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The last Tuesday before the All-Star break featured five games spread all over the USA. From South Beach to NYC, Wisconsin to Texas, and finishing up in the Bay Area out west, we had a handful of contests that featured some big fantasy lines.

In lieu of a Thursday night double-header as a result of the abbreviated week, TNT snagged the two marquee games on Tuesday. First up was the Spurs and Heat featuring the Kawhi Leonard show. He served fantasy owners a generous helping of popcorn (23 points, nine boards, four dimes) with just the right amount of butter (three steals, a block, and a trey). Despite a few quiet games recently, you’re not moving Leonard for anyone outside the top-5.

Also jumping at 8pm were tilts between the Wizards and Knicks, and Celtics and Bucks. John Wall put on a show at the Garden, dropping 17 dimes to complement his team-high 28 points. He and backcourt mate, Bradley Beal combined for 54 points, five steals, eight triples, and only three turnovers. The Wizards needed every bit of it as they narrowly escaped New York with a three point win. Meanwhile, in Milwaukee, a wild and foul-filled last few seconds allowed the Bucks to steal one from the visiting Celts. Greg Monroe made his case for 6th Man of the Year as Jason Kidd decided it would be best for him to come off the bench on Tuesday. In 30 reserve minutes, Moose went off for 29/12/3/1/2. He was a team-best +11 and you have to wonder if him being so dominant as a reserve has Coach Kidd considering this as more than just a one game thing? So long as he’s getting the run, owners should continue to bank on the third round value he’s been returning on the season.

Down in Dallas the Mavs played host to the Jazz and folks in attendance – and watching at home – were treated to some free basketball. Utah stole one in overtime thanks in large part to 29/5/5 from the flame-flowing Rodney Hood. If he can start contributing just a bit more in the defensive categories (he had no stocks on Tuesday) to supplement the terrific long range shooting (multiple treys for the seventh time in his last eight games), he’d be a surefire top-40 asset.

The nightcap – and second half of TNT’s double-header – saw the Rockets travel to Oaktown to take on the Warriors; a game where Vegas set the over/under at 230 (a full 22 points more than the next highest projected total on the night). Hint: this was your game to load up on if grinding in the DFS world on Tuesday. To nobody’s surprise, Steph Curry came out firing from all angles and poured in 19 first quarter points. The Chef cooled things down a bit as the game wore on but still finished with an annoyingly common (for those of us who don’t own him anywhere) 35/5/9/1/0, seven triples, and only a single, lonely turnover. GSW hung 123 on Houston and gave up enough points to keep all the starters in ’til the end while going over Vegas’ lofty projection. Enjoy these Warriors, kids; this type of team is unique and has dynasty written all over it.

Here’s the rest of the good, bad, and noteworthy from last night…

 

THE GOOD

LaMarcus Aldridge – 28/4/4 with a block and great percentages (10-16 FGs, 8-8 FTs). LMA has been killin’ it lately, posting top-15 value in the new year. He is almost certain to cool off (likely around the same time Tim Duncan returns), but he has taken his owners on a fun ride so far in 2016.

Carmelo Anthony – What knee soreness? 33/13/2/2/0 with three treys doesn’t suggest a player who has undergone two different MRIs in the last couple weeks. This is likely the best opportunity owners concerned about a post-ASB shutdown will have to sell ‘Melo and get quality assets in return.

Avery Bradley – Did his part to keep the Celtics in the game with a fat 18/4/4/2/0 line featuring four 3-pointers and 7-12 shooting overall. Bradley is just barely clinging to top-60 value on the season and hasn’t been quite as sharp over the last month or so, but he’s a must own player for the rest of the season.

James Harden – 37/5/5/3/1 on good percentages and a half dozen hits from beyond the arc. Oh yeah, he pitched in three swipes and a swat just for fun. The Beard went the opposite way of Curry in this one, struggling in the first frame but heating up as the game wore on. Like Kawhi, he’s locked in as a top-5 fantasy asset the rest of the way and I can’t imagine any roster fluctuations at the trade deadline changing his role or value.

