To you who are reading this post, I love you all. To those who aren’t, I hate you. Good thing those people will never see that. I don’t care if you are just a hoops junkie, need something to pass the time when on the can, or if you love/hate my work. You’re here and that’s all that matters. It’s been a long journey, but alas…sniff sniff…the end is here. There are a few upside players here that could definitely make a leap in the rankings, but for the most part, this post will be populated with specialists and “use in case of emergency.”
Here are links to:
151) Jaylen Brown
Brown is going to take a huge leap this season. My bad. With Avery Bradley gone, he should start and soak of a lot of the shooting guard minutes. I can also see him playing some 3 when Stevens elects to go small. Brown is super athletic, can post up smaller guards, and has a decent J. How much he plays will probably depend on how well he can defend and shoot the 3. The range of minutes will likely be wide as a result. 22-30 mpg?
152) Marcus Morris
I totally overlooked some Celtics players. Probably has something to do with me being a Lakers fan. Anyways, Morris should be higher. I do think his stats will be similar to last year. Maybe a few less field goal attempts, but a touch more assists. Man, I can’t wait to see what Stevens has in store for the Celtics O. There are so many shooters that the floor is going to be spaced so well.
153) JaMychal Green
Green hasn’t officially signed yet, but all indications point to a two-year deal to stay in Memphis. With Zach Randolph gone, Green could see an uptick in minutes from the 27 mpg he received last season. Per 36, he posted 11.8 ppg, 9.3 rpg, 1.4 apg, 0.8 spg, and 0.6 bpg. He shot 50% from the field and 38% from three- land. Not bad. Not bad at all.
154) Donovan Mitchell
I’m a fan. Mitchell can shoot, create his own shot, and is physical so he won’t get punked. What I most love, though, is that he’s a dog on D. My all-time favorite player was Michael Cooper so….Here’s Mitchell against Tatum in Summer League.
Right after that, this…
Mitchell looks like he’s going to be in the rotation, but what happens if Hood gets hurt again? Cha ching! I’m drafting Mitchell late in all my drafts.
155) Lauri Markkanen
I was not a fan of Markkanen throughout the whole draft process. Then he ended up in Chicago, which looks to be a dumpster fire this season, and I completely dismissed him. With that said, Markkanen has been straight balling at EuroBasket, where he’s been going up against plenty of NBA guys. We all knew he could shoot and be an asset in the pick-and-pop game, but he’s been showing more. Post moves, tip dunks, driving past defenders, and using the dribble to take it to the hoop or pull up for a mid-range J. The most impressive thing for me, though, is the mental makeup. The moments are not too big for him and he’s not backing down from anyone. I’m definitely very optimistic about his future. Unfortunately, the Bulls are going to be terrible.
156) Norman Powell
Stormin’ Norman is very athletic and knows how to put the ball in the hoop. Unfortunately, the Raptors have a better version in DeRozan. There’s been talk that Powell could start at small forward. His main competition is Miles, so he will probably come out on top. The Raptors may want Powell to be the man on the second unit, though. I’m going to rank him as if he starts.
157) Alan Williams
Big Sauce should get some run this year, as Tyson Chandler will probably get traded. Chriss is rumored to play some 5 this year and Dragan Bender will be in the mix, but Sauce could see around 20 minutes per game. The team just gave him a three-year, $17 million deal and he gives the Suns a tough, physical presence inside. If Chriss does mentally combust, then Big Sauce could get the taste buds working. Per 36, 17.6 ppg, 14.8 rpg, 1.4 spg, and 1.6 bpg. Holy smokes!!! If he gets a ton of minutes, he’s going to be one of the best values of the draft.
158) Enes Kanter
Enes is the big man version of the “Microwave.” He’s asked to score and score he does. 14 points on 10 shots in 21 minutes per game. He’ll also chip in around seven boards. Don’t expect anything else though.
159) Skal Labissiere
Why did the Kings sign Zach Randolph again? Let the kids play! You say they want veterans to teach the young pups? Is Randolph the right mentor? Anyways, Skal oozes with potential. At 6′ 11″ and 225 pounds, he can do it all. Per 36, he put up 17 ppg, 9.5 rpg, 1.6 apg, 0.9 spg, and 0.8 bpg. He shot 53% from the field, 37% from three-land, and 70% from the free throw line. Too bad he won’t get a full run of minutes.
