Amidst watching too much basketball due to the ongoing EuroBasket tournament, scouting all the NBA depth charts, figuring player usage, minutes and opportunity, reflecting upon my previous mistakes, correcting projections in the yearly review article, and going on a one-month spiritual journey to the Himalayas in order to determine who the hell the Spurs will start this season, I am proud to present you, for the sixth year in a row, my 2022-23 top 155 projections for roto!

As always, note that each player’s value presented is their per-game value, so some players will be higher than the position I would draft them. Injury risk, games played and personal preference are not included, so use them as a baseline for your drafts, but do rearrange them based on your preferences and willingness to risk. If you are interested in finding out the method used to calculate the player values, check this previous article of mine. A good example of this is Kawhi Leonard, who I have ranked at no 8 but, with him probably missing all back-to-back games and the fact he missed the entire season, I wouldn’t reach for him that high. But he is a per-game monster and this is reflected in his ranking. Without further ado, let’s check the projections before I mention some notable players.

 

# Name Value p/g 3/g r/g a/g s/g b/g fg% fga/g ft% fta/g to/g
1 Nikola Jokic 0.856 26.2 1.3 13.3 7.7 1.4 0.8 57% 17.5 82% 6 3.6
2 Joel Embiid 0.598 30.1 1.5 11.9 3.8 1.0 1.4 50% 19.2 81% 11.6 3.2
3 Kevin Durant 0.557 28.9 2.2 7.1 5.8 0.8 0.9 52% 19.6 89% 7.1 3.3
4 Kyrie Irving 0.551 27.2 3.2 4.0 6.0 1.4 0.5 48% 20.8 91% 4.4 2.4
5 James Harden 0.488 22.3 2.4 7.3 10.2 1.3 0.5 44% 14.2 87% 8.5 3.8
6 Giannis Antetokounmpo 0.481 29.7 1.2 11.4 5.9 1.1 1.3 56% 18.4 72% 10.9 3.3
7 Karl-Anthony Towns 0.436 24.6 2.5 9.3 3.8 0.9 1.1 51% 16.8 83% 6 3
8 Kawhi Leonard 0.435 23.5 1.8 6.7 5.0 1.4 0.4 48% 17.3 885 5.8 2.1
9 Stephen Curry 0.428 25.3 4.7 5.0 6.0 1.2 0.2 45% 18.4 92% 4.4 3.1
10 Kristaps Porzingis 0.425 21.9 1.8 9.0 3.0 0.7 1.5 47% 15.6 86% 6.3 1.6
11 Jimmy Butler 0.415 21.2 0.5 6.3 5.8 1.6 0.5 48% 14.4 87% 7.9 2.1
12 Anthony Davis 0.408 23.8 0.6 9.1 3.0 1.2 2.0 52% 17.8 73% 6.4 2.2
13 Jayson Tatum 0.400 27.1 3.0 7.8 4.5 1.1 0.6 46% 20.6 86% 6 2.8
14 Robert Williams 0.371 10.8 0.0 9.5 1.8 1.0 2.0 73% 6.6 70% 1.7 1.1
15 LaMelo Ball 0.359 21.6 3.2 6.5 8.0 1.5 0.4 44% 17.5 87% 3.5 3.4
16 LeBron James 0.353 27.6 2.7 7.4 6.6 1.1 0.8 51% 20.2 74% 5.8 3.4
