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Marcin Gortat tops my players to avoid list for 2017/18

It’s feeling fresh outside, winter is fast coming, and so is the basketball season. Just 80 hours away from tip off, at time of writing, and boy has it become an exciting time in my sporting life (well viewing anyways) with my Astros up 2-0 in the ALCS and the imminent start of the hoops season. Oh, did I mention that I have a nice 16-day autumn break holiday starting too?

I am sure you guys, Razzball Nation, are just as anxious for the start of the season and, in preperations for your final drafts, I thought I would share my list of players I won’t be buying any shares of due to their ADP. So let’s get jiggy with it and get the ball rolling with my Do-Not-Draft list.

Marcin Gortat, Washngton Wizards (Fantasy Pros ranking: 78, High – 46, Low 121)

Once upon a time, in a land far far away (well Poland anyways) came a man, a myth, a legend (well in my own lunch break anyways) with a mohawk and a great nickname to boot. After learning his craft while backing up the once impressive Dwight Howard, the Polish Hammer showed us his fantasy potential in Phoenix and then Washington, where he could be relied upon for double-digit points, 1.5 blocks per game, and a FG% north of 55%. So what has changed? Well, in Gortat’s defense he is still somewhat the same player, but basketball waits for no man and the game has changed and diminished the usefulness of the traditional big man. Washington, along with many other teams, has moved with the times by not relying on the pick and roll with John Wall/Gortat. Now, they are more reliant on the three-point shooting from Bradley Beal and Otto Porter Junior, diminishing Gortat’s fantasy value. But, he still blocks shots, right?….Wrong. Last season he could only muster a career-low 0.7 per game, a number which dropped to 0.4 post all star break.

Bottom line is that Gortat is now a dated commodity in fantasy hoops and his post all star numbers of 8.4 points, 8.2 rebounds, and o.4 blocks look to be the norm. Sure, the easy looks will be there for efficient shooting, but there won’t be enough volume for it to make a difference.

Jabari Parker, Milwaukee Bucks, (Fantasy Pros ranking: 113, High – 78, low – 299)

I get it, draft Jabari Parker as a late round flier and stash for later in the season. Others in some drafts I have participated in don’t get it. Investing a 7th round pick on a player that is likely to see the court in February at the absolute earliest is ludicrous. IR spots are valuable and I do not want to be filling mine from the get go on a player who I know is out for a long time, is coming back from two ACL tears, and is in a situation where the Bucks are likely going to be very conservative. On talent alone, Jabari is a player who oozes with immense potential and has a fantasy-friendly game. I for one will not be reaching to see if he can stay healthy. ACL tears are no joke and have been career breaker in the past.

Victor Oladipo, Indiana Pacer, (Fantasy Pros ranking: 44, High – 35, Low – 62)

This is likely to be a controversial choice, as many fantasy players and experts are all in on Dipo following his move from Russell Westbrook to that of the rebuilding Pacers. The former Magic and Thunder guard is not listed here because I think he will be a bust this season. I just don’t feel that he will come close to returning the value from a 4th round selection. Although I agree that Dipo has found himself in a better situation, I still have big question marks about whether Oladipo really has the offensive tools to thrive in his new higher usage situation. It is possible that he gains a few extra points per game and likely adds to his mediocre assist totals from last year (2.9 per game), but his 75% FT shooting last year and FG% could regress without a true superstar on the team. When you look at the players around his ADP (Kris Middleton, Otto Porter Jr., Demar DeRozan, and Jrue Holliday) do you really want to be that guy relying on a breakout to return draft day value?

To finish off this week, I thought I would leave some guys I find myself being aggressive on. Feel free to post below if you want to know why, or if there are any guys you find yourself avoiding in drafts this year.

  • Lamarcus Aldridge FPR – 52 (bounceback potential looks real)
  • Myles Turner FPR – 18 (Legit shot at first round value come seasons end in the post-Paul George era)
  • Aaron Gordon FPR – 67 (Vogel showing trust as a ball handler. Check out his post all star numbers last year)
  • Ben Simmons  FPR – 66 (Light years ahead of Markelle Fultz in development and the primary ball handler in Philly)
  • De’Angelo Russell FPR – 55  (Gonna chuck up a ton on of brcks, but will rack up a ton of stats, too)
  • Avery Bradley  FPR – 57 (Vastly improved offensive game since debuting. Now has an opportunity to shine)
  • Dennis Smith Jr FPR – 77 (Legit rookie of the year favourite)
  • Donovan Mitchell FPR – 221 (Expect a slow start, legit second half breakout candidate)
  • Lauri Markkenan FPR – 185 (Started alongside Mirotic last night and thrived. Great opportunity in Chicago)
  • John Collins FPR – 195 (Gonna be hard to keep the super athletic kid off the floor, especially with mediocre frontcourt options in Atlanta)

That is a wrap from me. Enjoy the start of the season and join me next week for the next addition of Dynasty Deep Dive.

 

  1. E says:
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    So I was a tad drunk when I did this draft last night and I think it shows in the amount of risky injured players I took. What do you think of this team? H2H, 12 team, 9 cat, format below.

