Buy low!  Sell high!  Somehow make millions off frozen orange juice futures by short selling them that still sorta confuses me!

Yessir, auction values are here!  And just like how I talked about approaching auctions last year, get your wallets wide open for KD (also look at my blurb for the final $1 pick… Haha – still my thoughts exactly!).  First off – unless you are fortunate enough to have Kevin Durant as a keeper or luck into a randomized first overall pick, you’re not going to get him.  So in an auction setting, I imagine the bidding to be frantic.  However, I think he’s worth the ridiculous premium I have him listed for.  Maybe by fortune of having the greatest fantasy editor job in the world, I have done so much work with rankings that I feel I can round out a stars-and-scrubs team spending half my budget on Durant.

As with all fantasy auction drafts, have a few guys on your radar, but have an open mind.  Value can come at any time for any player.  I also want to note, some of these values mean I’m getting a guy in all auctions, even if it’s at a price much lower than the values I have them listed for.  Michael Carter-Williams is the obvious guy there.  He’s averaging an $8 buy on Yahoo.  I’m not saying “if the bid is at $7, bid $38 on MCW!”  It’s just how I would have listed projected auction values using my ranks to give you an idea of how high or how low I would be in an auction setting.  So what my $38 is saying is, “buy MCW in all leagues!”

Sorry if I’m a little slow with your awesome comments this week, but I’m back full force this weekend with a new Pod with Slim next week as well.

Values are based on Yahoo standard line-up (PG, SG, G, SF, PF, F, C, C, UTIL, UTIL, BN, BN, BN) and 12-team leagues (RCL size – and we need more leagues!  Commish one now!) with a $200 budget:

Razzball Basketball 2014-2015 Fantasy Basketball Auction Rankings

$ PLAYER, TEAM POS NOTE
$99 Kevin Durant, OKC SF, PF This will be the only auction-specific blurb, but Durant is so much better than the field that I’d pump half my money into him.  Kinda like the city of Washington, D.C.
Slim’s Projection: .505/.880/2.2/31.0/7.6/5.0/1.3/0.8/3.5 :38
$83 Anthony Davis, NOP PF, C Very legit chance of going 20/10 with a rainbow line. Well, we can dream and he could be really close. As close as his brows!
Slim’s Projection: .510/.780/0.4/23.5/9.8/1.8/1.5/3.0/1.9 :38
$80 Stephen Curry, GSW PG, SG Steady as she blows, big threes and big dimes, with a vault in the latter in 13-14. Kerr as the new coach shouldn’t change anything and Curry still has ThrAGNOF king Klay Thompson to camp for treys.
Slim’s Projection: .465/.900/3.5/24.0/4.1/8.7/1.7/0.2/3.6 :38
$78 LeBron James, CLE SF, PF Disappearing blocks, regressing boards – especially with Love joining – and arguably the best supporting cast with the best PG he’s played with. Less rock for King!
Slim’s Projection: .550/.750/1.3/25.0/6.4/5.9/1.6/0.4/3.2 :38
$72 Chris Paul, LAC PG Should have no problem leading in APG yet again in 14-15, after lapping the field by nearly two dimes a game in 13-14.
Slim’s Projection: .460/.860/1.2/18.0/4.1/10.6/2.3/0.1/2.2 :36
$72 James Harden, HOU SG, SF Started a little rough last year, but with an unbelievable post-ASB slash of 27.7/4.7/7.4/1.9/0.3 shooting 47% from the field with three treys a game, ended up duplicating his 12-13 breakout. Only 24, no Jeremy Lin, I see a new career-high in assists and another elite season.
Slim’s Projection: .450/.860/2.5/26.0/4.9/6.4/1.7/0.4/3.7 :38
$69 Serge Ibaka, OKC PF, C Iblocka! Plus he should take another baby step forward in FG%, Pts, treys… There’s really nothing not to like.
Slim’s Projection: .525/.770/0.6/17.0/9.3/1.2/0.5/3.0/1.5 :34
$67 Kevin Love, CLE PF, C With LeBron and Varejao cutting into his boards, Kyrie will also slash his points and treys. Still a multi-cat contributor, but not the top-5 stud while in Minny.
Slim’s Projection: .465/.820/2.3/21.0/11.2/2.6/0.7/0.4/2.1 :36
$62 John Wall, WAS PG Led NBA in total assists, played 82 games, and still young and developing with Beal. Hopefully the slight signs of wear down last year (dare I say, he hit a wall?) we be overcome.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.810/1.3/20.5/4.1/9.2/1.8/0.7/3.6 :38
$62 Russell Westbrook, OKC PG A rough 13-14 season with injuries and TOs, he developed a career-best perimeter game and I think a healthy season will reap 10th overall value.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.820/1.4/23.0/5.2/7.2/1.8/0.2/3.8 :34
$60 Carmelo Anthony, NYK SF, PF I don’t expect the career highs in boards and blocks to carry over to 14-15, but will be the same elite scorer for Phil J’s triangle.
Slim’s Projection: .455/.830/2.2/27.0/6.8/3.5/1.0/0.5/2.6 :38
$59 DeMarcus Cousins, SAC PF, C Finally put it all together last year, and should once again set a career mark in scoring with IT2 replaced by Collison.
Slim’s Projection: .490/.740/0/24.0/12.0/3.0/1.6/1.3/3.5 :34
$50 Paul Millsap, ATL PF, C A bit of a reach, but his best month of scoring/treys in 13-14 was with Horford on the court, and will continue to develop the perimeter game with Horford establishing the paint.
Slim’s Projection: .465/.740/1.0/19.0/8.7/3.1/1.8/1.0/2.5 :36
$49 Al Horford, ATL PF, C Was having a career season until the pec injury. Same argument as Millsap – another perimeter threat will help Horford down low.
Slim’s Projection: .540/.720/0/18.0/8.9/3.0/1.0/1.3/2.2 :34
$48 LaMarcus Aldridge, POR PF, C The FG% from a big is no fun, but a sneaky multi-cat contributor.
Slim’s Projection: .455/.810/0/22.0/9.8/2.5/0.9/0.9/1.9 :36
$47 Al Jefferson, CHA PF, C Had an unreal run in the second half of 13-14, going 25.2/11.4/2.3/1/1 from Jan. 14 to the end of the year. Plantar fascia seems to be a non-issue.
Slim’s Projection: .490/.730/0/20.0/10.0/2.0/1.0/1.0/1.7 :34
$45 Dirk Nowitzki, DAL PF, C The age is the question, but I don’t see much of a fall off. That said, boards are trending down.
Slim’s Projection: .475/.880/1.4/21.0/6.2/2.6/0.9/0.6/1.5 :34
$45 Blake Griffin, LAC PF, C A breakout last year, I think he replicates his 13-14. But why in the name of Mutumbo can this guy not block more shots?!
Slim’s Projection: .530/.720/0/24.0/9.4/4.0/1.2/0.6/2.7 :36
$43 Damian Lillard, POR PG Opening the run on PGs, Lillard gives you elite 3s/FT%/consistency. Should be third straight season of solid-ness.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.870/2.8/22.0/3.5/6.5/1.0/0.2/2.4 :36
$42 Goran Dragic, PHO PG, SG One of my big crushes this year, the FG% from a PG is elite. I see dimes going up and an even better follow-up after his 13-14 breakout.
Slim’s Projection: .480/.770/1.4/18.0/3.1/6.2/1.4/0.3/2.7 :34
$42 Kyrie Irving, CLE PG, SG It’s all postulation, but I think Kyrie can surprise with ratios, get more assists than most (Slim!) expects, but at the expense of a few points.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.860/1.6/18.0/3.4/5.2/1.5/0.3/2.4 :34
$41 Kawhi Leonard, SAS SG, SF I love Kawhi, so fun to watch, but with Pop and Duncan back, I think the rotations and usage will prove frustrating again. Grab him at the turn in 12ers if he’s there, but I’m not reaching earlier.
Slim’s Projection: .490/.810/1.4/15.0/6.8/2.2/1.9/0.8/1.5 :34
$39 Rajon Rondo, BOS PG There’s a lot of risk in his first healthy year in Brad Stevens’ system, but the development of a perimeter game and upside for 11 assists make him a great high-upside grab.
Slim’s Projection: .445/.630/0.7/12.0/5.3/9.6/1.5/0.1/3.2 :32
$39 Kyle Lowry, TOR PG A monster breakout last year, I think he can do it again, injury-risk after career-long issue still a big concern.
Slim’s Projection: .420/.800/2.1/17.0/4.4/7.2/1.5/0.2/2.4 :34
$39 Ty Lawson, DEN PG Chock full of dimebags like a true Denver dispensary!
Slim’s Projection: .440/.790/1.2/18.0/3.4/8.8/1.5/0.2/3.2 :36
$38 Michael Carter-Williams, PHI PG I’m all-in, elite rebounds from a guard, shot better from the field post-ASB, immense upside.
Slim’s Projection: .410/.710/1.0/18.0/6.4/6.7/2.0/0.7/3.6 :36
$37 Nicolas Batum, POR SG, SF Safe, reliable, multi-cat goodness. Should replicate 13-14 with relative ease.
Slim’s Projection: .465/.820/2.0/13.5/7.2/5.0/1.0/0.8/2.4 :36
$37 Chris Bosh, MIA PF, C LeBron gone gives the perennial high-floor option a high-ceiling as well. Expansion of a perimeter game and more shots his way should yield another top-30 season.
Slim’s Projection: .495/.820/0.7/18.0/7.4/2.2/0.9/1.0/1.9 :34
$36 Nikola Vucevic, ORL PF, C Has always been underrated, should have another 1+ 5-cat line with his minutes bouncing back up and terrific %s.
Slim’s Projection: .510/.770/0/16.0/11.8/1.9/1.0/1.0/2.0 :34
$34 Ricky Rubio, MIN PG The offense continues to be muy mal, but another elite ast/stl season is worth the price of admission.
Slim’s Projection: .390/.800/0.8/12.0/4.2/8.9/2.4/0.1/3.0 :34
$34 Mike Conley, MEM PG Is the anti-Rubio, safer on all fronts, but without the category-killing upside.
Slim’s Projection: .450/.820/1.4/17.0/2.8/6.1/1.7/0.2/2.1 :34
$30 Marc Gasol, MEM C 19th overall player final two months, and that’s after recovering from a bad MCL sprain. Started slow under the Joerger regime, I’m stoked if Gasol falls to me here.
Slim’s Projection: .480/.780/0/15.0/7.8/3.8/1.0/1.4/1.9 :34
$30 Joakim Noah, CHI PF, C Had a career season without Rose, obvious regression to hit and lengthy track record of lingering injuries scares me.
Slim’s Projection: .490/.740/0/12.0/10.4/3.8/1.2/1.6/2.1 :34
$28 Rudy Gay, SAC SF, PF The high TOs from a F are annoying, but he’s reliable and durable for what he is.
Slim’s Projection: .445/.790/0.7/19.0/5.5/2.8/1.3/0.6/2.8 :34
$28 Victor Oladipo, ORL PG, SG I’m hoping to get RainbOladipo on all of my teams – Orlando has cleared out the annoying G vets and given him the keys. Lost 20 pounds and is ready for a big breakout.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.790/1.2/17.5/4.7/4.8/1.8/0.6/3.2 :34
$27 Andre Drummond, DET PF, C Stan Van Gundy to emphasis rotations for defensive efficiency, FT% could have him losing some late minutes, but the output was mammothian last year and should be again in 14-15. A lot of people are reaching, but I’m not getting him close to top 20.
Slim’s Projection: .600/.440/0/14.5/12.9/0.5/1.4/1.7/1.5 :34
$26 Jrue Holiday, NOP PG The Pelicans are turning into a really interesting team if they can stay healthy, with Jrue the true PG running the show. December slash of 16.3/4.6/9/1.4/0.4 while finally gelling with the offense pre-injury shows you the upside.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.780/1.0/15.0/4.2/7.8/1.6/0.4/3.3 :34
