Value is subjective. Take Barnett Newman’s Onement VI painting below.

I see a blue canvas with a white stripe down the middle. Other people? Well, check out this  quote from The Guardian: “A single white line divides a flat expanse of blue; it seems to rip open the universe, a crack in space and time.” Well then. Ok. Kind of dramatic and sounds like bullshit to me, but that’s just my perspective. The painting sold for $43.8 million, so what the F do I know? If someone likes something and has F U money to throw around, then that’s cool because at the end of the day, if Onement VI is worth $43.8 million to them, then Onement VI is worth $43.8 million. End of story. For fantasy basketball, though, it’s not so simple. We all value players differently, as we have unique perspectives and construct rosters in divergent ways. If a team decides to punt the free throw category, then Andre Drummond’s value is elevated from their contemporaries. With that said, we can ascertain some semblance of value for a fantasy basketball player due to their past history and projected future production. Julius Randle is one player who has jumped out to me because the spread in my projected value versus perceived value seems to be super wide.

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Assists are one of the more scarce resources in fantasy basketball. According to my projections, there are only 30 players dishing out more than five dimes per game. Three other players are at 4.8 or higher, so if you want to expand the list to 33, by all means. Now, seven of those players are within the top 10, 21 are located in the 11-100 range, and two are outside the top 100. So, much of your drafting strategy will depend on how you approach the assists category. Some choose to punt, others pay up, while the rest go William Wallace and hoooooooooooooooolllllldddd. If you go the William Wallace route, Jeff Teague and Ricky Rubio should be your targets because, after those two are off the board, the pickings get slim.

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My “What if?” game is inconsistent. Many of times, I’ll say F it and eradicate the question from my consciousness. As the Church of Nike preaches, I just do it. At other moments, I’m either too lazy or mental mind F myself to the point of paralysis. No bueno. Regardless, I am but a human, so even if I wanted to up my “What if?” game, my powers are limited. But the gods and aliens (maybe they are the same thing, but that’s a piece for another time) are not. Imagine their “What if?” game? Yo, Poseidon, what if you made the largest mammal to roam the sea without the ability to swallow a human? That would be hilarious! Oh, Jesus. You are a funny guy. What if you gave a tank the jumping ability of a flea? Think you could ask your pops to take care of that? And thus Zion Williamson was born. He’s a generational talent, already being compared to some of the greats in the game, but has the hype gone too far and is he being overdrafted in fantasy leagues?

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The 2019-20 Grizzlies are going to be a lot of fun to watch. Ja Morant is going to be dunking on fools and buzzing screaming lefty passes by defenders’ ears. Jaren Jackson Jr. is going to keep bombing from deep and blocking everything in sight at the rim. Brandon Clarke is the perfect pick and roll lob partner for Morant, as he’ll have plenty of opportunities to sky above ten feet and throw down feathery Morant passes. Kyle Anderson is going to keep cheekily breaking down defenses with his awkward, dawdling euro-step game and random bursts of quickness. The Grizzlies are also going to be bad this season, but that’s okay. A great League Pass team doesn’t always rack up the W’s, take last year’s Sacramento Kings for example. The Kings were a fast-paced ball of fun even though they ultimately wound up missing out on the playoffs—expect the same from this year’s Grizz.

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The point guard position is where you will primarily be hunting for dimes. There are options later in the draft, but most have warts and will only provide around 4 per game. Compare that to the elite ones, who will dish out 7-9 dimes per game, while providing excellent free throw percentages, tres, and steals. The early rounds will dictate your fantasy path, as the top five point guards will likely be selected in the first two rounds of drafts.

To see my per-game value projections for each player, click HERE. In the “Pos” box (which stands for position, not the other thing you were thinking), type in “pg” and the table will sort by just point guards.

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I often lose track of where I’m at in certain categories when drafting. Maybe it’s all the trees I smoked or the magic mushrooms I ate in the past. Whatever the case may be, I’m a dummy and can’t remember things too well. Therefore, I made a very basic draft tool on Google Sheets which keeps track of everything and lets me know how close/far I am away from certain benchmarks. This can also be helpful post-draft, as you can see how your team stacks up in each category. Please click HERE to read about how I ascertained said benchmarks. So, the data compiled over two years gave me an average for what it took to win each category on a weekly basis. From there, I divided that number by 3.15 (the average number of games each team plays per week) which gave me a per game target number. Then, I submitted the sheet to Rudy (who is a real life wizard by the way) and he did his magic. Rudy was able to link all the players from my projections sheet so that the data wouldn’t have to be inputted manually. Rudy! Rudy! Rudy! The sheet is pretty self explanatory. The row with the colors will show you how far away you are from the target number. Keep in mind that the projections are based off my numbers. Modify them to suit your needs. Hopefully this helps you guys out pre and post draft.

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Imagine finding out your crush actually liked B.O. Nasty, but hey…everyone has their thing. If you didn’t shower for weeks and asked him/her out, would that guarantee anything? Of course not, but it would put you in a better position for success. That’s what this post will be. Another piece of information to help you solve the fantasy puzzle. 

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Rookies. The shiny new toys. The next generation of stars. We all get pumped and excited for the next batch of players every season, but do we overrate them for fantasy? Since 2000, a rookie has never finished in the top 10 for fantasy in 9-cat leagues. Only five have finished in the top 20, nine in the top 50, and 44 in the top 100. That’s out of 556 eligible players. I’m not saying to not draft rookies, as the allure of the unknown is intoxicating, but be price conscious. Below is a sheet with all the rookies since 2000. The columns should be self explanatory, but if there are any questions, just holler in the comments.

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The Celtics have enjoyed four straight winning seasons, with the trend likely continuing this season despite losing several key pieces. Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Terry Rozier, and Marcus Morris all bolted for greener pastures. These may seem like a devastating losses, but opportunities are now present for young guns Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum to step up and take their games to the next level. Gordon Hayward is another year removed from his gruesome injury and should be a bounce back candidate. Oh, and the additions of Kemba Walker and Enes Kanter don’t hurt either. The Celts did some addition by subtraction, and are primed to challenge for the Eastern Conference title yet again.

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A long-time mainstay on the NBA’s biggest stage, the LeBron-led Lakers failed to make the playoffs last season, although there was much excitement surrounding the team. A young core that was supposed to grow and thrive with LeBron running the show, failed to live up to expectations. Results like these don’t sit well with the King, so out with the youth and in with the veterans. The Lakers roster has seen a complete overhaul, as you can see by the above list. How this team adapts to such change is yet to be known, but one thing is for certain, LA is going to be fun to watch and be chock-full of fantasy goodness.  

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