Kostas

Top 155 Roto Projections for 2017 Fantasy Basketball

September 19, 2017 | Fantasy Basketball Daily Notes | 19 Comments

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Hello Razzball Nation! My name is Kostas (as you may have correctly guessed by the avatar name at the top) and I’m the latest addition to the fantasy crew here. I’m not that good with introductions so I’ll just say that I love fantasy and basketball in general and can talk about it for days. I’m more experienced in Roto leagues and I frankly prefer them compared to H2H. Too much luck involved in the championship matchup (injuries, resting of star players, etc) for my taste. So, for my first post I’ve prepared my projections for the top 155 (just to irritate people that like round numbers such as 100 and 150) players in roto, since Son has already covered the H2H part. The player value was calculated with the “z-score” method (the most widely used) and takes into account the nine standard categories (PTS, 3PT, REB, AST, STL, BLK, FG%, FT%, TO). One last thing to note is that the player value is the PER GAME player value, so injuries and games played are not included. Without further ado, here are the projections:

Name Value p/g 3/g r/g a/g s/g b/g fg% fga/g ft% fta/g to/g
1 Kevin Durant 0.838 25.3 1.8 8 4.7 1 1.3 0.54 16.5 0.875 6.5 2.3
2 Anthony Davis 0.811 27.8 0.6 11.5 2.1 1.3 2 0.5 20.3 0.804 8.6 2.1
3 Stephen Curry 0.795 26.1 4.3 4.4 6.7 1.9 0.2 0.475 18.6 0.9 4.6 3.1
4 Karl-Anthony Towns 0.775 26 1.3 12 2.6 0.7 1.5 0.55 18.4 0.84 5.4 2.5
5 Giannis Antetokounmpo 0.697 24.1 0.7 8.9 5.9 1.6 1.8 0.52 16.7 0.76 8 3
6 Kawhi Leonard 0.674 25.9 2 5.9 3.5 1.7 0.8 0.485 18.1 0.86 7.4 2.2
7 James Harden 0.609 28.2 3.3 7.9 8 1.4 0.4 0.44 17.8 0.84 11 4.3
8 Russell Westbrook 0.579 28.4 2 9.2 10.5 1.7 0.4 0.43 21.5 0.84 9.5 4.7
9 Nikola Jokic 0.514 19.5 0.7 10.5 6.3 0.9 0.8 0.57 14.1 0.82 3.4 2.8
10 Chris Paul 0.499 18.1 2.2 4.5 9 1.8 0.1 0.465 13.5 0.89 3.8 2.4
11 Rudy Gobert 0.494 17.5 0 12.8 1.8 0.7 2.7 0.63 10.6 0.64 6.5 1.9
12 Jimmy Butler 0.482 22 1.3 5.5 4.9 1.9 0.4 0.455 15.3 0.86 7.9 2.1
13 Kyrie Irving 0.465 26.8 2.7 3.3 6.1 1.3 0.3 0.46 20.8 0.9 5.6 2.6
14 Damian Lillard 0.461 27.4 3.2 4.9 6.1 1 0.2 0.44 20 0.9 7.4 2.8
15 LeBron James 0.440 26.7 1.8 8.8 8.9 1.2 0.6 0.53 18.8 0.69 7.3 4.2
16 Paul George 0.411 20.8 2.9 6.6 3.2 1.6 0.3 0.46 15 0.88 4.7 2.6
17 DeMarcus Cousins 0.401 24.2 2 11.5 4.4 1.4 1.2 0.45 18 0.76 8 3.8
18 Myles Turner 0.389 18.1 0.9 7.8 1.6 1 2.2 0.48 13.4 0.8 5.5 1.7
19 Kristaps Porzingis 0.338 20.3 1.8 7.9 1.7 0.8 2 0.46 16.3 0.8 4.5 2.1
20 John Wall 0.318 23.1 1.2 4.3 10.5 1.9 0.6 0.45 18.2 0.79 7.1 4.1
