Buy low! Sell high! Somehow make millions off frozen orange juice futures by short selling them that still sorta confuses me!
Yessir, auction values are here! And just like how I talked about approaching auctions last year, get your wallets wide open for KD (also look at my blurb for the final $1 pick… Haha – still my thoughts exactly!). First off – unless you are fortunate enough to have Kevin Durant as a keeper or luck into a randomized first overall pick, you’re not going to get him. So in an auction setting, I imagine the bidding to be frantic. However, I think he’s worth the ridiculous premium I have him listed for. Maybe by fortune of having the greatest fantasy editor job in the world, I have done so much work with rankings that I feel I can round out a stars-and-scrubs team spending half my budget on Durant.
As with all fantasy auction drafts, have a few guys on your radar, but have an open mind. Value can come at any time for any player. I also want to note, some of these values mean I’m getting a guy in all auctions, even if it’s at a price much lower than the values I have them listed for. Michael Carter-Williams is the obvious guy there. He’s averaging an $8 buy on Yahoo. I’m not saying “if the bid is at $7, bid $38 on MCW!” It’s just how I would have listed projected auction values using my ranks to give you an idea of how high or how low I would be in an auction setting. So what my $38 is saying is, “buy MCW in all leagues!”
Sorry if I’m a little slow with your awesome comments this week, but I’m back full force this weekend with a new Pod with Slim next week as well.
Values are based on Yahoo standard line-up (PG, SG, G, SF, PF, F, C, C, UTIL, UTIL, BN, BN, BN) and 12-team leagues (RCL size – and we need more leagues! Commish one now!) with a $200 budget:
2014-2015 Fantasy Basketball Auction Rankings
| $ | PLAYER, TEAM | POS | NOTE |
| $99 | Kevin Durant, OKC | SF, PF | This will be the only auction-specific blurb, but Durant is so much better than the field that I’d pump half my money into him. Kinda like the city of Washington, D.C. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .505/.880/2.2/31.0/7.6/5.0/1.3/0.8/3.5 :38 | ||
| $83 | Anthony Davis, NOP | PF, C | Very legit chance of going 20/10 with a rainbow line. Well, we can dream and he could be really close. As close as his brows! |
| Slim’s Projection: | .510/.780/0.4/23.5/9.8/1.8/1.5/3.0/1.9 :38 | ||
| $80 | Stephen Curry, GSW | PG, SG | Steady as she blows, big threes and big dimes, with a vault in the latter in 13-14. Kerr as the new coach shouldn’t change anything and Curry still has ThrAGNOF king Klay Thompson to camp for treys. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .465/.900/3.5/24.0/4.1/8.7/1.7/0.2/3.6 :38 | ||
| $78 | LeBron James, CLE | SF, PF | Disappearing blocks, regressing boards – especially with Love joining – and arguably the best supporting cast with the best PG he’s played with. Less rock for King! |
| Slim’s Projection: | .550/.750/1.3/25.0/6.4/5.9/1.6/0.4/3.2 :38 | ||
| $72 | Chris Paul, LAC | PG | Should have no problem leading in APG yet again in 14-15, after lapping the field by nearly two dimes a game in 13-14. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .460/.860/1.2/18.0/4.1/10.6/2.3/0.1/2.2 :36 | ||
| $72 | James Harden, HOU | SG, SF | Started a little rough last year, but with an unbelievable post-ASB slash of 27.7/4.7/7.4/1.9/0.3 shooting 47% from the field with three treys a game, ended up duplicating his 12-13 breakout. Only 24, no Jeremy Lin, I see a new career-high in assists and another elite season. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .450/.860/2.5/26.0/4.9/6.4/1.7/0.4/3.7 :38 | ||
| $69 | Serge Ibaka, OKC | PF, C | Iblocka! Plus he should take another baby step forward in FG%, Pts, treys… There’s really nothing not to like. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .525/.770/0.6/17.0/9.3/1.2/0.5/3.0/1.5 :34 | ||
| $67 | Kevin Love, CLE | PF, C | With LeBron and Varejao cutting into his boards, Kyrie will also slash his points and treys. Still a multi-cat contributor, but not the top-5 stud while in Minny. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .465/.820/2.3/21.0/11.2/2.6/0.7/0.4/2.1 :36 | ||
| $62 | John Wall, WAS | PG | Led NBA in total assists, played 82 games, and still young and developing with Beal. Hopefully the slight signs of wear down last year (dare I say, he hit a wall?) we be overcome. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.810/1.3/20.5/4.1/9.2/1.8/0.7/3.6 :38 | ||
| $62 | Russell Westbrook, OKC | PG | A rough 13-14 season with injuries and TOs, he developed a career-best perimeter game and I think a healthy season will reap 10th overall value. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.820/1.4/23.0/5.2/7.2/1.8/0.2/3.8 :34 | ||
| $60 | Carmelo Anthony, NYK | SF, PF | I don’t expect the career highs in boards and blocks to carry over to 14-15, but will be the same elite scorer for Phil J’s triangle. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .455/.830/2.2/27.0/6.8/3.5/1.0/0.5/2.6 :38 | ||
| $59 | DeMarcus Cousins, SAC | PF, C | Finally put it all together last year, and should once again set a career mark in scoring with IT2 replaced by Collison. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .490/.740/0/24.0/12.0/3.0/1.6/1.3/3.5 :34 | ||
