Razzball Hoops’ ultimate draft day tool is here!  Well, actually whoever sniped Myles Turner before I could get him in my first RCL draft is the ultimate draft day tool!  Slim’s projections in a sortable spreadsheet is back, and a huge thanks to Slim for all of his statistical Nostradamus-ing and Rudy for all of the… um… Excel-lent sort-ing…  See what I did there?!  These guys should’ve been the stars of CBS’s Numb3rs!  I actually have no clue what that show was about, but if it was about fantasy basketball I’ll sure feel dumb…  Rudy helped us get all of Slim’s projections in the Official Top 200 back into interactive mode, and he’s probably ready for a month off from math with baseball wrapping up.  I can’t wait to see his charcoal drawings from his month away in Amish country!  Anyway, here’s Slim’s 15-16 projections to utilize on draft day, and be sure to put them to test in the 2015-16 Razzball Basketball Commenter Leagues.  Plenty of leagues open with October drafts, so sign up today!

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Note: Filters and sorting in the table below apply to the output!

# PLAYER POS FG% FT% 3P PTS RBS AST STL BLK TO MIN NOTES
Aaron Brooks, CHI PG 0.410 0.815 1.7 10.5 2.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 1.4 20 Any backup to Rose is worth owning as a handcuff, and he was decent in spot starts last year. They could still play Hinrich at starting PG though…
Aaron Gordon, ORL PF 0.455 0.580 0.8 11.5 7.5 1.5 0.9 0.9 1.6 28 Summer Ball ultimate small-sample 3 games of 21.7/11.7/2.7/1.3/1.7 and hit 6-12 treys. FT% is a concern, but upside for some great D-stats and a trey or two. Off jaw surgery, he may have to start with a mask which hopefully doesn’t impact his game.
Al Horford, ATL PF/C 0.540 0.740 0.2 16.0 7.5 3.3 0.9 1.4 1.5 32 Going to be very overlooked in 15-16, gives great value in high-volume FG% and microscopic TO that many drafters ignore for bigger counting stats. MPG risk with some blowouts likely sink his value a tad.
Al Jefferson, CHA PF/C 0.485 0.680 0.0 17.5 8.6 1.7 0.7 1.3 1.2 32 Fell down to 48th in per-game stats, but a lot had to do with missing 5 MPG with some easing in off injury mixed in there. Still was able to maintain the blocks, and has a better playmaker in Batum on the wing. Should have a nice bounce back, health concern keeps him from going higher.
Al-Farouq Aminu SF/PF 0.425 0.720 0.6 10.0 7.8 1.6 1.3 0.7 1.4 30 Admittedly an oversight, but I don’t like his game one bit. I think he’s benched for buzzier young guys as the season moves on, as they paid him for depth anticipating the cap expansion for next year. In 22.6 MPG, he’s 6.4/5.3/1.1/1.0/0.6 shooting 43.7% as a starter over his career in 174 games. The steals are nice, and obviously he was raw in some of those starts, but I don’t have a very oppor
Alec Burks, UTA PG/SG 0.435 0.785 1.2 16.5 4.3 3.2 1.0 0.2 2.0 34 Exum injury opens up a huge gap at PG, as Burks should see starting SG minutes and backup PG minutes. There’s upside in steals as the Jazz are a defensive juggernaut, and a healthy shoulder could translate into a lot more treys.
Amir Johnson, BOS PF/C 0.565 0.645 0.2 10.0 6.8 1.6 0.6 0.9 1.6 28 Awful rotation and B-Rad runs his bigs thin. I’ll pass in 12ers.
Andre Drummond, DET PF/C 0.530 0.380 0.0 16.0 13.5 1.2 0.9 2.0 1.6 32 Obviously a full-blown punt-FT big, as we move through the ranks I’m treating each pick as a ‘best pick in a vacuum’. Upside for monster post stats with no Monroe.
Andrew Bogut, GSW C 0.535 0.545 0.0 6.0 7.9 2.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 24 Nice glue guy for defensive stats when healthy, but he’s undraftable since he’s… never healthy.
Andrew Wiggins, MIN SG/SF 0.450 0.790 0.8 21.0 5.2 2.9 1.2 0.8 2.4 38 Clear upside to have a superstar fantasy season, his post-ASB FT volume was insane. I see monster scoring with a solid FG%, along with baby steps in the D stats.
Anthony Davis, NO PF/C 0.515 0.810 0.2 26.0 10.5 2.4 1.4 3.0 1.6 36 Fantasy’s unquestioned per-game titan, fantasy rightfully questions the durability. He’s going to add in a few deep balls and Gentry wants him to have even more O touches. Viva El Brow!
Archie Goodwin, PHX PG/SG 0.420 0.745 0.6 11.5 3.9 2.4 0.9 0.4 1.9 24 Likely the main G off the bench, Goodwin finally showed some flashes last year. Will have some dynamic nights off the pine.
Arron Afflalo, NYK SG/SF 0.430 0.845 1.7 15.5 3.4 2.2 0.5 0.1 1.7 34 Tough season last year, really disappeared on the Blazers, but the Poppycockers need offense and another point on that triangle to handle a lot of rock.
Avery Bradley, BOS PG/SG 0.435 0.795 1.6 14.0 3.3 1.9 1.1 0.2 1.5 32 The only Celtics starter you can really feel good about getting 30+ MPG, he can provide a few late PTS/3PTM/STL to round out your roster.
Ben McLemore, SAC SG 0.430 0.810 1.7 12.5 3.2 1.8 1.0 0.2 1.7 32 Shocked me with a solid sophomore season, but I think cedes minutes to Collison and Belinelli off the bench.
Bismack Biyombo, TOR C 0.510 0.575 0.0 6.0 7.9 0.3 0.3 1.9 1.0 24 Per-36 blocks are awesome, and in a few more minutes in TOR should get to 1.5-2.0 blocks and have nice boards. Won’t do much else though…
Blake Griffin, LAC PF/C 0.505 0.740 0.3 22.5 7.9 5.3 1.0 0.5 2.3 36 Nothing seems unrepeatable from last year, love the emerging dimes and improving FT stroke. DOWN – Same thought as with Gobert, I want the elite bigs or a PG. Very small move down.
Bojan Bogdanovic, BKN SG/SF 0.460 0.820 1.4 10.5 3.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.3 28 Lost his starting spot to scrubs like Markel Brown and Karasev last year, but is in line to give it a second shot as a starter out of the gate. ThrAGNOF!
Bradley Beal, WAS SG 0.430 0.795 1.9 17.5 3.9 3.6 1.3 0.3 2.1 36 This rank is likely well below ADP, but Beal regressed in several areas last year – mainly in Pts and AST:TO. Injury concerns with his legs also sink him a bit.
Brandan Wright, MEM PF/C 0.590 0.680 0.0 8.0 4.2 0.5 0.6 1.1 0.5 18 Like Aminu I’m going to pull in the numbers as a starter over his career – 54 games of 7.1/3.7/0.5/0.5/1.0. Not only does he need an injury to the old vets ahead of him, but then he needs to get enough run to do better than that. And his FG% gets overvalued sometimes as it’s soooooooo low volume. But he does have a solidified role, and worthy of a rank.
Brandon Knight, PHX PG/SG 0.420 0.830 2.0 16.0 3.0 4.7 1.2 0.1 2.2 32 Dropped the TO in PHX, cranked a ton of treys, and while the FG% in his brief stint for the Suns was awful, I think he can gel well with Bledsoe. Markieff possibly forcing a trade gives some upside.
Brook Lopez, BKN C 0.510 0.810 0.0 17.5 7.2 0.8 0.5 1.6 1.7 30 24th in per-game, played an amazing second half, but the obvious injury risk doesn’t justify a higher pick.
C.J. McCollum, POR PG/SG 0.430 0.810 1.8 14.0 3.2 2.4 1.4 0.2 1.8 30 A chance to move up a tad if the opening night starter, but 15.7/3.4/2.4/1.6/0.3 in per-36 last year with 2 treys isn’t exactly teeming with potential superstardom. I’ll likely let someone else overreach.
Carmelo Anthony, NYK SF/PF 0.445 0.820 1.7 23.0 6.4 3.2 0.9 0.4 2.4 36 Only 30th in per-game last year, sure injuries factored in, but I don’t think there’s enough reliability here to draft him higher.
Chandler Parsons, DAL SF/PF 0.470 0.735 2.1 16.5 5.3 3.4 1.2 0.4 1.9 36 Primed for a bigger role in the O, but he’s off arthroscopic knee surgery and has had lingering back issues. Even at this high feels a little risky, but there’s enough upside… DOWN – Just came out he had a ‘minor hybrid’ microfracture surgery on his knee, and then they like, put in bone marrow to try and regrow cartilage… it’s just all sorta giving me the heebie jeebies. Won’t be ready for ca
Chris Bosh, MIA PF/C 0.470 0.785 1.3 20.0 6.7 2.2 0.8 0.7 2.1 34 A little risk as he comes off a major health scare, should score a ton of points and keep hitting treys to help his Stl+Blk going down.
Chris Paul, LAC PG 0.480 0.880 1.6 18.0 4.3 10.5 2.0 0.1 2.3 34 CP3 is equally as locked into #6 for me. Obvious awesome dimes, low TO, nothing is unreaptable.
Clint Capela, HOU PF/C 0.575 0.600 0.0 7.5 6.8 0.6 0.6 1.4 1.0 20 Any backup to Dwight is worth owning as a handcuff (deja vu!), and should play either way off the pine. Even as a reserve, should get big swats. UP – I seem to get him as my last pick for blocks in every draft.
Corey Brewer, HOU SG/SF 0.430 0.735 0.8 9.5 3.2 1.4 1.2 0.2 1.2 22 Steals late, Brewer also showed he can score a little in reduced minutes with a decent perimeter stroke.
Cory Joseph, SA PG 0.475 0.785 0.3 8.5 2.8 2.7 0.7 0.2 1.0 22 Will see a career-high in minutes as Lowry’s pure backup and some combo G, fantasy upside is limited by low steals and treys.
Courtney Lee, MEM SG/SF 0.455 0.860 1.1 10.5 2.3 1.9 1.0 0.2 1.0 30 Overall rank last year was nice, but he started mad hot from the field. Will get minutes and 1/2/1 3PTM/AST/STL which is nice this late.
D’Angelo Russell, LAL PG 0.415 0.760 1.4 13.5 4.4 3.8 1.1 0.2 3.0 30 TO and rookie inconsistency will be really frustrating, and I see Clarkson being a bigger facilitator.
Damian Lillard, POR PG 0.425 0.860 2.7 26.0 4.6 7.5 1.2 0.3 3.0 36 Time to start getting saucy with it! With one of the most horrific starting 2-5 runing mates a PG has ever had in the history of the NBA (well, maybe the Sixers at times last year!). the Blazers are going to tell Lillard to try and put up MVP numbers in a tank season. Monster points/treys, a good bit of dimes, the steals have become respectable, but it’ll cost a high-volume FG% and a few too man
Danilo Gallinari, DEN SF 0.415 0.870 2.2 16.5 4.9 2.1 0.9 0.5 1.5 32 Probably my #1 sleeper this year, post-ASB 18.6/4.8/1.9/1.3/0.5 shooting 44.3% from the field, making 2.8 treys, hitting 3.8 FT at 89.1%, and only turning it over 1.3 per. Still only 27, got the big extension to be ‘the guy’, and there will be less shots from the PG with Mudiay taking over for Lawson. Upside to be a dynamic all-cat contributor.
Danny Green, SAS SG/SF 0.440 0.840 2.1 11.0 4.4 2.1 1.2 1.0 1.1 30 Shots/3s to go down, I don’t trust a big minutes increase, and has stretches of invisibility. It’s his super power! 23rd per-game last year seems mighty unrepeatable with Aldridge.
Darren Collison, SAC PG 0.460 0.815 1.1 15.0 2.9 4.8 1.3 0.2 2.2 30 George Karl has said Colly and Rondo will play some minutes together, and in a league embracing more and more combo guard sets, he could play more minutes than you’d expect. Rondo on a 1-year deal could be moved as well.
David West, SA PF 0.475 0.770 0.0 10.5 6.2 2.8 0.5 0.5 1.4 26 I think he gets more run than some (although Slim’s Proj looks right on), as he cleans up with the second unit. Actually, Slim’s line would make him rank a bit higher than this rank.
DeAndre Jordan, LAC C 0.690 0.410 0.0 12.0 14.0 0.8 1.0 2.2 1.3 34 If you’re already FT-punting you don’t care, but 5.7 FT attempted a game is outrageous. Going to go way, way up as the NBA didn’t change the rules. Although, you should care a little bit even in FT-punt as it’s so bad for real basketball his minutes are likely going to drop.