21 Hassan Whiteside 0.315 16.8 0 12.5 0.7 0.7 2.3 0.56 12.3 0.66 4.6 2
22 Otto Porter 0.291 13.6 1.9 6.2 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 10.4 0.82 1.6 0.7
23 Draymond Green 0.268 10.4 1.1 7.1 6.6 1.8 1.4 0.43 8.6 0.71 2.8 2.4
24 Kevin Love 0.267 19.5 2.5 11.2 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.42 14.9 0.87 5.2 2.1
25 Joel Embiid 0.261 18.9 1.3 8.3 2.3 0.9 2.5 0.47 12.5 0.78 7.6 3.5
26 CJ McCollum 0.256 22.7 2.4 3.7 3.7 1 0.5 0.47 18.1 0.91 3.7 2.2
27 Marc Gasol 0.255 19.3 1.6 6.3 4.6 0.9 1.3 0.455 15.4 0.83 4.5 2.3
28 Kemba Walker 0.239 22.4 2.8 3.8 5.5 1.2 0.3 0.43 18.2 0.85 4.7 2.1
29 Blake Griffin 0.235 22.6 0.6 8.1 5.9 1 0.5 0.495 16.7 0.76 7.2 2.3
30 Kyle Lowry 0.234 18.6 2.8 4.8 6.7 1.5 0.3 0.44 14 0.8 4.4 2.9
31 Mike Conley 0.230 19 2.5 3.5 6.4 1.3 0.2 0.445 14.2 0.85 4.6 2.2
32 Klay Thompson 0.223 22.2 3.4 3.7 2.1 0.8 0.5 0.465 17.7 0.86 2.8 1.6
33 Bradley Beal 0.215 23 2.7 3.2 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.475 17.7 0.83 4.3 2.1
34 Gordon Hayward 0.200 19.8 1.9 5.9 3.2 1 0.3 0.47 14.2 0.84 5.5 1.7
35 Nerlens Noel 0.199 10.7 0 7.6 1 1.5 1.4 0.6 7.3 0.7 2.9 1.3
36 Al Horford 0.187 12.6 1.2 7.2 4.1 0.8 1.3 0.49 10.3 0.78 1.8 1.5
37 Paul Millsap 0.183 16.8 1.2 8 2.9 1.3 1.1 0.46 12.8 0.76 5.1 2.1
38 Brook Lopez 0.180 19.5 1.4 6.4 2.1 0.5 1.8 0.48 14.8 0.81 4.9 2.2
39 Nikola Vucevic 0.176 15.7 0.3 10.4 2.8 1 1 0.49 14.1 0.74 2.2 1.7
40 Robert Covington 0.168 12.3 2.1 6.5 1.3 1.8 1 0.4 10.4 0.82 2.4 1.7
41 Isaiah Thomas 0.139 21.3 2.4 2.7 5.5 0.8 0.1 0.445 14.2 0.89 7.1 2.4
42 Gary Harris 0.134 16.9 2.2 3.4 3 1.3 0.1 0.51 12.5 0.78 2.5 1.5
43 Ricky Rubio 0.130 12.9 0.8 4.2 10.3 1.8 0.1 0.41 10.6 0.87 4 2.8
44 Trevor Ariza 0.097 11.3 2.4 5.6 1.8 1.8 0.2 0.41 9.7 0.73 1.4 0.9
45 Eric Bledsoe 0.094 20 1.6 4.6 6.3 1.2 0.5 0.435 14.9 0.82 6.7 2.9
46 Serge Ibaka 0.091 14 1.7 6.9 0.8 0.5 1.6 0.47 11.9 0.83 1.4 1.3
47 Clint Capela 0.072 13.9 0 8.8 1.2 0.6 1.4 0.655 9.4 0.53 3 1.4
48 DeMar DeRozan 0.059 25.1 0.5 5.1 4 1 0.2 0.46 19.1 0.84 8.4 2.4
49 Khris Middleton 0.058 16.1 1.8 4.2 3.6 1.5 0.2 0.445 12.6 0.88 3.6 2.3
50 Jrue Holiday 0.033 15 1.6 3.5 6.2 1.5 0.6 0.45 13.3 0.76 2 2.7
51 Victor Oladipo 0.033 18.3 1.5 4.5 4 1.5 0.5 0.44 15.4 0.78 4.2 2.3
52 LaMarcus Aldridge 0.024 16.3 0.3 7.3 1.8 0.7 1.1 0.47 14.2 0.83 3.2 1.3
53 Nicolas Batum 0.019 15.1 1.8 6.1 5.9 1.1 0.4 0.41 12.6 0.85 3.6 2.5
54 Avery Bradley 0.019 17.5 2 4.5 2.5 1.4 0.2 0.455 15.4 0.75 2.1 1.7
55 Danilo Gallinari 0.002 17.6 2 5 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.43 12.6 0.89 5.4 1.4
56 Goran Dragic -0.002 18.3 1.4 3.7 5.6 1.2 0.2 0.48 13.7 0.78 4.9 2.6
57 Aaron Gordon -0.01 15.3 1 6 2.1 1 0.7 0.47 12.4 0.76 3.5 1.3
