns a high-volume perimeter G off the bench. Might be really useful if one of the starting PG/SG gets hurt.
Dion Waiters, OKCSG/SF0.4000.7100.810.52.12.20.90.31.426Will pick up a lot of second unit minutes at wing, and mop up in junk time. Might not be rosterable all year, but a nice streamer in projected blowout matchups.
Dirk Nowitzki, DALPF/C0.4650.8801.217.05.71.80.50.41.128Dirk probably has a little better upside than Timmay, but much greater downside. The Germinator took his first step off that cliff, with career-lows virtually across the board when you throw out his rookie season. Played under 30 MPG last year for the first time since his rookie season as well. DOWN – I was already building in another big step back in minutes, but with the Mavs already publicly
Donatas Motiejunas, HOUSF/PF0.4800.6200.610.05.11.60.60.41.524He’ll move up a couple if he looks really healthy in pre-season, I worry about the back and don’t think he plays starting C if Dwight gets hurt – I see that for Capela.
Draymond Green, GSWSF/PF0.4550.6801.613.08.44.01.71.31.734Woooooo, #OccupyDraymondGreen! Don’t worry about any sort of sharp regression, the multi-cat is here to stay!
Dwight Howard, HOUPF/C0.5800.5350.015.510.21.20.71.42.830I’ve utterly ignored him for years now, and nothing changes this season. Off several injuries and a disappearance of blocks.
Dwight Powell, DALPF0.4250.7500.79.05.50.90.80.61.124A swing-for-the-fences pick, Powell took a bajillion treys in summer ball and looked great for Team Canada. They’re grooming him to be the next Dirk, and he figures to get a lot of rock when playing backup PF/C.
Dwyane Wade, MIAPG/SG0.4750.7700.420.53.44.11.10.33.032Hopefully this prices me out, but when he’s healthy he should be a top-50 player. Do I even need to mention why he’s lower then…?
Ed Davis, PORPF/C0.5650.5600.011.07.81.40.61.31.028He seems to be becoming the unpopular big in the Blazers’ mystery rotation, but over his last 54 games – most of last year after getting really inconsistent run early – 9.1/7.9/1.4/0.6/1.3 with virtually no TO and 60% from the field in only 23.7 MPG. Will likely play more minutes in Portland, and scaling those numbers up will be really interesting. DOWN – Seeming like there’s more and more buzz f
Elfrid Payton, ORLPG0.4400.5750.411.54.88.52.10.42.734Final 21:12.4/5.6/8.7/2.4/0.5 with only 2.8 TO and 44.8% FG 58.8% FT. Even with more touches in that stretch, only 1.9-3.2 FT a game. Sure he doesn’t hit many treys either, but he can fit a lot of teams in this range.
Emmanuel Mudiay, DENPG0.3900.5750.414.54.65.91.20.33.232%s and TO could be pretty bad as the raw Mudiay is handed the keys, in a MCW-esque way. But MCW was usable most of his rookie season. Taking the risk and the dimes at this point.
Enes Kanter, OKCC0.5200.7800.014.09.00.90.40.41.928Had a pretty unreal second half after moving to OKC, but a lot of that was due to no Ibaka or Durant. While a dubdub threat every night with good %s, AST+STL+BLK are likely to combine at under 2.
Eric Bledsoe, PHXPG/SG0.4500.7851.117.55.36.51.50.63.536Swinging for the fences, Bledsoe is by far my favorite of the mid-round PG and has his best G running mate in Knight replacing Dragic/IT2. Will need some monster stats and a slight relief in TO for this to happen… But the dramatic drop off of PG has him even more attractive as an early target, plus Markieff Morris’s drama could mean even more shots.
Eric Gordon, NOSG0.4100.8001.913.02.63.60.80.22.032I usually avoid Gordon, but if he fell this late I’d be happy. Still only 26, can hit some treys and get assists that you won’t find with many other players ranked lower, but the obvious injury risk weighs him down. I think his injury risk keeps him in the same range even with the Jrue news.
Ersan Ilyasova, DETSF/PF0.4550.7751.313.55.91.30.70.51.130Out of position treys is nice, but I’m not overpaying for pedestrian boards and defensive stats.
Evan Turner, BOSSG/SF0.4250.7650.39.55.04.90.90.22.328The long-term deal for Crowder clouds the minutes. PTS/REB/AST stats sometimes get overrated for Turner, who isn’t good anywhere else.
Frank Kaminsky, CHAC0.4250.7751.212.06.61.10.40.71.528I just don’t see him being a great NBA player, even if the out-of-position 3s will be nice. I bet he’s a ‘buzzy’ Hornets pick a few rounds earlier.
George Hill, INDPG/SG0.4550.8001.615.03.84.61.00.31.732After easing in, Hill was playing at a career-best level in the second half last year. But now George is back, Monta is brought in, no way we see those post-ASB numbers this year.
Gerald Green, MIASG/SF0.4100.8151.710.52.41.10.60.21.420I think he plays more than Slim does, as I see him at 20 MPG off the bench, then starting on Wade DNP nights. We all know he can light it up when on.
Gerald Henderson, PORSG/SF0.4350.8100.512.53.62.40.60.31.628Dealing with a congenital hip issue, maybe the Blazers don’t end up starting him after all and go with McCollum. But a few minutes should be there on a team that needs offense.
