Hello Razzball Nation! My name is Kostas (as you may have correctly guessed by the avatar name at the top) and I’m the latest addition to the fantasy crew here. I’m not that good with introductions so I’ll just say that I love fantasy and basketball in general and can talk about it for days. I’m more experienced in Roto leagues and I frankly prefer them compared to H2H. Too much luck involved in the championship matchup (injuries, resting of star players, etc) for my taste. So, for my first post I’ve prepared my projections for the top 155 (just to irritate people that like round numbers such as 100 and 150) players in roto, since Son has already covered the H2H part. The player value was calculated with the “z-score” method (the most widely used) and takes into account the nine standard categories (PTS, 3PT, REB, AST, STL, BLK, FG%, FT%, TO). One last thing to note is that the player value is the PER GAME player value, so injuries and games played are not included. Without further ado, here are the projections:

1Kevin Durant0.83825.31.884.711.30.5416.50.8756.52.3
2Anthony Davis0.81127.80.611.52.11.320.520.30.8048.62.1
3Stephen Curry0.79526.
4Karl-Anthony Towns0.775261.3122.
5Giannis Antetokounmpo0.69724.
6Kawhi Leonard0.67425.925.
7James Harden0.60928.23.37.981.40.40.4417.80.84114.3
8Russell Westbrook0.57928.429.
9Nikola Jokic0.51419.50.710.
10Chris Paul0.49918.12.24.591.80.10.46513.50.893.82.4
11Rudy Gobert0.49417.5012.
12Jimmy Butler0.482221.
13Kyrie Irving0.46526.
14Damian Lillard0.46127.
15LeBron James0.44026.
16Paul George0.41120.
17DeMarcus Cousins0.40124.2211.
18Myles Turner0.38918.
19Kristaps Porzingis0.33820.
20John Wall0.31823.11.24.310.
21Hassan Whiteside0.31516.8012.
22Otto Porter0.29113.
23Draymond Green0.26810.
24Kevin Love0.26719.52.511.
25Joel Embiid0.26118.
26CJ McCollum0.25622.
27Marc Gasol0.25519.
28Kemba Walker0.23922.
29Blake Griffin0.23522.
30Kyle Lowry0.23418.
31Mike Conley0.230192.
32Klay Thompson0.22322.
33Bradley Beal0.215232.
34Gordon Hayward0.20019.
35Nerlens Noel0.19910.707.611.
36Al Horford0.18712.
37Paul Millsap0.18316.
38Brook Lopez0.18019.
39Nikola Vucevic0.17615.70.310.42.8110.4914.10.742.21.7
40Robert Covington0.16812.
41Isaiah Thomas0.13921.
42Gary Harris0.13416.92.23.431.30.10.5112.50.782.51.5
43Ricky Rubio0.13012.
44Trevor Ariza0.09711.
45Eric Bledsoe0.094201.
46Serge Ibaka0.091141.
47Clint Capela0.07213.908.
48DeMar DeRozan0.05925.10.55.1410.20.4619.10.848.42.4
49Khris Middleton0.05816.
50Jrue Holiday0.033151.
51Victor Oladipo0.03318.31.54.541.50.50.4415.40.784.22.3
52LaMarcus Aldridge0.02416.
53Nicolas Batum0.01915.
54Avery Bradley0.01917.524.
55Danilo Gallinari0.00217.6252.
56Goran Dragic-0.00218.
57Aaron Gordon-0.0115.3162.110.70.4712.40.763.51.3
58DeAndre Jordan-0.01212.9013.
59James Johnson-0.0213.91.1541.11.20.4811.
60Jeremy Lin-0.02416.
61Jeff Teague-0.03213.
62Thaddeus Young-0.03711.
63Elfrid Payton-0.04113.50.567.610.50.4811.40.7132.4
64Tobias Harris-0.04215.91.351.
65Dewayne Dedmon-0.0429.608.810.
66Jusuf Nurkic-0.05114.6010.62.911.60.511.
67Carmelo Anthony-0.06119.
68Michael Kidd-Gilchrist-0.0619.1206.
69Willie Cauley-Stein-0.06912.608.1210.90.5110.
70Willy Hernangomez-0.07111.
71Malcolm Brogdon-0.07412.
72D’Angelo Russell-0.07518.
73Andre Drummond-0.09313.801411.51.20.5311.50.364.71.9
74Dirk Nowitzki-0.093141.
75Larry Nance-0.0957.
76Dennis Schroder-0.09719.
77Patrick Beverley-0.0979.
78Marquese Chriss-0.09913.
79TJ Warren-
80Pau Gasol-0.10511.
81Marcus Smart-0.108111.
82Harrison Barnes-0.11118.
83Terrence Ross-0.11511.41.931.
84Lonzo Ball-0.1211.
85Joe Ingles-0.1219.
86Zach LaVine-0.12217.62.333.
87Nikola Mirotic-0.12611.
88Allen Crabbe-0.1281223.
89JJ Redick-0.12914.
90Rodney Hood-0.1316.
91Lou Williams-0.13114.422.42.510.20.42100.874.71.6
92Rajon Rondo-0.13280.
93Jae Crowder-0.132101.
94Jamal Murray-0.1331323.
95Steven Adams-0.13310.507.91110.577.
96Rondae Hollis-0.13510.80.27.321.20.70.458.90.753.51.4
97George Hill-0.13913.
98Kent Bazemore-0.1412.
99Jonas Valanciunas-0.15110.808.
100Derrick Favors-0.15612.
101JaMychal Green-0.15610.
102Tyler Johnson-0.15711.
103Andre Iguodala-0.1587.20.843.410.50.515.40.691.30.8
104Devin Booker-0.1623.123.43.610.30.4219.40.835.93.1
105Tim Hardaway Jr-0.16516.
106Rudy Gay-0.16811.
107Julius Randle-0.16913.
108Evan Fournier-0.17316.622.72.810.10.44513.10.813.71.9
109Darren Collison-0.17312.
110Marvin Williams-0.1779.41.45.710.60.60.447.80.851.40.6
111Kentavious Caldwell-0.17812.
112Cody Zeller-0.1788.806.
113Wilson Chandler-0.18114.
114Seth Curry-0.18211.
115Markieff Morris-0.18313.916.
116Moe Harkless-0.1868.
117Andre Roberson-0.1876.
118Taurean Prince-0.18711.
119Boban Marjanovic-0.1899.506.
120Marcin Gortat-0.1939.309.
121Dwyane Wade-0.19815.80.543.
122John Collins-0.198100.
123Greg Monroe-0.2011106.
124Danny Green-0.2047.
125Skal Labissiere-0.20812.
127Tristan Thompson-0.2188.608.610.510.595.90.572.90.8
128Dennis Smith Jr-0.2213.
129Al-Farouq Aminu-0.2228.
130Robin Lopez-0.22610.706.410.21.50.519.70.741.21.3
131Gorgui Dieng-0.2297.
132Chris Dunn-0.2357.
133CJ Miles-0.23611.
134Richaun Holmes-0.2388.90.450.
135Wesley Matthews-0.23811.
136Caris LeVert-0.2410.
137Patty Mills-0.24311.622.
138Josh Richardson-0.2448.913.
139DeMarre Carroll-0.2479.
140Enes Kanter-0.2551406.
141Andrew Wiggins-0.25819.
142Markelle Fultz-0.26114.
143Buddy Hield-0.26213.
144Patrick Patterson-0.2647.
145Brandon Ingram-0.26914.
146Eric Gordon-0.272132.
147Ben Simmons-0.28211.806.55.710.80.4810.20.673.13.3
148Tyreke Evans-0.28710.91.14410.20.429.50.762.51.6
149Kyle O’Quinn-0.2945.905.
150Ryan Anderson-0.29811.
151Frank Kaminski-0.29911.11.64.320.70.50.4100.7521
152Reggie Jackson-0.32915.
153Milos Teodosic-0.33311.
154Tyson Chandler-0.3525.
155Dwight Howard-0.3801109.510.710.616.90.515.12