58 DeAndre Jordan -0.012 12.9 0 13.5 1.5 0.6 1.6 0.67 7.6 0.47 5.8 1.4
59 James Johnson -0.02 13.9 1.1 5 4 1.1 1.2 0.48 11.1 0.7 3.1 2.4
60 Jeremy Lin -0.024 16.5 1.8 4.2 4.8 1.2 0.4 0.425 12.9 0.83 4.6 2.5
61 Jeff Teague -0.032 13.7 1.4 3.4 6.2 1.2 0.3 0.44 9.9 0.86 4.2 2.5
62 Thaddeus Young -0.037 11.6 0.6 6.3 1.6 1.6 0.4 0.51 10 0.6 1.4 1.5
63 Elfrid Payton -0.041 13.5 0.5 6 7.6 1 0.5 0.48 11.4 0.71 3 2.4
64 Tobias Harris -0.042 15.9 1.3 5 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.48 12.6 0.83 3.1 1
65 Dewayne Dedmon -0.042 9.6 0 8.8 1 0.6 1.3 0.6 6.5 0.7 2.6 1.3
66 Jusuf Nurkic -0.051 14.6 0 10.6 2.9 1 1.6 0.5 11.8 0.6 4.7 2.7
67 Carmelo Anthony -0.061 19.4 1.8 5.5 3.2 0.8 0.4 0.43 16.2 0.83 4.5 2.1
68 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist -0.061 9.12 0 6.5 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.49 7.6 0.76 2.2 0.6
69 Willie Cauley-Stein -0.069 12.6 0 8.1 2 1 0.9 0.51 10.1 0.7 3.3 1.6
70 Willy Hernangomez -0.071 11.9 0.1 9.8 2.3 1 0.5 0.5 9.8 0.74 2.8 1.8
71 Malcolm Brogdon -0.074 12.2 1.1 3 4.5 1.2 0.2 0.47 9.8 0.86 2.2 1.5
72 D’Angelo Russell -0.075 18.8 2.6 4.1 5.7 1.5 0.2 0.4 16.8 0.79 3.5 3.3
73 Andre Drummond -0.093 13.8 0 14 1 1.5 1.2 0.53 11.5 0.36 4.7 1.9
74 Dirk Nowitzki -0.093 14 1.5 6.5 1.4 0.5 0.6 0.44 12.4 0.88 1.9 0.9
75 Larry Nance -0.095 7.2 0.3 6.2 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.49 6.1 0.75 1.3 0.9
76 Dennis Schroder -0.097 19.9 1.6 4.1 7 1.2 0.2 0.43 17.9 0.85 3.5 3.7
77 Patrick Beverley -0.097 9.8 1.5 4.5 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.42 9 0.76 1.1 1.5
78 Marquese Chriss -0.099 13.8 1.3 7.5 1.3 1.1 1.3 0.455 10.9 0.63 4.2 2
79 TJ Warren -0.1 12.3 0.4 4.8 1 1.1 0.6 0.5 10.4 0.76 2 0.8
80 Pau Gasol -0.105 11.7 1.1 7.4 1.9 0.3 1 0.49 8.9 0.75 2.6 1.2
81 Marcus Smart -0.108 11 1.2 4.2 5 1.7 0.4 0.375 9.6 0.8 3.3 2.1
82 Harrison Barnes -0.111 18.1 1 4.9 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.465 15.4 0.84 3.4 1.3
83 Terrence Ross -0.115 11.4 1.9 3 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.43 10.2 0.82 1 1.2
84 Lonzo Ball -0.12 11.3 1.6 4.2 6.8 1.5 0.5 0.415 9.9 0.68 2.2 2.9
85 Joe Ingles -0.121 9.2 1.9 3.8 3.6 1.4 0.1 0.44 7.4 0.72 1.1 1.5
86 Zach LaVine -0.122 17.6 2.3 3 3.3 0.8 0.2 0.445 14.6 0.83 2.8 1.9
87 Nikola Mirotic -0.126 11.9 1.9 5.7 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.41 9.8 0.79 2.5 1.2
88 Allen Crabbe -0.128 12 2 3.1 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.465 9.4 0.84 1.6 0.9
89 JJ Redick -0.129 14.2 2.8 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.465 10.3 0.9 2.1 1
90 Rodney Hood -0.13 16.9 2.4 3.6 3.7 0.8 0.2 0.42 13.9 0.83 3.5 1.9
