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Manu Ginobili broke his shooting hand and may be out as many as six weeks. Groin punch! If you drafted him, his penchant for injury is why you hesitated before doing so. And don’t act like you didn’t hesitate. You were well warned. Here’s what I told you three weeks ago, “When healthy, he’s a great asset. But you’ve got to factor in his past health issues and you gotta factor in his age. That’s what’s called Manufactoring. It’s a troubled industry here in the States.” And here’s what I said a week before that, “I’ll draft him across all leagues, he’ll miss three months and I’ll be right. My teams will all sink into the pooper, but I’ll be right. Huzzah! For the rest of you, don’t assume he’ll play 80 games again …” And here’s what I said seven months ago, “Turns out Manu’s health wasn’t a factor at all. Or it was a total factor. I guess it depends on whether you owned him or not. I’m still gonna sell high on him next season.” I don’t own him anywhere. He kept getting drafted a round or two before I was willing to grab him. Did you listen to me? If you didn’t then, do it now and grab James Anderson, whose per36 average this season has been 14/5/2.5. If Ginobili’s out, I expect him to average somewhere near that. Or for the Spurs to be very, very bad until mid-February. Or both. Here’s some more fantasy basketball junk for your brain.

Dorell Wright – If going 0-4 against the defenseless Suns is wrong, I don’t want to be Wright. He’s shooting .308 on the season, but he’s a .441 career shooter. Buy low on him now, ’cause it can’t get worse than this.

Dominic McGuire – 14/9/2, with a steal as he stepped in for the hospitalized David Lee. I don’t think Lee will miss any more time and I really don’t think McGuire is worth an add, but if you’re in a deep league with an open spot in your roster and Lee misses another game, then, maybe you should kind of start to consider it. I heart caveats.

Markieff Morris – 16/9/2, with a three in 32 minutes. One the one hand, it was against the Warriors. On the other hand, he went 15/6, with 3 3ptm two nights ago, as well. On the third hand that you borrowed from a friend without telling him what he was getting into, Channing Frye double-doubled and hit a three of his own last night, so this looks to be as good as it gets for Markieff right now.

Amir Johnson – Ended with 5/3/1, despite the solid shooting percentages (.500 last night, .667 this season). He’s not playing poorly, so much as he’s just not part of the team’s offense. He blocked four shots last night, and four in the previous four, so you can’t drop him. But dude better bring the rest of his teammates some donuts or something to get on their good side.

Rasual Butler – 13/10, with 3 3ptm in 37 minutes. “It was against the Knicks! Without Amar’e! And New York doesn’t play defense anyway! The Raps needed all the gunners they could muster! That won’t happen often! Please believe me!” - Desperate James Johnson, who lost some minutes to Butler last night,  to his legion of fantasy owners. Geez. Chill out Desperate James Johnson.

Ed Davis – In his last four games, Big Ed has scored no more than four points and grabbed no more than six rebounds. In his last four he’s averaging 17 mpg / 2.3 pts / 3.5 rbds. Having said all that, I’d hang onto him. His USG% is less than 13, meaning he’s just not a part of this team’s offense. I’d give it another week or two to see if Toronto figures out a way to incorporate him. When he’s on the floor, he’s playing solidly. This is an adjustment period and a disappointment period, not an abandonment period.

Toney Douglas – Douglas: “How many more weeks ’til Baron’s healthy? Four? Oh, word? Bet.” 22/4/4, with 4 3ptm. Bibby: “Yeah, how many more weeks ’til Baron’s healthy? Four? Oh, word. Bet.” 0/3/0. Bibby: “Wait, what were we talking about?” 

Greg Stiemsma – After stuffing two more shots starting for the Celtics last night, the Boston rookie is tied for fourth in the league in blocked shots (12 total / 3.0 per game average). He’s a 26-year-old rookie who came from the D-League, so you’ll excuse me after I a) burp, b) fart and c) suggest that this type of production won’t continue. That said, riding such production until it collapses like the horse at the end of “True Grit,” won’t cost you anything if you’ve got a deep league and an open spot. Ultimately, he’s not multifaceted enough to realistically remain in this lineup, even if the only better option is an oft-injured Jermaine O’Neal. I will suggest you at least stream Stiemsma for Wednesday’s game against the Humphries-less Nets.

