History is written by the victors. Alexander III was a king of the ancient Greek kingdom of Macedon in 336 BC. Due to his undefeated record in battle and conquest of Persia, the III was replaced with The Great. Beep. Boop. Bop. You know what’s always great? The Stocktonator. Now, over 2000 years later, Alexander the Great has been etched into the history books and permeated our minds. Last night, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander delivered a performance that imprinted him into the NBA archives.
That was the 90th time since 1946 that a player has scored 20 points with at least 20 boards and 10 dimes. The last player to perform the feat was Russell Westbrook last season, when he went 20/20/21! Since 2000, it’s happened only six times before Shai’s performance. Now, for fantasy, Shai got off to a blazing start this season then cooled off. Over the past 16 games, though, he’s been a top 20 player for fantasy, averaging 36 minutes, 21.9 points, 0.9 tres, 6.6 boards, 2.7 dimes, and 1.4 steals. The field goal percentage has been a whopping 52% while the free throw shooting has been 85%. He’s garnered a usage rate of 23.9, yet Shai has only turned the ball over 1.6 times per game! Will this continue? Probably not. He’s not going to continue shooting 52% from the field. He shot 47% over the course of his rookie season, so that’s a reasonable expectation. The Logo, Jerry West, loved Shai and was instrumental in the Clippers drafting him. They had to trade him in order to get Paul George, so it’s understandable why they made the move, but West is one of the best talent evaluators in the league. If he’s high on someone, then so am I.
Here’s what else I saw last night:
Got the start and played 35 minutes because Joel Embiid will be out a few weeks after undergoing hand surgery. Horford isn’t sexy like say Yang’s $1000 per month Freedom Dividend. He is more like, find two quarters in front of your house every night. It doesn’t seem like much, but at the end of the season, you’d have received top 50 production. Without Embiid on the court, Horford sees a 4.2% increase in usage.
With Embiid off the court, I would have assumed that Simmons would see the greatest increase in usage. Nope. That honor actually goes to Trey Burke, with Horford right behind. Simmons actually sees a decrease of 0.5%. Very interesting. Now, usage schumage, as there’s no BS’ing the production. Imagine if Simmons could shoot and actually was aggressive? He’s a top 35 player on the season regardless, with the lack of tres, poor free throw shooting, and elevated turnovers crimping his overall value.
My RichardSON!!! The defensive stats have been lacking recently, but the scoring and efficiency have been very good, mitigating the impact on overall value. He’s a top 100-ish player, which is a far cry from the top 50-60 production he was providing in Miami, but keep in mind that he’s playing fewer minutes and there are more options in Philadelphia.
Played 28 minutes. Since returning from injury, Thybulle has received 19, 20, and 28 minutes. The trend is your friend. The style from Thybulle isn’t pretty, or maybe it’s underappreciated, as he’s primarily a defensive specialist. It wouldn’t be the first time that happened to an artist. Maybe after he’s out of the league, Thybulle’s stat lines will sell for millions.
T. J. Warren
2. 2..2…2….2…..2……222222222222222222222222222222222222222222. The attack of the 2s. The blocks were surprising and Warren does get his 211 on, but defensive stats aren’t the crux of his game. Warren is a straight G on offense, providing plenty of points and tres. The efficiency is the most impressive aspect, as he’s shooting 50% from the field. The prior five seasons, he shot 48%, 49%, 49%, 50%, and 52%, so Warren does this on the Regular.
Recently, Myles dominated when Domantas Sabonis was unable to play. Both the points and boards increased dramatically. When Sabonis is in the lineup, Myles has been meh. The one constant, though, are the blocks. He’s going to provide around 2 blocks per game regardless of who is on the court.
Returned from injury and played 34 minutes. When healthy, this Malcolm strays far from the middle and produces top 30 production. The percentages are excellent, but the defensive stats are lacking. He’s very consistent as well. Brogdon will likely cede some usage when Victor Oladipo returns, but top 50-ish production should be the end result.