91 Lou Williams -0.131 14.4 2 2.4 2.5 1 0.2 0.42 10 0.87 4.7 1.6
92 Rajon Rondo -0.132 8 0.9 5.6 7.5 1.6 0.2 0.415 7.8 0.59 1.1 2.5
93 Jae Crowder -0.132 10 1.4 4.8 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.46 7.4 0.81 2.3 0.9
94 Jamal Murray -0.133 13 2 3.8 3.8 1.1 0.3 0.405 11.3 0.89 2.1 1.9
95 Steven Adams -0.133 10.5 0 7.9 1 1 1 0.57 7.8 0.6 2.7 1.6
96 Rondae Hollis -0.135 10.8 0.2 7.3 2 1.2 0.7 0.45 8.9 0.75 3.5 1.4
97 George Hill -0.139 13.9 1.6 3.2 3.5 1 0.2 0.455 10.7 0.79 3.3 1.5
98 Kent Bazemore -0.14 12.2 1.5 3.7 2.9 1.4 0.8 0.42 10.5 0.73 2.7 2
99 Jonas Valanciunas -0.151 10.8 0 8.9 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.55 8.1 0.81 2.4 1.2
100 Derrick Favors -0.156 12.1 0.1 6.6 1.2 1 1 0.5 10.2 0.66 2.8 1.4
101 JaMychal Green -0.156 10.6 0.9 7.9 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.485 7.8 0.79 2.8 1.4
102 Tyler Johnson -0.157 11.8 1.1 3.4 2.8 1.1 0.5 0.44 9.5 0.78 3 1.1
103 Andre Iguodala -0.158 7.2 0.8 4 3.4 1 0.5 0.51 5.4 0.69 1.3 0.8
104 Devin Booker -0.16 23.1 2 3.4 3.6 1 0.3 0.42 19.4 0.83 5.9 3.1
105 Tim Hardaway Jr -0.165 16.3 2.2 3.3 2.5 0.7 0.2 0.46 12.5 0.79 3.4 1.7
106 Rudy Gay -0.168 11.6 0.9 4.6 2.2 1 0.5 0.455 9 0.85 3 1.6
107 Julius Randle -0.169 13.5 0.4 8.7 3.4 0.6 0.5 0.49 10.5 0.74 3.8 2.1
108 Evan Fournier -0.173 16.6 2 2.7 2.8 1 0.1 0.445 13.1 0.81 3.7 1.9
109 Darren Collison -0.173 12.3 1.1 2.2 4.5 1 0.1 0.475 9.7 0.86 2.4 1.6
110 Marvin Williams -0.177 9.4 1.4 5.7 1 0.6 0.6 0.44 7.8 0.85 1.4 0.6
111 Kentavious Caldwell -0.178 12.3 1.8 3.1 2 1.2 0.2 0.41 10.7 0.82 2.2 1
112 Cody Zeller -0.178 8.8 0 6.1 1.3 0.8 0.9 0.56 6.2 0.7 2.7 0.9
113 Wilson Chandler -0.181 14.2 1.5 6.2 1.8 0.7 0.5 0.45 12.1 0.73 2.6 1.5
114 Seth Curry -0.182 11.5 2.1 2.3 1.9 1 0.1 0.47 9.1 0.85 1.1 1.2
115 Markieff Morris -0.183 13.9 1 6.1 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.45 11.9 0.8 2.8 1.7
116 Moe Harkless -0.186 8.8 0.6 4.3 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.51 7 0.62 1.8 1
117 Andre Roberson -0.187 6.9 0.6 5.1 1 1.2 1 0.47 6 0.5 1.4 0.6
118 Taurean Prince -0.187 11.7 1.1 4.2 1.5 1.4 0.8 0.41 9.8 0.78 3.4 1.8
119 Boban Marjanovic -0.189 9.5 0 6.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 6.1 0.8 2.8 0.6
120 Marcin Gortat -0.193 9.3 0 9.3 1.1 0.3 0.7 0.58 7.1 0.68 1.6 1.1
121 Dwyane Wade -0.198 15.8 0.5 4 3.4 1.1 0.6 0.44 13.7 0.79 4.2 2
122 John Collins -0.198 10 0.1 7.1 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.58 6.9 0.75 2.6 1
123 Greg Monroe -0.201 11 0 6.5 2.1 1 0.5 0.52 8.7 0.74 2.7 1.7
124 Danny Green -0.204 7.4 1.6 3.4 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 6.8 0.82 0.5 1.1