| $50 | Paul Millsap, ATL | PF, C | A bit of a reach, but his best month of scoring/treys in 13-14 was with Horford on the court, and will continue to develop the perimeter game with Horford establishing the paint. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .465/.740/1.0/19.0/8.7/3.1/1.8/1.0/2.5 :36 | ||
| $49 | Al Horford, ATL | PF, C | Was having a career season until the pec injury. Same argument as Millsap – another perimeter threat will help Horford down low. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .540/.720/0/18.0/8.9/3.0/1.0/1.3/2.2 :34 | ||
| $48 | LaMarcus Aldridge, POR | PF, C | The FG% from a big is no fun, but a sneaky multi-cat contributor. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .455/.810/0/22.0/9.8/2.5/0.9/0.9/1.9 :36 | ||
| $47 | Al Jefferson, CHA | PF, C | Had an unreal run in the second half of 13-14, going 25.2/11.4/2.3/1/1 from Jan. 14 to the end of the year. Plantar fascia seems to be a non-issue. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .490/.730/0/20.0/10.0/2.0/1.0/1.0/1.7 :34 | ||
| $45 | Dirk Nowitzki, DAL | PF, C | The age is the question, but I don’t see much of a fall off. That said, boards are trending down. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .475/.880/1.4/21.0/6.2/2.6/0.9/0.6/1.5 :34 | ||
| $45 | Blake Griffin, LAC | PF, C | A breakout last year, I think he replicates his 13-14. But why in the name of Mutumbo can this guy not block more shots?! |
| Slim’s Projection: | .530/.720/0/24.0/9.4/4.0/1.2/0.6/2.7 :36 | ||
| $43 | Damian Lillard, POR | PG | Opening the run on PGs, Lillard gives you elite 3s/FT%/consistency. Should be third straight season of solid-ness. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.870/2.8/22.0/3.5/6.5/1.0/0.2/2.4 :36 | ||
| $42 | Goran Dragic, PHO | PG, SG | One of my big crushes this year, the FG% from a PG is elite. I see dimes going up and an even better follow-up after his 13-14 breakout. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .480/.770/1.4/18.0/3.1/6.2/1.4/0.3/2.7 :34 | ||
| $42 | Kyrie Irving, CLE | PG, SG | It’s all postulation, but I think Kyrie can surprise with ratios, get more assists than most (Slim!) expects, but at the expense of a few points. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.860/1.6/18.0/3.4/5.2/1.5/0.3/2.4 :34 | ||
| $41 | Kawhi Leonard, SAS | SG, SF | I love Kawhi, so fun to watch, but with Pop and Duncan back, I think the rotations and usage will prove frustrating again. Grab him at the turn in 12ers if he’s there, but I’m not reaching earlier. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .490/.810/1.4/15.0/6.8/2.2/1.9/0.8/1.5 :34 | ||
| $39 | Rajon Rondo, BOS | PG | There’s a lot of risk in his first healthy year in Brad Stevens’ system, but the development of a perimeter game and upside for 11 assists make him a great high-upside grab. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .445/.630/0.7/12.0/5.3/9.6/1.5/0.1/3.2 :32 | ||
| $39 | Kyle Lowry, TOR | PG | A monster breakout last year, I think he can do it again, injury-risk after career-long issue still a big concern. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .420/.800/2.1/17.0/4.4/7.2/1.5/0.2/2.4 :34 | ||
| $39 | Ty Lawson, DEN | PG | Chock full of dimebags like a true Denver dispensary! |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.790/1.2/18.0/3.4/8.8/1.5/0.2/3.2 :36 | ||
| $38 | Michael Carter-Williams, PHI | PG | I’m all-in, elite rebounds from a guard, shot better from the field post-ASB, immense upside. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .410/.710/1.0/18.0/6.4/6.7/2.0/0.7/3.6 :36 | ||
| $37 | Nicolas Batum, POR | SG, SF | Safe, reliable, multi-cat goodness. Should replicate 13-14 with relative ease. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .465/.820/2.0/13.5/7.2/5.0/1.0/0.8/2.4 :36 | ||
| $37 | Chris Bosh, MIA | PF, C | LeBron gone gives the perennial high-floor option a high-ceiling as well. Expansion of a perimeter game and more shots his way should yield another top-30 season. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .495/.820/0.7/18.0/7.4/2.2/0.9/1.0/1.9 :34 | ||
| $36 | Nikola Vucevic, ORL | PF, C | Has always been underrated, should have another 1+ 5-cat line with his minutes bouncing back up and terrific %s. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .510/.770/0/16.0/11.8/1.9/1.0/1.0/2.0 :34 | ||
| $34 | Ricky Rubio, MIN | PG | The offense continues to be muy mal, but another elite ast/stl season is worth the price of admission. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .390/.800/0.8/12.0/4.2/8.9/2.4/0.1/3.0 :34 | ||
| $34 | Mike Conley, MEM | PG | Is the anti-Rubio, safer on all fronts, but without the category-killing upside. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .450/.820/1.4/17.0/2.8/6.1/1.7/0.2/2.1 :34 | ||
| $30 | Marc Gasol, MEM | C | 19th overall player final two months, and that’s after recovering from a bad MCL sprain. Started slow under the Joerger regime, I’m stoked if Gasol falls to me here. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .480/.780/0/15.0/7.8/3.8/1.0/1.4/1.9 :34 | ||