The points were a season high! Gallinari is an excellent source of points and tres, as he’s scored in single digits just once this season and averages over 13 shots per game. The sauce that brings the whole dish together is the free throw percentage, as he converts 90% of his 4.7 attempts.
The dimes keep clinking out from his tool box. Clink. Clink. Clink. After never averaging more than 1.6 per game, Adams is dishing out 2.7 per game!!! That is in addition to the points, boards, and blocks he’s providing. Top 50 player over the past eight games. Now, the free throw shooting has been 70% on five attempts. I just did a double take as if a hot girl just walked by. Adams is a 50% shooter from the line, so that number will regress, which will bring his overall value down.
In 18 minutes off the bench. Reid was projected to be a lottery pick before the NBA draft, but then he was unable to dominate in college, tested poorly at the combine, and scouts questioned his work ethic. As a result, he went undrafted but the skills are there. It ain’t hard to tell that Naz is athletic and has range from downtown. The question is can he be fantasy viable? I doubt it, as playing time will be sparse when the Timberwolves get healthy and he’s a hucker and chucker right now with poor efficiency. With that said, he’s definitely someone to monitor in case he is able to carve out a role.
LaVine has been on an absolute tear lately. Over the past 14 games, he’s been a top 15 player. Over the past seven games, he’s been the #5 player in all of fantasy. The usage rate has been over 33 and he’s averaging over 21 shot attempts per game. He’s shooting 47% from the field over the past seven games, which has translated to 30.1 points with 3.3 tres. The standard 4.4 boards and 4.3 dimes have been contributed, but it’s been the defensive stats that have elevated him to superstar status: 1.9 steals and 0.7 blocks. It’s a good thing I laminated all my LaVine posters. Anyways, the shooting efficiency is going to regress. Probably back to the 44% range. I doubt he maintains the defensive prowess as well, so top 30-40ish production is what we can expect.
Top 15 player over the past 14 games. Tatum is becoming the complete player that Boston fans mental masturbated over when the Anthony Davis trade discussions were ongoing. He has a chance to join the 1/1/1 club and, with how much he handles the ball, the 2.2 turnovers per game are impressive. The only question regarding his game is the shooting efficiency, as it fluctuates from 42% to 47%.
In 33 minutes off the bench. Smart is going to provide boards, dimes, and steals on the regular. The roulette wheel is spun when it comes to field goal percentage. Winner winner chicken dinner when he shoots over 45%. Unfortunately, he’s usually in the 35% to 37% range.
Got the start and played 37 minutes because Brandon Ingram did not play due to a knee issue. Melli can shoot and make his free throws. It’s gotta be an Italian thing. Anyways, he won’t be viable when everyone is healthy.
Got the start and played 34 minutes because Derrick Favors did not play due to a hamstring injury. Jaxson Hayes had been the preferred option, but the matchup with Andre Drummond likely dictated that Okafor get the start. Okafor provides points, boards, and blocks when he plays. He just doesn’t play much.
Played 46 minutes, as the game went to OT! And he aaaaaaaaaaaaaaallllllmmmmmmmoooooosst messed around. The field goal and free throw percentages are the only bugaboos to his game. If he and Ben Simmons could only travel down the yellow brick road and get a shot. Anyways, the Pelicans play at an uptempo pace, which is the perfect environment for Ball’s game. Just wait until Zion returns. Oh, baby.
Continues to start and played 35 minutes. He’s averaging close to 30 minutes per game and providing points, tres, boards, and steals. The percentages have been fantastic as well. I’d expect regression on that front.
Only played 22 minutes because he got benched because…..please scroll up to the Jahlil Okafor blurb.
Another elevating performance for Christian. In 26 minutes off the bench. In the last two games, Wood has played 26 minutes in each and scored 18 and 17 points respectively. He’s grabbed 9 and 14 boards and…..catching my breath. Let’s make this easier. He’s contributed in every category. Now, he didn’t play much in this game until Drummond got benched, so don’t get too excited yet. Coach Casey still seems content in bringing Wood along slowly. For Wood to fully be erect, Drummond likely has to be traded.