Giannis Antetokounmpo, MILSF/PF0.4800.7550.313.56.62.91.11.22.132Athleticism and highlight-real Inspector Gadget plays seem to make him a tad overrated; treys didn’t develop last year, sub-2 STL+BLK, and 2.1 TO from a wing without doing much else isn’t worth a higher pick to me. If he didn’t have any upside as a 20-year-old, he’d be even lower. Upside is already baked in the baklava. UP – Giving in to some consensus pressure here, was nice to see him hitting
Goran Dragic, MIAPG/SG0.5000.7901.017.03.55.51.10.22.234A full offseason to gel with the Heat, got more dimes in Miami, nice out-of-position FG% help a well-rounded PG game.
Gordon Hayward, UTASG/SF0.4500.8201.620.54.74.41.40.52.734Dante Exum has a torn ACL and the Jazz only have Trey Burke to play PG. Not much of a change to the slight concern over Hayward’s 5.2:2.8 AST:TO ratio dropping to 4.1:2.7 last year, but Hayward is looking up a tad with no Exum. Hayward has improved every year.
Gorgui Dieng, MINPF/C0.5100.7700.010.08.32.10.91.71.728As a starter – 10.8/8.8/2.3/1.1/2.0 hitting 50.8% from the field and 78.1% from the line last year. But like Towns, the stable of big men is a huge concern, and he only played 28:43 MPG pre-ASB last year. Even with Pek hurt and Bennett gone, I’m not seeing a huge minutes bump.
Greg Monroe, MILPF/C0.5050.7450.018.010.52.31.20.62.334Lack of blocks hurt, but has the whole post to himself for the first time in a while, and finally started making FT at 75% last year. Should improve in FG% from last year as well.
Greivis Vasquez, MILPG/SG0.4150.8101.39.52.44.20.60.11.824The Twerp got picked up for a lottery-protected first-rounder, but that still ain’t too cheap. Will challenge MCW for a few minutes, if not the bulk of minutes when MCW is cold. Plus can play some combo 2.
Harrison Barnes, GSWSG/SF0.4450.7251.110.55.31.50.70.21.028Yawn. Played well in real-life terms last year – yet another time share with Iguodala. No upside.
Hassan Whiteside, MIAC0.6100.5100.012.510.50.20.52.41.528The bad FT% doesn’t hurt as much as the pure-FT punt guys, shocking 34th in per-game value only starting 32 of 48 games.
Isaiah Thomas, BOSPG0.4250.8602.117.52.24.80.80.12.428There are murmurs that IT2/3 could start, which would make him a really interesting upside selection. A name that could move quickly through early preseason, either up or down.
J.J. Redick, LACSG0.4650.9002.115.02.11.90.50.11.230Combined AST+STL+BLK last year (2.4) was lower than his 3PTM (2.6)! I wonder how often that happens for a 30+ MPG player… Loss of Barnes to low-minutes-Pierce should help solidify a pretty nice run again in 15-16, but his 47.7 FG% likely to go down a tad.
J.R. Smith, CLESG/SF0.4150.7601.911.03.22.11.00.21.226Never been a Smiff guy, but nice dimes and steals late. More a streamer though – I think last year’s numbers with the Cavs were high.
Jabari Parker, MILSF/PF0.4800.7300.311.55.41.80.90.31.826The Bucks are making it sound like they’re going to be EXTREMELY cautious with bringing Jabari along from the torn ACL, and I don’t really blame em. Worth a gamble especially in IL leagues – with only 2-3 bench spots and no IL, he’ll be a tough hold early on.
Jae Crowder, BOSSF/PF0.4150.7701.111.05.61.61.10.40.928Boston Clam Crowder got to the Celtics and started with a bang, but ended up pretty ho-hum. Can give you nice D stats, but Boston’s slim rotations will hurt.
Jahlil Okafor, PHIC0.5100.5100.016.58.61.50.60.82.432Going to be this year’s worst over-drafted player, offers horrible drains on FT% and TO while not blocking any shots. I guess the upside is worth the flier, but I bet he’s going to be a popular drop in standard 9-cat.
Jamal Crawford, LACSG/SF0.4000.8751.612.01.82.30.70.11.324Wherever he lands he’ll play, and will be worth a consistent spot on deep league teams for the treys. ThrAGNOF!
Jameer Nelson, DENPG0.4350.7801.28.01.83.60.60.11.720Nelson is going to surprise with his role, as the Nugs signed him for three more years to mentor Mudiay. When the raw rook is mad cold, Nelson will play big minutes.
James Harden, HOUSG/SF0.4450.8702.527.55.56.61.80.63.836Very close to Brow for #1, very – and I mean very – minimal knock with Lawson stealing some usage whenever they play together. Brow still has a tad of upside after last year, I don’t know if Harden can go up much higher.
James Johnson, TORSF/PF0.4700.7100.39.54.21.90.91.11.324A nightly rainbow line threat even off the bench, we’re still going in with another undefined role. Nice D stat streamer late in weeks.
Jared Sullinger, BOSPF/C0.4500.7600.914.08.02.30.80.71.428Slim rotations hurt Sully too, even if he has a slim tummy. Everyone loves a good weight loss, but I don’t see the minutes Slim does.