$25 Kemba Walker, CHA PG Late-January ankle sprain lingered through the end of the season, improving AST:TO ratio while shooting tremendously pre-injury could make a draft day steal.
Slim’s Projection: .410/.820/1.6/18.0/4.2/6.4/1.4/0.4/2.4 :36
$24 Monta Ellis, DAL PG, SG A rock-solid safety pick, and he should have no problem duplicating 13-14 with maybe even a tad more upside with Dallas’ downgrade at PG.
Slim’s Projection: .440/775/0.8/19.0/3.7/5.9/1.5/0.2/3.1 :36
$23 Chandler Parsons, DAL SF, PF Immediately makes me a Mavs fan, but still in a high-powered offense and won’t vault too much in value. I’m hoping his ADP is a round lower.
Slim’s Projection: .470/.750/1.7/15.5/5.6/3.9/1.2/0.4/1.8 :36
$23 Derrick Favors, UTA PF, C So, so underrated. Shot 52.2% from the field last year, and with a terrible supporting cast, was creating his own post opportunities. Played only 30 MPG last year, will get expanded if he can cut down the fouls and boost the board and blocks.
Slim’s Projection: .505/.690/0/16.0/9.6/1.4/1.1/1.8/2.0 :34
$22 DeAndre Jordan, LAC C Played 3 minutes less a game post-ASB, and getting benched late is a worry for me. No way he plays 35 per in 14-15. I think we see more hack-a-Dre.
Slim’s Projection: .650/.440/0/9.5/11.7/0.8/0.9/2.1/1.3 :32
$20 Jabari Parker, MIL SF I’m reaching for the rookie – I think counting stats will be reliable and have a pretty consistent 34ish minute role.
Slim’s Projection: .460/.760/0.7/14.5/7.8/1.0/0.9/0.7/2.8 :30
$19 Eric Bledsoe, PHX PG, SG I expect to be one of the lowest rankers on E Bled, finished only 52nd in per-game last year, contract dispute seems annoying, injury-risk still there, turned the ball over way too much in his first season as a full-time starter.
Slim’s Projection: .465/.780/1.2/17.5/4.8/5.6/1.6/0.4/3.4 :34
$19 Kobe Bryant, LAL PG, SG Incredibly polarizing – upside is huge, downside is he gets hurt again early on. I feel good with the risk here.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.840/1.3/19.0/4.6/5.0/1.1/0.2/2.0 :34
$18 Derrick Rose, CHI PG I’m likely passing on D-Rose in all leagues, I think he’s lost too much with the knee injuries and I don’t like the risk.
Slim’s Projection: .420/.820/1.6/18.0/3.2/6.3/0.8/0.4/3.4 :32
$18 Brook Lopez, BKN C Was 12th overall in per-game value in a short 13-14 sample, injury-risk still a big concern, but upside is tremendous.
Slim’s Projection: .510/.790/0/18.0/6.0/1.0/0.5/1.6/1.7 :30
$18 Wesley Matthews, POR SG, SF Definition of a safe pick, has played in every game in 4 of his 5 seasons, microscopic TOs, a perfect compliment to a high volume TO PG who doesn’t make enough 3s.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.830/2.4/16.0/3.4/2.4/1.1/0.2/1.4 :34
$17 Pau Gasol, CHI PF, C FG% should jump back up on a better team, out-of-position dimes are huge, chips in blocks still as well… Not much to not like other than injury risk.
Slim’s Projection: .500/.750/0/16.0/8.4/2.9/0.4/1.3/1.8 :30
$17 Gordon Hayward, UTA SG, SF His shooting from the field has consistently gone down in more minutes, Exum/Burke are not going to help FG% and TOs. Some slumps are going to be tough to bear, but overall slash should be solid.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.820/1.4/18.0/5.2/5.3/1.4/0.5/2.6 :36
$17 Nerlens Noel, PHI PF, C Immense upside, more polished offensive game than he gets credit for – the probable minutes limitation does make it a gamble.
Slim’s Projection: .510/.680/0/10.5/7.4/1.3/1.5/2.6/1.9 :28
$16 Marcin Gortat, WAS C Huge season in Wizards debut, should have no problem having a comparable encore.
Slim’s Projection: .545/.680/0/13.0/9.4/1.5/0.5/1.4/1.5 :32
$15 Tim Duncan, SAS PF, C Despite losing minutes and a racking up a couple DNPs, finished top-40 last year.
Slim’s Projection: .480/.740/0/14.0/8.9/2.5/0.5/1.5/1.8 :28
$13 Dwight Howard, HOU PF, C FT shooting kills him in 9-cat, would be near elite in non-FT/non-TO leagues. Ultimate league settings-variable pick.
Slim’s Projection: .580/.550/0/18.0/11.9/1.6/0.9/1.9/2.9 :34
$13 Thaddeus Young, MIN SF, PF Move to Minnesota will hurt his offense, but out-of-position steals help cement his fairly high-floor.
Slim’s Projection: .460/.710/0.9/16.5/6.0/2.1/1.7/0.5/2.0 :34
$11 Deron Williams, BKN PG Minutes will be down again and injuries always seem to derail him, but still has some upside. Worth the gamble on his ankles at this point.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.810/1.4/15.0/2.6/6.6/1.1/0.2/2.5 :32
$11 Trevor Ariza, HOU SG, SF Big breakout in 13-14 minimized with move to Houston, but 3s with low-TOs should yield another solid season.
Slim’s Projection: .450/.770/1.9/13.0/6.1/2.4/1.6/0.3/1.7 :34
$11 DeMar DeRozan, TOR SG, SF For as high-volume a scorer he is, TOs very manageable. Improved his multi-catness (well, former lack thereof) by adding a trey and getting up to 4 dimes a game last year.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.820/0.5/23.0/4.1/3.9/0.9/0.3/2.1 :36
$9 David Lee, GSW PF, C Boring Pts/Reb guy, solid %s and high-floor keep him top-60.
Slim’s Projection: .510/.780/0/17.0/8.9/2.4/0.7/0.3/2.1 :30
$8 Klay Thompson, GSW SG, SF Poster boy of ThrAGNOF – don’t overpay for high-volume threes and low TOs while he does nothing else special.
Slim’s Projection: .445/.800/2.7/18.0/3.1/2.1/0.9/0.4/1.6 :36
$8 Andrew Wiggins, MIN SF Uncertain role that seems likely to begin off the bench, upside of the second half keeps him a mid-round reach.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.770/0.9/13.5/4.7/1.2/1.2/0.9/2.4 :30
$8 Ryan Anderson, NOP PF, C Out-of-position treys with virtually no TOs makes him a good pair with the bigger name PGs, while spinal injury last year is scary, I think he’ll bounce back and be healthy.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.850/2.4/15.0/6.2/1.0/0.4/0.3/0.9 :28
$8 Jose Calderon, NYK PG I’m buying a decent Ast resurgence in the triangle O, with similar 3s output and low TOs. Was a surprising value last year.
Slim’s Projection: .450/.840/2.3/11.0/2.4/6.1/0.9/0.1/1.6 :32
$8 Darren Collison, SAC PG McCallum looms, but they gave Colly starting money and he’ll have the keys. Should facilitate well with low TOs.
Slim’s Projection: .460/.840/1.3/14.0/2.8/5.9/1.4/0.2/2.1 :34
$8 Jeff Teague, ATL PG Was so brutal in January last year, I’m worried by his streakiness.
Slim’s Projection: .455/.840/1.0/17.0/2.7/6.6/1.3/0.3/2.8 :34
$7 Brandon Knight, MIL PG, SG Numbers were stellar once he was fully back from the early hammy issues, playmakers like Parker and Giannis along with Kidd at the helm give him further breakout upside.
Slim’s Projection: .425/.790/1.6/19.0/3.6/5.1/1.0/0.2/2.7 :34
$5 Jimmy Butler, CHI SG, SF Shot under 40% last year and should see lower scoring with Rose back. Love his real-life game, 13-14 numbers slightly inflated by 38:39 MPG which is likely to go down a bit.
Slim’s Projection: .420/.770/1.3/14.0/5.2/2.7/2.0/0.6/1.5 :36
$5 Luol Deng, MIA SF, PF I see a good resurgence in Miami, was having a really big year in Chicago before being awful post-trade. He fits better in South Beach.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.770/0.9/16.0/5.4/2.6/1.0/0.2/1.5 :34
$4 Tony Parker, SAS PG DNPs, injuries, minutes restrictions, oh my! Wicked witch of the Alamo…
Slim’s Projection: .490/.810/0.4/16.0/2.3/5.8/0.6/0.1/2.2 :30
$4 Dwayne Wade, MIA PG, SG DNPs, injuries, minutes restrictions, oh my! Wicked witch of having bad knees…
Slim’s Projection: .495/.740/0.3/20.0/4.5/4.8/1.4/0.5/2.9 :32
$4 Bradley Beal, WAS SG Fairly empty stat line with a bad FG%, he’s a better real-life asset. Others will reach.
Slim’s Projection: .420/.800/1.9/18.0/3.8/3.5/1.0/0.2/1.8 :36
$4 Kenneth Faried, DEN PF Slim has him two rounds earlier, I just don’t see enough consistency beyond Pts/Reb. Bad FT% doesn’t help either despite post-ASB improvements. Don’t overreach based on USA play.
Slim’s Projection: .540/.700/0/19.0/10.4/1.6/1.1/0.9/2.3 :32
$4 Robin Lopez, POR C Played 82 games past two years, and low TOs help the overall seasonal-ranking. I probably should be higher, but just can’t get over how not great at basketball he is…
Slim’s Projection: .540/.810/0/11.0/8.6/0.8/0.4/1.6/1.0 :32
$4 David West, IND PF Somebody has to score for the Pacers, and West was so underrated last year with a 46th overall finish. Should be an easy value target in the mids.
Slim’s Projection: .480/.790/0/15.5/7.2/2.8/0.8/0.8/1.9 :30
$3 Josh Smith, DET SF, PF This rank is hoping Stan Van Gundy gets through to him and Smith improves the terrible %s and TOs. If he becomes a sixth man, I think he can maintain big Stl/Blk numbers even in reduced minutes.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.560/0.7/15.0/6.6/3.1/1.2/1.4/2.4 :32