17 Tyrese Halibutron 0.331 17.6 2.3 4.3 9.6 1.5 0.6 47% 12.9 85% 3.7 3.1
18 Paul George 0.313 23.0 3.1 6.8 5.1 1.7 0.4 44% 18.3 86% 4.4 3.5
19 Trae Young 0.292 27.3 3.0 3.5 8.6 1.0 0.1 46% 19.3 89% 7.3 3.5
20 Fred VanVleet 0.285 19.5 3.4 4.2 6.4 1.7 0.5 40% 16.5 88% 3.3 2.5
21 Damian Lillard 0.279 26.8 3.7 4.0 7.4 0.8 0.3 43% 19.5 90% 7 3
22 Bam Adebayo 0.272 20.0 0.0 9.9 3.7 1.3 1.0 57% 13.3 76% 6.3 2.5
23 Dejounte Murray 0.256 18.6 1.2 7.4 7.0 1.7 0.3 46% 16.2 80% 3.1 2.3
24 Shai Gilgeous 0.248 25.2 1.8 5.0 6.1 1.2 0.7 48% 18.5 81% 7 2.7
25 Chris Paul 0.245 14.6 1.1 4.2 9.7 1.5 0.2 50% 11.1 88% 2.7 2.2
26 Nikola Vucevic 0.234 17.6 1.5 10.7 3.4 1.0 0.9 48% 15.5 79% 1.6 1.8
27 Pascal Siakam 0.229 23.2 1.3 8.3 5.5 1.2 0.7 49% 18 77% 5.5 2.6
28 Luka Doncic 0.216 29.2 3.2 8.5 8.8 1.1 0.5 46% 22 74% 7.8 4.3
29 Devin Booker 0.210 26.7 2.6 4.6 5.2 1.0 0.3 47% 20.4 87% 5.7 2.7
30 Deandre Ayton 0.206 17.7 0.1 10.4 1.5 0.7 1.0 63% 12.4 75% 2.7 1.5
31 Jarrett Allen 0.199 16.9 0.0 10.5 1.8 0.7 1.5 66% 10.5 70% 4.4 1.7
32 Rudy Gobert 0.185 15.8 0.0 13.3 1.3 0.6 2.0 68% 8.4 67% 6.5 1.8
33 Jrue Holiday 0.177 17.8 2.0 4.3 6.4 1.5 0.5 50% 14 76% 2.4 2.5
34 Domantas Sabonis 0.164 19.4 0.4 12.4 6.0 1.0 0.5 56% 13.5 74% 5.2 3.3
35 Zach LaVine 0.160 25.2 3.0 4.8 4.5 0.8 0.4 49% 18 85% 5.4 2.8
36 DeMar DeRozan 0.160 25.8 0.6 4.8 4.6 0.9 0.3 50% 18.8 88% 7.3 2.2
37 Desmond Bane 0.159 17.5 3.0 4.7 2.9 1.3 0.4 46% 13.8 88% 2 1.5
38 Myles Turner 0.158 12.5 1.4 6.7 1.0 0.7 2.6 49% 9.3 75% 2.7 1.4
39 Ja Morant 0.147 27.7 1.7 5.5 7.5 1.2 0.4 48% 21.1 77% 7.5 3.2
40 O.G.Anunoby 0.146 17.8 2.5 5.5 2.6 1.5 0.6 47% 14.2 76% 2.6 1.8
41 Donovan Mitchell 0.143 24.0 3.5 4.1 4.7 1.3 0.2 44% 19.1 85% 4.4 2.7
42 Lonzo Ball 0.140 13.5 3.1 5.6 5.4 1.5 0.7 42% 11.4 75% 1.1 2.4
43 Mikal Bridges 0.139 14.7 1.6 4.4 2.1 1.3 0.6 53% 10.8 84% 2 0.9
44 Terry Rozier 0.134 19.8 3.0 4.4 4.3 1.2 0.3 45% 16.2 84% 2.6 1.6
45 Anthony Edwards 0.124 22.9 3.1 4.4 4.5 1.3 0.5 45% 18.2 79% 4.3 2.5
46 Darius Garland 0.077 20.6 2.3 3.1 7.4 1.3 0.1 47% 16 88% 3.7 3.2
47 John Collins 0.057 16.0 1.3 7.6 1.4 0.6 1.0 54% 11.4 81% 3 1.2
48 Jonas Valanciunas 0.053 16.6 0.7 11.0 2.2 0.5 0.8 56% 11.7 81% 3.5 2
49 CJ McCollum 0.045 21.0 2.7 3.9 5.5 1.0 0.4 47% 17.4 76% 2.6 2
50 Cade Cunningham 0.044 20.2 2.2 5.9 6.6 1.2 0.7 43% 17.7 85% 3.3 3.5
51 Jaylen Brown 0.037 23.2 2.6 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.4 48% 17.8 76% 4.6 2.5