In 37 minutes off the bench. For most of the season, Rose was clocking in, then clocking out 26 minutes later each night. But then the Blake Griffin injury happened. Now, he’s averaging over 33 minutes. IF he can hold up, Rose is going to bloom and provide beautiful points, tres, and dimes petals. The usage rate is around 33! The only question is if he can hold up.
P. J. Washington
Played 33 minutes. No sleeping on P. J. In PJs is preferred but not in P. J. I don’t think he would like that too much. The fantasy production hasn’t elicited wet dreams, but he’s been solid, contributing across the board and has a chance to join the 1/1/1 club. Now, the shot attempts haven’t been voluminuous, which has kept the points down, but that will likely change as the losses mount and it’s what-do-the-young-kids-have season starts. Hopefully, the pace increases then because right now, the Hornets are playing at the slowest pace in the league.
Got the start but only played 18 minutes due to suckitude. Coach Borrego benched him. The binary code translates to: does not compute.
I like it when Terry isn’t so scary and murders my percentages.
The points, tres, dimes, and steals are so lovely. Unfortunately, the shooting efficiency is Scary Terry-esque. Over the past three games, he had been shooting 28% from the field. On the season, Graham is at 37%….on 15.6 attempts. As a result, the overall value is low and the tax to soak in those counting stats is high.
In 16 minutes off the bench. Man, Borrego wasn’t joking when he said he wanted to shake up things. He had played a total of 69 minutes on the season prior to last night. I remember not so long ago, when I was a young pup, naive to the atrocities of the world, championing the Free Willy movement. Oh, those were good times. Willy can score. He’s like Kanter 2.0. Like Kanter, though, the defense is nonexistent. As a result, I find it difficult that Willy will ever be freed.
In 31 minutes off the bench. LOL! What the hell is Borrego doing? Talk about YOLO. Anyways, Batum has received 31 and 32 minutes the past two games. He’s done absolutely nothing with the opportunity. Good thing for the Hornets he has one more year on his contract at $27 million. LOL!
Y’all know what time it is.
Never gets old for me. Top 10 player for fantasy.
In 21 minutes off the bench. I own Tolliver in a 12-team, 25 roster league. I’d cut him except it’s a Draft Champions league, so no transactions. I’m still looking for ways to cut him regardless.
In 37 minutes. Vuc is so damn good. He literally does everything and doesn’t hurt you in anything. Over the past three games, the usage rate has also ticked up to 32. That number had been in the 26-27 range. The Magic play at a slow pace, but the offense flows through Vuc.
Fournier is a top 70 player for fantasy. He provides points, tres, dimes, and steals. The turnovers are low while the percentages are good. A solid player.
Got the start because Marvin Bagley was on a minutes limit and played 33 minutes. In addition, Richaun Holmes did not play due to a shoulder injury, so more run for Bjelica. The Nemanja was smoking hot and potent last night. I’m still smelling it right now. As long as there are injuries and he continues getting run, the Nemanja will continue providing points, tres, boards, and good percentages.
This is the upside that drives us crazy for Fox. Over the past three games, he’s been the #4 player for fantasy, averaging 37.2 minutes, 25.7 points, 1.3 tres, 7 boards, 8.7 dimes, 2 steals, and 1.3 blocks! The usage rate has been 30.9 and he’s shot 50% from the field and 100% from the line. The turnovers have been the only bugaboo at 4.7. Now, he’s a 46% shooter from the field and 72% from the line. In addition, the points, boards, and block numbers are unsustainable. With that said, this is the ceiling which will be accessed from time to time. Until more consistency is injected into his game, expect points, tres, dimes, and steals for top 70ish production.