$3 Kyle Korver, ATL SG, SF Not reaching for the ThrAGNOF, but another year of big minutes, big treys, and no TOs are in store. Plus he’s got sharp, oh so sharp talons.
Slim’s Projection: .470/.920/2.6/12.0/4.0/3.0/0.9/0.3/1.5 :34
$3 Greg Monroe, DET PF, C Jennings and Smoove and their inefficiencies hurt his 13-14 campaign, Stan Van should help make the team efficient again and Monroe can bounce back.
Slim’s Projection: .490/.680/0/16.5/9.6/2.4/1.2/0.7/1.8 :34
$3 Isaiah Thomas, PHO PG I thought IT2 was going to be an interesting sleeper, but he’s getting ranked obscenely high. I don’t think he’s ever the facilitator with Dragic or Bledsoe, and the dimes drop way off.
Slim’s Projection: .450/.850/1.5/16.0/2.4/5.3/1.0/0.1/2.4 :28
$3 Tyreke Evans, NOP SG, SF While his post-ASB play was astounding, a lot had to do with Jrue Holiday being hurt. He still should be back into a big role as the starting 3.
Slim’s Projection: .450/.770/0.5/17.0/4.8/4.4/1.3/0.4/2.6 :30
$3 Kevin Martin, MIN SG, SF No more Love makes K-Mart the main offensive threat and should hit a bajillion treys.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.890/1.7/19.0/3.0/1.8/1.0/0.1/1.7 :32
$3 Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL SG, SF 1.7:1.7 AST:TO pre-ASB to 2.3:1.5 post showed huge improvement with the ball, going to get a huge starting role, offers upside in all 9 cats. A huge Razzball favorite.
Slim’s Projection: .460/.740/1.0/13.5/6.2/2.4/1.0/1.0/2.2 :32
$1 ↓ Nikola Pekovic, MIN C Slightly empty Pts/Reb/FG%, and does have some injury risk, but a stalwart while in there.
Slim’s Projection: .530/.740/0/17.0/8.7/1.0/0.6/0.6/1.7 :30
$3 Larry Sanders, MIL PF, C So hard to rank, so hard to like as a person, but upside is still there and his contract means he’s going to at least get a shot. Henson might start, however Sanders was still a monster in 12-13 at 27 MPG. I’m not reaching; that said, not explicitly passing either.
Slim’s Projection: .490/.560/0/9.0/8.1/1.1/0.9/2.3/1.2 :28
$3 Markieff Morris, PHO PF, C Per-36 26/11.3/3.4/1.6/1.4 with 0.8 treys a game last year, and looking at a role close to those minutes. Sleeper patrol!
Slim’s Projection: .480/.790/0.8/17.0/6.8/2.2/1.0/0.9/2.2 :34
$2 Channing Frye, ORL PF, C His former teammate is going to be an out-of-position ThrAGNOF king in Orlando where no one else is a perimeter threat.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.810/2.0/11.0/5.6/1.2/0.7/0.8/1.0 :30
$2 Jonas Valanciunas, TOR C Vastly improved post-ASB, especially with FG% from 50 to 58, and maybe had some sophomore-slump-itis or an injury most of last year. Upside to bounce back, but I can’t reach after being burnt last year.
Slim’s Projection: .540/.780/0/13.5/9.0/0.8/0.4/1.1/1.8 :30
$2 Jeremy Lin, LAL PG, SG Low-upside, but Kobe to take the pressure off and a change of scenery could make him sneaky value. Don’t discount those steals!
Slim’s Projection: .440/.790/1.2/14.0/2.8/6.2/1.3/0.4/2.7 :30
$2 George Hill, IND PG, SG Again low-upside, but could get back to 12-13 numbers with Paul George being out.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.800/1.3/12.0/3.7/4.4/1.0/0.3/1.5 :32
$2 Elfird Payton, ORL PG Much higher upside and could flirt with numerous trip-dubs, but is a horrible FT shooter for a PG and turns the ball over way too much.
Slim’s Projection: .475/.650/0.5/11.0/5.7/6.9/1.6/0.4/3.2 :32
$2 Arron Afflalo, DEN SG, SF Never been a fan, but the Nuggets needed a more consistent wing last year and he’ll be playing with the best PG he’s ever been paired with.
Slim’s Projection: .455/.820/1.7/16.5/3.4/3.3/0.6/0.2/1.9 :34
$2 Terrence Jones, HOU SF, PF Tremendous breakout last year that should have no issue carrying over. I don’t know why he’s so much lower in other ranks.
Slim’s Projection: .520/.630/0.6/14.0/7.6/1.3/0.9/1.4/1.1 :30
$2 Zach Randolph, MEM PF, C Consistency! And Pts/Reb! And that’s it…
Slim’s Projection: .465/.750/0/16.0/9.4/2.3/0.7/0.3/2.1 :32
$2 Taj Gibson, CHI PF, C Durable, and even as a 6th man should get to 30 minutes especially behind brittle bigs. Underrated blocker.
Slim’s Projection: .490/.730/0/14.0/7.2/1.2/0.5/1.5/1.8 :30
$2 Patrick Beverley, HOU PG, SG More minutes with Lin gone, his metric-friendly 3s/low TOs should carry over with good steals. Nothing too exciting, but value will add up.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.810/1.8/12.5/3.8/3.1/1.5/0.5/1.4 :34
$2 Lance Stephenson, CHA SG, SF TOs should go down, but so should the boards. Like PBev, nothing exciting but sheer volume should accrue value.
Slim’s Projection: .475/.710/1.2/14.5/7.2/4.2/0.8/0.1/2.6 :36
$2 Draymond Green, GSW SF #OccupyDraymondGreen! A monster last year in a low-minutes role, has a shot to start the 3 with Iggy off the bench. Multi-cat upside all over the place!
Slim’s Projection: .430/.740/0.9/10.0/6.2/2.7/1.7/0.9/1.4 :28
$2 Reggie Jackson, OKC PG, SG Solid as a starter last year, and while most of those starts were without Westbrook, sheer volume of minutes as the probable starting 2 should add up nice numbers.
Slim’s Projection: .450/.880/1.2/14.5/4.4/4.6/1.2/0.2/2.0 :30
$2 Jodie Meeks, DET SG Great %s from a high-volume 3-shooter, should rack up steals in Stan Van’s D, I think he’ll come somewhere close to what he did in 13-14 which was a top-50 overall. KCP looming for minutes does scare me though.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.870/2.1/12.5/2.0/1.6/1.1/0.1/1.3 :32
$2 Corey Brewer, MIN SG, SF Elite steals guy, knows his game and should start again. I think he’s a great athlete and can surprise with nice boards as well with Love gone.
Slim’s Projection: .450/.710/0.6/11.5/2.6/1.6/1.7/0.4/1.3 :30
$2 Alec Burks, UTA PG, SG Upside and opportunity, he could be a very sneaky late source of points.
Slim’s Projection: .460/.760/0.8/16.5/3.8/3.0/1.1/0.3/2.1 :32
$2 John Henson, MIL PF, C Early news is he’ll get the first shot to start, and in 23 starts last year 13.3/8.5/2/0.5/2. Poor man’s FT-punt big! If news hold he starts, will move 10-20 up.
Slim’s Projection: .530/.530/0/12.0/7.9/1.7/ 0.7/1.7/1.7 :28
$1 Andrew Bogut, GSW C Always ends up ranked higher than you’d expect, but always ends up as hurt as you’d expect…
Slim’s Projection: .570/.450/0/7.5/9.5/1.6/0.6/1.6/1.4 :26
$1 J.J. Redick, LAC SG In an injury-riddled campaign, was actually 67th in per-game last year. A great fit in the Clips O for sneaky value. Plus, he’s on the positive end of ThrAGNOF!
Slim’s Projection: .440/.900/2.2/15.0/2.3/2.4/0.7/0.1/1.2 :30
$1 Spencer Hawes, LAC PF, C A revelation last year, should still get must-own minutes as Clips’ 6th man.
Slim’s Projection: .465/.770/1.4/11.5/7.4/2.3/0.4/1.0/1.7 :28
$1 Joe Johnson, BKN SG, SF Had some big spikes when D-Will got hurt, but D-Will will have some injury stretches again…
Slim’s Projection: .440/.820/1.8/14.5/3.3/2.9/0.6/0.1/1.6 :32
$1 Tyson Chandler, DAL C Return to Dallas will solidify a nice late Reb/Blk contribution.
Slim’s Projection: .600/.660/0/8.0/9.4/1.0/0.6/1.1/1.2 :30
$1 Brandon Jennings, DET PG Horrific last year, and Stan Van emphasizing rotations and defense isn’t going to help. But still upside; he’s a talented player.
Slim’s Projection: .390/.780/1.8/15.0/2.9/7.4/1.3/0.1/2.6 :32
$1 Jared Sullinger, BOS PF, C 13.9/9/1.8/0.5/0.8 with 0.8 treys in 44 starts last year, in 29:33 a game. Markieff Morris-lite.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.780/1.0/15.0/8.4/1.8/0.6/0.7/1.9 :30
$1 DeMarre Carroll, ATL SF, PF Was a much better player after Horford injury so I won’t reach for value he gave in 13-14.
Slim’s Projection: .465/.770/1.3/11.0/5.6/1.8/1.4/0.3/1.1 :32
$1 Tobias Harris, ORL SF, PF Acquisition of Frye and selection of Gordon shows non-committal approach, still such a fantasy-friendly player that if he gets the run could surprise.
Slim’s Projection: .475/.800/0.8/17.0/7.2/1.4/1.0/0.6/1.4 :30
$1 Paul Pierce, WAS SF, PF Age obviously up there, and the Wiz are loaded at SF. A healthy, big-minute season would make this way wrong, but I’m hedging against it.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.820/1.4/13.0/4.4/2.2/1.0/0.3/2.0 :28
$1 Rodney Stuckey, IND PG, SG George Hill isn’t a passer and Stuckey might be the main offensive catalyst. While on an offensively-challenged team, still think he can surprise.
Slim’s Projection: .425/.830/0.5/15.5/3.2/3.8/0.9/0.2/2.1 :32
$1 Danilo Gallinari, DEN SF Will be a forgotten name in many draft rooms, still offers a pretty good fantasy line if he’s healthy.
Slim’s Projection: .410/.800/1.6/13.5/4.7/2.2/0.8/0.4/1.4 :28
$1 Amir Johnson, TOR PF, C Lingering ankle issue and Raptors PF depth scare me.