52 Bradley Beal 0.035 25.6 1.9 4.7 6.0 1.0 0.4 46% 20.1 84% 6.2 3.3
53 De’Aaron Fox 0.032 24.5 1.7 4.0 6.7 1.3 0.5 48% 18.9 74% 6.3 2.9
54 Michael Porter 0.031 17.1 2.3 6.8 1.5 0.9 0.6 49% 13.6 79% 1.8 1.4
55 Klay Thompson 0.025 21.8 3.7 4.2 2.7 0.7 0.5 45% 18.4 83% 1.8 1.4
56 Brandon Clarke 0.013 13.0 0.2 6.3 1.5 0.9 1.2 62% 9 67% 2.4 0.8
57 Scottie Barnes 0.009 16.7 0.9 7.6 3.8 1.1 0.7 50% 13.4 74% 3.3 2
58 Keldon Johnson -0.003 20.7 2.5 6.4 3.3 0.9 0.3 46% 16.1 77% 4.4 1.6
59 Devin Vassell -0.004 15.3 2.4 4.6 2.9 1.2 0.6 42% 13.1 84% 2.3 1.3
60 Khris Middleton -0.004 19.3 2.3 5.5 5.2 1.0 0.1 44% 15.2 90% 4 2.6
61 Lauri Markkanen -0.009 17.4 2.6 6.7 1.6 0.8 0.5 44% 13.5 85% 3.4 1.3
62 Tyrese Maxey -0.018 17.7 2.1 3.0 4.0 0.8 0.4 48% 13.3 87% 3.3 1.3
63 Evan Mobley -0.020 16.1 0.5 8.7 2.8 0.9 1.5 51% 12.7 67% 4 2
64 Al Horford -0.022 9.4 1.3 7.2 2.9 0.7 1.1 47% 7.6 83% 1.1 0.8
65 Brandon Ingram -0.026 22.4 1.6 5.0 5.1 0.7 0.6 47% 17.2 84% 5.5 2.6
66 Christian Wood -0.028 17.2 2.2 9.0 2.1 0.8 1.1 50% 12.2 63% 4.5 1.7
67 Jaren Jackson Jr -0.032 15.3 1.4 5.5 1.1 0.8 1.9 42% 12.5 82% 4.1 1.6
68 Bogdan Bogdanovic -0.037 15.2 2.9 3.6 2.6 1.1 0.2 45% 12.1 85% 1.6 1
69 Saddiq Bey -0.038 17.5 3.2 5.0 2.4 1.0 0.3 40% 14.4 84% 3.3 1.1
70 Mitchell Robinson -0.038 8.8 0.0 8.6 0.7 1.0 1.7 72% 5.2 50% 2.6 0.9
71 Zion Williamson -0.046 27.4 0.4 6.9 4.4 0.8 0.6 60% 17.3 69% 9 2.9
72 Jakob Poeltl -0.048 14.5 0.0 9.0 3.0 0.7 1.7 61% 10.6 50% 3.1 1.7
73 Gary Trent Jr -0.049 17.3 2.8 2.6 1.9 1.4 0.3 41% 14.8 84% 2.8 1
74 PJ Washington -0.050 11.9 1.9 5.6 2.4 1.0 1.0 47% 9.4 73% 1.6 1.4
75 Cameron Johnson -0.050 14.4 2.7 4.5 2.0 1.0 0.3 45% 10.8 85% 2.3 1
76 Norman Powell -0.058 16.7 2.2 3.0 1.8 1.1 0.4 48% 11.8 84% 3.8 1.4
77 Jarred Vanderbilt -0.059 7.8 0.0 9.5 1.5 1.3 0.9 58% 5.6 63% 2.1 1.2
78 Clint Capela -0.059 10.3 0.0 11.0 0.8 0.6 1.3 62% 7.5 50% 1.9 0.6
79 Herb Jones -0.062 9.4 0.9 3.7 2.2 1.6 0.7 47% 7.3 84% 2 1.3
80 Jalen Smith -0.063 14.5 1.6 8.4 1.1 0.5 1.2 49% 11.1 75% 2.7 1.3
81 Draymond Green -0.063 6.9 0.4 7.0 6.6 1.4 0.9 48% 5.4 76% 1.7 2.8
82 Jusuf Nurkic -0.066 14.1 0.3 10.4 3.0 1.1 0.9 52% 10.4 70% 4.3 2.4
83 Gordon Hayward -0.066 17.3 1.9 5.1 3.8 1.0 0.3 46% 13.6 84% 3.4 1.9
84 Tobias Harris -0.066 15.3 1.6 6.6 3.0 0.7 0.6 47% 12.7 865 2.1 1.4
85 Andrew Wiggins -0.068 16.5 2.0 4.7 2.3 1.2 0.9 47% 13.3 65% 3 1.4
86 Franz Wagner -0.069 16.0 1.4 4.8 3.3 1.0 0.4 47% 12.8 86% 3 1.5