| $30 | Joakim Noah, CHI | PF, C | Had a career season without Rose, obvious regression to hit and lengthy track record of lingering injuries scares me. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .490/.740/0/12.0/10.4/3.8/1.2/1.6/2.1 :34 | ||
| $28 | Rudy Gay, SAC | SF, PF | The high TOs from a F are annoying, but he’s reliable and durable for what he is. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .445/.790/0.7/19.0/5.5/2.8/1.3/0.6/2.8 :34 | ||
| $28 | Victor Oladipo, ORL | PG, SG | I’m hoping to get RainbOladipo on all of my teams – Orlando has cleared out the annoying G vets and given him the keys. Lost 20 pounds and is ready for a big breakout. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.790/1.2/17.5/4.7/4.8/1.8/0.6/3.2 :34 | ||
| $27 | Andre Drummond, DET | PF, C | Stan Van Gundy to emphasis rotations for defensive efficiency, FT% could have him losing some late minutes, but the output was mammothian last year and should be again in 14-15. A lot of people are reaching, but I’m not getting him close to top 20. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .600/.440/0/14.5/12.9/0.5/1.4/1.7/1.5 :34 | ||
| $26 | Jrue Holiday, NOP | PG | The Pelicans are turning into a really interesting team if they can stay healthy, with Jrue the true PG running the show. December slash of 16.3/4.6/9/1.4/0.4 while finally gelling with the offense pre-injury shows you the upside. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.780/1.0/15.0/4.2/7.8/1.6/0.4/3.3 :34 | ||
| $25 | Kemba Walker, CHA | PG | Late-January ankle sprain lingered through the end of the season, improving AST:TO ratio while shooting tremendously pre-injury could make a draft day steal. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .410/.820/1.6/18.0/4.2/6.4/1.4/0.4/2.4 :36 | ||
| $24 | Monta Ellis, DAL | PG, SG | A rock-solid safety pick, and he should have no problem duplicating 13-14 with maybe even a tad more upside with Dallas’ downgrade at PG. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/775/0.8/19.0/3.7/5.9/1.5/0.2/3.1 :36 | ||
| $23 | Chandler Parsons, DAL | SF, PF | Immediately makes me a Mavs fan, but still in a high-powered offense and won’t vault too much in value. I’m hoping his ADP is a round lower. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .470/.750/1.7/15.5/5.6/3.9/1.2/0.4/1.8 :36 | ||
| $23 | Derrick Favors, UTA | PF, C | So, so underrated. Shot 52.2% from the field last year, and with a terrible supporting cast, was creating his own post opportunities. Played only 30 MPG last year, will get expanded if he can cut down the fouls and boost the board and blocks. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .505/.690/0/16.0/9.6/1.4/1.1/1.8/2.0 :34 | ||
| $22 | DeAndre Jordan, LAC | C | Played 3 minutes less a game post-ASB, and getting benched late is a worry for me. No way he plays 35 per in 14-15. I think we see more hack-a-Dre. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .650/.440/0/9.5/11.7/0.8/0.9/2.1/1.3 :32 | ||
| $20 | Jabari Parker, MIL | SF | I’m reaching for the rookie – I think counting stats will be reliable and have a pretty consistent 34ish minute role. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .460/.760/0.7/14.5/7.8/1.0/0.9/0.7/2.8 :30 | ||
| $19 | Eric Bledsoe, PHX | PG, SG | I expect to be one of the lowest rankers on E Bled, finished only 52nd in per-game last year, contract dispute seems annoying, injury-risk still there, turned the ball over way too much in his first season as a full-time starter. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .465/.780/1.2/17.5/4.8/5.6/1.6/0.4/3.4 :34 | ||
| $19 | Kobe Bryant, LAL | PG, SG | Incredibly polarizing – upside is huge, downside is he gets hurt again early on. I feel good with the risk here. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.840/1.3/19.0/4.6/5.0/1.1/0.2/2.0 :34 | ||
| $18 | Derrick Rose, CHI | PG | I’m likely passing on D-Rose in all leagues, I think he’s lost too much with the knee injuries and I don’t like the risk. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .420/.820/1.6/18.0/3.2/6.3/0.8/0.4/3.4 :32 | ||
| $18 | Brook Lopez, BKN | C | Was 12th overall in per-game value in a short 13-14 sample, injury-risk still a big concern, but upside is tremendous. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .510/.790/0/18.0/6.0/1.0/0.5/1.6/1.7 :30 | ||
| $18 | Wesley Matthews, POR | SG, SF | Definition of a safe pick, has played in every game in 4 of his 5 seasons, microscopic TOs, a perfect compliment to a high volume TO PG who doesn’t make enough 3s. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.830/2.4/16.0/3.4/2.4/1.1/0.2/1.4 :34 | ||
| $17 | Pau Gasol, CHI | PF, C | FG% should jump back up on a better team, out-of-position dimes are huge, chips in blocks still as well… Not much to not like other than injury risk. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .500/.750/0/16.0/8.4/2.9/0.4/1.3/1.8 :30 | ||
| $17 | Gordon Hayward, UTA | SG, SF | His shooting from the field has consistently gone down in more minutes, Exum/Burke are not going to help FG% and TOs. Some slumps are going to be tough to bear, but overall slash should be solid. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.820/1.4/18.0/5.2/5.3/1.4/0.5/2.6 :36 | ||