160) Ersan Ilyasova
Ilyasova is a big man that can shoot the three and will probably start at power forward for the Hawks. I just don’t see him starting for long, though, as I’m a John Collins believer. With that said, Ilysova will still get some minutes and he has the ability to put the ball into the basket. He’ll also grab a few boards, but that’s about it.
161) Malik Monk
Monk was one of my favorite prospects in the draft. He’s an elite shooter, super athletic, and has a high basketball IQ. Unfortunately, he did not land in a fantasy friendly situation, as Nicolas Batum is ahead of him on the depth chart. I’m hoping…praying…for a Kemba/Monk/Batum lineup. It’s possible, so there’s potential upside.
162) Tony Snell
Good job Chicago Bulls. You traded away Snell for MCW, who you subsequently released. Snell’s a very good shooter, as he shot 40% from three-land last season. The Bucks have surrounded Giannis with shooters at every position. Bulls, take notes.
163) J. R. Smith
J. R. and Snell are fantasy siamese twins. Can you spot the difference between the two?
164) Mason Plumlee
Plumlee is a restricted free agent right now, but I’m thinking the Nuggets get a team-friendly contract hammered down soon. As many out there have cited, the 2018 free agency class for centers is stacked: DeAndre Jordan, Brook Lopez, Enes Kanter, DeMarcus Cousins, Clint Capela, Greg Monroe, Jusf Nurkic, Derrick Favors, and Nerlens Noel. Simple supply and demand. Plumlee is an athletic big man that can score, rebound, and block some shots. He won’t get a ton of minutes playing behind Jokic, but Denver is a ripe situation to be in.
165) Cody Zeller
I still think Zeller is a better option at center for the Hornets over Dwight. With that said, money talks and bullshit walks. As long as Dwight is healthy, I don’t see Zeller getting the same minutes as last season. It’s too bad because he’s very athletic, runs the floor well, has a high IQ, and sets good screens.
166) Dejounte Murray
With Tony Parker out for a while, Murray is going to get a bump in minutes. He could start, as Pop likes Patty Mills running the second unit. Murray is an intriguing player. He’s 6′ 5″ and shot 39% from three-land last season. Per 36, he put up 14.5 points, 4.7 boards, 5.4 assists, 0.9 steals, and 0.7 blocks. Not bad.
167) Juan Hernangomez
The Nuggets are very deep, but Juancho is slated to back up Chandler at the small forward position. An uptick on the 13 mpg he received last season looks very good. Juancho is 6′ 9″ 230 pounds and moves very well for his size. He’ll grab some boards but his calling card is his J, as he shot 45% from the field and 40% from three-land. Have I mentioned that I love the Nuggets O this year?
168) Yogi Ferrell
My boo DSJ can’t play every single minute. I think Yogi does soak up the backup point guard minutes, though. Yogi shot 40% from three-land last season, dished out 4.3 apg, and pilfered 1.1 spg. I’m a fan of Yogi because he’s tough, has a chip on his shoulder, and slogged his way up from the D-League. Minutes are going to be tough to come by though.
169) Courtney Lee
With Tim Hardaway Jr. in town, there’s no way Lee gets the 30 mpg he received last season. He will soak up the backup minutes and could play in the backcourt with Timmy together at times. Lee shoots the three-ball well, will accumulate some boards and steals, and get you some steals.
170) Jahlil Okafor
I’m not a fan of Okafor…
That is just pathetic. With that said, he knows how to put the ball in the bucket. He’s behind Embiid and Holmes on the depth chart, but I’d be shocked if Embiid gets anything close to a full work load. Okafor will have his moments during the season. There’s also a chance he gets traded, which could elevate his value if he gets any sort of consistent playing time.
171) Kelly Olynyk
Olynyk is now in Miami after spending his first four years in Boston. He’s a big man that can shoot the 3. When the Heat want to spread the floor and get some offense in the game, Olynyk should see minutes at the 4 and 5.
172) Patrick Patterson
I like Patterson on the Thunder, as he provides more spacing for Westbrook. The issues with PP, though, are 1) health and 2) minutes. He had his knee scoped in early August and will be re-evaluated sometime around the start of the season. If healthy, his competition is Jerami Grant and Nick Collison, so he could soak up most of the minutes. It’s just tough to see him getting a full load.