Jarrett Jack, BKNPG/SG0.4350.8600.715.53.66.30.90.23.134The Pts/Ast should be there, but steals are too low for a G and his FG% too low for not making enough treys. It should be his show to run, but it’s got a really low ceiling.
Jeff Teague, ATLPG0.4550.8501.117.52.56.91.70.42.932Only played 30:31 MPG as he has one of the best backup PG behind him to clean up blowout minutes. I don’t see that changing much.
Jerian Grant, NYKPG0.4150.7750.88.52.24.10.80.21.724Fits well as both the 1 and the 2, I just don’t know if he can be a huge NBA contributor just yet. Minutes look to be there, which makes him worth a draft pick in 12ers.
Jimmy Butler, CHISG/SF0.4550.8251.018.55.63.11.80.51.436Sure there’s injury concerns, but with Tibs gone, his ridiculous minutes should go down. Rose will take a little volume, help with efficiency. Love the strong game with low-TO.
Joakim Noah, CHIPF/C0.4650.6900.09.59.84.40.81.21.830Rumors swirling he could be coming off the bench, and is off career-lows in both FG% and FT%. But even with Rose back a good chunk of last year, kept the dimes up.
Joe Johnson, BKNSG/SF0.4300.8101.614.04.13.50.60.21.732Upped his REB and AST last year, while keeping the TO mad low. With Jack not really a creator or a 3PT shooter, I could see a lot of O running through Johnson’s hands.
John Henson, MILPF/C0.5550.5750.09.56.61.30.52.01.6242.0 blocks in only 18:20 MPG last year was crazy talk, and should easily play more this season especially with Jabari coming back slow – there aren’t any other PF options. UP – When I’m looking for late blocks, I’m always pumped when I can snag Henson late.
John Wall, WASPG0.4400.8001.019.54.510.61.80.63.736Regression in the developing 3-pt game hurt, and high-TO originally had me keeping him outside the top-10, but now flipping him ahead of Klay, Boogie and Kawhi due to thinning of top-tier PG
Jonas Valanciunas, TORC0.5500.7900.012.58.90.60.41.21.728Valanciunas-ed’ is now a term for a player who goes off in the first half only to get limited run in the 2nd, and with the Casey regime still in power, they plan on sitting him late again – even with a newly signed extension. Per-36s are awesome, if only his per-26s could be the same… UP – Fine, fine! He can go up a little! We all know he can play, and if everyone knows that then maybe the Ra
Jordan Clarkson, LALPG0.4500.8251.015.54.35.11.10.22.13215.8/4.2/5.0/1.1/0.2 with 0.9 treys and 84% from the stripe as a starter – but love the mere 2.2 TO leading a horrible team. I don’t think Russell becomes the main facilitator, Clarkson to give a solid multi-cat line. DOWN – Really the only Laker that gets an impact from the playoff schedule, since I have all the others ranked much lower and not relying on them. Plus he’s pre-ranked horrificall
Jordan Hill, INDPF/C0.4750.7200.011.07.51.30.40.81.424Should be able to replicate what he did last year – minus a couple of points – in what was a useful season at times. Not ‘speeding’ to get him though!
Jose Calderon, TORPG0.4350.8801.38.02.84.30.60.11.626Minutes cap at 26-28 hurts, but there’s not much else out there as a late source of AST/3PTM.
Josh Smith, LACSF/PF0.4200.5450.611.55.72.50.81.62.124Take his almost unusable %s and TO and then give him less minutes. That’s how to tank a fantasy value, folks!
Jrue Holiday, NOPG0.4400.8151.114.03.56.51.50.42.330The injury risk is just as high as the 40-year-old vets, I just can’t justify a higher pick even though he’s by far the best per-game player in this range. DOWN – Yikes. 15 minutes a game until January. He’s still worth drafting because he can be so good if he can play high-20 minutes after that, but man this is a tough situation to invest in.
Julius Randle, LALPF0.4300.6750.013.56.81.40.60.42.228On the outside looking in for a 12 team roster, but sounds like he’ll start. Limits in FT%, blocks, and TO make him tough to project for big upside.
Justin Anderson, DALSF0.4150.7700.98.53.71.30.70.21.424More wing rookie nookie, Anderson wouldn’t be nearly this high if it weren’t for vets Parsons and Matthews recovering from injuries. Mr. Anderson should get a lot of run, especially early. My name is Neo!
Justise Winslow, MIASF0.4100.6800.46.52.41.00.60.41.118Likely a year or two away, he plays behind two old wings in Wade and Deng. Might get a shot if Miami has another injury-plagued season. Remember when Michael Beasley was usable last year?!
Jusuf Nurkic, DENC0.4600.7000.010.08.81.20.81.41.626Off-season patella surgery stung, as I was hoping for a big sophomore campaign. It’ll start slow, but I’ll gamble a later pick and try to hold through his low minutes out of the gate.
Karl-Anthony Towns, MINC0.4800.7900.312.08.01.00.71.81.526Only 21.1 MPG in 39 college games, I’m a little worried about the proverbial rookie wall and the stable of bigs Flip will run through. Long-term upside is massive, I don’t think we more than scratch the surface in this rookie year. UP – Bennett waived and Pek hurt doesn’t change much for me, it’s just I decided I’ll go for upside and blocks over the old fart centers.