| $17 | Nerlens Noel, PHI | PF, C | Immense upside, more polished offensive game than he gets credit for – the probable minutes limitation does make it a gamble. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .510/.680/0/10.5/7.4/1.3/1.5/2.6/1.9 :28 | ||
| $16 | Marcin Gortat, WAS | C | Huge season in Wizards debut, should have no problem having a comparable encore. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .545/.680/0/13.0/9.4/1.5/0.5/1.4/1.5 :32 | ||
| $15 | Tim Duncan, SAS | PF, C | Despite losing minutes and a racking up a couple DNPs, finished top-40 last year. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .480/.740/0/14.0/8.9/2.5/0.5/1.5/1.8 :28 | ||
| $13 | Dwight Howard, HOU | PF, C | FT shooting kills him in 9-cat, would be near elite in non-FT/non-TO leagues. Ultimate league settings-variable pick. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .580/.550/0/18.0/11.9/1.6/0.9/1.9/2.9 :34 | ||
| $13 | Thaddeus Young, MIN | SF, PF | Move to Minnesota will hurt his offense, but out-of-position steals help cement his fairly high-floor. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .460/.710/0.9/16.5/6.0/2.1/1.7/0.5/2.0 :34 | ||
| $11 | Deron Williams, BKN | PG | Minutes will be down again and injuries always seem to derail him, but still has some upside. Worth the gamble on his ankles at this point. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.810/1.4/15.0/2.6/6.6/1.1/0.2/2.5 :32 | ||
| $11 | Trevor Ariza, HOU | SG, SF | Big breakout in 13-14 minimized with move to Houston, but 3s with low-TOs should yield another solid season. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .450/.770/1.9/13.0/6.1/2.4/1.6/0.3/1.7 :34 | ||
| $11 | DeMar DeRozan, TOR | SG, SF | For as high-volume a scorer he is, TOs very manageable. Improved his multi-catness (well, former lack thereof) by adding a trey and getting up to 4 dimes a game last year. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.820/0.5/23.0/4.1/3.9/0.9/0.3/2.1 :36 | ||
| $9 | David Lee, GSW | PF, C | Boring Pts/Reb guy, solid %s and high-floor keep him top-60. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .510/.780/0/17.0/8.9/2.4/0.7/0.3/2.1 :30 | ||
| $8 | Klay Thompson, GSW | SG, SF | Poster boy of ThrAGNOF – don’t overpay for high-volume threes and low TOs while he does nothing else special. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .445/.800/2.7/18.0/3.1/2.1/0.9/0.4/1.6 :36 | ||
| $8 | Andrew Wiggins, MIN | SF | Uncertain role that seems likely to begin off the bench, upside of the second half keeps him a mid-round reach. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.770/0.9/13.5/4.7/1.2/1.2/0.9/2.4 :30 | ||
| $8 | Ryan Anderson, NOP | PF, C | Out-of-position treys with virtually no TOs makes him a good pair with the bigger name PGs, while spinal injury last year is scary, I think he’ll bounce back and be healthy. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.850/2.4/15.0/6.2/1.0/0.4/0.3/0.9 :28 | ||
| $8 | Jose Calderon, NYK | PG | I’m buying a decent Ast resurgence in the triangle O, with similar 3s output and low TOs. Was a surprising value last year. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .450/.840/2.3/11.0/2.4/6.1/0.9/0.1/1.6 :32 | ||
| $8 | Darren Collison, SAC | PG | McCallum looms, but they gave Colly starting money and he’ll have the keys. Should facilitate well with low TOs. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .460/.840/1.3/14.0/2.8/5.9/1.4/0.2/2.1 :34 | ||
| $8 | Jeff Teague, ATL | PG | Was so brutal in January last year, I’m worried by his streakiness. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .455/.840/1.0/17.0/2.7/6.6/1.3/0.3/2.8 :34 | ||
| $7 | Brandon Knight, MIL | PG, SG | Numbers were stellar once he was fully back from the early hammy issues, playmakers like Parker and Giannis along with Kidd at the helm give him further breakout upside. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .425/.790/1.6/19.0/3.6/5.1/1.0/0.2/2.7 :34 | ||
| $5 | Jimmy Butler, CHI | SG, SF | Shot under 40% last year and should see lower scoring with Rose back. Love his real-life game, 13-14 numbers slightly inflated by 38:39 MPG which is likely to go down a bit. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .420/.770/1.3/14.0/5.2/2.7/2.0/0.6/1.5 :36 | ||
| $5 | Luol Deng, MIA | SF, PF | I see a good resurgence in Miami, was having a really big year in Chicago before being awful post-trade. He fits better in South Beach. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.770/0.9/16.0/5.4/2.6/1.0/0.2/1.5 :34 | ||
| $4 | Tony Parker, SAS | PG | DNPs, injuries, minutes restrictions, oh my! Wicked witch of the Alamo… |
| Slim’s Projection: | .490/.810/0.4/16.0/2.3/5.8/0.6/0.1/2.2 :30 | ||
| $4 | Dwayne Wade, MIA | PG, SG | DNPs, injuries, minutes restrictions, oh my! Wicked witch of having bad knees… |
| Slim’s Projection: | .495/.740/0.3/20.0/4.5/4.8/1.4/0.5/2.9 :32 | ||
| $4 | Bradley Beal, WAS | SG | Fairly empty stat line with a bad FG%, he’s a better real-life asset. Others will reach. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .420/.800/1.9/18.0/3.8/3.5/1.0/0.2/1.8 :36 | ||
| $4 | Kenneth Faried, DEN | PF | Slim has him two rounds earlier, I just don’t see enough consistency beyond Pts/Reb. Bad FT% doesn’t help either despite post-ASB improvements. Don’t overreach based on USA play. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .540/.700/0/19.0/10.4/1.6/1.1/0.9/2.3 :32 | ||