DeMar DeRozan, TOR SG/SF 0.425 0.830 0.4 22.5 4.4 3.8 1.1 0.3 2.4 36 Pts is still a category, which is fortunate for DeRozan since he doesn’t do much else. AST:TO regressed, treys regressed, but maybe some of that had to do with the bad groin injury. Still worth a fringe top-100 selection.
DeMarcus Cousins, SAC PF/C 0.475 0.770 0.0 25.0 12.5 3.2 1.5 1.7 4.0 34 These last 3 are all razor thin, but Boogie takes a huge hit on your TO, and that’s without your team having a PG. That said, he was playing some of his best ball in the 2nd half last year. Now has Rondo to facilitate without stealing shots, along with Willie Cauley-Stein to take some defensive pressure off.
DeMarre Carroll, TOR SF/PF 0.470 0.730 1.9 13.5 5.9 1.8 1.5 0.3 1.2 34 Limited upside over last year for a few more shots and a few more treys, steals and blocks from the wing should translate.
Dennis Schroder, ATL PG 0.425 0.780 0.8 12.5 2.8 4.9 0.7 0.1 2.1 26 In a 10-game 29:13 MPG starting sample – 14.1/3.4/7.7/0.7/0.0. Teague is usually durable, but I expect them to play more combo G this year as a tandem.
Deron Williams, DAL PG 0.415 0.820 1.5 14.5 3.4 6.8 0.9 0.2 2.6 32 Showed in starts last year he can still be usable, although his FG% was sub-40%. 55 starts at 32:53 MPG have me thinking he could hold up most of the year on those kankles. Kyrie’s injury shed a little more light on a really thin PG draft class this year.
Derrick Favors, UTA PF/C 0.510 0.690 0.0 17.0 8.4 1.5 0.9 1.8 1.8 32 FG% dropped after Kanter was dealt, will be playing a more mid-range game. Low FT% and blocks not developing into an elite stat keep him a little lower than Slim would like.
Derrick Rose, CHI PG 0.420 0.820 1.5 18.0 3.3 5.4 0.7 0.3 3.3 30 There’s no way I could feel good having Rose on my teams. Even in his MVP season he wasn’t a fantasy elite, and still projects to have way too many TO and microscopic steals. Pass.
Devin Booker, PHX SG 0.400 0.800 1.0 7.0 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 1.0 18 The sweet stroke will translate right away, and gives the Suns a high-volume perimeter G off the bench. Might be really useful if one of the starting PG/SG gets hurt.
Dion Waiters, OKC SG/SF 0.400 0.710 0.8 10.5 2.1 2.2 0.9 0.3 1.4 26 Will pick up a lot of second unit minutes at wing, and mop up in junk time. Might not be rosterable all year, but a nice streamer in projected blowout matchups.
Dirk Nowitzki, DAL PF/C 0.465 0.880 1.2 17.0 5.7 1.8 0.5 0.4 1.1 28 Dirk probably has a little better upside than Timmay, but much greater downside. The Germinator took his first step off that cliff, with career-lows virtually across the board when you throw out his rookie season. Played under 30 MPG last year for the first time since his rookie season as well. DOWN – I was already building in another big step back in minutes, but with the Mavs already publicly
Donatas Motiejunas, HOU SF/PF 0.480 0.620 0.6 10.0 5.1 1.6 0.6 0.4 1.5 24 He’ll move up a couple if he looks really healthy in pre-season, I worry about the back and don’t think he plays starting C if Dwight gets hurt – I see that for Capela.
Draymond Green, GSW SF/PF 0.455 0.680 1.6 13.0 8.4 4.0 1.7 1.3 1.7 34 Woooooo, #OccupyDraymondGreen! Don’t worry about any sort of sharp regression, the multi-cat is here to stay!
Dwight Howard, HOU PF/C 0.580 0.535 0.0 15.5 10.2 1.2 0.7 1.4 2.8 30 I’ve utterly ignored him for years now, and nothing changes this season. Off several injuries and a disappearance of blocks.
Dwight Powell, DAL PF 0.425 0.750 0.7 9.0 5.5 0.9 0.8 0.6 1.1 24 A swing-for-the-fences pick, Powell took a bajillion treys in summer ball and looked great for Team Canada. They’re grooming him to be the next Dirk, and he figures to get a lot of rock when playing backup PF/C.
Dwyane Wade, MIA PG/SG 0.475 0.770 0.4 20.5 3.4 4.1 1.1 0.3 3.0 32 Hopefully this prices me out, but when he’s healthy he should be a top-50 player. Do I even need to mention why he’s lower then…?
Ed Davis, POR PF/C 0.565 0.560 0.0 11.0 7.8 1.4 0.6 1.3 1.0 28 He seems to be becoming the unpopular big in the Blazers’ mystery rotation, but over his last 54 games – most of last year after getting really inconsistent run early – 9.1/7.9/1.4/0.6/1.3 with virtually no TO and 60% from the field in only 23.7 MPG. Will likely play more minutes in Portland, and scaling those numbers up will be really interesting. DOWN – Seeming like there’s more and more buzz f
Elfrid Payton, ORL PG 0.440 0.575 0.4 11.5 4.8 8.5 2.1 0.4 2.7 34 Final 21:12.4/5.6/8.7/2.4/0.5 with only 2.8 TO and 44.8% FG 58.8% FT. Even with more touches in that stretch, only 1.9-3.2 FT a game. Sure he doesn’t hit many treys either, but he can fit a lot of teams in this range.
Emmanuel Mudiay, DEN PG 0.390 0.575 0.4 14.5 4.6 5.9 1.2 0.3 3.2 32 %s and TO could be pretty bad as the raw Mudiay is handed the keys, in a MCW-esque way. But MCW was usable most of his rookie season. Taking the risk and the dimes at this point.
Enes Kanter, OKC C 0.520 0.780 0.0 14.0 9.0 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.9 28 Had a pretty unreal second half after moving to OKC, but a lot of that was due to no Ibaka or Durant. While a dubdub threat every night with good %s, AST+STL+BLK are likely to combine at under 2.
Eric Bledsoe, PHX PG/SG 0.450 0.785 1.1 17.5 5.3 6.5 1.5 0.6 3.5 36 Swinging for the fences, Bledsoe is by far my favorite of the mid-round PG and has his best G running mate in Knight replacing Dragic/IT2. Will need some monster stats and a slight relief in TO for this to happen… But the dramatic drop off of PG has him even more attractive as an early target, plus Markieff Morris’s drama could mean even more shots.
Eric Gordon, NO SG 0.410 0.800 1.9 13.0 2.6 3.6 0.8 0.2 2.0 32 I usually avoid Gordon, but if he fell this late I’d be happy. Still only 26, can hit some treys and get assists that you won’t find with many other players ranked lower, but the obvious injury risk weighs him down. I think his injury risk keeps him in the same range even with the Jrue news.
Ersan Ilyasova, DET SF/PF 0.455 0.775 1.3 13.5 5.9 1.3 0.7 0.5 1.1 30 Out of position treys is nice, but I’m not overpaying for pedestrian boards and defensive stats.
Evan Turner, BOS SG/SF 0.425 0.765 0.3 9.5 5.0 4.9 0.9 0.2 2.3 28 The long-term deal for Crowder clouds the minutes. PTS/REB/AST stats sometimes get overrated for Turner, who isn’t good anywhere else.
Frank Kaminsky, CHA C 0.425 0.775 1.2 12.0 6.6 1.1 0.4 0.7 1.5 28 I just don’t see him being a great NBA player, even if the out-of-position 3s will be nice. I bet he’s a ‘buzzy’ Hornets pick a few rounds earlier.
George Hill, IND PG/SG 0.455 0.800 1.6 15.0 3.8 4.6 1.0 0.3 1.7 32 After easing in, Hill was playing at a career-best level in the second half last year. But now George is back, Monta is brought in, no way we see those post-ASB numbers this year.
Gerald Green, MIA SG/SF 0.410 0.815 1.7 10.5 2.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 1.4 20 I think he plays more than Slim does, as I see him at 20 MPG off the bench, then starting on Wade DNP nights. We all know he can light it up when on.
Gerald Henderson, POR SG/SF 0.435 0.810 0.5 12.5 3.6 2.4 0.6 0.3 1.6 28 Dealing with a congenital hip issue, maybe the Blazers don’t end up starting him after all and go with McCollum. But a few minutes should be there on a team that needs offense.
Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL SF/PF 0.480 0.755 0.3 13.5 6.6 2.9 1.1 1.2 2.1 32 Athleticism and highlight-real Inspector Gadget plays seem to make him a tad overrated; treys didn’t develop last year, sub-2 STL+BLK, and 2.1 TO from a wing without doing much else isn’t worth a higher pick to me. If he didn’t have any upside as a 20-year-old, he’d be even lower. Upside is already baked in the baklava. UP – Giving in to some consensus pressure here, was nice to see him hitting
Goran Dragic, MIA PG/SG 0.500 0.790 1.0 17.0 3.5 5.5 1.1 0.2 2.2 34 A full offseason to gel with the Heat, got more dimes in Miami, nice out-of-position FG% help a well-rounded PG game.
Gordon Hayward, UTA SG/SF 0.450 0.820 1.6 20.5 4.7 4.4 1.4 0.5 2.7 34 Dante Exum has a torn ACL and the Jazz only have Trey Burke to play PG. Not much of a change to the slight concern over Hayward’s 5.2:2.8 AST:TO ratio dropping to 4.1:2.7 last year, but Hayward is looking up a tad with no Exum. Hayward has improved every year.
Gorgui Dieng, MIN PF/C 0.510 0.770 0.0 10.0 8.3 2.1 0.9 1.7 1.7 28 As a starter – 10.8/8.8/2.3/1.1/2.0 hitting 50.8% from the field and 78.1% from the line last year. But like Towns, the stable of big men is a huge concern, and he only played 28:43 MPG pre-ASB last year. Even with Pek hurt and Bennett gone, I’m not seeing a huge minutes bump.
Greg Monroe, MIL PF/C 0.505 0.745 0.0 18.0 10.5 2.3 1.2 0.6 2.3 34 Lack of blocks hurt, but has the whole post to himself for the first time in a while, and finally started making FT at 75% last year. Should improve in FG% from last year as well.
Greivis Vasquez, MIL PG/SG 0.415 0.810 1.3 9.5 2.4 4.2 0.6 0.1 1.8 24 The Twerp got picked up for a lottery-protected first-rounder, but that still ain’t too cheap. Will challenge MCW for a few minutes, if not the bulk of minutes when MCW is cold. Plus can play some combo 2.
Harrison Barnes, GSW SG/SF 0.445 0.725 1.1 10.5 5.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 1.0 28 Yawn. Played well in real-life terms last year – yet another time share with Iguodala. No upside.
Hassan Whiteside, MIA C 0.610 0.510 0.0 12.5 10.5 0.2 0.5 2.4 1.5 28 The bad FT% doesn’t hurt as much as the pure-FT punt guys, shocking 34th in per-game value only starting 32 of 48 games.
Isaiah Thomas, BOS PG 0.425 0.860 2.1 17.5 2.2 4.8 0.8 0.1 2.4 28 There are murmurs that IT2/3 could start, which would make him a really interesting upside selection. A name that could move quickly through early preseason, either up or down.
J.J. Redick, LAC SG 0.465 0.900 2.1 15.0 2.1 1.9 0.5 0.1 1.2 30 Combined AST+STL+BLK last year (2.4) was lower than his 3PTM (2.6)! I wonder how often that happens for a 30+ MPG player… Loss of Barnes to low-minutes-Pierce should help solidify a pretty nice run again in 15-16, but his 47.7 FG% likely to go down a tad.
J.R. Smith, CLE SG/SF 0.415 0.760 1.9 11.0 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.2 1.2 26 Never been a Smiff guy, but nice dimes and steals late. More a streamer though – I think last year’s numbers with the Cavs were high.
Jabari Parker, MIL SF/PF 0.480 0.730 0.3 11.5 5.4 1.8 0.9 0.3 1.8 26 The Bucks are making it sound like they’re going to be EXTREMELY cautious with bringing Jabari along from the torn ACL, and I don’t really blame em. Worth a gamble especially in IL leagues – with only 2-3 bench spots and no IL, he’ll be a tough hold early on.
Jae Crowder, BOS SF/PF 0.415 0.770 1.1 11.0 5.6 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.9 28 Boston Clam Crowder got to the Celtics and started with a bang, but ended up pretty ho-hum. Can give you nice D stats, but Boston’s slim rotations will hurt.