Tracy McGrady – The Houston Rockets version of T-Mac hopped into the DeLorean and scored 16 points on eight shots, including three treys. He also grabbed a sports almanac and forced Biff into a dump truck full of manure before heading back to 2005.

Marvin Williams – 8/3/1. Marvin doin’ Marvin, again.

Jason Richardson – He’s scored fewer than five points in half his games. With the exception of last night’s contest, he’s always taken somewhere between 8-14 shots. He only took four Monday. I’m worried. I’m calling his mother and we’re meeting for tea and biscotti tomorrow to figure out what’s gotten into him.

Danny Granger – Shooting .341 on the season (30-for-88). This is why I hate owning Danny Granger. I mean he had 3 3ptm, 2 stl and 2 blk to even things out last night and if this were Jason Kidd, you’d have no problem with this line. Then again, if this were Jason Kidd, you’d have drafted him four rounds later than you did.

Kris Humphries – His sore left shoulder kept him out last night and will probably keep him out Wednesday. Sheldon Williams‘ forehead is the add, but he really won’t be much of a factor even if you do.

Lamar Odom – 8/5/2, in 20 minutes. That beeping sound you hear is either a faint trace of a pulse from Odom’s heart monitor or the grocery store cashier ringing out his Sunday-Wednesday candy supply.

Carlos Delfino – 14/9/3, with 3 3ptm, 3 stl and 2 blk. Who told him he could do that. Skiles? Did Skiles tell him he could do that? Mike Dunleavy certainly didn’t.

Trevor Ariza – Left with a groin strain, which almost sounds fun. Considering Ariza didn’t return, for all we know, it was. Screw it. I’m just going to assume it was. We won’t really know the extent of the strain until either later today or tomorrow. Al-Farouq Aminu is the add, but you won’t want to do that until you know the extent of Ariza’s, um, groin fun.

DeMarcus Cousins – Playing tonight, but not starting. I’d be equally bummed if I owned J.J. Hickson or Cousins.

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  1. barker says:
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    18 team league

    just dropped ebanks for stiemsma last night

    should i drop stiemsma for mbah a moute

  2. Eng says:
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    Is Andrei Kirilenko 100% staying in Russia all his season and therefore droppable? Reports all say so but I want to check what your intuition tells you about whether he may appear. Thanks bud, keep up the good work.

  3. Sarah Palin Rice says:
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    10-team H2H standard 9-cat league, non-keeper

    Would you drop Hickson, Blair, or someone else for James Anderson and/or Maggette?

    PG- Rose (PG)
    SG- Afflalo (SG)
    G- Holiday (PG)
    SF- Granger (SF, PF)
    PF- Amar’e (PF, C)
    F- Bosh (PF, C)
    C- Hibbert (C)
    UTIL- Odom (SF, PF)
    UTIL- Jennings (PG)

    Bench- DeRozen (SG, SF)
    Bench- Hickson (PF, C)
    Bench- Louis Williams (PG, SG)
    Bench- George Hill (PG, SG)
    Bench- DeJaun Blair (PF, C)
    Bench- Evan Turner (SG, SF)

  4. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @barker: Depends on need. Stiesma’s better for blocks, but little else.

    @Eng: Yup. He’s gone all year. Drop him freely.

    @Sarah Palin Rice: I’d drop Turner or Hickson.

  5. Pingback: Give Me The Rock » Blog Archive » Day 9 of 124: One Tough Break

  6. ringo says:
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    Would you drop TOney Douglas for Gerald Henderson? (I didn’t accept that trade for DOuglas, at least I haven’t yet heh, i just have him in another league)

  7. booya says:
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    Chalmers, Pargo, Sessions, Ridnour, D West or James Anderson?
    Need assist help most and then 3pt next after that I think.
    Thanks

  8. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @ringo: Sounds good to me. It really seems like D’Antoni’s just biding his time until Baron Davis is healthy.

    @booya: Ridnour or Sessions. You pick ‘em.

  9. Eng says:
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    Thanks, Adam. One more: would you have to be out of your mind to trade your Hibbert for his Okur?

  10. Eng says:
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    Or Hibbert for his Turkoglu?

  11. PB&J says:
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    UGH! I own Manu and he joins Blopez on my bench til Feb. My team is going down in flames.