 

THE BAD

Garrett Temple – With Beal moving into the starting five, Temple went back to riding the bench for the opening tip. He still received plenty of opportunity (32 minutes) but did very little with it. 5/1/1 is all he could muster and probably belongs on the wire with the Wizards back to full strength.

Jose Calderon – 28 scoreless minutes with the only positives being a half dozen assists and one steal. If you must own one of the Knicks guards, right now it looks like Langston Galloway (14/5/5/2/0, two 3-pointers) is the best choice. This will be an interesting position to watch at the trade deadline as the Knicks need an upgrade (Jeff Teague, perhaps?) if they’re serious about being competitive in the East.

Goran Dragic – 10/1/6/1/0 for the Dragon in 31 underwhelming minutes. He missed both FT attempts and turned the ball over four times. I watched this game and more often than not you forget he’s even out there. Still worth a hold for fantasy owners as you never know what the trade deadline will bring, but he has next to no shot of returning value close to where he was drafted this past Fall.

Jared Sullinger – The Boston frontcourt situation continues to be one of the more confounding in the entire league. Sully played only 20 minutes as a starter, shot poorly (2-8 FGs, 0-2 from downtown) and contributed no defensive stats. The only saving grace for owners in this one were his team-high 11 boards. In the 2016 portion of this season, Sullinger is just barely inside the top-140 and he is really only useful as a streamer for rebounds.

O.J. Mayo – Getting the surprise start coming off a bum hammy, Mayo was unsurprisingly awful. He played only 18 minutes, missed both attempts from the field and contributed only one board and six dimes in the box score. Jared Bayless and Michael-Carter Williams were far more effective on Tuesday, both of who played 26+ minutes off the bench.

Raul Neto – Fouled out in only 19 minutes. That’s not unheard of if you’re a center banging around in the paint, but for a point guard to max out on fouls in so few minutes is rare. Neto had an opportunity to play some heavy minutes with Trey Burke home with an illness, but he squandered it and reminded everyone just how desperately the Jazz – like the Knicks – need to address the PG spot at the trade deadline.

Klay Thompson – When was the last time Klay failed to connect from long distance when making seven calls from out there? (Seriously, I’m asking – I’m tired and I don’t want to go through game logs to find out if it’s ever happened before.) An off shooting night all around as he went just 5-19 from the floor. He was empty everywhere else with no defensive goodies and only a couple of boards and three assists. Look for him to exact revenge on the hapless Suns on Wednesday.

Josh Smith – In a game where there’s a combined 233 points scored, you’d expect a guy like Josh Smith to account for more than three of ’em. Well, he didn’t. Nine empty minutes and he’s just not a guy I want wasting a roster spot on my team. Trying to predict when he might throw up one of those mutli-3/steal/block games is as frustrating with him as it is/was for Danny Green over the first couple months of the season.

 

THE NOTEWORTHY

Danny Green – Speak of the devil who killed me early in the season so I dropped him and he is now starting to remember how to play like Danny Green…full line of 15/7/3/3/1 with a pair of threes to round it out. He will likely have a few more stinkers between now and April, but he’s must own as the consistency in the money cats is coming back.

Hassan Whiteside – Got tossed for a flagrant-2 foul (who elbows Boban, honestly!?!), but looked pretty good before that. 14 & 6 with a pair of blocks in 25 minutes off the bench. He’ll now have a week to rest up some of his ailments and his owners will be hoping he can put together a healthy final third of the season.

Otto Porter Jr. – More efficiency and contributions in the right categories. He gets no shine because of guys like Wall & Beal, but he’s quietly putting up third round value in 2016, thanks to lines like Tuesdays: 13/2/2/1/0 on 5-6 from the field, 3-3 from behind the arc, and nary a turnover.

Kristaps Porzingis – The Zinger looks nothing like a rookie with some of the footwork, subtle ball fakes, and impressive decision-making he’s displayed. Couple that with his size and it’s a wonder how he doesn’t drop lines like what he had on Tuesday (20/5/3/0/3 with a pair of treys) every time out. It’s going to be fun to watch this class of rookie bigs fight it out for superiority over the next decade.

Michael Carter-Williams – Like his teammate, Greg Monroe, MCW was sent to the bench for the opening tip of Tuesday’s game. He responded well by going 16/6/5 with a steal and 6-8 from the field. His minutes were down a bit but overall the production was still there and it’ll be a story to watch post-ASB as to whether he gets reinserted into the starting five or keeps riding the pine to begin games.