Jahlil Okafor, PHI C 0.510 0.510 0.0 16.5 8.6 1.5 0.6 0.8 2.4 32 Going to be this year’s worst over-drafted player, offers horrible drains on FT% and TO while not blocking any shots. I guess the upside is worth the flier, but I bet he’s going to be a popular drop in standard 9-cat.
Jamal Crawford, LAC SG/SF 0.400 0.875 1.6 12.0 1.8 2.3 0.7 0.1 1.3 24 Wherever he lands he’ll play, and will be worth a consistent spot on deep league teams for the treys. ThrAGNOF!
Jameer Nelson, DEN PG 0.435 0.780 1.2 8.0 1.8 3.6 0.6 0.1 1.7 20 Nelson is going to surprise with his role, as the Nugs signed him for three more years to mentor Mudiay. When the raw rook is mad cold, Nelson will play big minutes.
James Harden, HOU SG/SF 0.445 0.870 2.5 27.5 5.5 6.6 1.8 0.6 3.8 36 Very close to Brow for #1, very – and I mean very – minimal knock with Lawson stealing some usage whenever they play together. Brow still has a tad of upside after last year, I don’t know if Harden can go up much higher.
James Johnson, TOR SF/PF 0.470 0.710 0.3 9.5 4.2 1.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 24 A nightly rainbow line threat even off the bench, we’re still going in with another undefined role. Nice D stat streamer late in weeks.
Jared Sullinger, BOS PF/C 0.450 0.760 0.9 14.0 8.0 2.3 0.8 0.7 1.4 28 Slim rotations hurt Sully too, even if he has a slim tummy. Everyone loves a good weight loss, but I don’t see the minutes Slim does.
Jarrett Jack, BKN PG/SG 0.435 0.860 0.7 15.5 3.6 6.3 0.9 0.2 3.1 34 The Pts/Ast should be there, but steals are too low for a G and his FG% too low for not making enough treys. It should be his show to run, but it’s got a really low ceiling.
Jeff Teague, ATL PG 0.455 0.850 1.1 17.5 2.5 6.9 1.7 0.4 2.9 32 Only played 30:31 MPG as he has one of the best backup PG behind him to clean up blowout minutes. I don’t see that changing much.
Jerian Grant, NYK PG 0.415 0.775 0.8 8.5 2.2 4.1 0.8 0.2 1.7 24 Fits well as both the 1 and the 2, I just don’t know if he can be a huge NBA contributor just yet. Minutes look to be there, which makes him worth a draft pick in 12ers.
Jimmy Butler, CHI SG/SF 0.455 0.825 1.0 18.5 5.6 3.1 1.8 0.5 1.4 36 Sure there’s injury concerns, but with Tibs gone, his ridiculous minutes should go down. Rose will take a little volume, help with efficiency. Love the strong game with low-TO.
Joakim Noah, CHI PF/C 0.465 0.690 0.0 9.5 9.8 4.4 0.8 1.2 1.8 30 Rumors swirling he could be coming off the bench, and is off career-lows in both FG% and FT%. But even with Rose back a good chunk of last year, kept the dimes up.
Joe Johnson, BKN SG/SF 0.430 0.810 1.6 14.0 4.1 3.5 0.6 0.2 1.7 32 Upped his REB and AST last year, while keeping the TO mad low. With Jack not really a creator or a 3PT shooter, I could see a lot of O running through Johnson’s hands.
John Henson, MIL PF/C 0.555 0.575 0.0 9.5 6.6 1.3 0.5 2.0 1.6 24 2.0 blocks in only 18:20 MPG last year was crazy talk, and should easily play more this season especially with Jabari coming back slow – there aren’t any other PF options. UP – When I’m looking for late blocks, I’m always pumped when I can snag Henson late.
John Wall, WAS PG 0.440 0.800 1.0 19.5 4.5 10.6 1.8 0.6 3.7 36 Regression in the developing 3-pt game hurt, and high-TO originally had me keeping him outside the top-10, but now flipping him ahead of Klay, Boogie and Kawhi due to thinning of top-tier PG
Jonas Valanciunas, TOR C 0.550 0.790 0.0 12.5 8.9 0.6 0.4 1.2 1.7 28 Valanciunas-ed’ is now a term for a player who goes off in the first half only to get limited run in the 2nd, and with the Casey regime still in power, they plan on sitting him late again – even with a newly signed extension. Per-36s are awesome, if only his per-26s could be the same… UP – Fine, fine! He can go up a little! We all know he can play, and if everyone knows that then maybe the Ra
Jordan Clarkson, LAL PG 0.450 0.825 1.0 15.5 4.3 5.1 1.1 0.2 2.1 32 15.8/4.2/5.0/1.1/0.2 with 0.9 treys and 84% from the stripe as a starter – but love the mere 2.2 TO leading a horrible team. I don’t think Russell becomes the main facilitator, Clarkson to give a solid multi-cat line. DOWN – Really the only Laker that gets an impact from the playoff schedule, since I have all the others ranked much lower and not relying on them. Plus he’s pre-ranked horrificall
Jordan Hill, IND PF/C 0.475 0.720 0.0 11.0 7.5 1.3 0.4 0.8 1.4 24 Should be able to replicate what he did last year – minus a couple of points – in what was a useful season at times. Not ‘speeding’ to get him though!
Jose Calderon, TOR PG 0.435 0.880 1.3 8.0 2.8 4.3 0.6 0.1 1.6 26 Minutes cap at 26-28 hurts, but there’s not much else out there as a late source of AST/3PTM.
Josh Smith, LAC SF/PF 0.420 0.545 0.6 11.5 5.7 2.5 0.8 1.6 2.1 24 Take his almost unusable %s and TO and then give him less minutes. That’s how to tank a fantasy value, folks!
Jrue Holiday, NO PG 0.440 0.815 1.1 14.0 3.5 6.5 1.5 0.4 2.3 30 The injury risk is just as high as the 40-year-old vets, I just can’t justify a higher pick even though he’s by far the best per-game player in this range. DOWN – Yikes. 15 minutes a game until January. He’s still worth drafting because he can be so good if he can play high-20 minutes after that, but man this is a tough situation to invest in.
Julius Randle, LAL PF 0.430 0.675 0.0 13.5 6.8 1.4 0.6 0.4 2.2 28 On the outside looking in for a 12 team roster, but sounds like he’ll start. Limits in FT%, blocks, and TO make him tough to project for big upside.
Justin Anderson, DAL SF 0.415 0.770 0.9 8.5 3.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 1.4 24 More wing rookie nookie, Anderson wouldn’t be nearly this high if it weren’t for vets Parsons and Matthews recovering from injuries. Mr. Anderson should get a lot of run, especially early. My name is Neo!
Justise Winslow, MIA SF 0.410 0.680 0.4 6.5 2.4 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.1 18 Likely a year or two away, he plays behind two old wings in Wade and Deng. Might get a shot if Miami has another injury-plagued season. Remember when Michael Beasley was usable last year?!
Jusuf Nurkic, DEN C 0.460 0.700 0.0 10.0 8.8 1.2 0.8 1.4 1.6 26 Off-season patella surgery stung, as I was hoping for a big sophomore campaign. It’ll start slow, but I’ll gamble a later pick and try to hold through his low minutes out of the gate.
Karl-Anthony Towns, MIN C 0.480 0.790 0.3 12.0 8.0 1.0 0.7 1.8 1.5 26 Only 21.1 MPG in 39 college games, I’m a little worried about the proverbial rookie wall and the stable of bigs Flip will run through. Long-term upside is massive, I don’t think we more than scratch the surface in this rookie year. UP – Bennett waived and Pek hurt doesn’t change much for me, it’s just I decided I’ll go for upside and blocks over the old fart centers.
Kawhi Leonard, SA SG/SF 0.480 0.810 1.3 15.5 6.4 2.8 2.4 0.8 1.6 34 With LA in town, Kawhi is going to get more shots from deep, wider lanes to drive, and get a career-best in dimes. Pop’s annoying rotations/minutes is all that stands in the way of a superstar season. That is, except the scheduling committee giving the Spurs that awful playoff sched… Smh…
Kelly Olynyk, BOS C 0.470 0.710 1.0 10.0 4.9 1.8 0.9 0.6 1.6 22 Slim disagrees with me on this one, but I think Olynyk is the only Boston big worth taking a shot on. Since he can stretch the floor he can fit small ball line-ups, and as a starter last year, 13 games at 26 minutes per for 11.2/5.8/1.6/1.0/0.5.
Kelly Oubre, WAS SF 0.405 0.705 0.6 7.5 3.4 0.7 0.8 0.3 1.2 18 I wish he was looking at a bigger role, but is a great fit for instant O behind Bradley Beal. Love his career upside.
Kemba Walker, CHA PG 0.400 0.830 1.5 18.5 3.7 5.4 1.4 0.5 2.0 36 Cut the TO to a ridiculously low 1.6 a game, sure it should go back up a tad with a few more minutes, but with the dimes and treys he chips in, can go unloved. Needs to shoot better than last year (38.5%).
Kendall Marshall, PHI PG 0.405 0.710 0.8 5.5 1.7 4.9 0.7 0.1 1.7 20 Getting a multi-year deal is interesting, especially since he fits with the Sixers starters better than Wroten (pass-first, can hit 3s). He’s still a long way away from getting rumored to start though, and won’t be ready to start the season, but he’s intriguing and will be worth watching.
Kenneth Faried, DEN PF/C 0.500 0.705 0.0 15.0 9.7 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.9 30 New regime seems to like him, improved the steals and blocks over the second half, and I think we finally see a high MPG for the Manimal. Manimal unleashed!
Kent Bazemore, ATL SG/SF 0.425 0.605 0.6 5.5 2.8 1.2 0.7 0.3 1.1 18 Two injured vet wings ahead of him (Korver, Thabo), there’s a chance for run here. Not a good FT shooter, but can hit the D stats pretty well and some dimes.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, DET SG 0.410 0.775 1.8 13.0 3.2 1.4 1.2 0.2 1.3 32 KCP had a lot of nice signs in the second half – much higher FG%, took more shots inside the stripe by creating his own shot, steals went up, and 1.1 to 1.8 dimes with no change in TO.
Kevin Durant, OKC SF/PF 0.500 0.880 2.3 28.0 6.8 4.4 1.1 0.8 3.0 34 Upside for a return to fantasy’s top player, downside his foot issue hampers yet another season. I’m obviously closer to the former, but he doesn’t get into the top-3.
Kevin Love, CLE PF/C 0.445 0.810 2.2 18.0 10.2 2.4 0.7 0.5 1.7 34 Shockingly was 33rd in per-game stats even though he was horrific, and FG%/Pts should rise a tad. Injury risk/minutes limit early/the fact I don’t really want Love on any teams keep him this low.
Kevin Martin, MIN SG/SF 0.425 0.890 1.8 18.5 3.2 2.4 0.8 0.1 1.9 32 An extremely team-friendly contract for 16-17 as caps expand, he’s a dynamite trade target. Worried he becomes a 6th man on a contender for the second half.
Khris Middleton, MIL SG/SF 0.455 0.860 1.4 13.5 4.3 2.8 1.5 0.1 1.6 32 34th in total value last year, after only playing 23 MPG through the first 27 games. Bucks need O, they need treys, and Jabari will be filtered in slowly. But as the season wears on, Jabari will work into minutes and they’ll shake-up Giannis at different positions, so could be a 2nd half sell-high.
Klay Thompson, GSW SG/SF 0.450 0.880 2.9 20.0 3.3 2.9 1.0 0.6 1.9 34 Proliferation of defensive stats and crazy %s for how many treys he takes, Klay has shed the ThrAGNOF label and shit on it.
Kobe Bryant, LAL SG/SF 0.400 0.830 1.3 18.0 4.7 4.3 0.9 0.2 2.8 30 If this doesn’t price me out, eesh I guess I would have to get Kobe and hope for some sort of rejuvenation. Crushing FG% and TO drain last year, falling apart physically, and a lot of youth around him that won’t make life easier. Meh.
Kosta Koufos, SAC PF/C 0.505 0.650 0.0 8.5 7.8 0.7 0.5 1.2 1.2 26 Whether he starts or comes off the bench, he’s a favorite of George Karl and should see 25+ minutes. Will get plenty of boards and 1.5 blocks in that kind of run (Slim seems to sell the swats a tad short in his proj).
Kristaps Porzingis, NYK PF 0.440 0.750 0.9 10.0 4.1 0.9 0.6 0.9 1.5 22 Love Porzingis’s career upside, hate that Phil J has said repeatedly they’ll bring him along slow.