    PG – Westbrook
    SG – Jimmy Butler
    SF – Gary Harris
    PF – Joel Embiid
    C – Brook Lopez
    UTIL – Ricky Rubio
    UTIL – Danillo Gallinari
    UTIL – Willy Hernangomez
    BN – Josh Richardson
    BN – Taureen Prince
    BN – Frank Kaminsky
    BN – EMPTY

    IL – Nicolas Batum

    I got Westbrook at 3 and Butler fell to me at 22. Once I had those 2 guys I started looking at punting TO and probably FG%.

    We have 1 injured spot so I took Batum and can now pick up any undrafted guy.

    Appreciate your thoughts!

  2. Craig Bozic

    Craig Bozic says:
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    Looks super risky. A lot of the success naturally is going to fall down to how many games Embiid plays, add to that the injury risk of Rooster it seems a boom or bust scenario.

    If it were me i would look to sure up some blocks, if Embiid goes down or sits t wll be a category that you will be struggling in, as sweet Willy and Brook Lopez are not the greatest of rim protectors. Given the nature of the team, and dependnent on availability i would take a complete flier on a guy like John Collins or even jarrett Allen to help contribute and give big man insurance, and hope that Embid lasts long enough till both are contributing.

    • E says:
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      @Craig Bozic: Thanks for your thoughts, I think you’re right, boom or bust, I think I’ll finish first or last. If Rooster and Embiid can stay healthy until Batum returns I think I might be OK since I can use that Injured spot instead of wasting a bench spot.

      We’ll see how this goes, this team will probably infuriate me but I will love watching Embiid and Westbrook

      • Craig Bozic

        Craig says:
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        @E:

        No worries. For sure will be fun owning both Westy and embiid. Gonna be a wild ride lol

  3. Pong says:
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    Ah gortat. He was soooo good in the first half- putting up stats and was pretty darn consistent. Should have sold high on him because post break, he went a full 180 on me…

    • Craig Bozic

      Craig says:
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      @Pong:

      Gortat only has value when he blocks shots, as his fg percentage only really becomes relevent fir those who have high volume, which gortat doesn’t.

      Unfortunately gortat blocked just 0.9 pre all star, abd them 0.4 per game post all star. All in all a player I can’t get on board with on his current adp

  4. Jeff Aces says:
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    Hello

    12 Team Keeper League 10-cat Trade:

    Booker/Ingram/2018 1st rd Pick

    FOR

    Steph Curry/2018 3rd rd pick

    My Team:

    PG: Lilliard/Beverley/Fox
    SG: Harden/Booker/G Harris/Hardaway
    SF: Antetokounmpo/Ingram
    PF: Porzingis/R Anderson/Chriss
    C: Dieng/Vucevic/Cauley-Stein

  5. Craig Bozic

    Craig says:
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    I’m doing that in a heartbeat

    Your team is way way to strong for the 1st to be a premium top 5 pick, and although Booker and Ingram have bright futures ahead, curry still has a ton of gas in the tank as an elite fantasy player. With your very impressive team I’m taking curry and not looking back

    • Jeff Aces says:
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      @Craig:

      Next year id lose lillard but will keep harden/greek/curry

      • Craig Bozic

        Craig Bozic says:
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        @Jeff Aces:
        Flags fly forever, and that extra roster spot will also be of use too in a 12 teamer.

        • Jeff Aces says:
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          @Craig Bozic:

          my league is saying i lost the trade by a mile

          • Craig Bozic

            Craig says:
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            @Jeff Aces:

            Booker and Ingram will never be efficient enough from the field for you to lose that trade. Booker’s points are nice, but he doesn’t offer a whole lot else and high volume poor fg percentage.

            Same story with Ingram, but he hurts your ft percentage. Both are nice players, with futures ahead, but not enough to not trade for a top 5 fantasy player.

            • Jeff Aces says:
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              @Craig:

              Thank im trying to win now – won 2 years ago and shouldve won last year but they said ingram wasnt playing the last game and he did and i lost by 3 points and he was on my bench

              • Jeff Aces says:
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                @Jeff Aces:

                should i use my #2 waiver wire pick to get livingston or no?

                • Craig Bozic

                  Craig says:
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                  @Jeff Aces:

                  In a 12 teamer I wouldnt, with how strong your team is I would shoot for much more upside and a potential second half breakout.

                  I get the handcuff idea, but your team is easily strong enough to not worry about that imo

                  • Jeff Aces says:
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                    @Craig:

                    There isnt much on on the waiver wire

                    • Craig Bozic

                      Craig Bozic says:
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                      @Jeff Aces:

                      With what looks like 15 man rosters, 12 teams that leaves just 180 players rostered. should be plenty of gems throughout the season of waivers i would think, even if it requires a little patience (your team strong enough to exercise that).

                      Livingston for me isnt a top 180 player with his limited upside, even if in a handcuff situation as even if Curry is hurt, he is swallowed up by the rest of the talent on the court and amount of players who can handle the ball)

                      Good luck in your season. Your team looks stacked and primed for an outstanding run

  6. Henry says:
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    Hey how do you like Dieng now? Should I hold on another game or 2 before dropping him?

    Thanks!

    • Craig Bozic

      Craig Bozic says:
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      @Henry:

      At this stage i am still holding. It is a concern about the minutes, but history suggests we must never over react early and Dieng is at least the kind of player with his ability to pick up scarce stats even in limited minutes.

      Thibs love for Taj is concerning, but don’t hit the panic stations just yet (unless there is a ‘MUST ADD’ guy on the wire)

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