Slim’s Projection: .560/.680/0.3/12.0/7.6/1.6/0.9/1.4/1.7 :30
$1 Jameer Nelson, DAL PG Best fit of the 3 Mavericks PGs since he can hit treys. I see him surprising this year as an old vet sleeper.
Slim’s Projection: .410/.830/2.1/11.0/3.2/5.8/0.7/0.1/2.1 :30
$1 Josh McRoberts, MIA PF, C Should repeat 13-14 numbers – overall value last year inflated a bit by low TO. Solid plug-n-play for across the board stats.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.730/1.3/10.0/5.6/3.9/0.8/0.6/1.1 :30
$1 Jordan Hill, LAL PF, C 13/8.9/0.8/0.5/1.1 in 32 starts last year, but still in under 25 minutes a game. Per-36s look great, needs the conistsnt run.
Slim’s Projection: .530/.720/0/14.0/8.3/0.9/0.7/1.4/1.6 :28
$1 Roy Hibbert, IND C I’m not touching Hibbert unless he falls way down and I need blocks.
Slim’s Projection: .450/.760/0/12.0/7.1/1.3/0.4/2.1/1.9 :28
$1 Danny Green, SAS SG, SF Took off after the ASB, shooting 6% better and upping treys from 1.5 to 2.6. Pop will make him frustrating, but will end up a value.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.800/2.1/10.0/3.3/1.6/0.9/0.8/1.2 :26
$1 Jamal Crawford, LAC PG, SG Spiked in dimes while CP3 was hurt, minutes and points to regress and late nagging injuries last year scare me.
Slim’s Projection: .410/.870/2.0/16.0/1.9/2.7/0.8/0.1/1.8 :28
$1 Andre Iguodala, GSW SG, SF I think he’s going to lead the second unit, losing the starting job to Draymond, then still has to fend off Barnes for minutes.
Slim’s Projection: .460/.660/0.9/10.0/4.4/3.9/1.3/0.3/1.5 :30
$1 Mario Chalmers, MIA PG Sure there’s some upside with LeBron now gone, but I’m not that enthusiastic.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.770/1.7/11.5/3.2/5.6/1.7/0.2/2.4 :32
$1 Mason Plumlee, BKN PF, C Could shoot way up for me if news is encouraging on his 14-15 role, per-36s in rookie year were very solid.
Slim’s Projection: .550/.650/0/13.5/8.3/1.3/1.0/1.2/2.1 :28
$1 Jeff Green, BOS SG, SF One of the “busts of the year” for 13-14, really nothing indicates he’ll be any better in 14-15.
Slim’s Projection: .425/.800/1.4/15.0/4.5/1.5/0.6/0.6/1.9 :32
$1 Anderson Varejao, CLE PF, C Big rebounds and not too much else in a sub-30 MPG role, does sneak in a steal a game for you from a big.
Slim’s Projection: .500/.670/0/8.0/9.2/2.0/1.0/0.6/1.1 :26
$1 Nene Hilario, WAS PF, C Worth a reach if punting FT or TO, would be higher if he wasn’t so old and injury prone.
Slim’s Projection: .500/.660/0/13.0/5.8/2.6/1.1/0.8/1.9 :28
$1 Manu Ginobili, SAS SG, SF Finished 98th in under 23 minutes a game last year, should come close to repeat but game-to-game will be maddening to own.
Slim’s Projection: .450/.840/1.4/12.5/3.1/4.1/0.9/0.2/2.0 :24
$1 P.J. Tucker, PHO SG, SF A little regression in value and minutes likely, already missing three games to suspension and isn’t exactly a special player.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.770/1.0/10.0/6.6/1.7/1.3/0.3/1.3 :30
$1 Trey Burke, UTA PG Anemic steals, horrible FG%, but is the last big minute PG on the board if you need some upside.
Slim’s Projection: .400/.870/1.7/13.5/3.1/5.9/0.8/0.1/2.0 :32
$1 J.R. Smith, NYK SG, SF Career-high assists last year with horrible Felton at PG, those will go down, treys to regress, never been a JR fan.
Slim’s Projection: .420/.720/2.5/15.5/3.8/2.6/1.0/0.2/1.5 :32
$1 Omer Asik, NOP PF, C Beyond boards and a block a game, doesn’t do too much and won’t get huge minutes. FT drain a bugaboo too.
Slim’s Projection: .540/.600/0/9.0/10.2/0.5/0.5/1.2/1.8 :28
$1 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, DET SG My boyfriend! StanVan loves his D from KCP with no TO. It’s like a Sesame Street episode! Needs to carry over season finale game/Summer League play into the season, but worth the upside.
Slim’s Projection: .420/.770/1.3/11.5/2.7/1.1/1.4/0.2/1.0 :26
$1 Gerald Green, PHO SG, SF I just don’t see the minutes, and pre-ranks of him top 100 are outrageous. Should hit some treys for you, but not a guy you’ll have on your roster all year.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.830/1.8/12.0/2.4/0.8/0.6/0.2/1.4 :22
$1 Andrea Bargnani, NYK PF, C 13.7/5.3/1.1/0.3/1.3 with 0.7 treys and only 1.3 TOs in 23 starts last year, and a good fit for the Triangle offense. There’s upside there, even if it’s hard to believe…
Slim’s Projection: .430/.820/0.8/13.0/4.6/0.9/0.4/0.8/1.4 :28
$1 Matt Barnes, LAC SF Like McBob, a low upside stat-stuffer late. Big 2nd half aided by no Redick who I think has a big year.
Slim’s Projection: .450/.740/1.2/9.0/4.6/1.8/0.8/0.4/1.1 :26
$1 Miles Plumlee, PHO PF, C Completely fell off when the calendar turned to 2014, but for a late source of blocks, Frye let go will open up more minutes.
Slim’s Projection: .510/.580/0/9.0/8.0/ 0.6/0.6/1.2/1.4 :26
$1 Tony Wroten, PHI PG In 16 starts put up 17.8/4.4/5.2/1.2/0.4, but lots of TO and the worst FT shooting G in the NBA. Might get a shot to start at the 2 which makes him interesting.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.660/0.7/13.5/3.4/3.2/1.1/0.2/2.8 :26
$1 Nik Stauskas, SAC SG I see him taking McLemore’s job and being a surprise source of assists with low TOs, along with the given treys and good %s.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.830/1.6/11.0/2.2/2.3/0.4/0.1/1.0 :26
$1 Kendall Marshall, MIL PG Upside limited to dimes, but at least it’s a tough to find cat especially this late. Will move up if he’s given the starting gig.
Slim’s Projection: .410/.680/0.9/7.5/2.1/6.4/0.7/0.1/2.0 :24
$1 Terrence Ross, TOR SG, SF Young with upside like the ridiculous 51-pointer, but still raw and lacks in most cats right now. Worth the lottery pick at this point.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.810/2.3/13.0/3.4/1.2/1.0/0.4/1.4 :30
$1 Eric Gordon, NOP SG Yet another offseason knee surgery, played in 115/246 games the past three years. Not touching him.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.800/1.4/15.0/2.2/3.1/1.0/0.2/1.9 :30
$1 Brandan Wright, DAL PF, C Not too much depth behind Dirk and Tyson, and both are way up there in age giving Wright a shot at more than expected minutes.
Slim’s Projection: .600/.700/0/10.5/4.9/0.7/0.7/1.1/0.8 :22
$1 Dante Exum, UTA PG Minutes are there for the taking, but he’s so so raw. Already feeling iffy having him even this high.
Slim’s Projection: .400/.720/0.6/8.5/2.4/2.9/0.8/0.1/1.7 :24
$1 Avery Bradley, BOS PG, SG Brings you some scoring and out-of-position boards, but not too much upside.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.790/1.6/15.5/3.7/1.6/1.1/0.1/1.8 :32
$1 Marco Belinelli, SAS SG, SF A roster filler with no upside, does offer low TOs with more than a trey to fill out your minutes.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.830/1.4/10.5/2.7/2.2/0.6/0.1/1.1 :24
$1 Marcus Morris, PHO PF Some minutes are opened up with Frye gone, will be a surprising bottom-end contributor with treys from a PF.
Slim’s Projection: .445/.750/1.5/11.0/4.3/1.3/1.0/0.3/1.3 :26
$1 C.J. Miles, IND SG, SF Deep source of treys and steals, especially if he wins the starting 3 role over Solomon Hill.
Slim’s Projection: .420/.810/1.5/12.5/2.7/1.9/1.0/0.3/1.2 :28
$1 Ersan Ilyasova, MIL SF, PF Looked downright awful last year, but was top 50 in 12-13 and came into last year with a bum ankle. Won’t be me seeing if he can bounce back though…
Slim’s Projection: .430/.820/0.5/11.5/6.1/1.1/0.7/0.2/1.0 :24
$1 Enes Kanter, UTA C Terrible on defense and was much better against second units. Youth and opportunity still remain for some late boarding upside.
Slim’s Projection: .490/.740/0/13.0/7.6/1.0/0.4/0.6/1.9 :28
$1 K.J. McDaniels, PHI SF A good shot to take the 3 role, still uncertain minutes though… That said, a block+ from your wing is great upside.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.770/0.8/12.5/5.6/1.4/1.0/1.2/1.7 :30
$1 Wilson Chandler, DEN SG, SF Wasted a big opportunity last year, Gallinari to take a ton of minutes away.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.760/1.6/12.5/4.6/1.7/0.7/0.6/1.2 :28
$1 Dion Waiters, CLE SG Super-duper ThrAGNOF with lower offensive volume with LeBron in town. Should find himself a lot of wide open treys though…
Slim’s Projection: .430/.720/1.5/13.5/2.6/2.8/0.9/0.2/1.9 :28
$1 Jarrett Jack, BKN PG, SG Will fill in admirably in the Shaun Livingston role, doing nothing exceptional but being useful.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.840/0.9/11.5/3.1/4.3/0.7/0.2/1.8 :30
$1 Mirza Teletovic, BKN SF, PF Huge vacancy of minutes with only grandpa-KG there at the 4, per-36 averaged 3.5 treys last year.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.710/2.2/11.5/4.1/1.0/0.5/0.4/0.9 :24