It was all Love in a 29-point blowout loss to the Lakers. Love still has it. He needs to get traded. Portland! Make it happen!
It’s all lovey dovey in the Thompson/Kardashian household. If you own Tristan, then you better be logging onto TMZ every night.
Awww, so cute….matching stat lines. I much prefer Garland over Sexton, especially since the Cavs deemed Garland as untouchable in trade talks. Plus, he actually dishes out dimes. Don’t get gassed by the 4 Sexton dished out last night.
Got the start and played 26 minutes because Anthony Davis did not play due to a bruised butt. Kuzma will grab some boards, but he’s a fantasy hucker and chucker. Don’t expect much outside of points and tres. As a result, his overall value is low for fantasy. He’s outside the top 200 on the season and will likely finish in the top 175 area.
In 25 minutes off the bench. Got extra run because Anthony Davis was out. Points, blocks, and boards are what he delivers. When AD returns, though, he will receive fewer than 20 minutes of run per game.
With Anthony Davis off the court, LeBron has a 37.5 usage rate, an increase of 5.5%.
Hey man, found myself in situation that i have too many valuable guards: SGA, Simmons, Rubio, Brogdon, Ball, Vanvleet, Elf, BBrown. Two of them has to go. But what should i do, trade Rubio or Brogdon for valuable forward, and make room for young guns BBrown and Elf, assuming they will have a lot of run in tanking teams or just cut those two and call it a day?
Punt tres and ft, so my team orientated to big man stats.
A good problem to have. I’d explore trade options first. You have plenty of options and paths to pursue.
Which ones u would definetly hold no matter what? Thinking that simmons, sga are safe, but who else?
Everyone has a price. Or they should. I’d be inclined to hold Ball, Brogdon, and FVV
Im asuming u have SGA in mind too ? 😀
His upside is freaking ridiculous! Hype train, here we go!
Of course. I’ve been high on Shai since the summer
Hey Son, appreciate the work you put in!
My question today is who would you drop as I have players coming back from the IL
Kemba, Fox, Bledsoe, Rozier, Lou Will
Jimmy, Tatum, Brown, Oubre
KAT, Jokic, Whiteside, JJJ, Bertans, Bagley
Have to let two players go. Who’d you cut?
Thanks as always!
Bagley and Rozier
1. Is it Time to drop Derrick Jones and/or Maxi? Looking to get guys like bullock or Eric Gordon or just to use his spot as a streamer in an 18m league.
2. Was offered Fox for Jokic. I should be insulted, right?
3. Damion lee or PJ Washington ROS?
4. Gafford or Sekou?
I’d rather have DJJ or Maxi but if you need tres, then the options you listed are fine
You should never get insulted by an offer. Unless it’s personal 🙂 We all see the world differently and have different values on players. I kind of get it because Fox has been a top 10 player recently. With that said, I prefer the Jokic side
PJ Wash for me in a vacuum
The injuries are ravaging my 1st place lead. Lost 2-7 while other top teams won 6 and 7 pts.
KAT, PG13, Capela, Trae, Isaac, Brogdon. Had to drop Isaac for D.Powell and thankfully Brogdon came back. It looks like KAT is not too far off either. If I can get past the next 3 weeks against top teams, I’ll be in good shape.
Your thoughts on dropping Rozier after tomorrow’s game since his next 3 weeks are 2/3/3 or drop Dunn (4/4 games for next 2 weeks) or Dieng (when KAT comes back)?
G: Trae, Lowry, Brogdon, Rozier, Dinwiddie
F: PG13, Dieng, Dunn
C: Capela, D.Powell, Gafford
Brutal. At least the injuries are happening now instead of when it matters most.
Who are you picking up for those guys mentioned?
Kanter, Mikal, Nunn, Elfrid, Thybulle, Gary Harris, Thad, Noel, Tucker are available at the moment.
Then again everything hinges on KAT and/or PG13 coming back to make a difference.
Gotcha. There are viable options so I’m good with steaming the Rozier and Dunn slots
What’s up Son ? We missed you.
