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Welcome back to another Wednesday Buy/Sell column. I strongly believe that self-reflection is key for improvement, so from now on I’ll be reviewing my calls from last week’s piece. Derrick Favors has predictably improved his play sans Gobert and even posted a 25/0/11/3/0/2/1 gem against Orlando. Since starting at the 5, he is returning fourth-round value and will look to keep it going until Gobert returns. Donovan Mitchell remains consistently inconsistent with his shooting, but all the other stats are juicy. This guy going number 13 in the draft was highway robbery. In other news, Spencer Dinwiddie and his funky name is the best call from last week. Hope you rushed to your wire and got him cause he is averaging 19.3/3.0/3.7/9.0/1.0/0.7/1.0 in his last three games. Ryan Anderson‘s sell window remains open as he had himself a great game against the dream matchup that are the Suns. Derrick Rose is still injured and not worthy of a roster spot on your team. I already feel like a better person. Thanks, self-reflection!

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Buy

Will Barton: Millsap is down, I repeat Millsap is down. He initially hurt his left wrist against the Lakers and exited the game. After x-rays came back negative, his owners breathed a sigh of relief. Things took a darker twist, though, as he will now undergo surgery and be out indefinitely (typical recovery time for this procedure is around 3 months). The main beneficiary is Barton, who was already worthy of a roster spot in standard leagues and will see his usage rise. If his owner is not convinced he will be better without Millsap, I would aggressively pursue a trade for him before his value skyrockets. And if you are in a shallower league or you are lucky enough to find him on your wire (74% owned at Yahoo) run don’t walk (cliche) to pick him up.

Bojan Bogdanovic: The Croatian sharpshooter is already having a great season, with career highs across the board. Moreover, he has been particularly deadly this week averaging 20.8/4.5/3.5/1.5/0.8/0/1.0 in his last four, good for the number 18 spot in the player rater during that span.

He is available in half of Yahoo leagues and although his fg% won’t stay so high and he is quite THRAGNOFy, he is still a great add for 3pt/pts needy owners.

Denzel Valentine: How can you not love a player with a name like that? It’s perfect for all kind of silly (excuse me brilliant) wordplay. Are you in a deep league and he is already owned? Go ahead and make an offer for him while commenting to his owner “Will he be my Valentine?” Is he available in your league (30% owned at Yahoo)? Add him and post in your group chat “I finally found my Valentine” and watch as you get ignored or blocked. And, if he has an off day just post “Have I mentioned how much I hate (d) Valentine’s day?” Ok, I’ll stop now. You shall suffer no more. Aside from the satisfaction of the wordplay, Valentine is coming along as a facilitator and scorer for the young Bulls. Lavine’s return will hurt but he is a player they want to develop and can provide outside shooting, so the playing time will be there.

Kris Dunn: Dunn began the year behind Jerian Grant as he missed most of Summer League and the Preseason, but he started last night against the Lakers and will be starting presumably for the foreseeable future. He began his career with the highest of expectations, as his athleticism and playmaking skills were highly praised during his college years at Providence. Minnesota drafted him fifth overall but he didn’t impress and was sent to Chicago in the Butler deal. He is an elite source of steals with 2.0 per game and his rebounds-assist numbers are trending in the right direction. If you are ok with subpar percentages he can be a valuable add.

Sell

Robert Covington: Let me start by saying Covington’s career is an example that hard work, persistence, and dedication will eventually help you accomplish your goals. He went undrafted in 2013, waived by the Rockets in 2014 after playing mostly in the D-league, played another half season there, and last week signed a $62 million contract extension with Philadelphia. That’s a very well-deserved happy ending. His start to the season has been amazing, as he is making 3.6 3pt (as many as Stephen Curry) with elite steals (1.9) and blocks (0.9) for his position. As much as I love him, there is no way he continues to have 48.4 fg% while taking so many threes per game, as he is a career 39.5% shooter. His percentage won’t decline to this level, as he is surrounded with much better talent this year, but I think it is a good time to sell high, as he is ranked 15th in per game value for the year.

Paul Millsap: If your league doesn’t have an IR spot then the choice is simple. You just drop him, as he will miss most-if not all- of the season. Feel free to stash him in you IR spot, but if there comes a time you need that spot for a player that will be out for a smaller amount of time, I wouldn’t hesitate to make the drop.

Rudy Gay: After a great start to the season, Gay has slowed down significantly in his last five games. The minutes are simply not there, as he is averaging 17.4 during those games, and his Achilles injury is obviously bothering him. The eventual return of Leonard will do him no favors and I recommend dropping him for a hot free agent with more potential.

  1. hassan_blackside says:
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    someone offered me dennis smith + tyler johnson for my convington + jerian grant 16 team h2h good or bad?

    • Kostas

      Kostas says:
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      @hassan_blackside: Although grant will lose playing time to Dunn as the season goes on I think you can get a better player than DSJ for Lord Covington. Don’t get me wrong I love DSJ but Covington is top 25 for the year so I would be aiming for a proven top 30 player in return …

  2. hassan_blackside says:
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    appreciate the feedback kostas =) happy holidays to you

  3. postmalone says:
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    Hi Kostas,

    Love your blog! I’m in a 14-team league, h2h. Someone offered me lillard + ariza/donovan mitchell for KD. good or bad? and if good, who do you think has better projections going forward between ariza/dm?

    • Kostas

      Kostas says:
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      @postmalone: Hello posmalone, glad you enjoy my content! In a deeper league like this it is a fair trade. I like Ariza more than Mitchell as he is a proven top50 fantasy commodity. It would help if i knew what/if you punt any categories to better evaluate the trade!

      • Jimmy says:
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        @Kostas: hey Kostas changed my username

        im in 14-team h2h 9-cat league:

        KD
        PG
        Roco
        Klay
        Capela
        Kanter
        Taurean
        Ryno
        Dunn
        Henson
        Rivers
        IT (stash)
        TJ Mcconnell (streamer)

        am punting assists and am looking to gain more points, stls and consistency – KD has been quite inconsistent this year and looks like GSW is the new cavs by resting all their star players. thoughts on whether you would do the trade?

        • Kostas

          Kostas says:
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          @Jimmy: Assuming you drop Mcconnell you are helping your punt and get a lot of steals,ft% and 3pt. I think i would do it since Lillard is ultra durable and the difference between the second players in the deal(Ariza and Mcconnell )is huge. One thing to be careful about though is your fg% since it would take a great hit without KD.

          • Jimmy says:
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            @Kostas: ok makes sense on the durability. I was actually thinking of giving rivers since mcconnell really is a streamer depending on matchups but i guess those 2 are interchangeable. and im thinking of semi-punting fg if i take this. I guess i need to move quickly since ariza really is gaining steam the last few games. Thx alot for the advice

            • Kostas

              Kostas says:
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              @Jimmy: They are indeed interchangeable. Glad i could help you with the trade…

              • Jimmy says:
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                @Kostas: i don’t know if you’ve written a piece on kawhi but would be interesting to hear your views if he’s a buy/sell and for what value given the very vague timeline

                • Kostas

                  Kostas says:
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                  @Jimmy: I think i’ll include him as a buy option in my next column…i’m optimistic he will return sooner rather than later…still i wouldn’t give up a proven top 15 player for him…

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