| $4 | Robin Lopez, POR | C | Played 82 games past two years, and low TOs help the overall seasonal-ranking. I probably should be higher, but just can’t get over how not great at basketball he is… |
| Slim’s Projection: | .540/.810/0/11.0/8.6/0.8/0.4/1.6/1.0 :32 | ||
| $4 | David West, IND | PF | Somebody has to score for the Pacers, and West was so underrated last year with a 46th overall finish. Should be an easy value target in the mids. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .480/.790/0/15.5/7.2/2.8/0.8/0.8/1.9 :30 | ||
| $3 | Josh Smith, DET | SF, PF | This rank is hoping Stan Van Gundy gets through to him and Smith improves the terrible %s and TOs. If he becomes a sixth man, I think he can maintain big Stl/Blk numbers even in reduced minutes. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.560/0.7/15.0/6.6/3.1/1.2/1.4/2.4 :32 | ||
| $3 | Kyle Korver, ATL | SG, SF | Not reaching for the ThrAGNOF, but another year of big minutes, big treys, and no TOs are in store. Plus he’s got sharp, oh so sharp talons. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .470/.920/2.6/12.0/4.0/3.0/0.9/0.3/1.5 :34 | ||
| $3 | Greg Monroe, DET | PF, C | Jennings and Smoove and their inefficiencies hurt his 13-14 campaign, Stan Van should help make the team efficient again and Monroe can bounce back. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .490/.680/0/16.5/9.6/2.4/1.2/0.7/1.8 :34 | ||
| $3 | Isaiah Thomas, PHO | PG | I thought IT2 was going to be an interesting sleeper, but he’s getting ranked obscenely high. I don’t think he’s ever the facilitator with Dragic or Bledsoe, and the dimes drop way off. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .450/.850/1.5/16.0/2.4/5.3/1.0/0.1/2.4 :28 | ||
| $3 | Tyreke Evans, NOP | SG, SF | While his post-ASB play was astounding, a lot had to do with Jrue Holiday being hurt. He still should be back into a big role as the starting 3. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .450/.770/0.5/17.0/4.8/4.4/1.3/0.4/2.6 :30 | ||
| $3 | Kevin Martin, MIN | SG, SF | No more Love makes K-Mart the main offensive threat and should hit a bajillion treys. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.890/1.7/19.0/3.0/1.8/1.0/0.1/1.7 :32 | ||
| $3 | Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL | SG, SF | 1.7:1.7 AST:TO pre-ASB to 2.3:1.5 post showed huge improvement with the ball, going to get a huge starting role, offers upside in all 9 cats. A huge Razzball favorite. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .460/.740/1.0/13.5/6.2/2.4/1.0/1.0/2.2 :32 | ||
| $1 ↓ | Nikola Pekovic, MIN | C | Slightly empty Pts/Reb/FG%, and does have some injury risk, but a stalwart while in there. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .530/.740/0/17.0/8.7/1.0/0.6/0.6/1.7 :30 | ||
| $3 | Larry Sanders, MIL | PF, C | So hard to rank, so hard to like as a person, but upside is still there and his contract means he’s going to at least get a shot. Henson might start, however Sanders was still a monster in 12-13 at 27 MPG. I’m not reaching; that said, not explicitly passing either. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .490/.560/0/9.0/8.1/1.1/0.9/2.3/1.2 :28 | ||
| $3 | Markieff Morris, PHO | PF, C | Per-36 26/11.3/3.4/1.6/1.4 with 0.8 treys a game last year, and looking at a role close to those minutes. Sleeper patrol! |
| Slim’s Projection: | .480/.790/0.8/17.0/6.8/2.2/1.0/0.9/2.2 :34 | ||
| $2 | Channing Frye, ORL | PF, C | His former teammate is going to be an out-of-position ThrAGNOF king in Orlando where no one else is a perimeter threat. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.810/2.0/11.0/5.6/1.2/0.7/0.8/1.0 :30 | ||
| $2 | Jonas Valanciunas, TOR | C | Vastly improved post-ASB, especially with FG% from 50 to 58, and maybe had some sophomore-slump-itis or an injury most of last year. Upside to bounce back, but I can’t reach after being burnt last year. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .540/.780/0/13.5/9.0/0.8/0.4/1.1/1.8 :30 | ||
| $2 | Jeremy Lin, LAL | PG, SG | Low-upside, but Kobe to take the pressure off and a change of scenery could make him sneaky value. Don’t discount those steals! |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.790/1.2/14.0/2.8/6.2/1.3/0.4/2.7 :30 | ||
| $2 | George Hill, IND | PG, SG | Again low-upside, but could get back to 12-13 numbers with Paul George being out. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.800/1.3/12.0/3.7/4.4/1.0/0.3/1.5 :32 | ||
| $2 | Elfird Payton, ORL | PG | Much higher upside and could flirt with numerous trip-dubs, but is a horrible FT shooter for a PG and turns the ball over way too much. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .475/.650/0.5/11.0/5.7/6.9/1.6/0.4/3.2 :32 | ||
| $2 | Arron Afflalo, DEN | SG, SF | Never been a fan, but the Nuggets needed a more consistent wing last year and he’ll be playing with the best PG he’s ever been paired with. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .455/.820/1.7/16.5/3.4/3.3/0.6/0.2/1.9 :34 | ||
| $2 | Terrence Jones, HOU | SF, PF | Tremendous breakout last year that should have no issue carrying over. I don’t know why he’s so much lower in other ranks. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .520/.630/0.6/14.0/7.6/1.3/0.9/1.4/1.1 :30 | ||