87 Jerami Grant -0.069 16.8 1.8 4.4 2.0 0.8 1.0 45% 12.8 84% 4.1 1.5
88 Marcus Smart -0.075 11.9 1.6 3.4 5.2 1.6 0.4 43% 9.8 80% 2.4 2.1
89 Tyler Herro -0.079 20.2 2.6 5.3 4.2 0.8 0.2 45% 16.6 86% 3.1 2.3
90 Isaiah Jackson -0.080 11.6 0.2 6.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 57% 7.9 69% 3.4 1.8
91 Jordan Poole -0.081 18.0 2.7 3.2 4.2 0.8 0.3 45% 13.3 90% 3.7 2.2
92 Robert Covington -0.081 7.4 1.6 4.8 1.0 1.2 1.1 43% 6 83% 0.8 0.8
93 Kyle Lowry -0.086 12.9 2.1 4.3 7.2 1.0 0.3 44% 9.7 86% 2.6 2.5
94 Wendell Carter Jr -0.090 14.0 1.0 9.5 2.4 0.7 0.7 53% 10.1 72% 3.2 1.7
95 Julius Randle -0.091 21.7 1.9 10.1 5.3 0.8 0.4 44% 17.5 76% 5.8 3.2
96 Alperen Sengun -0.096 12.9 0.8 7.6 4.2 1.0 1.2 48% 9.6 73% 3.9 2.5
97 D’Angelo Russell -0.096 17.7 2.9 3.0 7.5 1.0 0.3 42% 14.2 81% 3.5 2.7
98 Jalen Brunson -0.099 17.7 1.4 4.4 6.1 0.8 0.0 50% 13.7 84% 3.1 2
99 Onyeka Okongwu -0.108 9.7 0.0 6.6 1.3 0.7 1.4 68% 5.8 72% 2.5 1.2
100 Monte Morris -0.110 13.6 1.9 3.5 5.5 0.8 0.2 48% 10.9 85% 1.4 1.2
101 Brook Lopez -0.111 13.4 1.6 4.4 0.7 0.6 1.3 48% 10.4 86% 2.1 1
102 Patrick Beverley -0.116 9.0 1.5 4.7 4.3 1.2 0.8 41% 7.3 74% 2 1.3
103 Jabari Smith -0.118 12.4 1.8 7.2 2.0 1.1 1.0 40% 10.7 77% 2.7 1.8
104 Jamal Murray -0.122 17.5 2.4 3.7 4.2 1.0 0.3 44% 14.4 85% 2.9 2.1
105 Keegan Murray -0.125 13.9 1.3 6.9 1.2 0.9 0.9 47% 11.2 75% 2.8 1.3
106 De’Anthony Melton -0.132 11.1 2.1 4.8 2.3 1.4 0.5 42% 9 78% 1.8 1.7
107 Isaiah Hartenstein -0.134 9.7 0.5 6.0 2.7 0.8 1.3 60% 6.3 68% 2.4 1.5
108 Bruce Brown -0.135 10.5 0.7 5.2 1.8 1.1 0.7 52% 7.7 76% 2.3 0.9
109 Bobby Portis -0.140 12.9 1.6 8.0 1.0 0.7 0.5 49% 10.6 75% 1.2 1
110 Dorian Finney-Smith -0.140 10.8 2.2 4.4 2.1 1.0 0.5 47% 8.4 71% 1 0.9
111 Otto Porter -0.143 8.7 1.2 6.4 1.8 1.1 0.4 46% 7 81% 1.3 0.7
112 Nicolas Claxton -0.153 11.5 0.0 6.8 1.3 0.7 1.4 64% 7.8 60% 2.5 1.2
113 Ivica Zubac -0.158 10.9 0.0 9.1 1.4 0.5 1.0 63% 6.8 74% 3.2 1.3
114 Matisse Thybulle -0.163 4.8 0.7 2.0 0.9 1.6 1.0 47% 4 75% 0.5 0.5
115 Caleb Martin -0.164 10.6 1.4 5.1 1.5 1.1 0.6 49% 7.9 77% 1.9 1.2
116 Ben Simmons -0.165 13.2 0.1 7.8 6.3 1.5 0.5 54% 9.8 60% 4.2 2.8
117 Kyle Anderson -0.170 8.9 0.8 5.3 3.0 1.2 0.8 47% 7.4 66% 1.7 1.1
118 Mike Conley -0.171 12.2 2.0 2.8 5.0 1.1 0.2 44% 9.8 83% 1.9 1.5
119 Kelly Oubre Jr -0.177 15.5 2.3 5.3 1.3 1.1 0.5 44% 12.8 68% 2.8 1.1
120 Jaden McDaniels -0.179 10.7 1.4 4.6 1.7 0.8 1.1 47% 8.9 80% 1.2 1.2
121 Jalen Green -0.181 21.1 2.6 3.7 3.0 0.8 0.4 44% 16.9 81% 4.5 2.1
