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Whoa, drafts are starting already?!  The early bird catches the predator!  Wait, I don’t think I got that right…  Getting a draft done early after all this rankings work was a liberating, yet headache-inducing experience. People have been looking at my ranks too much!  Razzball Nation is going to a tough customer in their fantasy leagues this year… If you’re itching to start a Fantasy Basketball league, we need more RCL commishes to host a league just like this one, so hop over and start and RCL League today!

Overall, I’m iffy on my first team.  I think I like it.  Has a little too much youth – but just how the draft went.  “Enough noodling, show us your goods!”  “What if my goods are a noodle!?”  Here’s how the draft went last night, and my pick-by-pick analysis below:

JB

PG Michael Carter-Williams
SG Stephen Curry
G Elfrid Payton
SF Chandler Parsons
PF Paul Millsap
F Chris Bosh
C Markieff Morris
C John Henson
Util Andrew Wiggins
Util Alec Burks
BN Jameer Nelson
BN Rodney Stuckey
BN Rudy Gobert

(draft results)

Round 1, Pick 3 – Stephen Curry – PG, SG –  Screw Metal Face Doom!  I’ve already determined he’s my arch rival this year.  Weeks 5 and 16 I’m gonna get so amped up on amphetamine, I’ll seem like a Broncos slot receiver!  I was hoping Metal Face would follow convention and take LeBron James #2, but he made the correct choice in taking Anthony Davis.   I want the Brow on at least one team this year, dammit!  Curry vs. LeBron is somewhat close, but I’m very happy getting Curry (and did follow my ranks), especially as the rest of the draft unfolded.

Round 2, Pick 22 – Paul Millsap – PF, C – I had this one all queued up after Curry!  I’ve got Milly Vanilly at 13th overall, and getting him in the second round of virtually all drafts.  Last year was no fluke people!  As I mentioned in the ranks, had his best month the final stretch with Al Horford last year before he tore his pec; Millsap is going to be a beast.

Round 3, Pick 27 – Chris Bosh – PF, C – So I quickly ditched my rankings by the third pick… JB is a liar!  Well, of the 3 players I had ranked ahead, one guy I passed on I still got (below), the other two – Nicolas Batum and Ty Lawson – went consecutively right after me.  Lawson was an easy pass since I got Curry (which I semi-regret now, looking at my lack of PG depth) and I didn’t need Batum’s treys.  Something this pick did help with was allow me to be a little more reachy for youth with 3 pretty bonafide safe picks.  And it doesn’t hurt he’s careful with the ball compared to my TO-prone top 4 picks.

Round 4, Pick 46 – Michael Carter-Williams – PG – Welllllll, I’ve got him 26 so there’s that…  This was the easiest pick of the draft for me, since as I mentioned in my PG tiers, I’m taking two PG in the first four rounds with one almost certainly MCW.  It’s like I’m a fortune teller!  Yahoo has him pre-ranked at 78.  That’s just a minor 52 spot gap.  “I was thinking of the immortal words of Socrates, who said, ‘… I drank what?”‘  Gonna be a monster this year.

Round 5, Pick 51 – Chandler Parsons – SF, PF – Despite a little ebbing and flowing getting Bosh, this was the first pick I struggled with.  I really wanted to reach for Nerlens Noel (went 2 picks ahead of me) since I wanted to lock up a big with a little more blockage upside, but I think Parsons was the better pick anyway (I have him ranked 40th).  I’m pretty sure he would’ve been the best available on my board at this point, but I did debate him vs. Jabari Parker as well since my treys with Curry will be fine.  I went safer, and love these top 5 picks.

Round 6, Pick 70 – Andrew Wiggins – SF – This is where things got a little screwy… I had, and still have, absolutely no intention of drafting Wiggins on any teams… But at 70?!  I do regret passing on Jose Calderon, who I would’ve taken at 75 (he went 72), but with 5 pretty safe picks I decided to take the upside gamble.  It may look rough early on, but I’ll be cheering for the Wolves to blow and give Wiggins 34 minutes a night in the second half.  I do have Trevor Ariza ranked higher who went the pick after me, but his best attribute is the deep ball which I thought I was fine on with Curry/Parsons – along with Bosh and Millsap chipping in 1 a piece.  A few picks later I hated it, and looking back in totality I think I actually kind of like the pick now.  Very love/hate with this one…

Round 7, Pick 75 – Elfrid Payton – PG – Back-to-back rookies?!  While Payton only 5 picks after Wiggins seems a tad reachy, looking at the field, there was absolutely no assists upside left anywhere else on the board.  Mario Chalmers, George Hill, and Brandon Knight were the next 3 PG taken after me to give you an idea of the barren assists wasteland.  I certainly don’t need any points from Elfrid on the Shelfrid (a low-volume scorer), and my FT% should be solid even if he struggles there like his college numbers would indicate.  TO might be a problem for this team, but I can live with that.