 

And there ya go!  Definitely some guys I’ll be buying in all auctions, and others I’m not touching.  Let us know how your auction drafts go and may your buys all be values!

  1. SydeEye Sally says:
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    I’m wondering what the prices would be for $100 budget, half the price?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @SydeEye Sally: Yeah it’d be about right, maybe got 5-10% lower on the first tier elite guys since you need a little more budget to round out your roster. Wouldn’t quite go $50 on Durant maybe $45 since all your $1 buys take up 1% of your budget vs. .5%

  2. Pops says:
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    Hi JB,
    Hope you had a good summer. Need to keep 4 in a h2h 11 category league (FGM and FTM)

    A Davis
    Millsap
    Rose
    Conley
    Drummond
    Rubio
    K Walker

    Thanks

    • Pops says:
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      @Pops: Not an auction league

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Pops: Yo Pops, good to see ya! Been a great summer minus my brewers imploding. Your bigs are too dirty to pass up. Davis, Drummond, and Millsap are all keepers for me. So it’s picking a PG, and those extra cats really hurt Rubio even though you need dimes, so I’m keeping Rose I think. Extra cats out him over. Conley and. I think you’re so set up front, if Rose is bad or gets hurt, you can trade to help the backcourt.

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Pops: I agree with the 3 bigs. That’s a great place to start. But I don’t know if I’m keeping Rose over any of those 4. Conley is last on the list for sure. Rubio vs Kemba in a keeper. I’ll take Kemba. So Yeah if you’re OK with all that risk from Rose then he’s your guy but I don’t think his fantasy ceiling is all that high and I’m taking a much safer Kemba who’s biggest negative, FG%, is already one of your best categories. Also, I don’t believe DRose will be better than Kemba in either of the 2 new categories. I think Rose avoids contact and FT attempts come crashing down, along with his FG%.

  3. Snacks13 says:
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    Is there an excel spread sheet available with your stat projections?

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Snacks13: Not that I know of… I just have a simple old .txt file I use. JB is the tech savy guy. I’ll ask him when I get a chance.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Snacks13: Lemme cook something up, it’s all in almost exportable excel-type stuff, but haven’t thought to do it yet. I’ll comment back when I do!

  4. Drez says:
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    Hey guys, In the middle of an offline 14 team h2h dynasty draft. The PG’s dried up pretty quickly, so I’m left scrambling at this point. Anyway, these are the guys that are left (I probably need 2 of them, lol):

    Elfrid Payton
    Calderon
    Lin
    Collison
    Chalmers
    G.Hill
    Napier
    Lavine
    J.Jack
    C.J. McCollum
    Ray McCallum
    Felton/Jameer

    It’s pretty depressing, but it’s a dynasty, so I don’t mind waiting a season to get good value. Leaning Payton, but I could use some 3’s. Got my eye on a few specialists to round out the draft though, so it’s not thaaaat big of a deal if the upside is there.

    Anyway, thanks again!

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Drez: In a dynasty I’d rank them… Elfrid, CJ McCollum, Lavine, Napier and so ends the guys with long term keeper potential and I wouldn’t pick any of the others until those 1st 2 are gone. After that I would go for guys with short term keeper potential. Collison, Lin, Chalmers, in that order. Calderon is ok but he will be gone since all those other guys are better keeper options. Hill, Jack, Felton, Jameer only as a final pick non-keeper, but they’ll be gone. Finally Lavine, Napier as a final pick if you are willing to wait. I can’t imagine it will happen this year for either. I didn’t mention… McCallum and that’s because I think he is a low upside guy I’d ignore.

  5. Humps says:
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    14 team keeper league. 200 dollar budget. Could keep Harden at 65 and basically use all my money keeping 6 guys or I could keep The Brow (48), Lillard/Millsap/Noah (25), Dragic (11), Lowry (4), Thad Young (16), and Beverly (4). Thanks for all the help. Like having depth in a deep league (what I consider good depth) and I still have 30 bucks to play with if I don’t keep Harden

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Humps: I would want some money for all these great rookies. Brow is a great price. Lillard/Millsap too. Noah is OK and I would absolutely keep the rest.

      Brow, Lillard, Millsap, Dragic, Lowry, Thad, Beverley @ $133.

      I’m pretty sure that’s what I would do. Harden just sucks too much money away. He’s probably worth that much but not at the cost off your depth. Noah is close, either keep $67 without Noah or $42 with. Noah will go for more than $25 but I’m not convinced he’s worth $25 worth of depth for your team. The other option is to scrap Thaddeus and keep Noah and… $58. I like that too. So, I’d keep Noah or Thad. Not both and yes Harden gets thrown back.

      • Humps says:
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        @Slim: It is tough without knowing how much money and what players will be available! I really appreciate the help. Just now stumbled upon this website and I don’t know how I experienced even a little bit of success without it. Excellent information throughout! Good luck this year

      • Humps says:
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        @Slim: Also, trying to get a feel for how long this league will last to see if bidding a small amount of money for Embiid and Paul George will be worth it. Obviously having a talent like George at 10-15 dollars (no way he is being kept for 55) would be a massive advantage in the coming years. Also gonna try to take a stab at KJ McDaniels at the very end of the draft!

        • Slim

          Slim says:
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          @Humps: Thanks. We try…

          I’m not one to sacrifice an entire season like that. There are people who will do it though so I imagine George won’t go for nothing… I don’t know. It’s not for me.

  6. Patrick says:
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    a player in my league dropped K.J. McDaniels, the weakest players I have is Brandon Wright and Marcus Smart. I’m low on both blocks and assists. should I pick him McDaniels up? and if so, for who? there seems to be a lot of buzz around marcus smart, being owned 26%

    14 team h2h 9 cat daily

    PG: MCW
    SG: Oladipo
    G: Brandon Knight
    SF: Durant
    PF: Milsap
    F: Horford
    C: Channing Frye
    C: Henson
    Util: Draymond Green
    Util: Jodie Meeks
    BN: Greg Monroe
    BN: Brandon wright
    BN: Marcus Smart

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Patrick: Team Durant… I agree blocks need a little help and assists are a little shy. I don’t think Smart is going to help too much in assists, he’s more there for steals, which I think you are above the middle of the pack. I’m not a big believer in Wright since I don’t think he’s going to get too minutes. Although he should help in blocks… Tough call. Ultimately I don’t believe Wright gets enough minutes so I’d take the upside gamble on KJ and drop Wright. I’m not sure JB would agree with me though.

      • Patrick says:
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        @Slim: yeah i was preparing pretty heavily for the draft, with strats for picks 2-6 and 7 and above, number 1 pick quickly doused my worrying.

        i couldn’t get any of the late assist guys in Calderon or Collison.

        there is DJ. Augustin on the waiver wire, should I pick him up instead?

        • Slim

          Slim says:
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          @Patrick: Nah, not until he unseats Jennings. I’m not sure that’s actually going to happen so Augustin remains just a watch list guy.

      • Patrick says:
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        @Slim:
        I’m thinking of trading marcus smart to the team that has rondo. what’s a good trade to offer considering my team and his?

        Goran Dragic Pho – PG,SG
        Kobe Bryant LAL – PG,SG
        Rajon Rondo Bos – PG
        Luol Deng Mia – SF,PF
        Pau Gasol Chi – PF,C
        Andre Iguodala GS – SG,SF
        Nene Hilario Was – PF,C
        David Lee GS – PF,C
        Eric Gordon NO – SG
        Monta Ellis Dal – PG,SG
        Jared Sullinger Bos – PF,C
        JaVale McGee Den – C
        Patty Mills SA – PG

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Patrick: Slim intercepted!

          I think I have Wright ranked a smidge higher, but marginally. KJ has the out of position thing helping him for his blocks upside. But Wright I do think gets good minutes, but having one over the other isn’t a big difference.

          Maybe offer Oladipo and Smart and start there? Probably won’t get close to getting it done, but send a message saying willing to deal Oladipo and something? Esp. with Rondo hurt now.

          That said, I’d rather both KJ and Wright over Smart. Unless Rondo is moved, don’t see Smart doing much this year – given it’s a big possibility at the trade deadline though…

          • Patrick says:
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            @JB Gilpin: somebody scooped up KJ McDaniels, but he just offered me McDaniels for Smart. what do you guys think?

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Patrick: I’d rather McDaniels still, but it’s very very close. And that’s ROS, I think I’d hold Smart for the week or two he starts rather than trade right now for a guy like McDaniels.

              • Patrick says:
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                @JB Gilpin: Thanks!

  7. SMLV1 says:
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    Drop Henson, Mcgee or Dieng for Bogut?

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @SMLV1: McGee has never been a big minutes guy and coming off the injury I don’t think he will be anytime soon either. Henson and Dieng to me feel like they could potentially be 30ish minute guys. They just need to go out there and take the minutes. With that said McGee vs Bogut. I’m not much of a fan of Bogut but I would take him over McGee.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @SMLV1: A – GREEEEE!