Kawhi Leonard, SASG/SF0.4800.8101.315.56.42.82.40.81.634With LA in town, Kawhi is going to get more shots from deep, wider lanes to drive, and get a career-best in dimes. Pop’s annoying rotations/minutes is all that stands in the way of a superstar season. That is, except the scheduling committee giving the Spurs that awful playoff sched… Smh…
Kelly Olynyk, BOSC0.4700.7101.010.04.91.80.90.61.622Slim disagrees with me on this one, but I think Olynyk is the only Boston big worth taking a shot on. Since he can stretch the floor he can fit small ball line-ups, and as a starter last year, 13 games at 26 minutes per for 11.2/5.8/1.6/1.0/0.5.
Kelly Oubre, WASSF0.4050.7050.67.53.40.70.80.31.218I wish he was looking at a bigger role, but is a great fit for instant O behind Bradley Beal. Love his career upside.
Kemba Walker, CHAPG0.4000.8301.518.53.75.41.40.52.036Cut the TO to a ridiculously low 1.6 a game, sure it should go back up a tad with a few more minutes, but with the dimes and treys he chips in, can go unloved. Needs to shoot better than last year (38.5%).
Kendall Marshall, PHIPG0.4050.7100.85.51.74.90.70.11.720Getting a multi-year deal is interesting, especially since he fits with the Sixers starters better than Wroten (pass-first, can hit 3s). He’s still a long way away from getting rumored to start though, and won’t be ready to start the season, but he’s intriguing and will be worth watching.
Kenneth Faried, DENPF/C0.5000.7050.015.09.71.21.21.11.930New regime seems to like him, improved the steals and blocks over the second half, and I think we finally see a high MPG for the Manimal. Manimal unleashed!
Kent Bazemore, ATLSG/SF0.4250.6050.65.52.81.20.70.31.118Two injured vet wings ahead of him (Korver, Thabo), there’s a chance for run here. Not a good FT shooter, but can hit the D stats pretty well and some dimes.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, DETSG0.4100.7751.813.03.21.41.20.21.332KCP had a lot of nice signs in the second half – much higher FG%, took more shots inside the stripe by creating his own shot, steals went up, and 1.1 to 1.8 dimes with no change in TO.
Kevin Durant, OKCSF/PF0.5000.8802.328.06.84.41.10.83.034Upside for a return to fantasy’s top player, downside his foot issue hampers yet another season. I’m obviously closer to the former, but he doesn’t get into the top-3.
Kevin Love, CLEPF/C0.4450.8102.218.010.22.40.70.51.734Shockingly was 33rd in per-game stats even though he was horrific, and FG%/Pts should rise a tad. Injury risk/minutes limit early/the fact I don’t really want Love on any teams keep him this low.
Kevin Martin, MINSG/SF0.4250.8901.818.53.22.40.80.11.932An extremely team-friendly contract for 16-17 as caps expand, he’s a dynamite trade target. Worried he becomes a 6th man on a contender for the second half.
Khris Middleton, MILSG/SF0.4550.8601.413.54.32.81.50.11.63234th in total value last year, after only playing 23 MPG through the first 27 games. Bucks need O, they need treys, and Jabari will be filtered in slowly. But as the season wears on, Jabari will work into minutes and they’ll shake-up Giannis at different positions, so could be a 2nd half sell-high.
Klay Thompson, GSWSG/SF0.4500.8802.920.03.32.91.00.61.934Proliferation of defensive stats and crazy %s for how many treys he takes, Klay has shed the ThrAGNOF label and shit on it.
Kobe Bryant, LALSG/SF0.4000.8301.318.04.74.30.90.22.830If this doesn’t price me out, eesh I guess I would have to get Kobe and hope for some sort of rejuvenation. Crushing FG% and TO drain last year, falling apart physically, and a lot of youth around him that won’t make life easier. Meh.
Kosta Koufos, SACPF/C0.5050.6500.08.57.80.70.51.21.226Whether he starts or comes off the bench, he’s a favorite of George Karl and should see 25+ minutes. Will get plenty of boards and 1.5 blocks in that kind of run (Slim seems to sell the swats a tad short in his proj).
Kristaps Porzingis, NYKPF0.4400.7500.910.04.10.90.60.91.522Love Porzingis’s career upside, hate that Phil J has said repeatedly they’ll bring him along slow.
Kyle Korver, ATLSG/SF0.4700.8902.711.53.82.70.70.31.432Off both ankle and elbow surgeries, it’s tough to see him replicating his ridiculous 3PT% or minutes played. I’ll let someone else grab him, and when the minutes look a little more stable, maybe venture some buy low offers. DOWN – I’ve seen him available at my previous rank (69), and wanted no part of it. He’s getting up there in age and off those two surgeries, it just screams STAY AWAY.
Kyle Lowry, TORPG0.4150.8102.018.04.76.41.40.22.434Litany of injuries through his career, tried to gut through a hand issue last year and FG% dropped to 37.3% and dimes down to 5.4. Tension with coach Dwane Casey isn’t helping.
Kyle O’Quinn, NYKPF/C0.4800.7400.47.54.41.60.71.11.120He could find himself starting some games at the 4, but either way should pick up solid backup PF/C minutes as they ease Porzingis in. Expanded 3PT game and a nice FT% has him a very solid per-36 player.