125 Skal Labissiere -0.208 12.8 0.2 6.4 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.54 9.5 0.7 3.4 1.4
126 P.J.Tucker -0.217 6.1 1.2 5.5 1 1.3 0.2 0.41 5.2 0.76 0.9 0.7
127 Tristan Thompson -0.218 8.6 0 8.6 1 0.5 1 0.59 5.9 0.57 2.9 0.8
128 Dennis Smith Jr -0.22 13.8 1.3 3.7 4.3 1.6 0.2 0.445 10.1 0.71 5 2.7
129 Al-Farouq Aminu -0.222 8.7 1.1 7.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.41 7.4 0.7 2.3 1.5
130 Robin Lopez -0.226 10.7 0 6.4 1 0.2 1.5 0.51 9.7 0.74 1.2 1.3
131 Gorgui Dieng -0.229 7.9 0.1 6.1 1.4 0.7 0.9 0.5 6.6 0.81 1.5 1.1
132 Chris Dunn -0.235 7.1 0.5 5.2 4.4 1.6 0.8 0.38 7.6 0.64 1.3 2.2
133 CJ Miles -0.236 11.3 2.3 3.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.43 9.2 0.88 1.3 0.6
134 Richaun Holmes -0.238 8.9 0.4 5 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.55 6.8 0.69 1.6 0.8
135 Wesley Matthews -0.238 11.6 2.2 3.2 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.4 9.5 0.82 2.2 1.2
136 Caris LeVert -0.24 10.1 1.3 4.2 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.455 8 0.73 2.1 1.2
137 Patty Mills -0.243 11.6 2 2.2 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.43 9.2 0.83 2.1 1.5
138 Josh Richardson -0.244 8.9 1 3.5 2.2 1 0.7 0.4 8.1 0.79 1.8 0.8
139 DeMarre Carroll -0.247 9.8 1.6 4.1 1 1.3 0.3 0.4 9 0.73 1.5 1
140 Enes Kanter -0.255 14 0 6.6 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.55 10 0.79 3.8 1.6
141 Andrew Wiggins -0.258 19.3 1.1 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.455 16.1 0.77 4.7 2.2
142 Markelle Fultz -0.261 14.2 1.2 4.8 5.2 0.9 0.6 0.44 11.9 0.65 3.9 2.3
143 Buddy Hield -0.262 13.8 2.3 3.8 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.44 11.5 0.82 1.8 1.9
144 Patrick Patterson -0.264 7.5 1.6 4.8 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.42 6.2 0.75 1 0.7
145 Brandon Ingram -0.269 14.1 0.9 5.1 3.3 1.3 0.5 0.43 12.8 0.63 3.6 1.9
146 Eric Gordon -0.272 13 2.7 2.6 1.8 0.6 0.5 0.39 11 0.85 2.1 1.4
147 Ben Simmons -0.282 11.8 0 6.5 5.7 1 0.8 0.48 10.2 0.67 3.1 3.3
148 Tyreke Evans -0.287 10.9 1.1 4 4 1 0.2 0.42 9.5 0.76 2.5 1.6
149 Kyle O’Quinn -0.294 5.9 0 5.5 1.5 0.5 1.2 0.51 5 0.77 1.1 1
150 Ryan Anderson -0.298 11.3 2.8 3.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.41 8.7 0.85 1.7 0.6
151 Frank Kaminski -0.299 11.1 1.6 4.3 2 0.7 0.5 0.4 10 0.75 2 1
152 Reggie Jackson -0.329 15.5 1.4 2.4 5.7 0.6 0.1 0.42 13.6 0.87 3.1 2.4
153 Milos Teodosic -0.333 11.7 2.2 1.6 6.5 0.5 0 0.435 8.5 0.88 2.4 2.7
154 Tyson Chandler -0.352 5.2 0 8.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.65 3.1 0.72 1.7 1
155 Dwight Howard -0.380 11 0 9.5 1 0.7 1 0.61 6.9 0.51 5.1 2