Derrick Favors – Nice all-around production from the Utah big man in their overtime win. 16/8/6 with a steal and 50% from the field. He played the fewest minutes (35) of the non-Raul Neto starters and it wasn’t due to foul trouble, but still managed to give owners a nice enough line. He’ll need to step it up after the break as he’s outside the top-100 on a per-game basis in 2016. I have few doubts he will.

Chandler Parsons – Weird line in the box score for Parsons as he put up a team-high 24 points, but was only 1/0/1/1 (boards/dimes/steals/blocks) everywhere else. He did can three of his eight attempts from long range and he’s moved into the top-50 fantasy assets of 2016.

Andrew Bogut – This was arguably the Aussie’s best game of the year (with Nov. 14th vs. Brooklyn the only challenger) as he went off defensively, stealing the ball three times and rejecting it six. He double-doubled with 13 & 11 in his 29 minutes and he’s creeping up towards the top-100 for the 2016 portion of the season.

Harrison Barnes – Did close to nothing for the first three quarters on Tuesday and then went bat crap crazy in the fourth. 17 of his 19 points came in the final frame, and he rounded things out with seven boards and a pair of threes. I expect he’ll regain his mid-round value after some more rest over the next week. The Warriors have nice schedule density over the final month and a half of the season, so Barnes is definitely a sneaky guy to target.

Bad Injury NewsJimmy Butler likely won’t see the court again until March and Tyreke Evans is done for the year following yet another procedure on his knee. E’Twaun Moore looks like a decent short-term fill-in for Butler while Evans has been shelved for a while, so the pickup candidates for him have already been scooped. If the Pelicans stay quiet at the trade deadline (unlikely), Eric Gordon could find himself quite a few minutes and shots once he’s back from his finger injury.

 

OPPORTUNITY IS EVERYTHING

The following players saw 36+ minutes of floor time on Tuesday:

John Wall (43), Carmelo Anthony (39), Arron Afflalo (38), Avery Bradley (38), Giannis Antetokounmpo (37), Khris Middleton (38), Gordon Hayward (45), Rudy Gobert (37), Rodney Hood (43), Dirk Nowitzki (40), Chandler Parsons (36), Zaza Pachulia (41), Deron Williams (42), Wesley Matthews (42), Trevor Ariza (40), James Harden (40), Steph Curry (38).

 

That wraps up another Tuesday evening in the Association. Enjoy the All Star festivities this weekend. As always, if you want to chat waiver pickups, DFS plays, or anything else fantasy hoops, drop me a line on Twitter @moneyballmatty. Cheers.

  1. Dom says:
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    Is Matt Barnes “must own” in 10 teamers w Gasol out indef? Any more so than Korver or Aaron Gordon, both of whom were dropped in my 10er? Where would Markieff Morris rank w these guys, he’s in my second stream spot currently

    In my deeper league, should I drop Jordan Hill for Brendan Wright w the Gasol injury? What about dropping CoJo or Hezjona for Etwuan Moore or Felton? Thanks a lot great write up!

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Dom: Hey Dom.

      Yeah, I think Barnes is definitely worth a roster spot. I would probably roster him over Korver as Barnes gives you better defensive production and both guys can get hot from deep (Korver obviously more consistent in that department over their careers). I prefer Aaron Gordon of the three and think he’ll be big time for the next couple months. And for ‘Kieff, who the heck knows. We’re a week away from the trade deadline and it all hinges on what jersey he’s wearing come the third week of February. If nothing changes on any of their respective teams, I’d rank them: Gordon, Kieff, Barnes, Korver. But that’s very unlikely and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Memphis blow things up since the Gasol injury pretty much closes their “championship window” for good. Conley will find a better spot in a bigger market this offseason, Z-Bo is on his last legs, and foot injuries for 30-plus year old centers are scary deals. It also looks like Orlando will be active, Phoenix has a lot of work to do (and they probably don’t want Morris as part of their core group moving forward), and some of the loudest buzz is coming out of ATL about them blowing things up as well.