173) Kris Dunn
Dunn is not good, at least offensively. Sure, he’s flashed glimpses in Summer League games, but that doesn’t mean squat if you can’t do it in The League. Defensively, he’s very good and he should be starting for the Bulls. Checks depth chart. Jerian Grant. Yeah, he’s starting. I’ll put it to you like this. There’s a dead guy zipped up in a body bag at the morgue. There’s another guy lying in a hospital bed on life support. Obviously one has a much better chance of speaking than the other. That’s what choosing to draft Dunn in fantasy is like.
174) Jonathon Simmons
Simmons showed what he can do last year, especially in the playoffs. Now in Orlando, he was “promised” more minutes. He’s versatile so he can play multiple positions, but how many minutes will he actually get? I have doubts that Simmons will make a significant contribution. Even if he does get more minutes, Simmons just doesn’t contribute enough in the ancillary categories.
175) Milos Teodosic
Watching tape of Teodosic is so fun. The guy is a magician with the ball.
The Clippers are loaded in the backcourt, so how many minutes will he realistically see? His defense is non-existent and, while he was a superstar in Europe, there are question marks to how he will stack up here. I love his game and think he will be fine, but I have no confidence that Doc Rivers will give him a lot of playing time. Gotta get Austin plenty of run! Anyways, as Viz mentioned in the pod, assists are a treasured commodity and Teodosic could potentially be a nice source.
176) Josh Jackson
All about upside here. The minutes are going to be tough to come by, but the Suns play at such a high pace that it may not matter. Plus, as the season wears on and the losses mount, he may get more and more run. An off-the-wall thought pertains to Chriss. What if he does mentally combust? Low probability, but if he does, Jackson could benefit.
177) Taj Gibson
Taj is reunited with Thibodeau, so you know he’s going to get consistent minutes. There’s limited upside here, but a very solid floor.
178) Caris LeVert
Need some steals and some threes? LeVert is your man. Playing for the Nets is a fantasy goldmine. Unfortunately, Russell is probably going to soak up most of the minutes at shooting guard so he’s capped.
179) Mike Muscala
No Dwight and no Millsap should mean more minutes for Muscala. While I think he gets more than the 17 minutes he got last season, I don’t see much more than 20. Per 36, Muscala almost went 1/1/1 with seven boards and 12 ppg. That’s not bad for a big man.
180) Jayson Tatum
Tatum looked really good in Summer League. His offensive game is so mature. With that said, gotta see how he fares against tougher competition. My main concern with Tatum is how many minutes is he going to get?
181) Jarrett Allen
Allen missed the Summer League due to a hip injury, but all indications are that he’s ready to go. The Nets love to push the pace and Allen is an athletic big man that can run up and down the floor. AND, Timofey Mozgov is ahead of him on the depth chart right now. Allen is raw, doesn’t have the highest IQ on both O and D, and lacks physicality. With that said, Mozgov sucks.
182) Ish Smith
Smith filled in admirably last year for Reggie Jackson, but his minutes should come back down with a healthy RJ. Smith could contribute some assists, but he’s a career 29% shooter from three-land.
183) Ramon Sessions
Sessions is slated to start at point guard for the Knicks. That is so gross. Frank Ntilikina will probably get more minutes as the losses mount. Until then, Sessions will be a true “break in case of emergency” player.
184) T. J. McConnell
T. J. is a good player. Someone you want on your real team. If he plays 26 mpg like last year, then Everything is not Sunny in Philadelphia. Oh, and he also has nice hair.
185) Matthew Dellavedova
They call him Outback Jesus. Does anything else need to be written about the guy? Like McConnell, a better real life player than fantasy player.
186) Kyle Korver
Time to go 3-point shooting. Korver was second in the league for 3-point field goal percentage last season. Pau Gasol was first at 53%. Ha! What a world. Anyways, with Lebron setting him up, he should be among the leaders in 3-pointers again.
187) Danny Green
Green won’t give you as many threes as Korver, but he’ll provide more boards, assists, steals, and blocks.
188) C. J. Miles
Miles is now in Toronto and will compete with Norman Powell for the starting small forward spot. Miles is one of the true three-point specialists in the game, as he literally does not contribute in any other category.
189) Evan Turner
ET doesn’t shoot the three-ball well, but will chip in some rebounds and assists. Man, I thought Turner would be star coming out of college. Oh well, you win some you lose some.
190) Kenneth Faried
I’ve always appreciated the Manimal’s game. He used to always destroy the Lakers with his hustle. Unfortunately for him, the Nuggets are super deep, so it’s going to be tough for him to get minutes. With that said, he was able to rack up 11 double-dubs last year, playing only 21 mpg.