Gotta run a couple waiver moves by you –
After I talked up Dunn last week, I’m done with it.
Someone dropped Gary Harris (I know he’s been trash this year)
But I swapped Dunn for Gary, because I could use the scoring. If it ever comes around.
Also, I jumped back on Wood (that sounds terrible)
I’ve actually jumped on & off & back on Wood (that sounds worse)
But yea, I’m gonna hold Wood with a firm grip until the deadline now.
Dumped Tucker for him. Not looking back.
Squad now – 12 team – H2H – 15 man rosters, considered deep.
Oubre/Levert/Herro/Gary Harris/Troy Brown
How am I looking ? (Besides injuries with no IR spot)
The wire is pretty dry – McRae, Noel, Melton, Divincenzo (Are the best available)
AYO! Sorry, was traveling a lot last week.
Lol. I’ve been on and off Wood as well, as he has risen and gone limp
I’m good with the Harris pickup. I’m not expecting much but think there’s a chance for upside
Squad is solid. Hope Conley can return to form
Four trade offers are being contemplated. Please rank them 1-4 with 1 being the best for me. Context: h2h league. 9 cats. Semi punt FG%. In first place but only by 3 games.
Harden, Jrue, VanVleet, Lowry
JRich, RoCo, Melo
JJJ, Love, Ibaka
Vuce, Bryant, Myles, streamer spot
Trades: (Jrue has only three games per week during the playoffs and FT% is annoying)
1. My Jrue and Ibaka for his Brogdon and Jamal Murray
2. Jrue and Bryant
3. Jrue and Conley
4. Love, Conley and Bryant
(Activating Conley as my backfill)
Is rank them:
1, 3, 2, then 4. I don’t like the ones that include Bryant or Love
Thanks. Bryant was a calculation against injury and rest. Feet and big men issues.
Also, I struggle with the Trade Analyzer. Shows Ibaka with more value moving forward than Brogdon and many others . I get the regression theory but no one is trading Brogdon for Ibaka. Fantasy Pros is probable a more balanced tool to use.
But SON is the best resource of course!!
Probably has to do that it’s not properly factoring in the Gasol return. I’ll talk to Rudy, since it’s using his projections
I agree about SON!!!!
Ahh, just looked at the projection. Looks like return of Oladopo is affecting Brogdon’s projection. I don’t agree with the 25 mpg
Thank you. Love resting again in the back to back. Ugh
Hey Son, thanks for the entertaining and informative articles.
I’ve got to drop a player now that DRussell is healthy. He is sitting in my IR for now. And I will need to drop another player when Embiid returns.
I’m seriously considering keeping them in IR until things sort out up to the trade deadline. Potential drops are Wood, Doumbouya, D Melton, D. Powell, T. Brown Jr., Bertans.
It’s a dynasty league and I’m sitting pretty in 4th place so I may just plow on without DRussell and Embiid until stash potential is clearer. 13 teams – H2H – 14 man roster 3 IR
T.Harris/PJ Washington/Bertans/T Brown Jr./Doumbouya/Wood/J.Isaac
IR: Embiid, Isaac, Russell
I love the potential of Wood, Doumbouya, and Melton, which would be my top candidates to drop now. Though if they heat up and someone like Bertans gets traded, maybe I drop the latter. Or someone like D. Powell.
So, hold on players until things are clearer and leave Russell on IR? And if you were to drop one now, who would it be?
Definitely hold until things become more clear. Plus, you want to wait a few games anyways because of risk of another injury.
If I had to drop someone, it’d be Sekou out of that group
Hey man, I’m in a 9 man 9 cat roto league and I have a solid edge in blocks already. Would you consider trading away Gobert for Ayton? The only reason I’m considering this is because I’m only 4th in FT% (hovering around 78%). Here’s my lineup:
Barton/Washington/Ibaka depending on who these guys are playing against
I’m good with that. You should probably look to trade Adams while you’re at it, if FT% boost is your goal
I need to drop one since bryant is activated
Airplane mode (he didn’t play well and minutes were limited for the last couple of games.