      Yeah, you can probably drop Hill. There’s going to be more upside with Wright once he’s back. Indy is deep in the frontcourt when healthy with Mahinmi, Turner and Lavoy Allen all deserving of playing time. Hill’s upside is very limited so you aren’t losing much if Wright busts.

      Sure, dump either of those guys for E’Twaun. He’ll be low-end while Jimmy is out, but worth owning…especially if Derrick Rose continues to be Derrick Rose (see: Charmin soft).

      Thanks for reading, man. Enjoy the rest of your week.

      • dom says:
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        @Matty: hey good insight. Unfortunately I was too slow on both Wright and Moore haha. Raymond Felton is available I’m looking at him in the deep league.

  2. Melo says:
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    Hey Matty, good read.

    Did you see the Gasol news, that’s a tough blow for Memphis, I picked up Jeff Green instantly, he should play 30+ minutes every night, and a lot of stretch 4.

    I did couple of trades recently, my Tobias Harris for his Ariza, and just today, my Lillard and Hayward for his Wall and Horford. What do you think of those moves?

    And one final question, based on my roster, do you think I should hold on Lopez or try to get some player at the other position, I got offered Carmelo for him, and Gallo already, but I’m targeting Butler.
    Wall, McCollum, Knight
    Hood, Avery Bradley
    Ariza, Jeff Green
    Draymond Green, Favors, Taj Gibson
    Brook Lopez, Monroe, Horford

    Thanks!

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Melo: Thanks, Melo.

      Yeah, saw the news and just totally forgot to add it to the “Bad Injury News” part where I hit on Butler and ‘Reke. Oversight on my part – woops!

      Green was a good pickup. Like I mentioned in my response to Dom, Memphis could be inspired to make some roster moves in a week with their season in the tank. No Gasol means they’ve got no shot at being competitive with the elite western teams (GSW, SAS, OKC). But assuming they don’t add big time talent to the frontcourt and keep Green in the fold, he should be a nice asset ROS.

      I like Ariza for Harris – I think you got the better player in that one. That’s a blockbuster second deal! But I like it. I’m a huge Horford fan and if the Hawks aren’t able to move him, I think he’ll continue to post top-20 value in ATL. Wall is killing it lately and should be very similar in value to Lillard ROS. I like that deal for you too.

      Butler is a nice target as he should beast for the final five or six weeks of the season where the Bulls have an excellent schedule. With the Nets as terrible as ever, BroLo will be shut down at the first sign of soreness/injury. That being said, he’s healthy (so far as I know) and has been productive. I wouldn’t want Melo on my team – I just think he’s so much more likely to finish the season in a suit than a jersey. Hold out for Butler if you can.

      • Melo says:
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        @Matty:

        Yeah, I needed some major shake up, and I think Wall is gonna kill it post asb and push the wizards in the playoffs, same thoughts about Jimmy, his owner is considering it, and I intrigued PG owner as well, so we’ll see, if I make that move, and some juicy waiver pick up if some big trade comes up at the trade deadline, and I’m good to go for the final period of the season.

        • Matty

          Matty says:
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          @Melo: Just be careful with PG13 – he is frustrating as hell to own. You watch his games and you find yourself screaming “no wonder you’re shooting 41%, you idiot! How many times do you need to brick a contested 19-footer before you start attacking the basket?!?!” Butler, IMO, is the far superior player when healthy.

          • v00dr00 says:
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            @Matty: Can confirm: Ex-PG13 owner for 3 years straight. Traded him for Draymond, never been happier in my entire life.

            • Melo says:
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              @Matty:

              @v00dr00:

              haha, I agree, PG got traded away today and the saga with Butler continues, his owner wants something more in the deal with Lopez, some sweetner, we’ll see, by the all star break, he’s mine! I love me some Buckets!

  3. Hamtime says:
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    1. with news of m gasol out for the season, is Wright an automatic pickup in 14/16m leagues?
    choosing between the following in each league:

    14m – dropped winslow for wright but Tele, Portis, Hezonja available in the pool. Do you like any of them more?

    16m – own mahinmi – drop for wright, tele, or stash demarre carroll

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Hamtime: 1) In deep leagues like that, yeah I think so. And if he still isn’t getting 20+ MPG a couple weeks after returning, you can toss him back into the FA pool.