Kyle Korver, ATL SG/SF 0.470 0.890 2.7 11.5 3.8 2.7 0.7 0.3 1.4 32 Off both ankle and elbow surgeries, it’s tough to see him replicating his ridiculous 3PT% or minutes played. I’ll let someone else grab him, and when the minutes look a little more stable, maybe venture some buy low offers. DOWN – I’ve seen him available at my previous rank (69), and wanted no part of it. He’s getting up there in age and off those two surgeries, it just screams STAY AWAY.
Kyle Lowry, TOR PG 0.415 0.810 2.0 18.0 4.7 6.4 1.4 0.2 2.4 34 Litany of injuries through his career, tried to gut through a hand issue last year and FG% dropped to 37.3% and dimes down to 5.4. Tension with coach Dwane Casey isn’t helping.
Kyle O’Quinn, NYK PF/C 0.480 0.740 0.4 7.5 4.4 1.6 0.7 1.1 1.1 20 He could find himself starting some games at the 4, but either way should pick up solid backup PF/C minutes as they ease Porzingis in. Expanded 3PT game and a nice FT% has him a very solid per-36 player.
Kyrie Irving, CLE PG/SG 0.465 0.865 1.9 20.5 3.2 5.3 1.5 0.3 2.4 34 Recovery from the broken kneecap moving very slow, reports had surfaced he could be out until January, but they seem to be refuted now. Either way, it seems unlikely he’s playing for the first few weeks at the least, with a very tight minutes restriction once he is back. And even when he does finally suit up, Mo Williams gives the Cavs a much better backup PG to limit Kyrie’s minutes to ease him
LaMarcus Aldridge, SA PF/C 0.470 0.835 0.4 18.5 9.2 2.1 0.7 1.0 1.5 32 Huge hit going to the Spurs – lower minutes, fewer shots, I don’t think we see an expanded 3PTM game… I’m not risking any higher.
Langston Galloway, NYK PG/SG 0.405 0.800 1.0 9.0 3.2 2.6 0.8 0.2 1.0 24 Nice D-League find for the Knicks, looks to be the odd man out of the Calderon/Grant/Afflalo minutes allocation. Can still find his was into 1/3/1 3PTM/AST/STL.
LeBron James, CLE SF/PF 0.505 0.740 1.6 24.0 6.2 7.2 1.5 0.6 3.5 36 A horrific start turning it over in Cleveland, LeBron also had a steep drop in FG%. Both should imrpove, but he also has lost the blocks. Solid #5.
Lou Williams, LAL PG/SG 0.400 0.850 1.7 12.0 1.8 2.1 0.9 0.1 1.4 24 More ThrAGNOF! Steals and FT volume are going to go way down, along with a few minutes from last year.
Luol Deng, MIA SF/PF 0.460 0.770 1.0 13.5 5.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 1.5 32 A full roster should help Deng be a boring last-roster-spot guy, as the battered up Heat saw Deng have a FG% drop in the second half.
Marc Gasol, MEM C 0.490 0.785 0.0 17.0 7.8 3.8 0.8 1.6 2.1 34 Gasol brothers razor close – would take Pau for boards, Marc for a little more help in out-of-position dimes.
Marcin Gortat, WAS C 0.555 0.695 0.0 12.5 8.9 1.2 0.6 1.2 1.2 30 Extremely odd he was 12th in per-game in the second half last year. 12th! High FG%, started filtering in steals, and the Wiz don’t have any good centers. I don’t think he gets Valanciunas-ed, and blocks haven’t really trended down in per-36 the past 6 years. Just needs the run.
Marcus Morris, DET SF/PF 0.430 0.690 1.5 11.5 5.8 2.1 0.9 0.3 1.0 30 Might be a better pick than StanJo in a deeper league, I think he’s the starter at SF out of the gate, then swings to some backup PF. Career-bests in Pts/Reb while tying his career mark in treys in 14-15.
Marcus Smart, BOS PG 0.400 0.720 1.4 10.0 3.8 3.2 1.9 0.4 1.5 30 Boston making him only shoot threes is tanking his FG%, not enough dimes from a PG. Steals will be nice, but I question the role especially since I’m high on IT2/3.
Mario Hezonja, ORL SG 0.400 0.765 0.9 8.0 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 1.2 18 Madly over hyped in summer ball, especially in a redraft league context. Going to be really tough to find minutes, especially with Evan Fournier brought back.
Markieff Morris, PHX PF/C 0.470 0.770 0.8 16.0 6.3 2.5 1.2 0.5 2.1 32 I had him 62 in the initial rankings post, internal strife with the Suns is really making him a scary pick, especially with a limited number of teams he could go to and produce a similar stat line to 14-15.
Mason Plumlee, POR PF/C 0.610 0.535 0.0 11.5 7.7 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.8 26 Super-buzzy last year after making team USA and given a role, he nosedived horrifically… And now he has an even bigger shot! FT% issues and foul-trouble are still a concern, as is overall consistency.
Meyers Leonard, POR PF/C 0.480 0.825 1.3 10.5 7.4 1.0 0.3 0.4 1.1 26 Seems to be a popular sleeper candidate, his lack of blocks really hurt. Nice for the out-of-position treys and boards, but I think his upside is capped by no AST/STL/BLK. UP – I’m still not huge on him even if he starts, but is deserving of a bump up.
Michael Carter-Williams, ML PG 0.420 0.715 0.2 13.5 4.1 5.7 1.7 0.4 3.0 28 Massive drops in REB/AST/3PTM moving to MIL, FG% went up a tad, but the TO were still dramatically too high in lower minutes. Greivis Vasquez will push for a few extra PG minutes.
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, CHA SF 0.470 0.715 0.0 11.5 7.2 1.5 0.7 0.7 1.2 30 Pretty boring, but has improved his FT% and can give you some out-of-position boards.
Mike Conley, MEM PG 0.445 0.830 1.5 16.0 3.0 5.9 1.4 0.2 2.2 34 I didn’t realize I was going to be the anti-Conley guy, but the downward trends are enough for me to avoid. Steals going down, dimes down, starting to miss games… Not buying the ‘playing for a contract’ bounce back narrative.
Mo Williams, CLE PG/SG 0.405 0.865 1.4 13.0 2.2 4.8 0.5 0.1 2.3 26 Irving’s slow recovery is going to open huge minutes for Mo early, and he’ll even play a pretty substantial role with Kyrie back as backup PG and combo G. He’s going to contribute more early, but will become a big guy to try and flip, especially to the Kyrie owner if you nab him before Kyrie’s owner can handcuff.
Monta Ellis, IND PG/SG 0.450 0.765 1.1 18.5 2.8 4.2 1.7 0.3 2.6 34 Consistency in both stats and staying healthy, his steals can very often be overlooked.
Myles Turner, IND C 0.465 0.785 0.4 11.5 7.5 0.5 0.5 1.8 1.5 26 Really thin big man rotation, he fits an up-tempo style of play, and blocks will no question translate right away. Also can hit 3s, board, and make his FT – all with low TO. Just needs the run, Bird, you said it would happen – you better be a man of your word!
Nemanja Bjelica, MIN PF 0.460 0.745 0.9 8.5 5.8 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.8 22 Played unreal ball in EuroBasket – expected to contribute right away, but is in a crowded mix of wings and bigs. UP – Probably the biggest impact from the Bennett waive. Ready to play now.
Nerlens Noel, PHI PF/C 0.475 0.635 0.0 11.5 8.8 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.9 32 From Jan 7 to the final 3 games – 42 game stretch of 11.8/9.0/1.7/2.0/2.3 at 49.7% FG. If there was no Okafor clogging the paint, would be even higher.
Nicolas Batum, CHA SG/SF 0.430 0.840 1.6 11.5 5.9 4.8 1.0 0.6 2.0 34 Horrible shooting pre-ASB, finally found his stroke for 45% post-ASB, and Hornets need another perimeter guy and facilitator. Should be OK, low upside.
Nik Stauskas, PHI SG 0.415 0.810 1.5 10.0 2.3 1.9 0.5 0.2 1.8 28 If the Sixers start Wroten, they’ll be in desperate need of Sauce Castillo to bury some treys, and I think his bad FG% last year was in too small a sample/inconsistent PT.
Nikola Mirotic, CHI SF/PF 0.410 0.810 1.5 14.5 6.6 1.4 0.7 0.8 1.9 28 In an uncrowded rotation and a guaranteed 30+ MPG, he’d approach the 50s. Per-36s 18.1/8.8/2.1/1.2/1.2 with 2.2 treys and only 1.9 TO in his rookie season, and even though he makes a great fit at the 4 next to aging centers, I don’t think you can approach him valued too much higher, although it’s very likely someone in your draft will reach to try to look like the smartest person in the room. Bu
Nikola Vucevic, ORL PF/C 0.510 0.745 0.0 20.0 10.5 2.1 0.8 0.7 2.0 34 Some look at his low steals and blocks for a big and dismiss him, but was 22nd in per-game last year due to high-volume FG% and a good FT% for a big, Fits a lot of builds earlier than you would think.
Noah Vonleh, POR PF 0.450 0.745 0.9 10.5 6.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.4 24 Second half could be very interesting for the stretch 4, but it looks like it’ll be a good ways out until they unleash the youngun.
Norris Cole, NO PG/SG 0.415 0.730 0.9 9.0 2.0 3.4 0.8 0.2 1.4 24 Looks like a lot of PT is coming his way with the Jrue news. Not very special, but anyone with the upside for PT at PG is worth a look in this range.
Omer Asik, NO PF/C 0.525 0.595 0.0 7.5 10.0 0.8 0.4 0.7 1.3 26 Should give you another season of 25-26 minutes, 8/10 with almost a block. Meh.
Otto Porter, WAS SF 0.440 0.730 1.1 10.5 6.0 1.4 1.2 0.6 1.2 32 1.6/1.1/0.8 AST/STL/BLK last year in per-36s show some limited upside, but he’s going to play a boatload of minutes. Worth a shot.
P.J. Tucker, PHX SG/SF 0.440 0.745 1.2 11.5 7.1 1.6 1.4 0.3 1.3 34 Put up 11.3/7.4/1.5/1.4/0.3 with 1.1 treys post-ASB last year, and has a little additional upside with Kieff possibly forcing his way into a trade. Sneaky value at wing.
Patrick Beverley, HOU PG/SG 0.410 0.780 1.7 8.5 3.2 2.7 1.0 0.3 1.2 26 Originally had him 199, but with PG thin and still a pretty solidified role, can chip in some 3PTM/AST/STL as a streamer or a late pick in deepers that will be overlooked. Lawson is one final setback away from not playing ever again either.
Patrick Patterson, TOR PF/C 0.455 0.760 1.3 9.0 5.8 2.1 0.8 0.5 0.8 28 How the Raptors play their big men has been a big topic of discussion in the comments, and while I don’t see PIt-Pat playing huge minutes, I think he gets to 28-29 after 26:20 last year, and he finished top-100 in 9-cat metrics.
Patty Mills, SA PG 0.425 0.840 1.4 9.0 2.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.8 20 Really struggled off the shoulder surgery last year, should see a bump in minutes with Cojo gone and a better team – starters to sit a good bit.
Pau Gasol, CHI PF/C 0.480 0.780 0.1 17.0 9.8 2.8 0.3 1.5 1.9 32 Of course he’s very unlikely to replicate 14-15, but he was 13th in per-game/7th in overall value. This rank already builds in some regression, and he should have the minutes scaled down a tad with no Tibs to hopefully keep him healthy.
Paul George, IND SG/SF 0.420 0.820 2.1 19.5 7.4 3.2 1.7 0.3 2.8 34 Even in his best season, he wasn’t a first-round fantasy value. I was wrong! He was 11th in total value in 13-14, I apologize to Mr. Green, the commenters, to the George family, to the world. While I don’t see quite an 11th finish again, I do expect a very strong return; although poor FG% and TO for a wing do have to be addressed with your team build.
Paul Millsap, ATL PF/C 0.475 0.755 1.2 18.0 8.0 3.2 1.8 1.0 2.3 34 Under appreciated for three seasons now, he should see another small step forward in the perimeter game with DeMarre Carroll out of town. DOWN – Tough playoff schedule has a very minor tweak here.