| $2 | Zach Randolph, MEM | PF, C | Consistency! And Pts/Reb! And that’s it… |
| Slim’s Projection: | .465/.750/0/16.0/9.4/2.3/0.7/0.3/2.1 :32 | ||
| $2 | Taj Gibson, CHI | PF, C | Durable, and even as a 6th man should get to 30 minutes especially behind brittle bigs. Underrated blocker. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .490/.730/0/14.0/7.2/1.2/0.5/1.5/1.8 :30 | ||
| $2 | Patrick Beverley, HOU | PG, SG | More minutes with Lin gone, his metric-friendly 3s/low TOs should carry over with good steals. Nothing too exciting, but value will add up. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.810/1.8/12.5/3.8/3.1/1.5/0.5/1.4 :34 | ||
| $2 | Lance Stephenson, CHA | SG, SF | TOs should go down, but so should the boards. Like PBev, nothing exciting but sheer volume should accrue value. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .475/.710/1.2/14.5/7.2/4.2/0.8/0.1/2.6 :36 | ||
| $2 | Draymond Green, GSW | SF | #OccupyDraymondGreen! A monster last year in a low-minutes role, has a shot to start the 3 with Iggy off the bench. Multi-cat upside all over the place! |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.740/0.9/10.0/6.2/2.7/1.7/0.9/1.4 :28 | ||
| $2 | Reggie Jackson, OKC | PG, SG | Solid as a starter last year, and while most of those starts were without Westbrook, sheer volume of minutes as the probable starting 2 should add up nice numbers. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .450/.880/1.2/14.5/4.4/4.6/1.2/0.2/2.0 :30 | ||
| $2 | Jodie Meeks, DET | SG | Great %s from a high-volume 3-shooter, should rack up steals in Stan Van’s D, I think he’ll come somewhere close to what he did in 13-14 which was a top-50 overall. KCP looming for minutes does scare me though. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.870/2.1/12.5/2.0/1.6/1.1/0.1/1.3 :32 | ||
| $2 | Corey Brewer, MIN | SG, SF | Elite steals guy, knows his game and should start again. I think he’s a great athlete and can surprise with nice boards as well with Love gone. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .450/.710/0.6/11.5/2.6/1.6/1.7/0.4/1.3 :30 | ||
| $2 | Alec Burks, UTA | PG, SG | Upside and opportunity, he could be a very sneaky late source of points. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .460/.760/0.8/16.5/3.8/3.0/1.1/0.3/2.1 :32 | ||
| $2 | John Henson, MIL | PF, C | Early news is he’ll get the first shot to start, and in 23 starts last year 13.3/8.5/2/0.5/2. Poor man’s FT-punt big! If news hold he starts, will move 10-20 up. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .530/.530/0/12.0/7.9/1.7/ 0.7/1.7/1.7 :28 | ||
| $1 | Andrew Bogut, GSW | C | Always ends up ranked higher than you’d expect, but always ends up as hurt as you’d expect… |
| Slim’s Projection: | .570/.450/0/7.5/9.5/1.6/0.6/1.6/1.4 :26 | ||
| $1 | J.J. Redick, LAC | SG | In an injury-riddled campaign, was actually 67th in per-game last year. A great fit in the Clips O for sneaky value. Plus, he’s on the positive end of ThrAGNOF! |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.900/2.2/15.0/2.3/2.4/0.7/0.1/1.2 :30 | ||
| $1 | Spencer Hawes, LAC | PF, C | A revelation last year, should still get must-own minutes as Clips’ 6th man. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .465/.770/1.4/11.5/7.4/2.3/0.4/1.0/1.7 :28 | ||
| $1 | Joe Johnson, BKN | SG, SF | Had some big spikes when D-Will got hurt, but D-Will will have some injury stretches again… |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.820/1.8/14.5/3.3/2.9/0.6/0.1/1.6 :32 | ||
| $1 | Tyson Chandler, DAL | C | Return to Dallas will solidify a nice late Reb/Blk contribution. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .600/.660/0/8.0/9.4/1.0/0.6/1.1/1.2 :30 | ||
| $1 | Brandon Jennings, DET | PG | Horrific last year, and Stan Van emphasizing rotations and defense isn’t going to help. But still upside; he’s a talented player. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .390/.780/1.8/15.0/2.9/7.4/1.3/0.1/2.6 :32 | ||
| $1 | Jared Sullinger, BOS | PF, C | 13.9/9/1.8/0.5/0.8 with 0.8 treys in 44 starts last year, in 29:33 a game. Markieff Morris-lite. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.780/1.0/15.0/8.4/1.8/0.6/0.7/1.9 :30 | ||
| $1 | DeMarre Carroll, ATL | SF, PF | Was a much better player after Horford injury so I won’t reach for value he gave in 13-14. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .465/.770/1.3/11.0/5.6/1.8/1.4/0.3/1.1 :32 | ||
| $1 | Tobias Harris, ORL | SF, PF | Acquisition of Frye and selection of Gordon shows non-committal approach, still such a fantasy-friendly player that if he gets the run could surprise. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .475/.800/0.8/17.0/7.2/1.4/1.0/0.6/1.4 :30 | ||
| $1 | Paul Pierce, WAS | SF, PF | Age obviously up there, and the Wiz are loaded at SF. A healthy, big-minute season would make this way wrong, but I’m hedging against it. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.820/1.4/13.0/4.4/2.2/1.0/0.3/2.0 :28 | ||
| $1 | Rodney Stuckey, IND | PG, SG | George Hill isn’t a passer and Stuckey might be the main offensive catalyst. While on an offensively-challenged team, still think he can surprise. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .425/.830/0.5/15.5/3.2/3.8/0.9/0.2/2.1 :32 | ||