      14m – I think all of those guys are wildcards and incredibly inconsistent. Wright has as much upside as any (if given the minutes and healthy), so he’s a fine choice. It’s too bad Winslow doesn’t do more statistically in all those minutes he gets. Much better real life player than fantasy asset.

      16m – I like the Carroll stash. I think we see him before the calendar flips to March and he has a really nice final four week schedule (5/3/4/4).

  4. Fella says:
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    In a 12- team league and with RoLo, Myles Turner, Draymond, Klay, and Conley on my team, can I afford to trade AD for Hassan, Will Barton, and Otto Porter?

    Also lost Tyreke with his knee and need to decide on Jeff Green, Evan Turner, Alex Len as a pickup. Your thoughts?

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Fella: I wouldn’t move AD for that, no. Hassan is trending down, especially if he doesn’t respond well to the discipline he’s likely to face following last night’s elbow (and subsequently being sent home by the team). Barton & Porter are nice assets, but AD is a legit stud and you need to be getting back more for him.

      I like Len as a final third breakout candidate, but he’ll need things to break right for him at the trade deadline. Green is probably the safest to get minutes, but how motivated is he going to be now that the team has no shot making a deep run in the playoffs? Turner is what he is – a borderline asset outside the top-150 on the year. Very “meh” despite putting up flashy lines here and there.

  5. Tyler says:
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    Playoffs start Mar14

    Drop blake griffin and tyler zeller for the following?
    Patrick Patterson
    Luis Scola
    Hollis Thompson
    Mareese Speights

    • Tyler says:
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      @Tyler: Jon Leuer also available

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Tyler: Don’t drop Blake. He’s worth having in your back pocket even if you only get a couple weeks out of him. His leg injury will be fully healed and once his hand is right and he’s served his suspension, he should jump right back into his usual role, which will be FAR superior to any of the options you listed.

      I could see you dumping Zeller for either of the Raptors PFs. Scola is likely the better choice, but keep in mind there is a lot of buzz about the Raps acquiring a PF at the trade deadline. If they don’t, then Scola is worth owning since he goes 5/3/4/4 for your playoff scheduling.

  6. CT Martin says:
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    Which side would you take? Keeper league, normal 8-cat league.

    Mike Conley & 11th

    For

    Chandler Parsons c& 8th

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @CT Martin: When you say “& 11th/8th” do you mean ROUND or overall pick in the first round?

      I think I’d lean Conley just because PG stats are a bit harder to come by than what Parsons excels in. I have no doubt that Conley will find himself a good situation as the lead dog this offseason and maybe he makes his way to NYK or Brooklyn where he could be a top-30-40 guy.

  7. jcg says:
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    Matty!

    I need to replace Tryeke, looking for some ROS upside.

    Would you go with Dudley, Bayless, B Wright, E Moore, Felton or Mayo?

    thanks!

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @jcg: Hey jcg, how goes it?

      Fellow Tyreke owner here, so I feel your pain. I think I’d rank those guys: Wright, Felton, Bayless, Moore (if only for 3-4 weeks), Dudley, Mayo.

      You may even find that the trade deadline opens up an opportunity for someone totally off your radar, so the silver lining to losing Tyreke is that you have an easy roster spot to free up to pounce on a speculative post-deadline grab.

  8. Bobby says:
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    Yo yo! Who do you like more…Jeff Teague or Reggie Jackson??? Trade rumors are swirling…

    Thanks!

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Bobby: Yo yo, Bobby! What’s shakin’?

      Oooh, that’s a toughie. I’m luke warm on both guys as neither is returning draft day value this year. All things being equal and consistent (i.e. neither gets traded in a week), it’s probably Reggie by a hair. But if Teague goes to a situation like I’ve mentioned in other posts (NYK, BKN, UTA) where they turn him completely loose, he’s your man. This has to be the most difficult week to give trade advice because of all the rumors and speculation – so much can change at the drop of a hat and impact a guy by easily a couple rounds of value (either way).

  9. Ryan says:
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    Don’t normally ask these questions, but would you rather Dragic or Elfrid ROS?