Paul Pierce, LAC SG/SF 0.440 0.795 1.5 11.5 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.2 1.3 26 Yawn times two. Should get one last season of nice run with some treys, but you can’t expect a healthy season or big minutes.
Rajon Rondo, SAC PG 0.420 0.550 0.3 8.5 4.4 6.7 1.3 0.1 2.8 28 Speaking of worth a shot, I’d be fine with the gamble on Rondo at this point outside the top 100. Maybe he starts hitting his FT and gets the dimes to come way back, worst case you drop him a few weeks in.
Raul Neto, UTA PG 0.385 0.700 0.2 4.5 1.0 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.9 12 Slim vehemently disagrees, but I think Neto is a solid player and brings the exact opposite as Trey Burke – facilitating and good defense. They would never start a raw player over Burke who fits that description… Oh wait, they did it last year! Deep, deep sleeper.
Reggie Jackson, DET PG/SG 0.440 0.830 1.1 17.5 4.5 8.6 1.0 0.2 3.2 34 I’m suspecting he could be a buzzy draft pick a few spots higher (edit – Yahoo pre-ranks have him 102 – what the hey?!), but his popcorn trip-dub stats get a little overvalued as he is low in 3s and steals with fairly high TO.
Ricky Rubio, MIN PG 0.380 0.800 0.7 10.5 4.6 8.9 1.9 0.1 3.0 32 This is the last time, Ricky! Still only 24, I could see some dynamite games with the dimes as he leads an explosive offense with great steals. Just needs to stay healthy… Gasp… Rubio… Healthy…
Robert Covington, PHI SG/SF 0.405 0.820 2.5 15.0 4.7 1.8 1.4 0.6 2.2 32 In 49 starts last year, 15.2/5.0/1.7/1.6/0.6 with 2.7 treys. FG% is an issue with how many deep balls he shoots, but should start all year as the starting 3. Locked in a starting job and on virtually any other team, he’d be higher. Some Philly risk here since you never know what these schlubs will do.
Robin Lopez, NYK C 0.540 0.780 0.0 11.5 8.7 1.1 0.3 1.6 1.2 32 HE’S AWFUL AT BASKETBALL! That’s all the blurb he gets.
Rodney Hood, UTA SG/SF 0.430 0.770 1.4 10.0 2.7 2.0 0.7 0.2 1.0 24 Solid as a fill in last year, going 12.7/2.8/2.4/0.9/0.2 with 1.6 treys in 21 starts, but tough to see a 12-team usable role out of the gate.
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, BKN SF 0.395 0.690 0.3 5.5 3.6 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.9 18 With SG such a revolving door last year, maybe RHJ can sneak in as a big starting SG… Not banking on it, but some decent defensive stats should be there either way.
Roy Hibbert, LAL C 0.450 0.785 0.0 11.0 7.4 1.2 0.3 1.7 1.8 28 Burke and Hibbert have both been failures on the opposite ends of the starting line-up the past few years, but maybe 2nd-half-collapse-Roy can do enough to warrant value this late. Blocks should be OK again, terrible boards from a guy his size and a bad FG% make him tough to own at times.
Rudy Gay, SAC SF/PF 0.450 0.825 1.1 19.5 5.6 3.1 1.1 0.7 2.2 34 I imagine I’ll have several shares of Gay stock with this rank, as his inherent boring-ness is going to be overlooked. Career year in 14-15, big boost in AST, should see another boatload of O with Rondo not doing much shooting.
Rudy Gobert, UTA C 0.585 0.650 0.0 12.0 12.5 1.8 1.0 2.9 1.8 34 Monsieur Elbow! Steiffel Tower! The Big French Nickname! Going to provide crazy big man stats, with an acceptable FT%. Way above the true ‘FT-punt’ bigs. UP – If I’m missing the top-10, I feel dirty not having a top-end big or PG, and Rudy is my favorite of those positions. I’ll reach.
Russell Westbrook, OKC PG 0.440 0.820 1.2 23.0 6.3 7.5 2.0 0.3 3.9 34 Westbrook’s 2nd half was one of the most unreal post-ASB runs we’ve ever seen, but obviously with Durant back, those unreal dimes and a good chunk of shots are going away. Up a few spots in 8-cat, that’s for sure!
Ryan Anderson, NO PF/C 0.415 0.860 2.2 14.0 4.9 1.0 0.5 0.3 1.0 28 Injuries have taken their toll, but he can light up a ton of treys out-of-position and nab a couple boards. If we knew he’d be healthy all year, he’d probably be in the top 100.
Serge Ibaka, OKC PF/C 0.515 0.810 0.7 15.0 8.0 0.9 0.5 2.7 1.5 32 Blocks have fallen 4 straight years from 3.7 to 2.4, I don’t know how many treys he takes with Enes Kanter taking so many mid-range opportunities and Durant back. Swats should improve a tad, FG% certainly to go up from last year.
Shabazz Muhammad, MIN SG/SF 0.475 0.730 0.5 13.0 4.1 1.2 0.5 0.2 1.1 24 Like LaVine, a ton of minutes will open up for Shabazz when K-Mart is moved, likely at backup wing. Great numbers as a starter last year at 15.6/4.9/2.0/0.5/0.4, with 1.1 treys and a nice 2.8-3.4 FT volume.
Stanley Johnson, DET SF 0.420 0.725 0.9 11.0 5.8 1.4 1.2 0.5 1.4 28 Let’s get some sexy rookie hype! Put up a gaudy 16.2/6.8/2.0/1.8/1.0 slash in 5 appearances in summer ball, with minimal TO and hitting 57.7% from the field. Can play multiple positions – initially off the bench – but some saucy upside.
Stephen Curry, GSW PG/SG 0.480 0.900 3.5 24.5 4.3 7.8 1.9 0.2 3.3 34 I have a feeling he’s going to be a consensus 1 or 2 – still very close between these top 3 – but there’s some concern to the minutes as Golden State blows the scrubbos out.
Steven Adams, OKC C 0.550 0.545 0.0 8.0 7.2 0.8 0.6 1.2 1.2 24 Ugh, love the player, hate the rotation. Love the stash, hate the minutes smash. No…?
T.J. Warren, PHX SF 0.480 0.740 0.1 12.5 3.5 1.1 0.8 0.3 1.4 26 Markieff Morris is still there, but if he gets moved and the Suns don’t get a SF, T.J. could get a starting role. His fantasy game is still a little limited to PTS though…
Terrence Jones, HOU SF/PF 0.515 0.625 0.7 13.5 7.8 1.3 0.7 1.7 1.4 30 68th in per-game last year, starting only 24 of 33 games. As a starter – 13.5/7.6/1.1/0.6/1.8 while shooting 55%, making 0.5 treys, and only 1.3 TO in 29 MPG. Only knock is FT%, but volume is low. So much upside here.
Thaddeus Young, BKN SF/PF 0.475 0.665 0.5 14.0 6.1 1.7 1.4 0.3 1.5 30 Tough season for the Impaler in 14-15, and it looks like the treys are mostly gone and his FT% became catastrophic. Come for the out-of-position steals, stay for the nickname.
Tim Duncan, SA PF/C 0.505 0.735 0.0 12.5 8.9 2.8 0.6 1.7 1.5 28 The falling off a cliff hasn’t happened yet, even though everyone has predicted it the past 5 years. 21st in per-game last year, Aldridge and missed games drop him to this point. I could actually see feeling pretty good lucking into him by the 6th. DOWN – Already with the worst coach for fantasy, now the Spurs have one of the worst playoff schedules. Pass.
Timofey Mozgov, CLE C 0.565 0.720 0.0 10.5 6.8 0.8 0.4 1.2 1.5 26 Healthcare.Mozgov was solid last season, but he plays such low minutes… He’ll be fine, but offers no upside.
Tobias Harris, ORL SF/PF 0.465 0.800 1.3 17.0 6.2 1.6 1.0 0.6 1.5 34 True multi-cat contributor, maybe his best asset is the easy-to-find points, but hits all cats with low TO. Plays a ton of minutes as well. Just has to keep the ankles taped up.
Tony Allen, MEM SG/SF 0.485 0.640 0.1 8.0 4.3 1.5 1.6 0.3 1.3 26 A steals-only specialist, he peaked to 2.0 per last year. More in the streaming class, but can fit a lot of builds as a last pick.
Tony Parker, SA PG 0.480 0.780 0.5 14.0 2.0 5.0 0.5 0.1 2.0 28 Dump the ball to Aldridge for a deep mid-range, to Kawhi on a drive or Duncan for a bank shot, it’s a nice combo of teammates to have a solid AST season in 70 games.
Tony Wroten, PHI PG/SG 0.405 0.650 0.8 14.5 2.8 4.9 1.4 0.2 3.3 28 Polar opposite player, Wroten is off a partially torn ACL and might not even start. Then there’s the awful %s and TO. I expect him to take less 3s since he’s awful from deep, but then again Noel and Okafor are paint guys for a really weird offensive outlook. Given PG has dried up, I’d take a last-round flier and see what happens.
Trevor Ariza, HOU SG/SF 0.415 0.820 2.3 13.0 5.9 2.7 1.8 0.3 1.7 36 Shot 37% from the field for a little over half of 13-14, but turned it around and adds elite-wing steals to a low-TO game. A little boring, but solid.
Trey Burke, UTA PG 0.390 0.780 1.8 12.0 2.4 4.4 1.0 0.2 1.7 30 Exum’s torn ACL has given Burke yet another chance, but we haven’t seen him run with a starting PG job yet in his career. Worth a late round gamble pick.
Tristan Thompson, CLE? PF/C 0.495 0.650 0.0 8.5 7.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 26 Contract isn’t quite settled, but his unusability in 12ers is. Maybe a sign-and-trade with Phoenix!
Ty Lawson, HOU PG 0.440 0.770 1.0 13.5 2.6 6.1 1.0 0.1 1.9 28 If he slides this far, I think there’s value. Main risk is yet another off-the-court incident, but here’s to hoping he can turn his life around. Should get at least a little run with Harden and the starters, then all the 2nd unit mins.
Tyreke Evans, NO PG/SG 0.440 0.745 0.7 16.5 5.2 6.0 1.2 0.5 2.9 34 Can still be useful when Jrue is healthy, popcorn stats are pretty – high TO, low treys, and a scary FT% last year not so much… UP – Jrue’s incredibly terrible hit with how Nawleans plans on using him benefits the Reke.
Tyson Chandler, PHX C 0.630 0.710 0.0 10.0 10.5 1.0 0.5 1.1 1.3 30 I get the boring-ness, but he’s consistent and I think has a smidge of upside on the high-tempo Suns. Especially if there’s no Kieff…
Victor Oladipo, ORL PG/SG 0.440 0.820 1.3 19.0 4.3 4.3 1.8 0.4 2.8 36 Took some convincing from Slim to get him top-50, but should play a ton of minutes and contribute in a lot of areas. I wish he had a few less TO and wasn’t more a pure-SG, plus I think he’ll be overdrafted with some buzz. Not a great deep shooter at the eye level (33.9% out there last year even seems high).
Wesley Matthews, POR SG/SF 0.435 0.800 2.3 15.0 3.2 2.4 1.0 0.2 1.4 32 I didn’t think he’d make it top-100 coming off such a major injury and the Mavs clearly stating they’ll be cautious, but the talent pool is just too thin to not take the flier. If he lasts this far, you’ll have to exercise patience until the second half.
Willie Cauley-Stein, SAC C 0.490 0.620 0.0 8.5 5.8 0.8 0.9 1.9 1.0 26 Seems most likely to come off the bench behind Kouf or a stretch-4 Gay, but regardless, his defensive stats should be awesome. Bad FT% and low points will be tough, especially in an inconsistent MPG role.
Wilson Chandler, DEN SG/SF 0.425 0.770 1.8 14.5 5.8 1.8 0.7 0.4 1.5 32 The Nugs paid him to play, but I don’t see much of a change to his 85th in per-game numbers last year, No Lawson gets negated by Gallo commanding shots a whole year and Mudiay not drawing the same defensive pressure.
Zach LaVine, MIN PG 0.430 0.845 0.6 8.5 2.3 2.9 0.6 0.1 1.7 20 Dynamic upside, might not see good minutes until K-Mart is dealt. Will be impossible to hold in a 12er for the whole first half, but is the oft-injured Rubio’s backup as well.
Zach Randolph, MEM PF/C 0.470 0.765 0.0 16.0 10.1 2.0 0.8 0.2 2.2 32 Boring, but 1.0 STL was his highest since 09-10 and 48.7 FG% highest since 10-11. Those aren’t reasons to project upside, but indicate he’s not going to incrementally deteriorate trying to be the same exact player.
Zaza Pachulia, DAL C 0.460 0.770 0.0 9.0 7.0 2.5 0.9 0.3 1.9 26 Out-of-position nice AST/FT%, in-position bad boards and blocks. Could fit a lot of builds as a backend C though…
  1. Michael says:
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    Hey JB,

