Don’t take Anthony Davis in the top 5. He’ll miss at least 25 games. Avoid Old Man LeBron James, because he rests all the time. Tyreke Evans has only played 65 games in the last two years combined. Not even worth drafting.
A few of the prevailing opinions going into the season that I thought had gotten a bit overblown. The risk of missing games is scary, but it’s not often very predictable. And yes, I’m cherry picking examples, but AD has played 54 of the first 60 games and is #4 on the ESPN Player Rater (#3 per game). LeBron hasn’t sat one game yet, is among the league leaders in minutes per game again, and is #1 (#5 per game). Tyreke has played 49 of 59 games, sitting five of those when the team was holding him out before the trade deadline. He’s #58 (#44 per game). And sure, that’s partly due to Mike Conley missing almost the whole season. Yes, there are examples of injury fears being once again substantiated, like in the case of Danilo Gallinari. It’s all guesswork. It’s part of the fun, predicting what a season will bring. But, figuring out the puzzle can drive you mad.
Today, I thought we’d have a little fun revisiting some preseason predictions. Maybe we can learn a bit about what types of projections are more trustworthy than others. Maybe not. I also don’t think this would be a great way to figure out who’s great at predicting things like sleepers and breakouts, because this is a small sample size. Continue to look at the methodology behind the predictions to see if it’s backed up by reason. I just figured that we rarely actually go back to see what was right and what was way off. If it teaches us something for next preseason, great.
Welcome back Razzball Nation, to yet another edition of Dynasty Deep Dive on your Superbowl weekend. I hope the week has bought you more joy than I am currently having, being housebound with the worse pain imaginable from my back, currently making me the Brandon Roy of the fantasy basketball world. But unlike that of the aforementioned, hopefully I can bring a little cheer to the future of your dynasty team and not leave you hanging like the former all star did back in 2012; the show must go on.
So what of the week that was? Well, we are starting to see a little shape starting to take place with some of last year’s draftees getting some more run (ala Ivica Zubac, Jamal Murray, Timothe Luwawu and Thon Maker), things starting to settle down from the hype that was Malcolm Brogdon, and a two week period to forget for Brandon Ingram, who averaged just 5 points (over 25 mpg), and shot an ice cold 22% from the field averaging just 11.8 makes in 8 attempts over that stretch (not to panic though, there are better days ahead).
So what have I got for you this week? Well, we will be taking a little look at those whose draft stock has risen over the past week, for all you draft pick hunters, in the world of college basketball.
The preseason is upon us! And just like how you don’t put too much stock in Spring Training or the NFL Preseason – there isn’t anything to go too crazy about with what happens in the box scores. However, some guys do get hurt, hurt guys can show they’re back, and there’s additional news to spruce up everyone’s rankings (my updated top 200 is below and broken down by position in the menu). But before you scroll down! We really need some RCL commissioners to start up new leagues to show me just how bad my rankings are. The winner gets their name shaved in my head for god’s sake! Please don’t make it anything too profane… I don’t want to tell the barber he has to put @$%#% somewhere in my scalp! Rather than belaboring current events and more RCL pandering, let’s just hop right in:
Ben Affleck may get shat upon by the hip and snarky, but he had the last laugh when his film Argo walked away with the Best Picture Academy Award (TM) (C) ALL RIGHTS RESERVED ACADEMY OF MOTION PICTURE ARTS AND SCbzzzt. Where was I? Oh, Surviving Christmasis a much better holiday movie than you would expect, and is worth watching if it comes on TV in 9-10 months. Just store that in your head. If you haven’t see The Town, it’s also enjoyable. Wait, is this the basketball blog? I thought we were talking about movies. Hmmm, well, let’s talk about Andrew Bogut. Bogut’s MRI came back and showed a protruding disc in his back. He has been ruled out indefinitely and will not travel with the team. Some of you may remember I had a minor herniated disc back in September, and it took me a few weeks to recover from, derailing my basketball career even further. Bogut is clearly a world class athlete while I get winded getting up from the toilet, but still, back pain is back pain, and Bogut has to wipe the same way the rest of us do. All of you that were so happy to grab Bogut may have to wait a couple of weeks to begin savoring his production again.
There’s nothing like an injury to rock your fantasy team, and when it’s the 14 points, 14 rebounds production of Anderson Varejao that goes by the wayside, you have to find a replacement. Tristan Thompson should continue to see the bulk of minutes. Here is some other news from the M*A*S*H unit, and see if you notice […]
Bradley Beal is learning how tough it is to be a Wizard. Now he understands why Harry was always so stressed out. Expelliarmus! Last night Beal scored 22 points night adding 4 rebounds and dishing out 2 assists. The rookie had his best game of the young season and clearly wasn’t even at his best […]
I considered leading with Greg Monroe and his triple double (and in some ways, I just did), but I decided to comment about Jrue Holiday. He has been off to a great start this season, and last night he put up 14 points, 5 rebounds, 12 assists and a block. The glitch in the matrix is that he […]
Ask and ye shall receive (unless it’s money, I’m broke). If you see anyone I missed or guys that you think should be included (I did NOT miss Hasheem Thabeet), shout it out in the comments. I’ll tell you which tier I’d put em in or why I did not/would not include them. I tried to […]
It’s the moment all (some) of you (me?) have been waiting for, the top 200. This will polish off our 2012-2013 fantasy basketball rankings, which is good, because trying to value 6 rebounds per game versus 4 assists per game can make a man go crazy. Yes, of course, I was wearing the skin of unclaimed […]
In December 2011, Brandon Roy decided to retire from the NBA (or was asked to sit out by Portland) due to a degenerative knee condition. Less the a gestational period later, he has decided that the knee isn’t so bad, and he still wants to play. He had some kind of blood spinning procedure done, […]