Random Thoughts on the projections:

  • Yes, I also love Jokic as much as or more than Son does. I drafted him last year and stuck with him throughout his nonsensical benching. I put myself to sleep every night with videos of his passes and handles. With that said, I think he can realistically end the season at number nine or even higher due to a slight uptick in assists and attempts from the field. The most important thing is he represents hope for all the chubby but talented children who play basketball and aspire to become NBA players some day.

Frankly I can relate…

  • To avoid rioting in the comments section, Embiid at 25 represents his PER GAME value. I’m under no illusion that he will play close to 80 games, so his total value will be lower. But ohh boy, when he plays he is so fun to watch and a premium stat sheet stuffer.
  • I have great hopes for both Gary Harris and Aaron Gordon in their fourth years in the league. Harris has already established himself as a top 60 fantasy commodity and is rapidly trending up with more shots coming his way with Gallo gone. Gordon was 51st for the last two 2 months of the season when he was playing his natural PF position without Ibaka around. He is becoming the centerpiece of the Orlando franchise (which is approaching Kings level of incompetence in the trading and asset management department).
  • I have Dedmon fairly higher than Son and I believe he is more valuable in Roto with his good Fg% and BLK. He has a great opportunity to play around 28 minutes for the first time in his career and I think they will be enough to produce top 70 value. Mike Muscala is his backup so yeah…

That’s all from me guys. I am waiting for your thoughts and will be lurking in the comments section to answer them all. Before I sign out, one big shootout to JB who with his writing and passion for Razzball got me hooked to the site and made me want to contribute as well. Hope everyone has a great fantasy year!

19 Comments
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Lasandro
Lasandro
5 years ago

Welcome to the community bro! I’m a roto man myself, no doubt, so these are great. Of course, plenty of major differences between your list and Son’s (look at that Dennis Smith Jr ranking!), but this still excites me.

0
Kostas
Author
Kostas
5 years ago
Reply to  Lasandro

@Lasandro: Glad to be here!It’s only natural to have many differences with Son’s H2H rankings but that’s the whole point.Nice to see i’m not the only one who prefers roto around here!

0
Smush9
Smush9
5 years ago

Yoooo! Love this! Though I play both Roto and H2H, I am definitely a bigger fan and proponent of Roto. I have the exact same sentiments as you with regards to the luck aspect, etc. Been following Razzball for a few years now, and have had to base my rankings on the H2H ones provided by JB before, and by Son now. No complaint obviously since they all were/are great (just had to make some adjustments). But I absolutely love and appreciate a Roto-based ranking such as this. Sooo a HUGE thank you! Hope to read more content from you bro!

0
Kostas
Author
Kostas
5 years ago
Reply to  Smush9

@Smush9: I was in the same position as you for the past years,since i mainly play roto so i had to adjust the rankings accordingly…Thanks for your kind words,will keep new content coming !!

0
Grizz
Grizz
5 years ago

Echoing what others have said, appreciating the pre-season Roto rankings on RazzBall. Thank you guys.

Let me be the first to ask about some specific Rankings.

1. Andrew Bogut Signed in LA after you released this list – You have Larry Nance pretty high @ 75 and I believe a lot of that ranking had to do with him getting more mins overall this season ( some at C ).
Wondering if you think Nance needs to be shifted back ? or do you still see him inside the top 90 ? I know they want to run a lot and he’s probably their best defender but it’s a real logjam at PF & C.