191) Jon Leuer
More than likely, Leuer will start at power forward for the Pistons, as SVG likes bringing Tobias Harris off the bench. That means Stanley Johnson could start at the 3. There is the possibility that Leuer backs up Drummond at the 5. I think he starts and will project him as such. Leuer is a big man that can shoot, although he only shot 29% from three-land last season.
192) Kelly Oubre
The 6′ 7″ Oubre is great in transition and will pop the occasional 3. He doesn’t shoot a high percentage though and doesn’t contribute much in the other categories.
193) Tim Frazier
Frazier is now the backup for Wall in Washington. He’s not a great shooter, but the coaching staff loves him and he’s adept at running an offense.
194) Ian Mahinmi
The Wiz signed him to a four-year, $64 million contract last year. Unfortunately, he only played in 31 games due to knee problems. It’s going to be tough for Mahinmi to get minutes, as Gortat is ahead of him on the depth chart and the Wiz went small at times last year.
195) Bismack Biyombo
Big men that board. That’s where we are at now.
196) Marco Belinelli
Belinell is now in Atlanta and will be backing up Kent Bazemore at shooting guard. Marco…Polo…Sorry, I had to. Belinelli isn’t going to see the same number of minutes, but he can still shoot the three-ball at a good percentage.
197) Joe Johnson
When it’s all said and done, Joe Johnson is going to go down in NBA history as the greatest anonymous non-superstar. Hmm, I don’t even know if that makes sense to me, but hear me out. First, the name. Joe Johnson. Seriously? It doesn’t get more generic than that. Second, there was a stretch in his career when he was really good. Like really, really good. But he was never a superstar, yet he got paid like one. Did you know that JJ was an All-Star for six straight seasons? Now, this will be his 18th year in the league. Only 17 players have played in more NBA seasons. Do you think future generations will ever speak about Joe Johnson? Shit, we don’t even talk about him now! Anyways, I just wanted to give props to Joe.
198) Chandler Parsons
There’s a little upside with Parsons, considering we are down in the depths of rankings hell. He could be starting at small forward for the Grizzles and he’s been a contributer across the board in the past. With that said, he’s coming off knee surgery and he’s played in 34, 61, and 66 games the past three seasons. I just can’t see him playing much, but hey, at 196 it’s worth it.
199) Aron Baynes
Baynes is now in Boston and will back up Horford at the 5. He probably won’t get substantial minutes, but he’ll pull down some boards and shoots at a high percentage.
200) Nick Young
There’s only one player that I can end the Top 200 with.
Ha! Swaggy P is the best. He’s in Oakland to do one thing and one thing only.
As a casual player and a die-hard basketball fan the Okafor clip just triggers me so much….You are blessed with physical tools and an opportunity to earn a living doing what you supposedly love and you just give this kind of effort…It’s just sad.
P.S. The Teodocic clip is from a game against the team i support Panathinaikos in our home court.When he made that pass the croud just clapped for like a minute even though he was the opponent.He is a real magician with the ball in his hands and will consistently be in the Top10 highlights this year…
@Kostas: I’m right there with you Kostas. Sad indeed.
That’s awesome you got to see Teodosic live. Im definitely looking forward to watching him play this year. Since you are more familiar with his game, what’s your full breakdown of him?
@Son: His assists and three point shooting will surely translate to the nba level…his defense will keep him often off the floor so i expect his playing time to be around 24-25 minutes…He will run the offense with ease and can see him getting close to 5,5-6 assists per game…still for fantasy his lack of defensive stats and high TOs will hinder his value…I think he will be a blast to watch though due to his unmatched ability to see the play before others and make the craziest passes…
@Kostas: Nice breakdown Kostas. Sounds exciting
What do you think about Bogdan Bogdanovic, Boban Marjanovic and Stanley Johnson?
I would put all of them top 175.
@Paul: Yes, Boban should be in here.
@Paul: Out of the 3, I like Bogdan the best, as there is the element of surprise and unknown. I don’t know how many minutes he will get though. I love Boban. See him shooting 3’s like they are free throws? He’s a per minute monster, but how many minutes is he gettting? SVG said he wants to get him more involved, but I’ll believe it when I see it. If he hates Drummond perimeter d, imagine what he thinks of bobans! Plus, Leuer may be the backup at center. Stanley is just not good. He’s young and has potential, but I need to see it first.
With all that said, we are at the bottom of the barrel so I have no issues with you wanting them in
Did you make a typo on Juan Hernangomez FT%?