| $1 | Danilo Gallinari, DEN | SF | Will be a forgotten name in many draft rooms, still offers a pretty good fantasy line if he’s healthy. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .410/.800/1.6/13.5/4.7/2.2/0.8/0.4/1.4 :28 | ||
| $1 | Amir Johnson, TOR | PF, C | Lingering ankle issue and Raptors PF depth scare me. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .560/.680/0.3/12.0/7.6/1.6/0.9/1.4/1.7 :30 | ||
| $1 | Jameer Nelson, DAL | PG | Best fit of the 3 Mavericks PGs since he can hit treys. I see him surprising this year as an old vet sleeper. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .410/.830/2.1/11.0/3.2/5.8/0.7/0.1/2.1 :30 | ||
| $1 | Josh McRoberts, MIA | PF, C | Should repeat 13-14 numbers – overall value last year inflated a bit by low TO. Solid plug-n-play for across the board stats. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.730/1.3/10.0/5.6/3.9/0.8/0.6/1.1 :30 | ||
| $1 | Jordan Hill, LAL | PF, C | 13/8.9/0.8/0.5/1.1 in 32 starts last year, but still in under 25 minutes a game. Per-36s look great, needs the conistsnt run. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .530/.720/0/14.0/8.3/0.9/0.7/1.4/1.6 :28 | ||
| $1 | Roy Hibbert, IND | C | I’m not touching Hibbert unless he falls way down and I need blocks. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .450/.760/0/12.0/7.1/1.3/0.4/2.1/1.9 :28 | ||
| $1 | Danny Green, SAS | SG, SF | Took off after the ASB, shooting 6% better and upping treys from 1.5 to 2.6. Pop will make him frustrating, but will end up a value. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.800/2.1/10.0/3.3/1.6/0.9/0.8/1.2 :26 | ||
| $1 | Jamal Crawford, LAC | PG, SG | Spiked in dimes while CP3 was hurt, minutes and points to regress and late nagging injuries last year scare me. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .410/.870/2.0/16.0/1.9/2.7/0.8/0.1/1.8 :28 | ||
| $1 | Andre Iguodala, GSW | SG, SF | I think he’s going to lead the second unit, losing the starting job to Draymond, then still has to fend off Barnes for minutes. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .460/.660/0.9/10.0/4.4/3.9/1.3/0.3/1.5 :30 | ||
| $1 | Mario Chalmers, MIA | PG | Sure there’s some upside with LeBron now gone, but I’m not that enthusiastic. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.770/1.7/11.5/3.2/5.6/1.7/0.2/2.4 :32 | ||
| $1 | Mason Plumlee, BKN | PF, C | Could shoot way up for me if news is encouraging on his 14-15 role, per-36s in rookie year were very solid. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .550/.650/0/13.5/8.3/1.3/1.0/1.2/2.1 :28 | ||
| $1 | Jeff Green, BOS | SG, SF | One of the “busts of the year” for 13-14, really nothing indicates he’ll be any better in 14-15. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .425/.800/1.4/15.0/4.5/1.5/0.6/0.6/1.9 :32 | ||
| $1 | Anderson Varejao, CLE | PF, C | Big rebounds and not too much else in a sub-30 MPG role, does sneak in a steal a game for you from a big. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .500/.670/0/8.0/9.2/2.0/1.0/0.6/1.1 :26 | ||
| $1 | Nene Hilario, WAS | PF, C | Worth a reach if punting FT or TO, would be higher if he wasn’t so old and injury prone. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .500/.660/0/13.0/5.8/2.6/1.1/0.8/1.9 :28 | ||
| $1 | Manu Ginobili, SAS | SG, SF | Finished 98th in under 23 minutes a game last year, should come close to repeat but game-to-game will be maddening to own. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .450/.840/1.4/12.5/3.1/4.1/0.9/0.2/2.0 :24 | ||
| $1 | P.J. Tucker, PHO | SG, SF | A little regression in value and minutes likely, already missing three games to suspension and isn’t exactly a special player. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.770/1.0/10.0/6.6/1.7/1.3/0.3/1.3 :30 | ||
| $1 | Trey Burke, UTA | PG | Anemic steals, horrible FG%, but is the last big minute PG on the board if you need some upside. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .400/.870/1.7/13.5/3.1/5.9/0.8/0.1/2.0 :32 | ||
| $1 | J.R. Smith, NYK | SG, SF | Career-high assists last year with horrible Felton at PG, those will go down, treys to regress, never been a JR fan. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .420/.720/2.5/15.5/3.8/2.6/1.0/0.2/1.5 :32 | ||
| $1 | Omer Asik, NOP | PF, C | Beyond boards and a block a game, doesn’t do too much and won’t get huge minutes. FT drain a bugaboo too. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .540/.600/0/9.0/10.2/0.5/0.5/1.2/1.8 :28 | ||
| $1 | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, DET | SG | My boyfriend! StanVan loves his D from KCP with no TO. It’s like a Sesame Street episode! Needs to carry over season finale game/Summer League play into the season, but worth the upside. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .420/.770/1.3/11.5/2.7/1.1/1.4/0.2/1.0 :26 | ||
| $1 | Gerald Green, PHO | SG, SF | I just don’t see the minutes, and pre-ranks of him top 100 are outrageous. Should hit some treys for you, but not a guy you’ll have on your roster all year. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.830/1.8/12.0/2.4/0.8/0.6/0.2/1.4 :22 | ||