  8. Pada says:
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    Hi Guys,

    I will have soon a dynasty starting from scratch: 16teams H2H, 9cat std, 200$.

    A few questions:
    1) I appreciate your budget takes into account the frenzy for the top picks…
    how did you end up with your premium for the top guys? how did you do that?

    2) With the top pick, would you still go Durant or the Brow?
    Is it worth it to go all-in : ~100$ on Durant for a dynasty?

    3) who to target with 100$ for 11other players (+4bench at 1$)…. tough….
    I think it’s worth spending for the Brow or Durant as we won’t have any time limit to own them…

    thanks & keep it going for the suuuuper work !!!

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Pada:

      1. I’m not a ‘stars and scrubs’ kind of drafter. I want a few upside reasonably priced guys, very solid depth, and maybe even save a few bucks to get the bench guys I really want that someone else nominates. Ultimately it’s preference. I’m not sure if one works better than the other…

      2. I wouldn’t spend more than about $60ish on any one player in a 16 teamer, 15 player team. That said, someone will. If I REALLY wanted Durant or Brow I could stretch it to $70 but I wouldn’t be happy about it. In a dynasty I would be even less likely to throw so much money into one guy… but someone will.

      3. No, because you can probably get 2 or even 3, 2nd/3rd round type picks for the cost of one of those 2. If you’re able to get Lillard, Favors, Oladipo for about the same price you are going to be WAY ahead of team Durant with plenty of room for growth.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Pada: 1 – Yeah me and Slim differ here, but it is a little different in dynasty. You want to be sure to have some nice money for guys you want late, and different for deeper leagues too. In our REL (20 team dynasty) the complete lack of bottom end talent means I’m spreading my bets more. In the shallower leagues, the stars and scrubs is how I go.

      2. If Brow or KD were in the low 80s, I’d be bidding even in a 16 teamer. But yeah, not going up to the prices I have listed above since they’re for 12 team.

      3. Depends on the price of KD or Brow if you get them. If you do, I’d wait until the guys you really like 3rd-4th round in that range. So for me, MCW, Noel, etc.

      Thanks man, I’m glad to be back home and helping, hope to see ya a lot!

  9. Tony says:
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    Yo slim, JB, & any other razzers with an opinion:

    Live 18 man auction, we can keep up to 4….. We subtract their salaries from $200. & that’s what we go into the auction with…… H2h fits league…… Who do you keep of these guys considering salaries, potential, etc……

    Paul George $27 (disgusting he’s hurt, major dilemma for me, keeping is almost auto tank)
    Harden $54/ 5176 fpts
    Millsap $35/ 4468 fpts
    D. West $22/ 3473 fpts
    Al Jeff $45/ 4225 fpts
    John Henson $9/ 2897 fpts
    Demarre carrol $1/ 2896

    What do u say?

    • Tony says:
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      @Tony: I know I asked last yr and a month ago or so seeing if there’s any other opinions or if any things changed

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Tony: Nothing has changed for me. I’m pretty sure I said keep Harden, Millsap, Henson, Carroll. I don’t like to punt an entire season so George doesn’t make the cut. Jefferson and West seem like they are right at market price so if you want them back I bet you can get them in the draft at about the same cost.

      • Tony says:
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        @Slim: thanks man…… It is a fpts Lg & I love demarre’s price at $1 I just don’t know if he can do much more than last yr? He was healthy all yr and still averaged only 39 fpts/gm…… And big Al would be my substitute for him….. I would spend a ton more money but if he goes back I think he’d go for $60+ being a center & elite scoring player….I’m torn. This good rookie class will suck out some big money, but there’s still alwayssss way more cash thn their are good players and prices get super inflated….. Melo and durant went back in and went for $84 & $101 last yr! McW went for $40 as a rook….. Wiggins and Jabari will go for $50 each guaranteed….. If that maybe helps evaluate the lg better

        • Tony says:
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          @Tony: although….. If I keep harden, al Jeff, mill sap & Henson then I have $57 to spend

          If I swap demarre in I’d have $101…… Defly could buy big al or???? Other pieces depending what is thrown back

          • Slim

            Slim says:
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            @Tony: Yeah that’s what I’m basing keeping Carroll on, I think you can get Jefferson back for $40-$50 no problem if you wanted him. Carroll isn’t supposed to be great or anything but he should go for more than $1 in an 18 teamer.

            • Tony says:
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              @Slim: for sure but big AL will go for $55+, premium position talent goes for premium cash in this league, too many owners with too much money = major inflation

              I may go for keeping Carroll , thanks for advice

              • Slim

                Slim says:
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                @Tony: At his age and with his injury history I wouldn’t touch him at that price. I still like Carroll and $44.

  10. Henry says:
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    Hey guys, thanks for all the great content on this site! Really helped me out during my draft. I was wondering if you could take a look at my team and give me some feedback. 12 man league 9 categories $200 budget.

    Serge Ibaka, OKC PF $48
    Dirk Nowitzki, Dal PF $40
    Paul Millsap, Atl PF $40
    Kyle Lowry, Tor PG $29
    Nikola Vucevic, Orl C $10
    Jeremy Lin, LAL PG $6
    Robin Lopez, Por C $13
    Corey Brewer, Min SF $1
    Darren Collison, Sac PG $1
    Danny Green, SA SG $6
    Patrick Beverley, Hou PG $3
    Alec Burks, Uta SG $1
    Rodney Stuckey, Ind SG $1

    A little worried about assists and also Dirk’s age. The people in my league seemed to be afraid of spending a lot on the top 50, so there was a lot of money left later in the draft.

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Henry: Assists might come up a little short but not by much. Stuckey and Burks could make up the difference so maybe I’m way off there. Bigs are great. No big time wing player but those aren’t too difficult to find on waivers if Brewer and Green don’t work out. Overall there’s a ton to like here and I don’t think there’s a single player I’m avoiding. I like it!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Henry: Love it too! 5 guys in my top 30. Collison for $1 is a steal. Think you did awesome!

  11. Mike says:
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    Hey Guys! Did a Yahoo standard 9-cat roto draft and I see from your rankings that I spent the equivalent of -$300 (was a snake draft). This can’t be right, so I’m going to post my team:

    Harden
    Millsap
    Horford
    Lawson
    MCW
    Bledsoe
    Favors
    Oladipo
    Frye
    Darren Collison
    GreekFreak
    Terrance Jones
    Markieff Morris
    Draymond Green

    Looks like I’m not doing well in FG%, FT%, or TO. Looks like Pts, Rbs, and Asts are good. Hard to tell on Blks and Stls. Do you think I focused too much on value and not enough on needs (as in, taking MCW in round 6 for great value, when I should have been looking to improve shooting percentages)?

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Mike: FG% isn’t going to be a positive. Probably not the worst in the league but I’d say less than middle of the pack. FT% and TOs look alright, TOs are a little high but you have such high usage type players that it just goes with the territory. Points looks great, boards are ok, Assists should be #1 or #2 in the league. Steals are through the roof, blocks are ok, I wouldn’t mind a little more. Your fake ‘budget’ is so inflated cause your league doesn’t understand what a sleeper is. Your last 4 picks we have in the top 100 and you took them all after pick 100. Your league mates are in for a rough year. You could finish top 3 without making a single move. Favors/Oladipo 7th/8th is absurd.

      • MadDog says:
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        @Slim: Thanks so much for the feeback, Slim. I just realized that I didn’t list the players in the exact order I drafted them, but the idea still holds: I drafter lots of highly-rated sleepers late in the draft.

        Thanks to you and JB for doing these. You guys are definitely a credit to the Razzball name.

        • Slim

          Slim says:
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          @MadDog: Thanks. We try. Although we do have a goal in mind… we want to pass razzball football in page views. It’s an uphill battle but at the rate we’re growing I don’t see why not.

  12. SMLV1 says:
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    My Team in a 12 Team Standard Redraft League –

    Paul – PG
    Leonard – SG,SF
    G. Dragic – PG,SG
    N. Young – SG,SF
    Noel – PF,C
    T. Gibson – PF,C
    Amir Johnson – PF,C
    Sullinger – PF,C
    K. Bryant – PG,SG
    Chalmers – PG
    BN – Lin – PG,SG
    BN – Stuckey – PG,SG
    BN – Burke – PG

    One Team has posted he is wiling to Trade –

    Rudy Gay – SF,PF
    Paul Millsap – PF,C
    Pau Gasol – PF,C

    Should I try and make an offer for any of these guys? If so, Whats a good offer to throw out at him to test the water

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @SMLV1: Nice team!