Round 8, Pick 94 – Markieff Morris – PF, C – A ton, and I mean a full metric ton, of guys I like went in my 19 pick layover, but I had Markieff all ready to go.  Great mix of all stats, a big sleeper for us here at Razzball, love my front court depth.

Round 9, Pick 99 – John Henson – PF, C – To be honest, I’m surprised these round 8-9 picks lasted this long!  My team’s biggest weakness is blocks, and if Henson pans out and starts, it’ll be a pretty well masked weakness.  A Muppet Mask!  I have him 101 and have said I wish I had him in my top 100 when I finished up 100-200, and his draft day stock could easily rise with encouraging preseason play and a starting nod.

Round 10, Pick 118 – Rodney Stuckey – PG, SG – A 19 pick layover is brutal…  Reggie Jackson, Jeremy Lin and Patrick Beverley all were taken as some PG/SG depth I was hoping for, along with Taj Gibson for the blocks (although he went right after me at 100 and didn’t think I had a shot).  So I went deep into the ranks for a SG (only Curry was eligible at SG for me at this point), and took my flier on Stuckey.  The Pistons have nothing – no facilitator, no scorers, no nothing, so Stuckey actually has some interesting upside.  From 2008-2011 he averaged 5 assists a game, and I think there’s a shot he could do it in Indy.

Round 11, Pick 123 – Jameer Nelson – PG – I don’t really need the treys, so I’m still shooting for assists upside here.  And to be clear, upside is like 4-5 a game.  I think he’s the best PG by far in the Mavs PG mix, and the only one who can hit treys.  Makes all the sense in the world to give him the majority of the minutes vs. Raymond Felton and Devin Harris, as I go with my back-to-back boring veteran sleeper picks.

Round 12, Pick 142 – Alec Burks – PG, SG – I’ve got him 100, but I think I’ve got to move him down a little bit.  Still, at this value and fitting a need with SG eligibility, I love it.  I don’t really need a scorer, but with Dante Exum so raw and Trey Burke still a big question mark, I think Burks could surprise with 3.5 dimes a game after getting 2.7 per in 28 MPG last year.

Round 13, Pick 149 – Rudy Gobert – C – Last pick flier alert!  It was between Gobert and JaVale McGee with my last pick, as my biggest weakness for my team are those anemic blocks.  I decided to go with the guy who’s playing right now (and playing well in FIBA) over the injured-virtually-all-last-year McGee.  Plus Gobert’s upside for minutes is a little higher.  I have him 188 vs. McGee 155.  Looks like a little edit in my ranks needs to be made there!

 

And there’s my squad!  I don’t think this will be my favorite team I draft, but probably won’t be my least favorite.  The Wiggins pick really seemed to throw me off my game – it was just so surprising to see him fall that far.  What do you think of this team Razzball Nation?  And one more shameless plug to start up an RCL League today!

  1. Phamtastic

    Khang says:
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    Nice team! I think everyone’s been reading the razzball columns as I am starting to notice people are reaching for guards early and waiting till the end to pick their bigs. This wasn’t the case last week!

    Bosh in the third is a steal. Not sure why everyone is so high on parsons, plus the Mavs have a bad playoffs schedule.

    I am always torn between Stuckey and Nelson, as they are always available in the later rounds. Who would you pick? I tend to lean towards stuckey for the pretty much guaranteed PT and the nice playoff schedule.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Khang: Thanks man! Yup people are definitely drafting a lot better than blindly following, or at least somewhat following Yahoo ranks. Awesome to see! Yup, very happy to get Bosh. I’m not too worried about the playoffs schedule yet, I’ll worry more when Slim has his awesome schedule article out, I’m really gonna completely depend on his thoughts in that one 🙂

      I think I have Nelson higher right now, but went Stuckey for SG position elig. I think I would go Stuckey and might need to make a ranking adjustment… But not sure haha, those later ranks I will never memorize perfectly…

  2. Zar says:
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    Pst JB, I’ll trade you PBev or Lin :p And even Reggie Jackson is available on the trade block! You know…I’ll go send you a trade right now. I like the Henson pick (and Curry too). I’m surprised he lasted also..If I took Henson instead of Draymond, would you have taken Draymond? I think I reached, but I’m pretty sure he wouldn’t have lasted another set of picks.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Zar: Haha I wish you had RJax! I’d trade ya! I probably would’ve indeed got Draymond, got him top 100 so he would’ve looked good there, I had him in my queue too. I’ll see what trades I can think about for your Rockets and former Rockets PGs haha