Kyrie Irving, CLEPG/SG0.4650.8651.920.53.25.31.50.32.434Recovery from the broken kneecap moving very slow, reports had surfaced he could be out until January, but they seem to be refuted now. Either way, it seems unlikely he’s playing for the first few weeks at the least, with a very tight minutes restriction once he is back. And even when he does finally suit up, Mo Williams gives the Cavs a much better backup PG to limit Kyrie’s minutes to ease him
LaMarcus Aldridge, SAPF/C0.4700.8350.418.59.22.10.71.01.532Huge hit going to the Spurs – lower minutes, fewer shots, I don’t think we see an expanded 3PTM game… I’m not risking any higher.
Langston Galloway, NYKPG/SG0.4050.8001.09.03.22.60.80.21.024Nice D-League find for the Knicks, looks to be the odd man out of the Calderon/Grant/Afflalo minutes allocation. Can still find his was into 1/3/1 3PTM/AST/STL.
LeBron James, CLESF/PF0.5050.7401.624.06.27.21.50.63.536A horrific start turning it over in Cleveland, LeBron also had a steep drop in FG%. Both should imrpove, but he also has lost the blocks. Solid #5.
Lou Williams, LALPG/SG0.4000.8501.712.01.82.10.90.11.424More ThrAGNOF! Steals and FT volume are going to go way down, along with a few minutes from last year.
Luol Deng, MIASF/PF0.4600.7701.013.55.01.80.80.21.532A full roster should help Deng be a boring last-roster-spot guy, as the battered up Heat saw Deng have a FG% drop in the second half.
Marc Gasol, MEMC0.4900.7850.017.07.83.80.81.62.134Gasol brothers razor close – would take Pau for boards, Marc for a little more help in out-of-position dimes.
Marcin Gortat, WASC0.5550.6950.012.58.91.20.61.21.230Extremely odd he was 12th in per-game in the second half last year. 12th! High FG%, started filtering in steals, and the Wiz don’t have any good centers. I don’t think he gets Valanciunas-ed, and blocks haven’t really trended down in per-36 the past 6 years. Just needs the run.
Marcus Morris, DETSF/PF0.4300.6901.511.55.82.10.90.31.030Might be a better pick than StanJo in a deeper league, I think he’s the starter at SF out of the gate, then swings to some backup PF. Career-bests in Pts/Reb while tying his career mark in treys in 14-15.
Marcus Smart, BOSPG0.4000.7201.410.03.83.21.90.41.530Boston making him only shoot threes is tanking his FG%, not enough dimes from a PG. Steals will be nice, but I question the role especially since I’m high on IT2/3.
Mario Hezonja, ORLSG0.4000.7650.98.02.21.00.50.11.218Madly over hyped in summer ball, especially in a redraft league context. Going to be really tough to find minutes, especially with Evan Fournier brought back.
Markieff Morris, PHXPF/C0.4700.7700.816.06.32.51.20.52.132I had him 62 in the initial rankings post, internal strife with the Suns is really making him a scary pick, especially with a limited number of teams he could go to and produce a similar stat line to 14-15.
Mason Plumlee, PORPF/C0.6100.5350.011.57.71.00.91.01.826Super-buzzy last year after making team USA and given a role, he nosedived horrifically… And now he has an even bigger shot! FT% issues and foul-trouble are still a concern, as is overall consistency.
Meyers Leonard, PORPF/C0.4800.8251.310.57.41.00.30.41.126Seems to be a popular sleeper candidate, his lack of blocks really hurt. Nice for the out-of-position treys and boards, but I think his upside is capped by no AST/STL/BLK. UP – I’m still not huge on him even if he starts, but is deserving of a bump up.
Michael Carter-Williams, MLPG0.4200.7150.213.54.15.71.70.43.028Massive drops in REB/AST/3PTM moving to MIL, FG% went up a tad, but the TO were still dramatically too high in lower minutes. Greivis Vasquez will push for a few extra PG minutes.
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, CHASF0.4700.7150.011.57.21.50.70.71.230Pretty boring, but has improved his FT% and can give you some out-of-position boards.
Mike Conley, MEMPG0.4450.8301.516.03.05.91.40.22.234I didn’t realize I was going to be the anti-Conley guy, but the downward trends are enough for me to avoid. Steals going down, dimes down, starting to miss games… Not buying the ‘playing for a contract’ bounce back narrative.
Mo Williams, CLEPG/SG0.4050.8651.413.02.24.80.50.12.326Irving’s slow recovery is going to open huge minutes for Mo early, and he’ll even play a pretty substantial role with Kyrie back as backup PG and combo G. He’s going to contribute more early, but will become a big guy to try and flip, especially to the Kyrie owner if you nab him before Kyrie’s owner can handcuff.
Monta Ellis, INDPG/SG0.4500.7651.118.52.84.21.70.32.634Consistency in both stats and staying healthy, his steals can very often be overlooked.
Myles Turner, INDC0.4650.7850.411.57.50.50.51.81.526Really thin big man rotation, he fits an up-tempo style of play, and blocks will no question translate right away. Also can hit 3s, board, and make his FT – all with low TO. Just needs the run, Bird, you said it would happen – you better be a man of your word!
Nemanja Bjelica, MINPF0.4600.7450.98.55.81.60.60.30.822Played unreal ball in EuroBasket – expected to contribute right away, but is in a crowded mix of wings and bigs. UP – Probably the biggest impact from the Bennett waive. Ready to play now.