2. Boban – what is his value for Roto ? You have him @119 ahead of people like DSJR, Yet Jon Leuer is not on your list.
From everything I’m reading DET is going to start Stanley Johnson / Harris, meanwhile Leuer is going to play heavy mins at both PF & C.
This doesn’t bode well for Boban to get more than 12-14 mins a game.
Agree / Disagree ?

0
Kostas
Author
Kostas
5 years ago
Reply to  Grizz

@Grizz: Hello Grizz,thank you for your appreciation!Regarding your questions:

1)You are correct to assume my relatively high ranking on Nance had to do with the thought that he will play some backup center(Zubac was pretty meh during Summer League and he does not fit their style). The arrival of Bogut surely limits his minutes at Center and thus his upside.Right now i’d view him as outside the top 100 with upside to get back in with one or two injuries in the Lakers frontcourt.

2)I think Boban can get roughly 15-16 minutes per game,especially in situations where hack-a-Andre is happening.If he gets those minutes he is roto friendly enough with his good percentages to return top 120 value. Leuer interestingly enough just barely missed the cut(i think he was something like 158 when i run his numbers) but keep in mind he finished last season ranked no234 in the last 3 months(per game) while playing close to 25 minutes.Do you think he plays more minutes than than?I’m interested to know your thoughts on him.

0
Grizz
Grizz
5 years ago
Reply to  Kostas

@Kostas:

Ya, is it wrong that I wouldn’t mind a Lopez injury/resting ?
Anyways LA ran the 6th fastest pace last year, that was without Ball. I think Nance’s transition speed and defense keeps him on the court with at least 24-25 mins.

I’m not high on Leuer at all… but I do think he would make the cut of 155 in around 25mins.

The first 3-4 months of the season Leuer had solid production around 100th in about 26 mins per game. And then ran out of gas in the last half of season.

Only 6% of his playing time was at C though. This year, I think he steals more minutes at C .
He shoots the 3 and is a more capable perimeter defender and quick enough to guard stretch 5’s better than Boban or Drummond.

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Kostas
Author
Kostas
5 years ago
Reply to  Grizz

@Grizz: Seems to me like EVERY year Brook is either injured or resting down the stretch. I blame the Nets…I blame them for everything after their famous deal with Boston(most shortsighted trade in history) but that’s just me…

Back to the fantasy side of things,although Bogut does not fit their style either i can’t see how he doesn’t play 10-15 minutes so you are being optimistic with your assumption than Nance plays 24-25. if he ends up playing that much because Bogut has knees made of glass then he becomes a steal.

Van Gundy said he wants to play Boban this year so i think he gets the bulk of the backup C minutes.I agree that Leuer’s quicker feet can give him minutes at the 5 against quicker teams.To emphasize how close to be in the rankings he is,if i increase his projected steals just by 0,1 he jumps to no146.

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ZorntoLargent
ZorntoLargent
5 years ago

Havent played roto in awhile but back to it this season. Would Goberts FT% (and high # of FTA) negate alot of his roto value or does he shoot just well enough not to sink your team in that cat? Thanks.

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Kostas
Author
Kostas
5 years ago
Reply to  ZorntoLargent

@ZorntoLargent: Welcome back to everyone’s favorite fantasy scoring system(totally unbiased opinion)…Gobert can be a bit of an anchor in the ft% department but his contributions elsewhere more than make up for it. It definitely doesn’t negate his value,he still is projected at no11 despite slightly decreasing his free throw percentage and increasing his attempts in my projections.He is nowhere near the burden Deandre and Drummond are for the category so you can safely draft him in the late first or early second round.

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Chris
Chris
5 years ago

Hello,

I’m in a 12 team, 9-cat h2h keeper league (we get to keep 2 players every year) with no IR spot. This year I have Westbrook and Lowry as my keepers. I also get to draft 1st this year, and the top available players in my opinion are:

John Wall
Damian Lillard
Kristaps Porzingis
Myles Turner

I also acquired a lot of mid-round draft picks last year, and on top of getting the 1st pick, my next picks are the equivalent of picking 48th, 49th, 54th, 58th, 59th, 64th, 67th, 72nd, 73rd, and 78th in a standard 12 team draft. So basically my last pick (78th) is the equivalent of a mid-7th rd pick in a 12 team league.