  3. L Butterfield says:
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    Why go with Wiggins instead of “I’m Getting Giannis Antetokounmpo On All Teams”?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @L Butterfield: lots of reasons, I have Wiggins 20 higher (61 vs 81) and there’s more upside there, at least in my opinion. I would’ve thought long and hard about Giannis at 75, but even with his yahoo prerank at 111 he was taken at 72. It’s easy to not actually get Giannis on all teams when everyone drafting with me knows my ranks and will out reach me.

  4. Slim

    Slim says:
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    Do you want me to destroy your hopes and dreams in print, is this even called print? Or would you like my opinion in auditory form?

    All the good sleepers were gone by the end of the 8th round I think. K.J. McDaniels wasn’t even drafted in the final round but yeah, I have a few opinions about your picks and the draft in general…

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Slim: Haha we can save it for the Pod. Yup all my sleepers got taken. I got slammed by pumping out all these ranks and guys I like. Anteok 72?! Sheesh

      • Zar says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Can’t wait for that pod! You got sniped in round 1 and round 12 with the brow and Exum. I think last year you planted a lot of seeds that are growing right now. Giannis got a lot of run last year and now he’s watched by a lot of Razzballers. I know I was constantly eyeing Tristan Thompson because y’all mentioned him so much and Terrence Jones went eaarrrly.

        I was surprised that how people were so proactive about reaching for the player they wanted and no one was content to let a player fall to them.

        Also, do you remember which teams were on autodraft for the majority of the draft?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Zar: Haha, well I was kidding on Exum 🙂 I wasn’t gonna end up with him 🙂

          Well Thompson is a guy Slim and I don’t like at all, don’t think he gets minutes. Lats year I thought Slim underrated him some and he was worth owning, but not this year with Love there. Definitely like TJones a lot though, so underrated.

          Tons of reaches in the draft… I don’t remember which teams there were, but I think 4 teams were on autodraft… Unfortunately…

      • Phamtastic

        Khang says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        you are a victim of your own success lol. but look on the bright side, if it turns out that you’re wrong, then all those people won’t be doing so well

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Khang: I’m just trying to throw everyone else off!!!!

  5. SMLV1 says:
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    JB whats your take on my auto-draft team? 12 Team Standard Redraft league.

    PG – Irving
    SG – Harden
    G – W. Matthews
    SF – K. Martin
    PF – Al Jefferson
    F – G. Green
    C – Kanter
    C – M. Morris
    Util – Chalmers
    Util – Beverley
    BN – A. Gordon – PF
    BN – J. Randle – PF
    BN – J. Jack – PG/SG

    • SMLV1 says:
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      @SMLV1: Undrafted players that I could put a waiver claim in for are –

      Henson, T. Ross, Smart, V. Carter, Bargnani, G. Henderson, Stoudamire, McDermott, W. Johnson, Splitter, M. Plumlee, Hickson, Hardaway, Dunleavy, Barnes, Benett, Stouskas, Marion, D.Green and Wroten among others.

      • SMLV1 says:
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        @SMLV1: Add B. Wright, Middleton and Augutin to that list

        • SMLV1 says:
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          @SMLV1: Just realized my dumbass signed up for an auction draft and not auto pick….Missed the draft, no wonder my team is shit.

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
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            @SMLV1: Haha I think I got ya on the Official Ranks post, but yeah def get Henson! And think you need bigs, Wright is probably worth adding too, and sadly maybe even Bargnani haha

  6. Boom Shakalaka says:
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    Tricks to the Trade

    What’s your method for counting the stats and %’s you accumulate during your draft? Like how do you know remember what your team stats are going to look like as your pick your players. Maybe you have been doing this a lot longer than I have but I find it hard to calculate in my head what categories I’m doing well in and which ones I’m lacking in. If you had some insight it would make it that much easier to identify would to target during the draft.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Boom Shakalaka: Yeah I think you hit the nail on the head, I’ve just been doing this for 10+ years and after spending a month doing rankings and weighing my own expectations with what Slim is projecting I have a pretty good idea of team needs and weaknesses as I go.