Nerlens Noel, PHIPF/C0.4750.6350.011.58.82.01.92.01.932From Jan 7 to the final 3 games – 42 game stretch of 11.8/9.0/1.7/2.0/2.3 at 49.7% FG. If there was no Okafor clogging the paint, would be even higher.
Nicolas Batum, CHASG/SF0.4300.8401.611.55.94.81.00.62.034Horrible shooting pre-ASB, finally found his stroke for 45% post-ASB, and Hornets need another perimeter guy and facilitator. Should be OK, low upside.
Nik Stauskas, PHISG0.4150.8101.510.02.31.90.50.21.828If the Sixers start Wroten, they’ll be in desperate need of Sauce Castillo to bury some treys, and I think his bad FG% last year was in too small a sample/inconsistent PT.
Nikola Mirotic, CHISF/PF0.4100.8101.514.56.61.40.70.81.928In an uncrowded rotation and a guaranteed 30+ MPG, he’d approach the 50s. Per-36s 18.1/8.8/2.1/1.2/1.2 with 2.2 treys and only 1.9 TO in his rookie season, and even though he makes a great fit at the 4 next to aging centers, I don’t think you can approach him valued too much higher, although it’s very likely someone in your draft will reach to try to look like the smartest person in the room. Bu
Nikola Vucevic, ORLPF/C0.5100.7450.020.010.52.10.80.72.034Some look at his low steals and blocks for a big and dismiss him, but was 22nd in per-game last year due to high-volume FG% and a good FT% for a big, Fits a lot of builds earlier than you would think.
Noah Vonleh, PORPF0.4500.7450.910.56.10.40.40.61.424Second half could be very interesting for the stretch 4, but it looks like it’ll be a good ways out until they unleash the youngun.
Norris Cole, NOPG/SG0.4150.7300.99.02.03.40.80.21.424Looks like a lot of PT is coming his way with the Jrue news. Not very special, but anyone with the upside for PT at PG is worth a look in this range.
Omer Asik, NOPF/C0.5250.5950.07.510.00.80.40.71.326Should give you another season of 25-26 minutes, 8/10 with almost a block. Meh.
Otto Porter, WASSF0.4400.7301.110.56.01.41.20.61.2321.6/1.1/0.8 AST/STL/BLK last year in per-36s show some limited upside, but he’s going to play a boatload of minutes. Worth a shot.
P.J. Tucker, PHXSG/SF0.4400.7451.211.57.11.61.40.31.334Put up 11.3/7.4/1.5/1.4/0.3 with 1.1 treys post-ASB last year, and has a little additional upside with Kieff possibly forcing his way into a trade. Sneaky value at wing.
Patrick Beverley, HOUPG/SG0.4100.7801.78.53.22.71.00.31.226Originally had him 199, but with PG thin and still a pretty solidified role, can chip in some 3PTM/AST/STL as a streamer or a late pick in deepers that will be overlooked. Lawson is one final setback away from not playing ever again either.
Patrick Patterson, TORPF/C0.4550.7601.39.05.82.10.80.50.828How the Raptors play their big men has been a big topic of discussion in the comments, and while I don’t see PIt-Pat playing huge minutes, I think he gets to 28-29 after 26:20 last year, and he finished top-100 in 9-cat metrics.
Patty Mills, SAPG0.4250.8401.49.02.11.80.70.10.820Really struggled off the shoulder surgery last year, should see a bump in minutes with Cojo gone and a better team – starters to sit a good bit.
Pau Gasol, CHIPF/C0.4800.7800.117.09.82.80.31.51.932Of course he’s very unlikely to replicate 14-15, but he was 13th in per-game/7th in overall value. This rank already builds in some regression, and he should have the minutes scaled down a tad with no Tibs to hopefully keep him healthy.
Paul George, INDSG/SF0.4200.8202.119.57.43.21.70.32.834Even in his best season, he wasn’t a first-round fantasy value. I was wrong! He was 11th in total value in 13-14, I apologize to Mr. Green, the commenters, to the George family, to the world. While I don’t see quite an 11th finish again, I do expect a very strong return; although poor FG% and TO for a wing do have to be addressed with your team build.
Paul Millsap, ATLPF/C0.4750.7551.218.08.03.21.81.02.334Under appreciated for three seasons now, he should see another small step forward in the perimeter game with DeMarre Carroll out of town. DOWN – Tough playoff schedule has a very minor tweak here.
Paul Pierce, LACSG/SF0.4400.7951.511.53.81.90.60.21.326Yawn times two. Should get one last season of nice run with some treys, but you can’t expect a healthy season or big minutes.
Rajon Rondo, SACPG0.4200.5500.38.54.46.71.30.12.828Speaking of worth a shot, I’d be fine with the gamble on Rondo at this point outside the top 100. Maybe he starts hitting his FT and gets the dimes to come way back, worst case you drop him a few weeks in.
Raul Neto, UTAPG0.3850.7000.24.51.01.80.40.10.912Slim vehemently disagrees, but I think Neto is a solid player and brings the exact opposite as Trey Burke – facilitating and good defense. They would never start a raw player over Burke who fits that description… Oh wait, they did it last year! Deep, deep sleeper.