    Also, what are your opinions on Jamal Crawford ROS? I’m in need of a scoring and FT% bump and think he might be a decent low end guy to target in trades. I’m not very up to date on the Clippers situation, but heard they have a lot of injuries. Dunno if that’s the reason for his usable numbers lately?

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Ryan: Ask all the questions you want, Ryan. We’re here to help and offer feedback for anything you’re wondering about.

      That being said, why did you have to ask a question about two guys I really don’t like ROS? Ha. Kidding. I’d lean Dragic, as the reports about the Magic looking to upgrade at the PG spot (i.e. Teague) speaks volumes about how they view Elfrid. He had a really nice stretch late last year and if he can repeat that this year, I’ll be wrong by saying Dragic. But I don’t think he will, so go with Goran.

      If you need scoring and FT%, those are two of Crawford’s best categories (as well as helping in 3s and keeping TOs low). Yeah, Clips are battling injuries (obviously Blake, but also Austin Rivers in the backcourt) and running a pretty tight rotation. Over the last month, Crawford is getting nearly 29 MPG and is just inside the top-100 9-cat players (per-game basis), so he is a nice player to own until the Clips are back to a full complement of healthy bodies.

  10. DORIAN says:
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    Woop, great article Matty, love the in depth looks.

    Would you drop casspi for norris Cole?

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @DORIAN: Thanks, man. Appreciate that!

      It’s close, but I think so. Cole should be a lock for 30 MPG as lead guard for the Pellies. Jrue is playing awesome ball off the bench, but Gentry seems to like that setup with him and Ryno providing a punch in the second unit. Who know when Eric Gordon will be back to steal some backcourt minutes, but for now, Cole is a better asset than Casspi.

      All that being said, Casspi is actually the more valuable 9-cat guy across the board, but I like that Cole helps in assists and FT%.

  11. J says:
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    Trying to choose two between Kobe, Joe Johnson, Marcus Morris, and Avery Bradley tonight. Thoughts?

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @J: Well, let’s break ’em down based on matchup:

      Kobe – could be low minutes for him as the Lakers are going to get creamed in Cleveland. He’ll have to be pistol hot early to put up any value. I’d avoid him in this matchup, though he has been playing better of late.

      Joe Cool – Ugly matchup with an O/U of 199 (not great). He’s prone to duds, so I’m not in love with him here.

      Marcus – Nice matchup against the visiting Nuggets. Should be pretty high scoring and no Ersan tonight, so there’ll be a few extra minutes at the 3/4. I’d play him.

      Bradley – Tail end of a B2B, but Bradley is a stud and gets a game with an O/U of 210. The Clippers have historically been pretty lousy guarding SG/SFs, so he’s a nice play at home.

      Morris and Bradley are my two. I think both guys are in nice spots to post lines around (or above) their season averages.

  12. Tony C says:
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    Good work today Matty. I really enjoy your updates! Okaaaaay so I just put Butler on my IR. In a 10-team 9-cat league would you scoop E’Twaan, Deron or G.Harris off the free agent list as a replacement? Hopefully t’s a temporary replacement. Thanks Matty.

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Tony C: Thanks, Tony. Happy to hear you’re enjoying the content.

      Good call not dropping Jimmy Buckets – you definitely want to hang onto him for that stretch run where the Bulls have great schedule density.

      Deron is your man. He doesn’t have a 4-game week for over a month which might seem like a bad thing, but it’s not in his case. He only has one B2B between now and late-March (by which time Jimmy will easily be back) so there’s very little risk of him sitting for rest purposes. I’d grab him to fill your temporary open roster spot.

  13. Nont nontiskul says:
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    What do you think of horford value if he go to Boston ?

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Nont nontiskul: I can’t see it improving. As a Horford owner I’m hoping he stays put in ATL with his well defined role (minutes and usage). Best guess is he loses about a round of value (so from ~2oth to 30th or so) if he lands in Beantown.

  14. Nont nontiskul says:
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    Can you rank. Len WCS. B wright

  15. Matty

    Matty says:
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    Probably go Len, WCS, Wright but they’re close. I think the upside is in Phoenix if they fully commit to the youth movement.

Comments are closed.