Who would you pick 1st??

I’m leaning towards either John Wall or Kristaps Porzingis. Since I have Westbrook, I’m probably going to have to punt FG% and/or TOs. So Wall seems like a good pairing. The other option is picking Kristaps so that I have at least one quality big man before drafting next with the 48th pick.

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Kostas
Author
Kostas
5 years ago
Reply to  Chris

@Chris: Dude you are killing all my Roto-only vibes…not cool…

I’m kidding of course,all comments and questions are appreciated.It’s kinda hard to pass up on a Westbrook-Wall combination since you can easily pull of a succesfull TO punt(and most likely fg% as well).You can try to package a bunch of you middle round picks for a chance to snag Turner or Porzingis as well, though it might be difficult.Even if you can move up a round or two it will be worth it to get a quality big that fits your build.

If you end up pairing the two guards try to get as many good rebounding-blocking big men(priority no1) and 3-D wings to lock down the other categories since you definitely don’t need another point guard whatsoever.Hope i helped in any way!

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Kat kat
Kat kat
5 years ago

Great write-up

If Double double added to the league, who’s your best pick in round 1?

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Kostas
Author
Kostas
5 years ago
Reply to  Kat kat

@Kat kat: With the DD category added i think Towns gets a massive boost and maybe is the clear no1.If you are feeling lucky you can bet on Anthony Davis who also has a DD fairly regular.Guys like Gobert,Jokic,Wesbrook and Wall(plus Harden and Paul to a smaller extent) also have higher value…

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Brandon
Brandon
5 years ago
Reply to  Kostas

@Kostas:

I’m in a brand new keeper league starting this year, but by no means new to the sport. We also have DD as a cat but no TO. I have 3rd pick and am fairly certain my Dad-in-law is taking Curry @ 1. 01. A lot of sites have The Greek Freak rated 1st this year and rightfully so, but I am really high on KAT with his dominance and age. Do you support taking KAT @ 3 or taking Freak if KAT goes 1.02? Also can you explain why Westbrook and Harden aren’t rated 1/2 in ROTO, or would they be with no TO cat, and would you take either of them instead? Thanks!

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Kostas
Author
Kostas
5 years ago
Reply to  Brandon

@Brandon: Starting from the last part of your comment, without the turnover cat Westbrook and Harden would indeed be the clear 1-2.If your league was not a keeper i would suggest one of them would be a better pick but the potential of Giannis and KAT to dominate for years to come is undeniable.I think i agree with your decision and would take the one who falls at you at the no3 spot, with KAT getting a slight edge due to the DD cat…

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bucabrera
bucabrera
5 years ago

Good day guys! Been a follower of Razzball for 3 years already and your site has been very helpful in the NBA fantasy leagues that I join. Currently, I need assistance on how to improve my roster for a 16 team standard 9-CAT ROTO league. Your inputs/recommendations
are very welcome and appreciated. My team is below:

S. Curry GS – PG,SG
M. Gasol Mem – C
P. Millsap Den – PF,C
R. Covington Phi – SF,PF
J. Randle LAL – PF
D. Collison Ind – PG,SG
E. Fournier Orl – SG,SF
K. Caldwell-Pope LAL – SG
A. Len Pho – PF,C
A. Crabbe Bkn – PG,SG
D. Mitchell Uta – SG
B. Adebayo MIA – C
K. Korver Cle – SG,SF
W. Selden Mem – SF
C. Lee NY – SG,SF

Thanks and more power Razzball!!!

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Kostas
Author
Kostas
5 years ago
Reply to  bucabrera

@bucabrera: I like your team overall,it’s always nice especially in a deeper league to have a true superstar like curry and your top picks are on point.I would personally try to trade Fournier as he holds more “name” than actual value,crabbe can provide the same stats more or less.Maybe aim for a big with good percentages to help you there as you don’t have an elite fg% guy currently(your bigs all have below-average fg% for big men)…

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Eric
Eric
5 years ago

This is awesome! Do you also have Roto Rankings w/o TO’s? Thanks Kostas!

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