122 Pat Connaughton -0.191 10.3 2.4 4.6 1.4 0.9 0.3 45% 7.9 82% 1 0.7
123 Josh Hart -0.192 11.5 1.6 6.7 2.5 1.0 0.2 47% 8.8 76% 2.2 1.4
124 Buddy Hield -0.193 15.6 3.0 4.6 3.6 0.9 0.3 42% 13.6 86% 1.4 2.2
125 Dillon Brooks -0.194 18.6 1.7 3.1 2.2 1.2 0.4 43% 16.6 83% 3.2 1.6
126 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope -0.194 12.6 2.0 3.2 1.7 1.1 0.4 44% 10.2 88% 1.8 1.2
127 Malcolm Brogdon -0.196 16.7 1.2 4.3 4.5 0.6 0.3 47% 13.2 87% 3.6 1.7
128 Kyle Kuzma -0.197 16.4 2.0 7.8 3.1 0.6 0.8 45% 13.6 72% 3 2.2
129 Bones Hyland -0.198 13.1 2.5 3.1 3.9 0.8 0.4 43% 9.6 85% 2.7 1.6
130 Luguentz Dort -0.202 16.9 2.5 4.4 1.8 1.0 0.4 41% 14 82% 3.5 1.6
131 Patrick Williams -0.207 11.0 1.2 4.8 1.5 1.1 0.6 51% 7.7 74% 2.6 1.3
132 Collin Sexton -0.208 23.0 1.6 3.4 4.6 1.0 0.1 46% 17.7 81% 6.3 2.8
133 Alex Caruso -0.210 7.0 1.0 3.5 3.6 1.5 0.4 41% 5.8 78% 1.6 1.2
134 Chris Duarte -0.211 14.4 1.9 4.4 2.0 1.1 0.3 45% 11.7 82% 2.4 1.7
135 Kevin Huerter -0.215 12.6 2.3 3.7 2.8 0.9 0.4 44% 10.9 805 0.9 1.2
136 Javale McGee -0.225 10.9 0.0 8.1 1.1 0.5 1.3 60% 7.7 68% 2.4 1.5
137 Anfernee Simons -0.225 17.3 3.2 2.9 3.6 0.6 0.3 44% 13.8 87% 2.2 2
138 Josh Giddey -0.226 13.8 1.2 8.2 7.0 1.0 0.4 43% 13.2 72% 1.8 3.3
139 Tre Jones -0.227 11.7 0.6 3.5 6.5 1.0 0.2 48% 9.3 78% 2.8 1.5
140 Seth Curry -0.229 13.6 2.3 2.8 2.8 0.8 0.2 48% 10.7 87% 1.2 1.3
141 Steven Adams -0.230 8.2 0.0 10.5 3.6 0.9 0.9 59% 5.7 51% 2.8 1.6
142 Kevin Porter Jr -0.237 16.9 2.7 4.6 6.3 1.0 0.4 43% 13.8 68% 3.4 2.9
143 Grayson Allen -0.249 11.9 2.5 3.4 1.6 0.8 0.2 45% 9 87% 1.5 0.9
144 Paolo Banchero -0.251 16.4 1.1 7.4 3.8 1.0 0.8 45% 13.6 71% 4.3 2.8
145 Markelle Fultz -0.252 13.0 0.6 3.8 6.6 1.3 0.3 46% 11.5 76% 2.4 2.6
146 Harrison Barnes -0.255 15.2 1.6 5.0 2.1 0.6 0.2 48% 10.2 83% 4.6 1.4
147 Aaron Gordon -0.262 13.9 1.2 5.8 2.2 0.7 0.6 50% 10.6 74% 2.9 1.6
148 Mo Bamba -0.268 8.2 1.1 6.5 1.0 0.3 1.4 48% 6.8 76% 0.8 0.9
149 Isaiah Stewart -0.272 9.2 0.6 8.3 1.3 0.4 1.2 50% 7.4 73% 1.7 1.3
150 Spencer Dinwiddie -0.281 14.9 1.9 4.4 5.8 0.7 0.3 41% 11.9 78% 4.2 1.8
151 Derrick White -0.288 10.8 1.3 3.2 3.1 0.7 0.7 42% 8.5 86% 2.8 1.1
152 De’Andre Hunter -0.319 12.4 1.5 3.4 1.4 0.8 0.5 46% 9.4 82% 2.8 1.2
153 Thomas Bryant -0.319 10.8 0.6 5.4 1.2 0.4 0.9 55% 7.7 77% 2.2 1
154 Walker Kessler -0.320 7.5 0.2 6.4 0.7 0.6 1.4 54% 5.8 63% 1.6 1
155 Daniel Gafford -0.324 8.4 0.0 4.9 0.8 0.4 1.3 69% 5.1 68% 2 0.8