    I got number 3 pick on my draft (9 cat roto)

    who would you pick:
    D cousins
    Klay thompson
    Jimmy Butler
    J Wall

    I am thinking of cousins or wall what do you think?

    • Michael says:
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      @Michael:

      btw i have 3 keepers already:
      i kept
      Lillard, Noel, Giannis

      • Michael says:
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        @Michael:

        and also i think the first pick and second pick will most likely grab cousins.

        i am not a big jimmy butler nor klay thompason fan so i would love for you to share your opinion

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Michael: Yeah Cousins is tough in roto given out of position awful TO in 9cat. Wall is in the same boat, especially since Lillard expects to go up in TO, and Noel and Giannis are both 2+ guys. I’m going Klay, he fits roto so well

  2. Slimbo says:
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    8 team keeper

    Trying to get Gobert and Towns….is giving up Klay Thompson, Teague and Monroe to much? I can’t keep those 3 anyways and towns would be the 1st pick

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Slimbo: Hmmm, so they aren’t keepers for you but become keepers for that other team? Only concern is you’re making that team soooooo much better. But yeah for you, non-keepers to secure a #1 pick I’m fine with.

  3. Thunder from Down Under says:
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    Hey JB. Thanks for all the preseason articles has been great to read! My first questions for the year for you!

    I have pick number 1 in an 8 cat (no TO) roto league with only 8 players in it. I am tossing up between Brow and Harden and was wondering if you could aid my decision? I am worried if i miss on Harden will be facing an uphill battle to try and secure assists and steals, as it will be a point guard heavy opening to the draft. In 8 cat does Harden go above Brow? I love his FT percentage and volume!

    I do have picks 17 and 18 on the wrap around so may you suggest some draft options/players to really maximise the start of my draft?

    Thanks JB from Down Under.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Thunder from Down Under: Thanks for reading! Good to see ya!

      Yeah it’s still close since I love Brow, but yeah give me Harden. Taking out his TO makes him crazy good.

      If Bledsoe is still there at 17 I would love him plus a big man. Definitely taking a big there though with one of those picks, depending on who is there.

  4. Kiwi says:
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    Hi JB, thanks for all the effort you lads have put in with the rankings and article. Has made a very rushed preseason for me a lot less stressful!

    So my league drafted Sunday, and the results are a definite mixed bag (Likely the result of staying up all night watching the Rugby World Cup and drafting early morning as a result of global time differences haha).
    We are 8 cat (no TO) Roto, 12 Team, Auction draft ($200)
    My team is as follows:
    $67 DMC
    $41 Gobert
    $37 Bledsoe
    $20 Conley
    $8 Monroe
    $6 Ariza
    $5 T.Young
    $4 Covington
    $4 M.Turner
    $4 D.Collison
    $1 K.Marshall
    $1 J.Anderson
    $1 B.Wright

    My strategy was to get an elite Big and an Elite PG, but couldn’t pass up on Gobert once I got into a bidding war. The result means I left myself a bit short on PG and assists. I’m stoked with Bledsoe but after that I really lack depth. I slightly overpaid for Conley as he was one of the only decent PG’s left on the board. Collison could be value if things don’t work out with Rondo and I’m desperate for Marshall to eventually get the starting gig in Philly. Other than that I’m reasonably happy. Not sure why I drafted Wright but could be worth the $1 if he gets decent PT in Memphis as the 1st big off the bench. He’s always been productive in low minutes. If anyone decent pops up on the waivers, he will be the first to go. At the moment Hood is available and may be worth a pick up, as well as Bjelica once he gets added to ESPN. Both could be worth the pick up but not sure how they’ll fit into my team at the expense of Wright. I’m also looking at offering up one of Young or Covington as a trade, in order to get some Assists.

    Other than that, I am itching for the season to start so I can see how my team plays out. Any advice you could offer up would be greatly appreciated mate.
    Thanks and keep up the good work!!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Kiwi: Thanks so much! Glad we could help out!

      Whoa yeah that’s definitely busy! DMC is money in 8cat. Lovvvvvvve that Bledsoe value. Yeah not a huge Conley fan this year, but that’s still a pretty good buy. Wow, Ariza at $6!

      I love Covington, but even with your awesome bigs for FG%, his FG% is a little worrisome next to Ariza. Keep an eye on Raul Neto who looked decent for low-end dimes in preseason, might start. Whoa Turner at $4?! Your bigs are crazy!

  5. kai says:
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    cool! is it possible to download this at all? i think it would be interesting to run the numbers and see where the rankings and the projections disagree.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @kai: Thanks! Ummm, I still have to run that by the higher-ups, lemme ask

      • NYFantaC says:
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        @JB Gilpin: I concur.. an excell file would be fabolous

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @kai: @NYFantaC: Yeah I would like it too, just the higher-ups don’t like downloadable stuff they want people coming back to the site, but still working on it 🙂

  6. Scott says:
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    How much did Slim pay you to delay this article until after his RCL draft? 😉

    • CTMN says:
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      @Scott: Hahaha were you in the draft with us? If so what team?

      • Scott says:
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        @CTMN: After the draft, I changed my team name to Harden Knocks, coz I picked him.

        • Scott says:
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          @Scott: How’d you do?

          • CTMN says:
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            @Scott: My team was called Views From The Steph but I picked AD #1 instead of him so I changed it to Internet BROWser.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Scott: @CTMN: Haha Slim ain’t gotta pay me anything to be lazy! But in all seriousness, I was slow getting around asking for help putting it together. Good luck in his league guys!

              • Slim

                Slim says:
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                @JB Gilpin: Team Brow is scary. Petty easily the too team I think. Team Harden is strong, just a fairly high amount of injury risk.

                • Slim

                  Slim says:
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                  @Slim: *pretty *top

                • CTMN says:
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                  @Slim: Thanks Slim, I’ll admit I definitely got a lucky though with the #1. I might need some wings though.

            • A Hill O' Beans says:
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              @CTMN: I’ve got Hungry Hungry Hippos in that draft. My punt points team is ridiculously ugly, but hopefully it works.

  7. MindiCohn says:
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    Hey all…
    My H2H league is contemplating switching from categories to Pts based, using something similar to Draft kings.

    My question for all is (a) thought on Pts if anyone has done and (b) if so, what’s your scoring system?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @MindiCohn: I personally much rather categories, it takes a lot more nuance and makes it a team-based game. pts is just kinda boring to me haha.

      • A Hill O' Beans says:
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        @JB Gilpin: agree with JB that I find points pretty blah. Give me the many layers of categories.

  8. DK says:
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    Hey JB. I have the 10th pick of another 14-leaguer. What do you think of my mock? I believe Lillard should fall to me. The thing is I am not sure if I should pair Lillard with Draymond/Millsap/Kawhi (Draymond is almost certainly available) or pair Lillard with true bigs like Gobert/Ibaka/Marc/Pau (whoever’s available). I am pretty sure I can get Favors for my 3rd round. From there on, it is quite standard pickings.

    1. Damian Lillard (Por – PG)
    2. Draymond Green (GS – SF,PF)
    3. Derrick Favors (Uta – PF,C)
    4. Goran Dragic (Mia – PG,SG)
    5. Terrence Jones (Hou – SF,PF)
    6. Isaiah Thomas (Bos – PG)
    7. Joe Johnson (Bkn – SG,SF)
    8. Myles Turner (Ind – C)
    9. Jordan Clarkson (LAL – PG)
    10. P.J. Tucker (Pho – SG,SF)
    11. John Henson (Mil – PF,C)
    12. Stanley Johnson (Det – SF)
    13. Justin Anderson (Dal – SF)

    • CTMN says:
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      @DK: I might go Millsap. If he’s there in the 2nd round, he gives you elite steals from a big to balance out Lillard’s lack of steals at PG. Millsap still gives you big man categories with his solid rebounds and blocks, and some bonus assists and 3s. You’ll hav pts/rebs/asts/stls/blks pretty solid, with a good FT% start because of Lillard. It’s really just the FG% that’s a problem, but that’ll struggle with Lillard almost no matter who you pick 2nd.

      • DK says:
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        @CTMN: for a 14 leaguer, pick 10, in all my mock Millsap is usually gone. Gobert too. Ibaka sometimes. So it is left with draymond or some other bigs.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @DK: @CTMN: @DK: I personally love Lillard/Gobert combo, they fit each other so well. If he’s gone, they’re razor close, I’m leaning Draymond for H2H plyoff sched.

          • DK says:
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            @JB Gilpin: Wouldn’t a better Big replacement be Ibaka instead of Draymond? So Lillard+Ibaka.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @DK: While Ibaka is closer to player-type as Gobert, I think he lacks in rebounding/FG% upside and is older and off an injury, I think his risk drops him below Dray as I have them ranked.