Reggie Jackson, DETPG/SG0.4400.8301.117.54.58.61.00.23.234I’m suspecting he could be a buzzy draft pick a few spots higher (edit – Yahoo pre-ranks have him 102 – what the hey?!), but his popcorn trip-dub stats get a little overvalued as he is low in 3s and steals with fairly high TO.
Ricky Rubio, MINPG0.3800.8000.710.54.68.91.90.13.032This is the last time, Ricky! Still only 24, I could see some dynamite games with the dimes as he leads an explosive offense with great steals. Just needs to stay healthy… Gasp… Rubio… Healthy…
Robert Covington, PHISG/SF0.4050.8202.515.04.71.81.40.62.232In 49 starts last year, 15.2/5.0/1.7/1.6/0.6 with 2.7 treys. FG% is an issue with how many deep balls he shoots, but should start all year as the starting 3. Locked in a starting job and on virtually any other team, he’d be higher. Some Philly risk here since you never know what these schlubs will do.
Robin Lopez, NYKC0.5400.7800.011.58.71.10.31.61.232HE’S AWFUL AT BASKETBALL! That’s all the blurb he gets.
Rodney Hood, UTASG/SF0.4300.7701.410.02.72.00.70.21.024Solid as a fill in last year, going 12.7/2.8/2.4/0.9/0.2 with 1.6 treys in 21 starts, but tough to see a 12-team usable role out of the gate.
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, BKNSF0.3950.6900.35.53.61.10.80.30.918With SG such a revolving door last year, maybe RHJ can sneak in as a big starting SG… Not banking on it, but some decent defensive stats should be there either way.
Roy Hibbert, LALC0.4500.7850.011.07.41.20.31.71.828Burke and Hibbert have both been failures on the opposite ends of the starting line-up the past few years, but maybe 2nd-half-collapse-Roy can do enough to warrant value this late. Blocks should be OK again, terrible boards from a guy his size and a bad FG% make him tough to own at times.
Rudy Gay, SACSF/PF0.4500.8251.119.55.63.11.10.72.234I imagine I’ll have several shares of Gay stock with this rank, as his inherent boring-ness is going to be overlooked. Career year in 14-15, big boost in AST, should see another boatload of O with Rondo not doing much shooting.
Rudy Gobert, UTAC0.5850.6500.012.012.51.81.02.91.834Monsieur Elbow! Steiffel Tower! The Big French Nickname! Going to provide crazy big man stats, with an acceptable FT%. Way above the true ‘FT-punt’ bigs. UP – If I’m missing the top-10, I feel dirty not having a top-end big or PG, and Rudy is my favorite of those positions. I’ll reach.
Russell Westbrook, OKCPG0.4400.8201.223.06.37.52.00.33.934Westbrook’s 2nd half was one of the most unreal post-ASB runs we’ve ever seen, but obviously with Durant back, those unreal dimes and a good chunk of shots are going away. Up a few spots in 8-cat, that’s for sure!
Ryan Anderson, NOPF/C0.4150.8602.214.04.91.00.50.31.028Injuries have taken their toll, but he can light up a ton of treys out-of-position and nab a couple boards. If we knew he’d be healthy all year, he’d probably be in the top 100.
Serge Ibaka, OKCPF/C0.5150.8100.715.08.00.90.52.71.532Blocks have fallen 4 straight years from 3.7 to 2.4, I don’t know how many treys he takes with Enes Kanter taking so many mid-range opportunities and Durant back. Swats should improve a tad, FG% certainly to go up from last year.
Shabazz Muhammad, MINSG/SF0.4750.7300.513.04.11.20.50.21.124Like LaVine, a ton of minutes will open up for Shabazz when K-Mart is moved, likely at backup wing. Great numbers as a starter last year at 15.6/4.9/2.0/0.5/0.4, with 1.1 treys and a nice 2.8-3.4 FT volume.
Stanley Johnson, DETSF0.4200.7250.911.05.81.41.20.51.428Let’s get some sexy rookie hype! Put up a gaudy 16.2/6.8/2.0/1.8/1.0 slash in 5 appearances in summer ball, with minimal TO and hitting 57.7% from the field. Can play multiple positions – initially off the bench – but some saucy upside.
Stephen Curry, GSWPG/SG0.4800.9003.524.54.37.81.90.23.334I have a feeling he’s going to be a consensus 1 or 2 – still very close between these top 3 – but there’s some concern to the minutes as Golden State blows the scrubbos out.
Steven Adams, OKCC0.5500.5450.08.07.20.80.61.21.224Ugh, love the player, hate the rotation. Love the stash, hate the minutes smash. No…?
T.J. Warren, PHXSF0.4800.7400.112.53.51.10.80.31.426Markieff Morris is still there, but if he gets moved and the Suns don’t get a SF, T.J. could get a starting role. His fantasy game is still a little limited to PTS though…
Terrence Jones, HOUSF/PF0.5150.6250.713.57.81.30.71.71.43068th in per-game last year, starting only 24 of 33 games. As a starter – 13.5/7.6/1.1/0.6/1.8 while shooting 55%, making 0.5 treys, and only 1.3 TO in 29 MPG. Only knock is FT%, but volume is low. So much upside here.
Thaddeus Young, BKNSF/PF0.4750.6650.514.06.11.71.40.31.530Tough season for the Impaler in 14-15, and it looks like the treys are mostly gone and his FT% became catastrophic. Come for the out-of-position steals, stay for the nickname.