    Any advice is much appreciated. Here is my team. It’s a 10-cat roto, and the extra category is 3pt%

    PG – Tony Parker
    SG – Afflalo
    G – Devin Harris
    SF – Carmelo
    PF – David Lee
    F – Gordon Heyward
    C – Pau Gasol
    C – Emeka Okafor
    Util – Gerald Henderson
    Util – Richard Jefferson
    Bn – Tiago Splitter
    Bn – Jordan Crawford
    Bn – Manu INJ
    Bn – Blopez INJ

  12. Ryan says:
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    In my 14 team h2h keeper league, we keep 5. Anyway I was offered igoudala for chandler and george. I think this is steal, but maybe a bit risky to do. What do you think I should do?

    14 team h2h keeper

    pg stephen curry
    sg dorrell wright
    g jameer nelson
    sf kevin durant
    pf carmelo anthony
    f paul george
    c amare staudamire
    c tyson chandler
    util cj miles
    util evan turner
    bn greg stiemsma
    bn mehmet okur
    bn andris bierdrins

  13. Moses says:
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    Hey man. Dorrell Wright was just dropped. Would you use #1 waiver on him and drop Beasley? or Okur? Or Jerebko?

  14. Moses says:
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    or Marvin Williams…sorry

  15. mindicohn says:
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    12 tm 8cat.
    would u drop james johnson or ed davis or hickson for markeef morris or richard lewis( that’s my nickname for rashard)
    Thx

  16. Jeff says:
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    Hi Adam,

    Do you think Dorell Wright will bounce back or should he be dropped? Do you think Lou Williams will continue this kind of production all year?
    Drop Boris Diaw for Paul George or Carl Landry or keep him?

    Thanks!

  17. theguarantee says:
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    An owner in my league got sick of Evan Turner already and cut bait. I put in a waiver request for him dropping James Johnson. Kind of similar players, good move?

  18. theguarantee says:
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    Oh, and is James Anderson a better option than either/both of them?

  19. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @Eng: I rarely diagnose the mental stability of others, but I wouldn’t prefer any Turkish pro over Hibbert.

    @PB&J: Drop Splitter and pick up the closest available player capable of Manu’s production. How deep is your league? It’s hard for me to project who MIGHT still be available.

    @Ryan: Yeah. Do it. Worst case scenario (for you) Paul George becomes the next Durant. At least you already have the current Durant. I prefer to own guys producing over guys who may one day produce.

    @Moses: I’d drop Okur first of the players you listed. How competitive is the league? Or more specifically, how important is the No. 1 waiver priority?

    @mindicohn: Hehe. Larry David will be so confused the next time the Wizards play the Lakers at the Staples Center. … What was the question? Oh, right. Drop either Hickson or Davis for Morris.

    @Jeff: Wrote about Wright a little in today’s post. I think he’ll bounce somewhere between where he was last season and where he is now. Lou is playing slightly above his head. I like Diaw better than the other two.

    @theguarantee: Meh. Not a terrible move. I like Johnson a bit more than both. Anderson is almost completely untested. I’d prefer either of the other two, at least until we see more from a starting Manu-less Anderson.

  20. Moses says:
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    @adam

    well how good is Dorrell Wright really. Its a 12 team league. I don’t anticipate great guys to wind up on teh waiver wire. waivers are only 1 day.

  21. Tony says:
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    Im in a deep league, 18 teams, i dont have a center, considering dealing my $29 David Lee for a guys $26 marc gasol? What do you think? We dont draft til this weekend still! I might even throw him a few bucks to make up the diff in salary (like $4?), he also owns Javalee mcgee at $16, so i doubt he’s moving him, but it leaves him with a center still… Centers going back in the draft: AMARE, horford, nene, tyson chandler, then your bums camby, kaman, and some young fliers…..cant buy one of the big centers and afford a elite Forward. pick and choose i guess.

  22. Ryan says:
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    Thanks. Do you think my team will be able to stay strong after losing chandler. My other bigs would be amare okur bierdrins stiemsma…ugh. Still do the deal?

  23. Robert says:
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    Thinking about trading Derozen for Noris Cole and Shawn Marion, I have D.Wade at SG as well. What do you guys think?