  9. Jenny says:
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    Hey JB, thanks for all the work so far. Been following the blog pretty closely for my draft that occurred last night. It’s a regular 12 team, H2H 9 cat league. My biggest regret was taking Teague over Wiggins, as I thought I needed a solid PG, since I couldn’t pass up Gobert or Draymond Green in the 2nd/3rd round. Thoughts on any categories I should be worried about/anyone I should target in a trade?
    1. (6) LeBron James (Cle – SF,PF)
    2. (19) Rudy Gobert (Uta – C)
    3. (30) Draymond Green (GS – SF,PF)
    4. (43) Jeff Teague (Atl – PG)
    5. (54) Goran Dragic (Mia – PG,SG)
    6. (67) Chandler Parsons (Dal – SF,PF)
    7. (78) Elfrid Payton (Orl – PG)
    8. (91) Gorgui Dieng (Min – PF,C)
    9. (102) Jordan Clarkson (LAL – PG)
    10. (115) Myles Turner (Ind – C)
    11. (126) Alec Burks (Uta – PG,SG)
    12. (139) John Henson (Mil – PF,C)

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Jenny: Thanks for stopping by! Wow yeah with Dragic falling to 54, Wiggins there at 43 would be crazy! And Elfrid at 78!

      FT% is definitely somthing that sticks out, Henson if he plays well early will hurt there along with your top 3. But your FG% is crazy good. Love Myles Turner there late. FT% is about the only main negative I can take away, very nice draft!

  10. NYFantaC says:
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    Best draft strategy for H2H 9 Cat 16 TEAMS!! ?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @NYFantaC: Definitely getting high-end PG and C but that’s the same in really any draft. I would emphasize those stats for sure and certainly avoid the wings. With your final picks, get rookies or high-upside young guys rather than the boring role players.

  11. A Hill O' Beans says:
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    Hey JB, if you’re still looking for teams to dissect on your pod feel free to have a look at my first RCL team. I had the 11th pick and missed out on a number of guys in the middle that I was hoping to get like Aaron Gordon and Danny Green. Overall it is the ugliest team I’ve probably ever drafted, but since I was punting points (!) I guess the sexy goes away real fast.

    PG – Rubio (5)
    SG – Redick (8)
    G – G.Hill (6)
    SF – Kawhi (1)
    PF – Vucevic (3)
    F – Dieng (7)
    C – Gobert (2)
    C – Whiteside (4)
    UT – Smart (9)
    UT – Noah (10)
    B – J.R.Smith (11)
    B – Bogut (12)
    B – Iguodala (13)

    I think this team should be dominant in REB, BLK, STL, TO, FG% (even with Rubio), and compete in AST and maybe 3s (THRAGNOF) and possibly FT% some weeks. You only need to win 5 right? I’ll admit I was hoping to be a little better in AST and 3s but just missed the guys who would have helped me. I don’t think I’ve ever punted points before, but at the turn with Kawhi and Gobert I thought what the hell.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @A Hill O’ Beans: Cool, yeah man we’ll talk on the Pod! Yeah def is a punt points team haha. Yeah I think you need one more AST source, a lot of eggs in Rubio’s basket haha

  12. Dorian says:
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    Heya JB! Thanks for the spreadsheet, it is making my offline draft a little easier in my Madness league. Though, we’re all playing for second or stacking somethings in a prayer to win.

    Remember how I said that guy who had Durant, Davis and LeBron had 5 picks in the first 20 after trading LeBron and Durant away? Yeah, turns out I forgot he got his own two Madness picks back. So he had 7 of the first 20.

    If I could nab 7 of the first 20 picks, I think I might trade LeBron and Durant too.

    This is his current team:
    G – Chris Paul
    G – Eric Bledsoe
    G/F – Gordon Hayward
    G/F – Nicolas Batum
    F/C – Anthony Davis
    F/C – Nerlens Noel
    F/C – Nikola Vucevic

    I’m not sure how I’ll be able to combat it. This is what I’ve built so far:
    F – Draymond Green *keeper*
    F/C – Andre Drummond *keeper*
    F/C – Kenneth Faried *first*
    C – Rudy Gobert *keeper*
    C – Myles Turner *second*

    Should I go all in on rebounds? Or should I still attempt assists? I could do either or when my turn comes around. And yes, I realize I went a little soon on Myles Turner (probably more of a 3rd rounder in my league), but I did not think he would make it to my time up. Also, I liked him the more I’ve seen of him.

    I’m tempted to draft Jonas, even though I wouldn’t be able to use him full time.

    Oh, scoring is 8 cats (no TOs), 14 teams, daily H2H Cats=Wins, and roster is 3G/3F/C/U/3B.

    Thanks as always for replying. Also thanks to the rest of the Razzteam on other articles as well. I don’t always respond, but I do read quite a lot. You guys do amazing work.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Dorian: Man, your league is definitely madness! So many early picks! Man, in 8 cat it’s so hard not having good G depth. What guards are on the board to try and start evening out?

      Any time man! Really appreciate it, yeah we’re growing a really nice team these days, all thanks to them!

      • Dorian S. says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Thanks for the reply JB. It is me again, just put the initial back on for my last name. Didn’t realize I left it off.

        As for guards, there’s still a good slate of them. Ricky Rubio, Bradley Beal (hopefully), Mudaiy (sp, sorry), Wade, and such, but I’m still waiting about 20 picks before I get a crack at those guys. However, my options for assists weren’t looking too good before and probably after.

        I’m probably looking at going guard for the next while (maybe, might squeeze in one more really nice forward/center), but I’m thinking I may need to draft someone like Danny Green again (I wouldn’t mind around the sorta mid rounds like now) and say bye to assists.

        • Dorian says:
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          @Dorian S.: *sigh* And Rubio is now on his team. Whelp. Guess I’m playing for second now.

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
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            @Dorian: Yeah Rubio was definitely the guy to get there, sucks he fell through… Yeah I might go Green too, I think he’s your best value, and either punt dimes or trade for some…

            • Dorian S. says:
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              @JB Gilpin: Yeah, there are a couple of a guys I can still go for, but I’m not exactly looking forward to those guys.

              Unless I get lucky when it hits my turn.

              • JB Gilpin

                JB Gilpin says:
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                @Dorian S.: Maybe some nice sleepers will fall through the cracks…

  13. OldMilwaukeePounders says:
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    JB,

    Whats good, homie?? It feels like its been forever since last NBA season…in my 12 team H2H league (no TOs)…here are my keepers:

    Curry, Paul, Hassan, George.

    The Dray Dray owner in this league has stated that he is open to trading him…would you do George for Dray Dray with that group or hold?

    Thanks bro!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @OldMilwaukeePounders: What’s good man?! Hah yeah, well with baseball keeping me goin fantasy never seems to sleep!

      I think I’d go ahead and make the deal. Even though with Hassan it makes FT% a little worrisome out of the gate, I think you get a surer bet. Any time!

  14. Phranque (pronounced Frank) says:
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    Hi Brain Trust…
    In one of my leagues I got A.D. in the 1st Rnd, but am weak at PG. I’ve got a buyer interested in giving me WALL & DRUM for AD & TOBIAS. I’m planning on doing it….unless the muses on the Right Coast tell me …IxNay on the AdeTray. Thoughts?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Phranque (pronounced Frank): Hah yo! Tough to deliver with that nice an intro! Hmmmm I’m kinda leaning Ixnay. I know Wall helps PG depth, I just think Brow could easily be the fantasy MVP and the biggest winning asset. He was pretty much doing that most of last year before some nagging injuries.

  15. Filipino Fantasy Fanatic says:
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    Just had my first draft last night, and boy it was nice to get that first draft of the year done already. I lucked out and got the LAST pick haha. Being the last picker on a competitive 14 team 9cat H2H draft, I knew I had to come up with a good punting strategy to overcome that disadvantage – and here is the team I came up with.

    By Pick:

    Gobert
    Jordan – when I picked DJ all of the managers were like “damn you, there goes all the rebounds and blocks 😛 ”
    Ariza – reach? I planned to pick Favors but he was sniped up just before me. But Ariza gives me elite 3s and STLS.
    Danny Green – perfect for my build. I know at this point I knew I had to punt AST already with FT% as there will be no way to win AST without losing in TOs.
    Gortat – was choosing between him and J-Val, yes Gortat is the boring pick but he’s also the safer one.
    Mirotic – was contemplating on picking Gallo here, but boy the 1/1/1 potential is real.
    Aminu – couldn’t let another team beat me to another potential 1/1/1 guy. he’s a bad FT% as well so he fits my build.
    Mccollum – needed a PG, IT2 was my first choice but of course he was gotten before me. I didn’t want to go for Dragic earlier also as I will miss out on Danny Green.
    Ed Davis – because I missed out on Terrence Jones earlier. 3 Blazers on my team – is that a bad thing?
    Markieff – everybody was avoiding him along with DRose haha but I feel he’s a great get at this point (10th round).
    Pat Beverley – he’s a PG that doesn’t dish out assists but has steals and 3s. I feel that I should’ve gotten Lou Will or Bradley instead.
    Marcus Morris – needed some 3 point shooting.
    Chalmers – needed some steals, and Tony Allen was gone way way early. Will drop him for the first hot free agent.

    There you go. So in essence, I punted FT%/AST but this team is downright dominant in REBS/BLKS/FG%/TOs/STLS/3s and moderate in PTS. It was not a perfect draft, but being the last picker really is tough. Was looking to punt AST first but Millsap and Kawhi were gone before pick 14, and those two are imperative for that build so decided to go another direction.

    In the end I am satisfied though with this team and am looking to defend my championship!

    Thoughts?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Filipino Fantasy Fanatic: Ugh yeah last pick is tough!

      Wow, interesting team. Although I certainly would’ve gone Gallo before Miro. He’s got a much more certain role and I think way outscores Miro. I still don’t know if you’re dominant enough in treys, but you can stream some there.

      As a non-punter, I think this squad is solid and those first 4 cats are a lock win every week, I just think the lack of guards will make STL and 3 a little shaky too. Let us know how it works out!

      • Filipino Fantasy Fanatic says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        It really is the combination of Gallo’s scary injury history and the versatility of Mirotic that pushed the latter over the former for me. Mirotic went nuts after the ASB last year and with Dunleavy starting the year on the sidelines, I feel that he can produce special numbers right out of the bat. Yes his best position is still PF alongside Gasol, but the upside is definitely there.

        With the 3s, I just feel that McCollum and Mirotic will more than compensate for it this year. Both are capable hitting 2 a game. I can always stream a Gerald Green off the waiver wire if ever. I missed out on Stauskas with my last pick for the 3s. Ariza, Green, McCollum, Mirotic and Marcus Morris should be enough for the 3s. Pat Bev and Markieff can hit a few as well.

        For steals – same thing. Aminu and Mirotic should come up with more steals this year. That’s why I’m confident I can be dominant in steals as well.

        Yes, will definitely let you know how this turns out.

        Razzup!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Filipino Fantasy Fanatic: Well, if you’re going to site Mirotic going nuts post-ASB, you brought it to the wrong argument. Gallinari was a top-10 player post-ASB!

          Looking fine missing on Stauskas now, eesh hope his leg thing doesn’t turn out to be another Jrue… Agree 3s can be streamed. But I’d be shocked if those two combine for 4 a game.

  16. MAC says:
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    RAZZUP guys?!!! been a while. well, there goes my last pick in our league jb, mkg done for the season. we all know your rankings bro, i want to ask slim bout his rankings on pgs, bigs and wings. maybe a top 15 for each? haha!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @MAC: Hah yeah rough one there… Hah I’ll point Slim to ya!

      • MAC says:
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        @JB Gilpin: tnx bro!!! anyways, scrap that rankings question, il just ask slim his thoughts on when is he gonna get his first wing in the draft and who is it ur targeting? right now, im looking at getting 3 pgs 2 bigs in the first 5 ronds. so maybe il get my 1st wing in the 60-80 range. but when im doing mock i tend to finish up my pg runs there getting my pg4 then getting bigs again in the terrence jones dieng lopez range. what are the implications of getting wings late? tnx

        • Slim

          Slim says:
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          @MAC: With a late pick in my RCL I went Wall, Millsap, Favors, Dragic, TJones, (Blocks were gone and I wanted upside. I wish this was a wing but it’s a big for me.) Ellis (not a PG but not a wing entirely.) Then Covington at 82. I felt pretty good about it.

  17. JG

    Dj says:
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    With MKG out, it’s reported that Batum moves to the SF slot. SG now by platoon? Jeremy Lamb worth a flier for time at SG and SF? Or do you think they do more of Kemba/Lin combo?