Tim Duncan, SAPF/C0.5050.7350.012.58.92.80.61.71.528The falling off a cliff hasn’t happened yet, even though everyone has predicted it the past 5 years. 21st in per-game last year, Aldridge and missed games drop him to this point. I could actually see feeling pretty good lucking into him by the 6th. DOWN – Already with the worst coach for fantasy, now the Spurs have one of the worst playoff schedules. Pass.
Timofey Mozgov, CLEC0.5650.7200.010.56.80.80.41.21.526Healthcare.Mozgov was solid last season, but he plays such low minutes… He’ll be fine, but offers no upside.
Tobias Harris, ORLSF/PF0.4650.8001.317.06.21.61.00.61.534True multi-cat contributor, maybe his best asset is the easy-to-find points, but hits all cats with low TO. Plays a ton of minutes as well. Just has to keep the ankles taped up.
Tony Allen, MEMSG/SF0.4850.6400.18.04.31.51.60.31.326A steals-only specialist, he peaked to 2.0 per last year. More in the streaming class, but can fit a lot of builds as a last pick.
Tony Parker, SAPG0.4800.7800.514.02.05.00.50.12.028Dump the ball to Aldridge for a deep mid-range, to Kawhi on a drive or Duncan for a bank shot, it’s a nice combo of teammates to have a solid AST season in 70 games.
Tony Wroten, PHIPG/SG0.4050.6500.814.52.84.91.40.23.328Polar opposite player, Wroten is off a partially torn ACL and might not even start. Then there’s the awful %s and TO. I expect him to take less 3s since he’s awful from deep, but then again Noel and Okafor are paint guys for a really weird offensive outlook. Given PG has dried up, I’d take a last-round flier and see what happens.
Trevor Ariza, HOUSG/SF0.4150.8202.313.05.92.71.80.31.736Shot 37% from the field for a little over half of 13-14, but turned it around and adds elite-wing steals to a low-TO game. A little boring, but solid.
Trey Burke, UTAPG0.3900.7801.812.02.44.41.00.21.730Exum’s torn ACL has given Burke yet another chance, but we haven’t seen him run with a starting PG job yet in his career. Worth a late round gamble pick.
Tristan Thompson, CLE?PF/C0.4950.6500.08.57.40.30.40.61.026Contract isn’t quite settled, but his unusability in 12ers is. Maybe a sign-and-trade with Phoenix!
Ty Lawson, HOUPG0.4400.7701.013.52.66.11.00.11.928If he slides this far, I think there’s value. Main risk is yet another off-the-court incident, but here’s to hoping he can turn his life around. Should get at least a little run with Harden and the starters, then all the 2nd unit mins.
Tyreke Evans, NOPG/SG0.4400.7450.716.55.26.01.20.52.934Can still be useful when Jrue is healthy, popcorn stats are pretty – high TO, low treys, and a scary FT% last year not so much… UP – Jrue’s incredibly terrible hit with how Nawleans plans on using him benefits the Reke.
Tyson Chandler, PHXC0.6300.7100.010.010.51.00.51.11.330I get the boring-ness, but he’s consistent and I think has a smidge of upside on the high-tempo Suns. Especially if there’s no Kieff…
Victor Oladipo, ORLPG/SG0.4400.8201.319.04.34.31.80.42.836Took some convincing from Slim to get him top-50, but should play a ton of minutes and contribute in a lot of areas. I wish he had a few less TO and wasn’t more a pure-SG, plus I think he’ll be overdrafted with some buzz. Not a great deep shooter at the eye level (33.9% out there last year even seems high).
Wesley Matthews, PORSG/SF0.4350.8002.315.03.22.41.00.21.432I didn’t think he’d make it top-100 coming off such a major injury and the Mavs clearly stating they’ll be cautious, but the talent pool is just too thin to not take the flier. If he lasts this far, you’ll have to exercise patience until the second half.
Willie Cauley-Stein, SACC0.4900.6200.08.55.80.80.91.91.026Seems most likely to come off the bench behind Kouf or a stretch-4 Gay, but regardless, his defensive stats should be awesome. Bad FT% and low points will be tough, especially in an inconsistent MPG role.
Wilson Chandler, DENSG/SF0.4250.7701.814.55.81.80.70.41.532The Nugs paid him to play, but I don’t see much of a change to his 85th in per-game numbers last year, No Lawson gets negated by Gallo commanding shots a whole year and Mudiay not drawing the same defensive pressure.
Zach LaVine, MINPG0.4300.8450.68.52.32.90.60.11.720Dynamic upside, might not see good minutes until K-Mart is dealt. Will be impossible to hold in a 12er for the whole first half, but is the oft-injured Rubio’s backup as well.
Zach Randolph, MEMPF/C0.4700.7650.016.010.12.00.80.22.232Boring, but 1.0 STL was his highest since 09-10 and 48.7 FG% highest since 10-11. Those aren’t reasons to project upside, but indicate he’s not going to incrementally deteriorate trying to be the same exact player.
Zaza Pachulia, DALC0.4600.7700.09.07.02.50.90.31.926Out-of-position nice AST/FT%, in-position bad boards and blocks. Could fit a lot of builds as a backend C though…