      I’m huge on Millsap so if you can get him for a good value, I’m all over it. Probably not going after Gay and Gasol.

      Let’s see, Kobe and Sullinger? I’m iffy on Kobe, and he’s probably the highest value guy I’d want to trade from that team.

  13. SMLV1 says:
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    so offer Kobe and Sullinger for Millsap? or Kobe for Millsap? or Sullinger for Millsap?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @SMLV1: Maybe Kobe first, but I meant both and both should get him. Well I’d think… But you can start with Kobe.

  14. CTMN says:
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    I already know that you guys like Curry at 3 in a standard draft, but could you compare Curry and Harden? I kinda feel like Harden might be safer and with more upside because Steve Kerr talked about playing Curry more off the ball (which would hurt his assists) and Harden also went crazy in the 2nd half last year, plus Parsons and Lin are gone. I still wanna take Curry but I’m worried about it.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @CTMN: I wouldn’t be worried, who is going to facilitate the offense then? Klay Thompson? And Shaun Livingston is hurt for backup G minutes. I just think Curry is too good and not worried about it. Harden is definitely moving to 5 over Paul for me in my first update, but I think Curry is still a good portion ahead of Harden.

      • CTMN says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Thanks JB. I guess it probably isn’t worth a Slim comparison but it’s not too far off. I guess they would just move the ball more as a team, maybe Iguodala facilitating more, but ultimately I guess it’s not too likely that Curry’s asts will go down. I just needed one of you guys to reassure me!
        By the way when is that update gonna be? Looking forward to it.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @CTMN: Yeah it’s somewhat close but I think we both like Curry even over LeBron so not quite a Slim vs. Slim. I am still thinking Iggy comes off the bench to run the 2nd unit. Not exactly sure when first update will be, sometime around the first preseason game or two methinks 🙂

          • CTMN says:
            (link)

            @JB Gilpin: Okay great! Since I wasn’t sure and I also like watching the Warriors so I wanted to check it out, I found the quote from Alvin Gentry (new Warriors assistant coach, old coach of Phoenix with Nash and assistant coach for Clippers last year). He said they wanted to take pressure off Curry by not handling the ball as much, and they were doing the same with Nash and Chris Paul. But he also said he doesn’t expect Curry’s points or assists to go down, so that’s good. Plus Nash and Paul both had huge asts seasons, 11+ asts in the past. Full quote is here:
            http://www.ibabuzz.com/warriors/2014/08/14/warriors-stephen-curry-play-ball-steve-kerrs-new-look-offense/

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @CTMN: Yeah he did some off the ball some last year, but it’s about limiting his stress, I’m not too worried about it. Thanks for the quote!

              • Slim

                Slim says:
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                @JB Gilpin: I have Harden over LeBron so I’ve got them 3/4. Close, but ultimately I just think Curry does more.

                • CTMN says:
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                  @Slim: thanks to both of you, I think I might put Harden over LeBron now.

  15. Ryan Perkins says:
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    Hey guys,

    1) What’s the most you would spend on Paul George in a keeper league?

    2) With my keepers being Rose at $1, Curry at $18, Vucevic at $1, MCW at $2, and Kawhi at $9, would you be more inclined to fill the rest of the roster with the stars and stud strategy or the balanced?

    Thanks for the input!

    • Ryan Perkins says:
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      @Ryan Perkins: Also, with the players mentioned, is that enough information to know how I should build my team?

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Ryan Perkins: Hey man – 1 – Probably not all that much. I’m guessing $200 budget and you have 31 tied up, so maybe 10-15? Your team is pretty nasty, so I’d surely be all in for this year and not wanna burn a roster spot.

        Sure, I think you have solid PG depth which is a must, I’d be in on a few big men and probably indeed go stars and scrubs since you have pretty cheap depth already. Might as well get more stars and have a stacked team!

      • Slim

        Slim says:
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        @Ryan Perkins: With that set of keepers i wouldnt worry about George and I would go for the title. At those prices those are your scrubs! Your team is gonna be stars and more stars.

  16. zman10 says:
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    Hey,

    I’m in a $200 budget auction keeper league. With a $5 tax for keeping a player

    Keep Melo for 62? and or Kobe for $30?

    Thanks guys.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @zman10: I’d probably keep Melo, can you only keep 1 per team? If so I definitely would keep Melo as a start.

      • zman10 says:
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        @JB Gilpin: No I can keep as many players as I like as long as I’m under budget.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @zman10: Oh I got ya, yeah Melo is probably still a keep, Kobe… ehhhh? Depends on how many other guys are getting kept, but if most teams keep half or more of their roster, he might make it. Who else are you keeping?

        • Slim

          Slim says:
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          @zman10: At that price Kobe gets thrown back for me. Melo looks right about even in value so depending on who else you keep I would say go ahead and hold Melo.

          • zman10 says:
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            @Slim: This was my final roster last year:

            Michael Carter- Williams (keeping for $6.. drafted for $1)
            Terrence Ross (keeping for $5… free agent pickup)
            Melo (keeping for $62.. drafted for $57)
            Zack Randolph (drafted for $16)
            Roy Hibbert (drafted for $22)
            Jose Calderon (drafted for $20)
            David Lee (drafted for $23)
            Tim Duncan (drafted for $14)
            NiKola Vucevic (keeping for $20.. drafted for $15)
            Isaiah Thomas (keeping for $7… drafted for $2)
            Kobe Bryant (drafted for $27)
            DeMarre Carroll

            • zman10 says:
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              @zman10:

              Carroll was a free agent pickup and I also had Kyle Singler…

              That is a list of the keepers I’m think about and their drafted value. Any thoughts?

              Remember $5 tax on keeping players.

            • Slim

              Slim says:
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              @zman10: $5 for Carroll or Singler looks to be steep. I agree with everything you’ve got written there, both the keepers and non-keepers.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @zman10: I’m with Slim too, I like your keeper picks and solidify my Melo should be kept too stance.

  17. Jerome says:
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    Hey Slim, any formula for how your values might change in a 10 team league?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Jerome: Well I don’t know about Slim’s values, but for the prices I came up with – yeah spend 5-10% more on the stars since so many of the 70s and higher guys will go for $1. I definitely go stars and scrubs in shallower

  18. Rob says:
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    I am in a keeper league with inflation at O 1st yr and 5 2nd yr. This is the 1st year so I have KD $89,
    Melo $48
    Westbrook $38
    Gortat $3

    Thing is I can only keep 2, I know your saying Kd is a steal for $89 but am i better off taking Melo and Westbrook at these prices?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Rob: I’d still keep KD. I’d pair up the Thunder guys as I like Westbrook more anyway and he’s cheaper. $73 to fill out your roster with two first rounders kept and I think you’ll be good!

      • Rob says:
        (link)

        Yea its hard to deny KD’s greatness, As a knicks fan im hoping Melo’s gonna have a big year but they are such similar players drafting them both cost me in Big men. Love this site thank you for quick reply

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Rob: Glad to help, thanks for droppin by!

  19. Guillaume says:
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    Hello.

    Maybe it’s too late for a question but it’s worth trying.

    I have taken over a team in a roto 9 cat. league and I need to keep up to 4 players.
    See my team below.

    Stephen Curry 75
    Brandon Knight 6
    Tobias Harris 8
    Zach Randolph 6
    Pau Gasol 26
    Roy Hibbert 18
    Andre Drummond 27
    Jrue Holiday 18
    Jameer Nelson 4
    Larry Sanders 8

    Who would you keep?

    For now, I’m leaning towards Sanders, Holiday and Knight because the cost is low and there is a good upside but I’m torn for the 4th player (though I can keep only 3 if I want).
    Drummond is great but his FT% is tough to overcome, Nelson is good and fills the stat sheet but he is getting older and he may see a decrease in playing time.

    Thanks if you can give me your opinion.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Guillaume: It’s never too late! I’m going to guess a 10 or 12 team league, so unless it’s way deeper, I’m keeping Curry as an anchor. With everyone keeping 4 and 4 guys at a good value, I’m sure Curry would exceed 75 in the draft. And while his volume isn’t huge, Curry’s nice FT makes it easier to keep Drummond. I like those two together. So I’d go Curry, Drummond, Holiday, then Knight. I like Nelson a lot this year as a late round pick, but yeah you don’t need to keep him. Gives you $126 in keepers, but with those guys I’m fine only having $74 left. Hope that helps, thanks for stopping by!

      • Guillaume says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Thanks for your reply! Yes it was indeed a 12 team league and as often, the budget is $200. We start 10 and have 15 players overall.

        I’m always concerned when I have to spend that much of my budget on a single player, that’s why I did not consider Curry initially but I’ll take your advice into consideration.

Comments are closed.