| $1 | Andrea Bargnani, NYK | PF, C | 13.7/5.3/1.1/0.3/1.3 with 0.7 treys and only 1.3 TOs in 23 starts last year, and a good fit for the Triangle offense. There’s upside there, even if it’s hard to believe… |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.820/0.8/13.0/4.6/0.9/0.4/0.8/1.4 :28 | ||
| $1 | Matt Barnes, LAC | SF | Like McBob, a low upside stat-stuffer late. Big 2nd half aided by no Redick who I think has a big year. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .450/.740/1.2/9.0/4.6/1.8/0.8/0.4/1.1 :26 | ||
| $1 | Miles Plumlee, PHO | PF, C | Completely fell off when the calendar turned to 2014, but for a late source of blocks, Frye let go will open up more minutes. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .510/.580/0/9.0/8.0/ 0.6/0.6/1.2/1.4 :26 | ||
| $1 | Tony Wroten, PHI | PG | In 16 starts put up 17.8/4.4/5.2/1.2/0.4, but lots of TO and the worst FT shooting G in the NBA. Might get a shot to start at the 2 which makes him interesting. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.660/0.7/13.5/3.4/3.2/1.1/0.2/2.8 :26 | ||
| $1 | Nik Stauskas, SAC | SG | I see him taking McLemore’s job and being a surprise source of assists with low TOs, along with the given treys and good %s. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.830/1.6/11.0/2.2/2.3/0.4/0.1/1.0 :26 | ||
| $1 | Kendall Marshall, MIL | PG | Upside limited to dimes, but at least it’s a tough to find cat especially this late. Will move up if he’s given the starting gig. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .410/.680/0.9/7.5/2.1/6.4/0.7/0.1/2.0 :24 | ||
| $1 | Terrence Ross, TOR | SG, SF | Young with upside like the ridiculous 51-pointer, but still raw and lacks in most cats right now. Worth the lottery pick at this point. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.810/2.3/13.0/3.4/1.2/1.0/0.4/1.4 :30 | ||
| $1 | Eric Gordon, NOP | SG | Yet another offseason knee surgery, played in 115/246 games the past three years. Not touching him. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.800/1.4/15.0/2.2/3.1/1.0/0.2/1.9 :30 | ||
| $1 | Brandan Wright, DAL | PF, C | Not too much depth behind Dirk and Tyson, and both are way up there in age giving Wright a shot at more than expected minutes. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .600/.700/0/10.5/4.9/0.7/0.7/1.1/0.8 :22 | ||
| $1 | Dante Exum, UTA | PG | Minutes are there for the taking, but he’s so so raw. Already feeling iffy having him even this high. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .400/.720/0.6/8.5/2.4/2.9/0.8/0.1/1.7 :24 | ||
| $1 | Avery Bradley, BOS | PG, SG | Brings you some scoring and out-of-position boards, but not too much upside. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.790/1.6/15.5/3.7/1.6/1.1/0.1/1.8 :32 | ||
| $1 | Marco Belinelli, SAS | SG, SF | A roster filler with no upside, does offer low TOs with more than a trey to fill out your minutes. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .440/.830/1.4/10.5/2.7/2.2/0.6/0.1/1.1 :24 | ||
| $1 | Marcus Morris, PHO | PF | Some minutes are opened up with Frye gone, will be a surprising bottom-end contributor with treys from a PF. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .445/.750/1.5/11.0/4.3/1.3/1.0/0.3/1.3 :26 | ||
| $1 | C.J. Miles, IND | SG, SF | Deep source of treys and steals, especially if he wins the starting 3 role over Solomon Hill. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .420/.810/1.5/12.5/2.7/1.9/1.0/0.3/1.2 :28 | ||
| $1 | Ersan Ilyasova, MIL | SF, PF | Looked downright awful last year, but was top 50 in 12-13 and came into last year with a bum ankle. Won’t be me seeing if he can bounce back though… |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.820/0.5/11.5/6.1/1.1/0.7/0.2/1.0 :24 | ||
| $1 | Enes Kanter, UTA | C | Terrible on defense and was much better against second units. Youth and opportunity still remain for some late boarding upside. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .490/.740/0/13.0/7.6/1.0/0.4/0.6/1.9 :28 | ||
| $1 | K.J. McDaniels, PHI | SF | A good shot to take the 3 role, still uncertain minutes though… That said, a block+ from your wing is great upside. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.770/0.8/12.5/5.6/1.4/1.0/1.2/1.7 :30 | ||
| $1 | Wilson Chandler, DEN | SG, SF | Wasted a big opportunity last year, Gallinari to take a ton of minutes away. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.760/1.6/12.5/4.6/1.7/0.7/0.6/1.2 :28 | ||
| $1 | Dion Waiters, CLE | SG | Super-duper ThrAGNOF with lower offensive volume with LeBron in town. Should find himself a lot of wide open treys though… |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.720/1.5/13.5/2.6/2.8/0.9/0.2/1.9 :28 | ||
| $1 | Jarrett Jack, BKN | PG, SG | Will fill in admirably in the Shaun Livingston role, doing nothing exceptional but being useful. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.840/0.9/11.5/3.1/4.3/0.7/0.2/1.8 :30 | ||
| $1 | Mirza Teletovic, BKN | SF, PF | Huge vacancy of minutes with only grandpa-KG there at the 4, per-36 averaged 3.5 treys last year. |
| Slim’s Projection: | .430/.710/2.2/11.5/4.1/1.0/0.5/0.4/0.9 :24 |
And there ya go! Definitely some guys I’ll be buying in all auctions, and others I’m not touching. Let us know how your auction drafts go and may your buys all be values!
