Hello Razzball Nation! Welcome to another massive NBA DFS slate for Wednesday. There are 13 games tonight so as always, my #1 piece of advice is to be up to date on injuries. In a 13-game slate there will always be value plays that open up throughout the day.
Let’s get down to it. Pricing is always (Fanduel/DraftKings). I mostly play tournaments and my picks will always bias towards volatility and upside.
Guards
Spend ups (9k and over)
Ja Morant ($9,800/$10,100)
This is really a Fanduel play, as he’s a bit expensive on DK given how big of a slate this is and how many options there are. On FD, I like him as a tournament play because they’re playing the Spurs and the O/U for this game is 233, which puts him in a nice environment to have a ceiling game.
Dejounte Murray ($9,900/$9,600)
This is an injury play, as Trae Young is currently questionable. If he misses a 2nd straight game it’s hard not to play Murray without Trae when he’s below 10k.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($9,800/$9,100)
I like him on both sites, but especially on DK at that price. SGA is averaging over 50 FPPG on both sites, so with that price tag he basically needs to have an average game for what he’s done so far this year and he’ll smash value. That being said, his price is most likely down because he’s in a tough matchup against the Bucks. If what SGA has shown us so far this year is real, he should and will be above 10k for most of the year.
Middle-to-High (7k-8.9k)
Damian Lillard ($8,500/$9,200)
FD-only play because of the price. He’s just too cheap for his floor and his ceiling on FD. His calf might still be bothering him, so I wouldn’t go crazy on him, but if you’re playing multiple tournament lineups, he should be in your player pool.
Tyrese Haliburton ($8,800/$8,600)
This game has a 234.5 O/U. You’re going to see a good amount of Nuggets/Pacers players in this article and I like the idea of stacking this game. Haliburton is a great player in a great game environment.
Cade Cunningham ($7,900/$7,500)
I hate the matchup against Boston, but Cade is just too cheap. He’s averaging 39.7 FPPG on FD and 41.4 on DK. As with SGA, if Cade has an average game he hits value with upside for more.
Brandon Ingram($7,700/$7,900)
Has been on a nice run since coming back from injury and is in a good spot against the Bulls with a nice O/U of 229.5.
Jalen Brunson ($7,800/$7,100)
DK-only play because of the price. If you want a guard in this range on FD just play Cade. The Nets can’t defend anybody and even if the O/U on this game is only 223, I like that to go over and Brunson is a solid play at 7.1k.
Middle (5k-6.9k)
Jalen Green ($5,900/$6,100)
I said this in the last article and I’ll say it again, as long as Jalen Green is reasonably priced he will be in my player pool because he has upside that very few guys priced around here can touch. He showed that on Monday with 34 real life points and was rostered on about 1.5% of teams. He has a tougher matchup against the Raptors, but Green is always a threat to go off if he has a hot shooting night.
Jamal Murray ($5,900/$6,300)
The minutes restriction seems to be gone and Murray is starting to look more like himself, shaking off the rust from his long layoff. He’s in a great game environment and could have his best game of the season so far.
Tre Jones ($5,700/$5,800)
This is about having pieces of the 233 O/U Grizzlies/Spurs game. He’s more of a cash game play because he doesn’t have insane upside, but I like his price and his odds of hitting value in a nice game environment are high.
Value Town (Under 5k)
Alex Caruso ($4,700/$4,600)
He has a decent floor due to the rebounds, assists, and stocks, which is nice for guys in this range. He just needs a good shooting night and he’ll smash this price, but those have been hard to come by for him recently.
Cameron Payne ($4,600/$4,300)
If CP3 is out (left Monday’s game with a heel injury) Payne becomes a nice value play as the projected replacement for Paul.
Forwards
Spend ups (9k and over)
Jayson Tatum ($10,300/$10,300)
The risk here is blowout potential, but Tatum seems to have taken another step forward this year and is a legitimate MVP candidate in the early going. The Pistons are terrible on defense and Tatum should be able to get whatever he wants.
Middle-to-High (7k-8.9k)
Anthony Edwards ($7,400/$8,200)
Not playing him on DK at that price, but he’s too cheap on FD for what his ceiling is.
Julius Randle ($7,200/$7,800)
He’s a decent play on DK, but a better one on FD with that price. He just came off a nice game and gets to play the Nets who can’t defend anyone.
Keldon Johnson ($7,400/$7,300)
He has as a nice price for his ceiling/floor combo in a high total game.
Middle (5k-6.9k)
Michael Porter Jr. ($6,700/$6,500)
Like I said before, I want to have pieces of this game and MPJ has a reasonable price tag.
Jalen Smith ($5,500/$5,200)
Smith comes with a lot of volatility, but his ceiling is far too high for this pricetag.
Value Town (Under 5k)
Royce O’Neale ($4,800/$5,300)
Only a value on FD and that’s where I’d play him. He’s been a great fantasy option since Kyrie has been out and should be above 5k on FD.
Joe Harris ($3,800/$4,200)
He has a limited ceiling because he only produces points, but he has a decent floor as a starter with no Kyrie.
Centers
Spend ups (9k and over)
Nikola Jokic ($10,700/$11,600)
Jokic has had a slower start to the season by his standards, which is why his price is down here below Giannis and Luka. That being said, he’s Jokic. He’s the back-to-back MVP and is in an excellent game environment. I’ll be going heavy on him as long as there is enough value to afford him.
Middle-to-High (7k-8.9k)
Domantas Sabonis ($9,200/$8,500)
I’m cheating a bit here since Sabonis is out of this range on FD, but I wouldn’t play him there anyway. This is just a price play on DK because he’s a bit cheap.
Middle (5k-6.9k)
Myles Turner ($6,600/$5,700)
This guy went OFF on Monday and they didn’t adjust his price. He’s (obviously) way too cheap for his ceiling and his floor. I’ll be very heavy on Turner as long as he’s healthy.
Evan Mobley ($6,400/$5,900)
Like him more on DK because of the price, but he’s a decent play on FD as well. Just too cheap and I keep waiting for him to be priced higher, but it just isn’t happening.
Value Town (Under 5k)
Christian Koloko ($3,700/$4,400)
He’s starting with Siakam out, but his production and minutes are incredibly volatile. Tournament play only.