      So a few tricks (or draft strategies for this year at least ) – grab two PG in the first 4 rounds, don’t worry too much about team needs through the first 5-6 rounds, then fill out with sleepers that hit the right team needs. So if you need dimes, Calderon, if you need big man stats later Henson, guys like that… I have no idea if that helps, but another thing you could do is use Slim’s projections and copy and paste somewhere as you draft and see what your needs are late… Hope that’s helpful!

  7. Phamtastic

    Khang says:
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    Here’s mine if anyone wants care to read. Been doing a ton of mocks, so it was nice to finally do a real one tonight. Don’t think this one went as well as I would have hoped. The Razzball crew is much more informed than the kids in the mock draft room lol. Here’s my recap.

    1. Steph Curry: This was a no brainer for me. Was very happy to get him at #4, even with AD still on the board. 3’s, assists, and steals are a great way to start! Amazing playoffs schedule too.

    2. Andre Drummond: Bit of a reach here, but I am very high on him. Getting him in the early 20s isn’t too bad. Hoping he will increase his points and blocks production this year under SVG. Solid 11 game playoffs schedule.

    3. Deandre Jordan: Yet another reach. Wanted to solify my blocks and boards, so teaming him up with Drummond is a great start. Solid 11 game playoffs schedule.

    4. Kemba Walker: Following the JB class of drafting 101, I was determined to get two PGs with my first 4 picks. I was torn between Kemba and Holiday, but someone picked Holiday before me so the decision was made for me. Hoping he takes a step forward this year in a possible contract year. The great playoff schedule doesn’t hurt either.

    5. Trevor Ariza: Got my two PGs. Got my two bigs. Time to build on them. Ariza gives me 3s, steals, and sneaky rebounds, which is nice. The low TOs is also a bonus.

    6. Tyreke Evans: This is when things started to go astray. I wanted Calderon, then Collison, but both were taken. I was settling for Lance, but somehow my hand decided to pick Tyreke. This was a mistake. Here’s to hoping that Tyreke continues playing like he did post ASB!

    7. Brandon Jennings: A little weak on the assists column, so I desperately needed another PG. Jennings is a horrible FG% and high-ish turnover guy, so this is a bit of a risk. However he does get 7.6 assists, 2 treys, and over 1 steal a game so that makes up for it. Hopefully he won’t be benched under SVG’s regime.

    8. John Henson: Wanted to buff up my blocks, and JB has been giving Henson glowing reviews, so I had to grab him early. I am banking on big blogs, decent boards, good FG, and low TOs from him. Thankfully Larry Sanders is likely to mess up.

    9. Omer Asik: Clearly this is a Razzball crowd, as both Asik and Hibbert were still on the board. I am very high on him, so getting him here is a no brainer for me. Should get at least 10 boards and a block a game, with great FG and low TOs.

    10. Jodie Meeks: A bit of a reach here, but he’s the last guard on the board with good 3s and steals. Should be good for 2 treys and a steal, with decent low quantity FG and low TOs.

    11. Rodney Stuckey: My sleeper pick of the year! With everyone sniping off sleepers, it was time to grab him. Oodles of playing time will result in productive stats.

    12. JR Smith: No sure why I picked him. Seemed like a steal of a deal in round 12. Dr. Phil will help JR get his head straight, and he will be a volume scorer off the bench again. Only picked him because Miles was off the board.

    13. PJ Tucker: Was debating between T. Ross and Kendall Marshall, both for nostalgic reasons from last year. Internet connect froze and Tucker was autopicked. Oh well. At least he’s good for a trey and a steal a game, along with sneaky boards and low TOs.

    Overall a decent team, but not the juggernaut I was hoping for. Missing out on Calderon really hurt, as well as another sleeper big (Miles, Mason, Sully, Markief, Jones). Would have been nice to get Jose instead of Jennings, and Miles instead of JR. I think it’s a playoff bound team if all goes well, but probably not the best team.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Khang: Razzball Nation is def tough to draft with!

      WHOAAAAA AD went out of the top 4?!?!?!?! Nutso. LIke getting Curry though. I’m not huge on the FT punting, but your team can handle it. Love you got awesome big and two good PG early, glad my advice has turned into a collegiate class! Tyreke is a little risky, the news his knee still isn’t right and having ankle issues last year is a little scary.

      Ehh, with Drummond and DJ to boost FG%, Jennings shouldn’t be that bad, but seems a little high. Henson = NICE! Love that Stuckey is a sleeper for you too, we agree there!

      Def will be a playoff bound team. A little different than any of my teams will look, so will def be interested to see how it turns out!

      • Phamtastic

        Khang says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        Yeah Ty Lawson was picked with #1, so it was a bit of a debate whether or not we should have restarted the draft. AD was tempting, but Curry fit my plans a bit better.