 

Notable Players

Nikola Jokic: In my mind and in my projections (and the numbers never lie), Jokic is far ahead from any other option that you can have at no 2. This is a good season to get lucky and land the first pick, as it will grant you a big advantage from the start.

Kyrie Irving: There is risk in picking him this high but, if he stays healthy and stays commited, he can be a beast on this Nets squad. But that’s two big ifs and one big risk.

Kristaps Porzingis: I am very high on Porzingis this year and I think he can become dominant again in Washington, barring the usual injury concerns.

Anthony Edwards: I was cautious in my projections for him compared to the industry last year and it paid off (I predicted his exact fg/a at 17.3). I think he continues his improvement but will still be outside the top 30 in my book.

Brandon Clarke: I can understand the surprise to see him this high but Jaren Jackson will start the season injured and Clarke’s game is as fantasy-friendly as they come. Could be a game changer for the first half of the season.

Lauri Markkanen: I love taking Lauri this year as I think that there are only two outcomes after his trade to Utah. Either they think he can be part of their future so they play him or they think he is not so they play him to increase his trade value. Both options equal fantasy goodness. Besides, the move back to the power forward position will surely help his stats.

Zion Williamson: I’m a bit lower than most on Zion, as I think he will need some time to shake off the rust off after such a long period of inactivity ( and food binging, but I can relate).

PJ Washington: Another target of mine in most drafts, as I think the increased minutes and usage from the absence of Miles Bridges will elevate his game and value.

Josh Giddey: He is currently ranked 54th in Yahoo rankings which is just absurd. He can and will improve from last season but those percentages can’t get him that high in my projections.

The Spurs conundrum: I have included Jakob Poeltl, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson and Tre Jones (barely). I think they might play their veterans in the first portion of the season but gradually start giving the younger guys and even the rookies more minutes. It’s a situation to monitor and it’s possible a young guy from their roster becomes fantasy relevant eventually, but I’m not drafting them to see them warming the bench at the start of the season.

 

I will gladly discuss those notable players and any of the projections with you fine folks in the comments down below. Let me know who you are targeting or avoiding in fantasy drafts, what punt build you have in mind and any other fantasy related questions. Also thank you for the uplifting words on the previous articles and I sincerely hope the projections help you conquer your fantasy leagues once again.