PJ Tucker (defensive stats and rebounding are nice but inconsistent lately)
Will you drop any of the four above for Sekou?
Lamb for me
How about Airplane, pj, or hayes for sekou?
Probably Hayes for me.
Hi, got an offer: my Harell for his Love. What u think in a vacuum? Is Love likely to be trade and will get his value boosted?
Love for me. I don’t think his value gets booster per se. The production shouldn’t change too much. I think the biggest thing for a team change would be consistency in terms of playing time. Fewer blowouts and such
I got an offer for my Bam, he is giving Sga+Valancinas? What do you think? Thx
What’s squad look like? Keeper league?
Not keeper, 14 team h2h
doncic trae Fvv shai jrich capela valancinas noel huerter wood
What’s your squad look like? Or is that after the trade? If so, I like the trade
Existing squad is
doncic trae fvv garland jrich capela bam noel wood huerter
İs it now ok to do the trade
Gotcha. Yeah, good
hey son, nice write up as alwways…love owning SGA! Question….would you give up gobert and booker for towns??? (14 team league, 9cat)
Thanks, sebapargue! SGA is so damn good.
What’s squad look like?
my squad right now: Currently in 6th place, had a rough time the first 10 weeks, now im killing it.
Troy Brown Jr.
If you make the move, you decrease in FG%, REB, AST, and take a huge hit in BLK.
You improve in 3PT, PTS, and STL.
Negative for me
WHat do you think would be a good trade for Beal? Or just keep him because he is too valuable. Who would you keep drop between teague, wood, garland, and mcrae
I feel like teague is garbage till he gets traded. McRae wood and garland all high upside guys, but so could teague be
Value is all relative and context dependent. What’s squad look like?
Teague is the drop from that group
Head to head cat Got G Beal, levert, dejounte, teague, conley, jrich,
F kawhi, tj warren
Vuc, Bam, Turner , robinson and gasol
With mcrae, Garland
Gonna drop teague for brown, just sucks to drop a name like teague.
Not sure how to proceed, might not even be able to trade beal. Some people I tried and they responded with dinwiddie and another oladipo favors and herro
I hear ya. Why do you want to trade Beal so bad?
You have a solid squad. From what I see, tres is probably your weakest cat, so trading Beal wouldn’t fit what you need
It just seems like a lot of people are thinking beal gets shut down though and won’t be playing soon.
I’m not in that camp but it’s a possibility. If that’s your concern, then do what you gotta do
I have a tough decision and need you advice. I just picked up Omari Spellman and really likes him the rest of season. However Larry Nance is in the waiver. Would you keep Omari Spellman or stash Larry Nance? Thanks for your help.
Start one tonight in a points league
EG @ MEM
Elf @ MIL
Prince vs UTA
son, I’m considering dropping one of Otto Porter or Mike Conley to snag Kendrick Nunn from the wire. What’s your take on these guys?
I wouldn’t. I believe in both of those guys, but they are injured. Nunn doesn’t move the needle for me
I’m in a 10 team 9 cat league without IR and steph is sitting on he wire. Saw some vids of him on shooting practice and thinking of getting him and might be big boost for playoffs. Here’s my squad:
Harden, Kemba, Butler, ayton, collins,
Bledsoe, Oubre, robmitch, Horford, SGA,
Agordon, Ingles, huerter
I manage to maintain top2 position in my league with my roid guys so I think I could hold curry for a while as well. What do u think of my team and who’s the drop here.
Gordon for me
Thanks. Agree on that, he’s still highly owned but just because of potential that never bear fruit. Sucks this season and been sitting a lot with injuries. Anyway, what do u think my team looks like now? Strength and weaknesses u can think of?
Squad is solid all around. Just need the Knicks to unleash MRob