.390 doesn’t seem right.
@Shahed: I did. Fixed. Good looking out.
@Shahed: Also, I’m having difficulty of where to rank Love. With IT out an unknown amount of time, my thinking is Love’s stats will shoot up. I read that when Irving sat Love’s stats were 27.4 points. I know Rose will start, but I can’t see him scoring the 25.2 Irving did, and I don’t see LBJ’s scoring going up, so I think Love’s scoring goes up.
What are your thoughts?
@Shahed: Those were my thoughts initially, but a lot of that was predicated on Love working more out of the post. I just don’t see that happening. If anyone gets increased value, I think it’s Rose
The Okafor clip is what kids should be watching to learn what not to do- Mandatory viewing! What a waste of opportunity, you can tell the work ethic is not there- like many of the children of the present. Think Okafor will be in the realms of Micheal Beasley and Anthony Bennet?
@Crusty: Don’t you dare disrespect my boy Beasley like that!!!
Just kidding. Below Beasley but above Bennet for me
I love your work!! Thank you.
@Funderburke: I love you. Too soon?
Thanks Funderburke. Much appreciated.
Keep up the good work.
@Funderburke: Ha! Thanks!
What do you think of my draft? H2H format with 16 teams. Thanks for your awesome reviews! Just missed your 151-200.
Rd1 12 Jokic
Rd2 21 Turner
Rd3 44 Klay Thompson
Rd4 53 Oladipo
Rd5 76 Avery Bradley
Rd6 85 Aaron Gordon
Rd7 108 Lin
Rd8 117 Taurean Prince
Rd9 140 Jamal Murray
Rd10 149 Dedmon
Rd11 172 Crabbe
Rd12 181 Richardson
Rd13 204 Tucker
You know I love Jokic and Turner. The thing that immediately jumps out to me is the lack of assists.
Thanks! That is also one thing I missed out. Might work on some trades 🙂 Speaking of trades, is Horford worthy of trade for Klay?
@Renz: There might be some assist guys you can snatch off the wire perhaps. Is Teodosic available?
I wouldn’t trade Klay for Horford.
Could you suggest who to drop and pick? Nope. He was grab on 10th around.
There is more interesting offer I made, Lowry for Klay. I hope this gets push through lol
@Renz: Really tough to say, since I don’t know who’s available.
I highly doubt you get Lowry for Klay, but I’m rooting for ya
Thank you so much mate! I will try to push this trade ha!
Keep up the good work!!
@Renz: Ha! Thanks Renz
Is Jabari Parker, worth the hold? I just dropped PJ Tucker for him even though I know he’ll be coming back after the All-Star game lol.
@Renz: Not for me
Alright, thanks mate!! Cheers!
Hot take: Mitchell forces his way into more playing time as the season goes along and at the end of the year, his season average will be 14 PPG or higher
@Viz: I love it. Love his game. That why Nobody Beats the Viz!!! What happens or happened to Hood?
thanks a lot for your projections, I really do like them. Could you please make them available as a spreadsheet or something comparable? That would make calculations so much easier.
Thanks a lot!
Awesome! Thanks Son, I will wait for it excitedly.
awesome work as always on this list guys
Will it be uploaded as an exel file again ? Or even just full list somewhere ?
Working on it
Who 2 keepers would you choose from:
Currently I’m at Paul and Khris, but I was thinking about trading Paul for a pick and keep Otto because of Markieff’s surgery and possible ban.
@jw2: I like the plan
I’m in a 12 team, 9-cat h2h keeper league (we get to keep 2 players every year) with no IR spot. This year I have Westbrook and Lowry as my keepers. I also get to draft 1st this year, and the top available players in my opinion are:
I also acquired a lot of mid-round draft picks last year, and on top of getting the 1st pick, my next picks are the equivalent of picking 48th, 49th, 54th, 58th, 59th, 64th, 67th, 72nd, 73rd, and 78th in a standard 12 team draft. So basically my last pick (78th) is the equivalent of a mid-7th rd pick in a 12 team league.
Who would you pick 1st??
I’m leaning towards either John Wall or Kristaps Porzingis. Since I have Westbrook, I’m probably going to have to punt FG% and/or TOs. So Wall seems like a good pairing. The other option is picking Kristaps so that I have at least one quality big man before drafting next with the 48th pick.
@Chris: I’m a Myles Turner guy, but Kristaps is right behind. I think it a choice between those two