  24. Jay says:
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    Who do you think will be more productive, Dudley or Delfino?

  25. Moses says:
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    I think I’m gonna wait out the waiver and hopefully steal him if no one grabs him

  26. Moses says:
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    Actually might drop Okur for Amir Johnson who is on waivers til tomorrow, then probably Marvin Williams for Wright if I can get both. Only 3 moves per week though.

  27. PB&J says:
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    @Adam: My league is 12 teams, 14 man rosters.

    My WW has guys like Delonte West, James Johnson, T-Mac, Norris Cole, Luke Ridnour, Mo Williams, World Peace; and somebody just dropped Ariza.

  28. PB&J says:
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    @Adam: also Rudy Fernandez, Jimmer Fredette and OJ Mayo were all recently dropped.

  29. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @Moses: I’m fairly confident he’s better than his start to this season, but worse than his final stat line last season. Your moves sound good to me. Good luck!

    @Tony: If you’re willing to part with an elite PF, why not go after one of those more elite centers you listed (Horford, Amar’e) instead of settling for GasHole?

    @Ryan: I’d be more confident if Amar’e wasn’t on the shelf right now. Hadn’t considered that in my comment earlier. I still think it’s a good deal, but I would suggest making your next project to bolster your PF/Cs.

    @Robert: What categories are you trying to improve with your team?

    @Jay: Lookin’ like Delfino.

    @PB&J: I like Johnson, Cole, Mo, Ariza and McGrady in that order.

  30. Gigantic Phil says:
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    With Gary Neal being activated from the D-League, I’m thinking he has more value than Anderson. I’m not wrong for wanting to drop the untested 2nd year player for Neal, especially if I’m hurting for 3’s, right? Right?

    Oh the glory of early season micro-managing.

  31. Robert says:
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    @Adam:

    We are a H2H League with scoring awarded for rebounds assists etc etc. I think Cole has a lot of upside esp if he gets the start eventually but Derozan seems to be doing solid so I am up in the air. I have Jrue Holiday at the Point and I only have some waiver fodder at sf so Marion would help there, but im worried about his consistency as well.

  32. Eng says:
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    @Adam: Haha, thanks man I’ll follow that advice.

  33. Jay says:
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    Hickson or Gortat? I like Hickson’s versatility but think Gortat is a better shotblocker?

  34. George Costanza says:
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    Adam! You’ve got to help me! I took Tyreke Evans with the 25th pick in my draft! I know.. I know! But I had the number one pick and it was the tail-end of my back-to-back!

    How long would you tolerate his lack of production? How much would you expect to get for him? Lawson? Evans and Harden for Wall, or even CP3?

  35. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @Gigantic Phil: It’s a toss-up. There’s a reason Neal was in the D-League and Anderson wasn’t. Go with your gut.

    @Robert: … Especially when (WHEN) Odom becomes a bigger factor and bumps Marion’s production. I’d prefer DeDe.

    @Jay: Gortat. I want no part of Sacramento bigs right now.

    @George Costanza: Sacramento’s quickly turning into a mess, but Wall (and D.C.) feels like trading one set of problems for another (wall’s shooting and turnovers are atrocious). Send out some feelers. If you can get someone like Lawson, I’d bite.

  36. wongy says:
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    Hi, great stuff, love your site.

    Just wondering who would be a better pick up off the wire out of James Anderson or Richard Jefferson?

    Also should i be moving CJ Miles along when there are guys like Sessions on the wire?

    Thanks.

  37. Rob says:
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    Drop Jeff Teague for Ben Gordon? I don’t know much about Teague, but people keep telling me that he’s worth keeping for his upside. However, I’m getting murdered on 3’s, and Gordon would help there.

  38. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @wongy: Thanks! I’d prefer both Jefferson and Sessions to Anderson and Miles.

    @Rob: I’d rather have Teague’s upside and overall value, but if you’re desperate for threes, Gordon is certainly the better of the two options.

  39. Robert says:
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    @adam thanks for the help :D Ill sit on Derozen for now.

  40. Shawn says:
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    would you trade Lowry for Russell Westbrook, keeper league – i already have rondo and Tyreke Evans Dhoward.

  41. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @Shawn: Probably not, although I’d consider it more now than I would have six months ago.

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