    Thinking of swapping Otto Porter for Lamb. Porter has the playing time for now but have more competition at the slot vs Jeremy Lamb who only has PJ Hairston and Jeremy Lin at SG and Marvin Williams as Batum backup although I see them using Marvin Williams as a stretch 4 when Big Al is on the floor more than SF.

    Would love to get Slim’s thoughts on this too.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Dj: I just wrote the intro to an update out in a few hours, and I don’t want any of these guys. If I had to guess, I think Lin plays the most, maybe doesn’t start, but plays backup PG and most of the ending SG minutes. I’d definitely hold Porter.

      • JG

        Dj says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Thanks for the prompt reply! How many assistants do you have? It’s almost 2AM ET

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Dj: Haha not enough assistants! Nah I work a main job, then Razz in weird off hours haha.

  18. Lasandro says:
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    Razzup beautifuls! So firstly @Slim @JB Gilpin, Silicon Valley S2 has been highly entertaining! Have you guys gotten onto Narcos yet? Discuss further on pod.

    Speaking of pod-worthy discussions, feel free to talk about the team I just mock drafted in a 10-teamer. May not be noteworthy though, as I feel I was extremely lucky to draft the players I did in the middle rounds. In order (5th overall pick):
    LBJ
    Lillard
    Gobert
    Bledsoe
    Horford
    Favors
    Payton
    Gallo
    T Jones
    Clarkson
    M Turner
    McCollum
    W Chandler

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Lasandro: Hah Razzup man! Yeah Silicon Valley is awesome! Still not to Narcos yet… Soon!

      Can you re-comment this on today’s Pod when you get a chance? We just scroll through those comments for reviews so we don’t forget anyone 🙂

      See you tomorrow for the REL!

  19. hisXLNZ says:
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    Razzup fantasy freaks! Got this from a 12 team, 14man roster, 9 cat h2h league….how do u think my lineup would fare? Still got 4 rounds coming up in a few days, most of the managers are busy and our skeds are a lil eratic….so also need to know which stats would I be in jeopardy, thinking its ft% and TO…..

    1.(12)Kevin Durant  (OKC – SF,PF)2.(13)Paul Millsap  (Atl – PF,C)3.(36)Dwight Howard (Hou – PF,C)4.(37)Kemba Walker  (Cha – PG)5.(60)Danny Green  (SA – SG,SF)6.(61)Monta Ellis  (Ind – PG,SG)7.(84)Brandon Knight  (Pho – PG,SG)8.(85)Giannis Antetokounmpo  (Mil – SF,PF)9.(108)Jonas Valanciunas  (Tor – C)10.(109)Emmanuel Mudiay (Den – PG)

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @hisXLNZ: Razzup man?! Whoaaaaaaaaaa whaaaaaaaaaaaa????????? Durant fell to 12?!??!!??!?! Although, Dwight was picked way too early for 9 cat 🙁 he hurts in way too many places. Odd draft you got some good values. AST aren’t terrible, but man Mudiay and Dwight are going to kill you in TO and FT%, yes as you mention. And even with Dwight, FG% could be tough with Kemba/Mudiay/Knight

      • hisXLNZ says:
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        @JB Gilpin: got yah man…. I felt the need for reb at rnd 3, where I should have picked a pg I feel….well hopefully dwight wont take too many fts and to the ball as many this yr with better ballhandlers in their team now….might be trading him over…. half of our league is composed of rookie managers and half of the half who are vets are worried about KD’s foot….well its the last pick for the round, why wont gamble on the former fantasy no. 1….hehehe! We will have rnds 11 to 14 to resume our drafts, who can help me better with these? WCS or Bogut for C, Afflalo or bigdanovic for the wings, and for playmakers, collison or burke? TIA

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @hisXLNZ: Also hurts Dwight’s blocks have taken a nose dive.

          Yeah that KD pick could win you the league! Well of all those, Collison is the clear first pick. Burke might not starts. I’d get Bogut for help now, but he’ll be hurt sooner than later. Def Afflalo at wing. Any time!

  20. Dr. Sauce says:
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    Hey Guys,
    Moving from a head to head points league to head-head roto style. A couple of questions;
    1. 8 cat or 9 cat? why? I have heard some argue that 8 category is truest form, but seems like turnovers should be included … thoughts?
    2. Currently we have a 10 man starting lineup; 2 of each position. What is the standard starting lineup for a roto style league? How many bench players? Just trying to get an idea …
    3. Keeper question; roto and points a lot different. The league I reference above is a keeper league, curious who you might keep given move to head to head roto style. Keep 4 of the following; Harden, Lebron, Kyrie, Draymond, Ibaka, Howard, Whiteside and Reggie Jackson. Keep in mind I do get a free rookie keeper … my rookie is Nikola Mirotic. I could simply reference your rankings above but does roster construction and age play any part in this … My initial thoughts are Harden, Lebron, Kyrie (given that it is a keep forever league) and either Draymond or Ibaka … what do you guys think?
    Thanks in advance … appreciate any and all feedback.
    Cheers!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Dr. Sauce: Awesome, nice change! Love categories much more.

      1. I don’t know who would claim “truest”, but yeah I like 9 cat. Both have merits, but a guy with a bajillion TO shouldn’t be rewarded for it with them not counted.
      2. Yahoo standard is 10 started and 3 bench, but it’s PG/SG/G/SF/PF/F/C/C/UTIL/UTIL, but with 2 of each position it’s about the same. Depends on how deep you want benches, I kinda like 5 over Yahoos 3, cuts down on streaming a little.
      3.Sure, yeah age is factored a little. But with only 4 keepers, it’s still gona be your best guys more often than not. Damn nice group! I like Harden/LeBron/Dray Ibaka.

      Any time!

  21. Slimbo says:
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    In a 8 team keeper I’m trying to get gobert

    He wants leonard from me…would you do that deal?

    We keep 8

    Current team is Leonard, Griffin, Thompson, Whiteside, Bledsoe, Oladipo, Teague, Conley, Jefferson, Ariza, Mirotic, Monroe, Middleton and dieng

    Thoughts?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Slimbo: Yup! Really like Kawhi, but Gobert is younger and I have him ranked higher. Big man isn’t a huge need but I’d still do it

  22. Slimcompoop says:
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    What’s good JB? Just beginning to emerge from my two-week hiatus from fantasy sports. I owe you many thanks as I religiously followed your pitching rankings when managing my pitching staff en route to our keeper league’s championship.

    I’ve been following hoops during the off-season but just starting to crunch numbers for the upcoming season in our 10-Team, H2H, Keeper League. It’s a strange league scoring-wise, in that, any given matchup, you only take a starting players top three statistical categories out of points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks. For example, if Drummond goes for 20pts/20reb/2ast/2stl/10blk, you’d only count up the points, rebounds and blocks in scoring it 50pts overall.

    Anythehoo, my league is downsizing from 12 to 10 teams and voted to change our league rules along the way reducing keepers from 10 to 8. Some sort of competitive balance mumbo jumbo, but I think it’s just a plot to keep the reigning champions from going back-to-back. That means I have some tough decisions to make and/or trades to pursue. Here’s the keepable guys on my roster: Walker, Oladipo, R-Jax, DeRozan, Leonard, Draymond, Drummond, DeAndre and Favors. I hate to say it cause the dude’s been on my team for so long, but my original thought is to cut DeRozan and keep the other eight. Maybe I’m overvaluing Walker and R-Jax as well. What do you think?

    I’ve been looking for a 2-for-1 trade and got an fledgling owner with Gobert who could use some depth. Thinking DeRozan and Favors for Gobert and a later pick. Thoughts?

    Appreciate all the work you do. Have a great weekend!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Slimcompoop: What’s good man?! Hah yeah it’s a whirlwind right now! Thanks so much glad they helped out!

      Aha yeah you told me about this league last year right? Yeah def making that deal! Love Gobert this year, and his peaks in REB/BLK will be crazy in your league. DeRozan is nice for the Pts but yeah he doesn’t get the other categories.

      Thanks again, hope you had a good weekend as well!

  23. Andrew Ringer says:
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    Hey I just found this site and really like a lot of the intel you guys have on fantasy basketball this year, just thought I would share a few of my thoughts on your player rankings. I think Wiggins will put up similar stats to a player like Derozan in his second year, so I’m wondering what made you choose to rank them more than 60 spots apart. I agree that Wiggins will probably shoot a higher fg%, but I think Derozan helps your ft% equivalently (I’m not very high on Derozan for fantasy btw, even though he’s my favourite player in real life :P).

    I’m also wondering what you think about having a player like Reggie jackson or Kemba walker as your first point guard. Is it worth it to reach for a player like Lowry in the third if somebody like Draymond or Paul George is still available? I usually like to take the best player available in the early rounds if it is somebody that I feel has slipped too far and doesn’t hurt the players I’ve already drafted, but I’ve sometimes noticed that it leaves me scrambling later on in the draft. Thanks.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Andrew Ringer: Glad you found us, welcome to Razzball!

      Haha yeah we’ve had the discussion in the comments a few times, but I think Wiggins has the upside to get to 24 PPG and 1 steal and 1 block per. Well, maybe not the blocks, but it helps hammer it home they’re going with LaVine starting over Kevin Martin, Wiggins should hit 3s as well. DeRozan had a major injury last year, and his AST:TO and 3PTM took big steps backwards.

      I always like to get PG early, I would tend to advise against that. Although, def would get Dray or Green ahead of Lowry if they’re there. Most of the issue with those PG first if your 2nd then 3rd all tend to be so much worse too haha.

  24. Kris says:
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    Yo, JB, Slim! What’s up, Razzball?!

    Hey guys, it’s been what? 4 months since the finals. 5 or 6 months since the fantasy finals. Won it, my friends. 20-team-pot-league. All thanks to you guys! HAHA!

    Would you think you can have a solid update before October 18? This year I have two 20-team-pot-league to participate at. Need your help again guys.

    AHA!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Kris: Yo what’s good man?! AWESOME! Nice work last year!

      Yessir update will be up in an hour or two, wrapping it up now! ranks 100-200 are driving me nuts though haha

  25. bucabrera says:
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    I’d like to extend my eternal thanks to JB and Slim for maintaining this site and helping
    us with our NBA fantasy pursuits.

    Anyway, to cut to the chase I need advice on my 14 team 9-cat roti league. Unfortunately, I’m the last pick (14th). I’m next in line to pick two players for the 5th and 6th round.

    These are my first four picks:
    1. Klay Thompson
    2. Paul Milsap
    3. Monta Ellis
    4. Marcin Gortat

    I think I need another guard to bolster my backcourt (assists, steals, 3’s, FT% etc.)

    Available picks for the 5th & 6th rd are:
    1. Elfrid Payton
    2. Brandon Knight
    3. Trevor Ariza
    4. Jrue Holiday
    5. Andrew Wiggins
    6. Demar Derozan
    7. Bradley Beal

    or do i need another big?
    Available picks are:
    1. Robin Lopez
    2. Jalil Okafor
    3. Joakim Noah
    4. Terrence Jones
    5. Tyson Chandler

    What do you guys think?? The 5th and 6th round are very crucial for me to win the tournament. Thanks for the help.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @bucabrera: Thanks to you for reading man, we just love our hoops!

      Lovvvvvve Klay in roto, surprised he fell. But yes, another guard is a top target for me, over the bigs. Whoa, GET WIGGINS! He’s a shoe in. Then I’ll go Elfrid Payton, I think you have enough FG and FT% volume to help there, and I think he improves in those cats, plus you have no big TO guys so you can take his 2.5-3ish a game. Good luck this year!

      • bucabrera says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        I just followed your top rankings for my first 2 picks sir JB. I was also surprised no one got him (Klay) early. Just talked to the commish. Got Payton and Wiggins. Hope they have a big/break out year. FTW!!!

        Thanks again man. Much respect from the Philippines.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @bucabrera: Awesome man, looking good! Wiggins is going to be fantastic. Looking like a good team so far. Any time, really appreciate it!

  26. JohnnyBBall says:
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    Why isn’t David Lee in the top 200?

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