Random Thoughts on the projections:

  • Yes, I also love Jokic as much as or more than Son does. I drafted him last year and stuck with him throughout his nonsensical benching. I put myself to sleep every night with videos of his passes and handles. With that said, I think he can realistically end the season at number nine or even higher due to a slight uptick in assists and attempts from the field. The most important thing is he represents hope for all the chubby but talented children who play basketball and aspire to become NBA players some day.

Frankly I can relate…

  • To avoid rioting in the comments section, Embiid at 25 represents his PER GAME value. I’m under no illusion that he will play close to 80 games, so his total value will be lower. But ohh boy, when he plays he is so fun to watch and a premium stat sheet stuffer.
  • I have great hopes for both Gary Harris and Aaron Gordon in their fourth years in the league. Harris has already established himself as a top 60 fantasy commodity and is rapidly trending up with more shots coming his way with Gallo gone. Gordon was 51st for the last two 2 months of the season when he was playing his natural PF position without Ibaka around. He is becoming the centerpiece of the Orlando franchise (which is approaching Kings level of incompetence in the trading and asset management department).
  • I have Dedmon fairly higher than Son and I believe he is more valuable in Roto with his good Fg% and BLK. He has a great opportunity to play around 28 minutes for the first time in his career and I think they will be enough to produce top 70 value. Mike Muscala is his backup so yeah…

That’s all from me guys. I am waiting for your thoughts and will be lurking in the comments section to answer them all. Before I sign out, one big shootout to JB who with his writing and passion for Razzball got me hooked to the site and made me want to contribute as well. Hope everyone has a great fantasy year!