        Tyreke was a mistake lol. Hoping he at least gets decent numbers. I really should have picked Lance.

        Was an interesting draft for sure. Aside from a few outlier picks, everyone seemed to be following the JB bible of rankings. Sleepers were tough to come by in the later rounds!

        When are you starting your next league? NEED TO DRAFT!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Khang: Haha um what??? Yeah I mean I have Curry 3 vs. Brow 2 so not a huge difference, but I’m mad I’m probably not getting the Brow on any teams 🙁

          Whoa, I went from collegiate class to prophet! Haha. I am gonna be out of town a lot the next week and a half, so I’ll plan on launching RCL 2 on Oct 1. Sound good?! Draft like a week or two after that

          • Phamtastic

            Khang says:
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            @JB Gilpin:

            Sounds good man. I’ll be in Vegas Oct. 1-6, but I will make it back for the draft. Save me a spot!

  8. Jim says:
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    JB, You’ve helped us out with your comments on our teams, so here are my thoughts on your first team!

    I love your first 5 picks too! Holy crap, that’s some multi-cat power–especially steals. I think you might even have steals to burn actually between Curry, Millsap and MCW. I’m with you on Wiggins. Obviously the talent is there and if MCW can blow up his rookie year, then Wiggins certainly can! My blind projections for his stat line resemble Trevor Ariza’s last year peripheral numbers with less 3’s and more points. Here’s my thought though: You’ve got some great FT% guys here, but no one really high-volume. That is my only thing with Curry–Great FT shooter but low volume (probably because he pulls up and drains from half-court on most possessions–and you only get 1 foul shot when you also MAKE the 3 you’re fouled on, haha). That said, Millsap and Parsons will negate Curry and Bosh’s plus FT% numbers. From there, MCW and Henson will be more of a drain on your FT% than you might realize (taking the team average into the 74% range assuming Henson doesn’t get more playing time and shoot a higher volume at a 50% rate). Payton hasn’t been a strong FT% player either, and Morris will probably shade over 75-76%–not enough to bring the average up. In my Yahoo public league last year, a 75% team FT% would have finished 11th out of 12—and I know you hate to punt! Something to consider!

    SO…back to your perplexing Wiggins pick. What if you sent Wiggins and Burks off to acquire DeRozan and his high volume FT% (without the sacrifice of much of anything else), and then played Stuckey and his high FT rate in Burks’ spot? Stuckey probably has a nice advantage in dimes as well over Burks. Then play Nelson at G over Payton early until Payton establishes himself in the offense. You can gain some of Nelson’s assists and FTs early on.

    PS…I used your pre-ranks comments/projections and drafted Brandon Knight and I continue to hear good things. I might have picked Knight over Payton—but Payton could very well be a better assist guy.

    I love the Morris pick and I love the Henson pick. Have you heard anything more about Henson starting? I think he’s well worth his ADP even if he still gets 25 minutes. If you look at the numbers, he’s kind of a poor-man’s Noel (who might shoot way less low % FT’s) 4-5 rounds later. I think it’s a solid first team if you can patch the FT category up.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Jim: Haha sorry just seeing this, was out of the country!

      Curry – yeah a little low volume on the FT, but I think having none of the big drain FT guys (except Henson) means I should be fine there. Millsap has gone down the past few years, but well over 70% past 4 years over under 70% first 4 years in NBA, so he could still have a decent year there (79.2% in 11-12). I think while I certainly won’t win it most weeks, it’s not really a punt just not a strong suit, ya know?

      Well, I have already traded Burks 🙂 Got Jordan Hill. Wanted a big and was a little surprised I got it. But if I could get DeRozan for that I would def do it. I think I’ll address FT if it is really hurting me after a few weeks.

      Yeah I have Knight ahead of Payton too in my ranks, but needed assists. All other assist guys got picked so friggin early I had to adjust there.

      I don’t think there’s been any more Henson news, but still catching up! Either way I think where I got him will be valuable! Thanks for the thoughts!

  9. Marl says:
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    Im the one w/ TY @ pck#1. I mess w/ my connection and don’t know how I click TY. He”s a target of me in rd2 since Im gonna pick KD. Hope we re drafted it. hahaha. Great rankings JB and all ur thoughts guys. Happy with this league even I’ve no 1st rounder. Hoping Bosh/Griff will be a top10 guys ds yr. Good Luck everyone!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Marl: Haha that sucks man! Weird auto pick screwed ya like that… But if you turn it into a championship you’ll be a god among men! Good luck to ya!

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