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Before I get into draft stuff, I wanted to give everyone a head’s up that Steve Nash has a boo-boo and is likely to miss four or so weeks. More news as it develops. Now on to draft stuff…

Due to some last minute procrastinators (I can relate!), I ended up commishing two of the Razzball Commenter Leagues, both of which drafted last week. What you will see here is a list of players that went for more than $10, as well as my team. Both times I went after a top three player (read: Chris Paul), so it really goofed up my draft strategy of spreading money around. I’m satisfied with my teams, but I did miss out on some prime mid-round players because of that. Sometimes I don’t follow my own advice.

As you may or may not know, the “pick” is just when the player was nominated. Sometimes there is a strategy for not nominating the best players first, especially if there are a few autodrafters in your league that are going to drive up prices. You may as well have them tank their budgets on third tier guys.

League: Kissing Cousins

Pick / Player / Cost / Team

(Autodrafters: Not So Sneaky Ninja, The Thrilladelphians, Bomsquad, Al & the Jeffersons, Manifest Destiny, The Highs & Lowrys)

My draft ($200 budget) went as follows:

1. (4) Chris Paul (LAC – PG) $74
2. (14) Pau Gasol (LAL – PF,C) $41
3. (18) Marc Gasol (Mem – C) $45
4. (49) Joe Johnson (Bkn – SG,SF) $19
5. (73) Kris Humphries (Bkn – PF) $8
6. (74) Luol Deng (Chi – SF) $6
7. (86) DeMar DeRozan (Tor – SG,SF) $1
8. (109) Jose Calderon (Tor – PG) $1
9. (119) Harrison Barnes (GS – SF) $1
10. (128) Jonas Valanciunas (Tor – C) $1
11. (137) Antawn Jamison (LAL – PF) $1
12. (144) Jordan Crawford (Was – PG,SG) $1
13. (150) Ramon Sessions (Cha – PG,SG) $1
Unused $0

Thoughts: My budget went towards Chris Paul & the Gasols, my favorite do-wop group. I didn’t really intend to do that going into the draft, but on the other hand I have Chris Paul and both Gasol brothers, so I’ll take it. Considering seven of my players went for $1, I think I did alright. Clearly, the autodrafters raised the value of every player, and that was one reason I felt the need to jump in early.

League: Anthony Davis Bidding War

Pick / Player / Cost / Team

My draft ($200 budget) went as follows:

1. (10) Chris Paul (LAC – PG) $76
2. (19) DeMarcus Cousins (Sac – PF,C) $36
3. (27) Paul Pierce (Bos – SF) $21
4. (44) Pau Gasol (LAL – PF,C) $34
5. (60) Ryan Anderson (NO – PF,C) $14
6. (90) Jason Terry (Bos – PG,SG) $5
7. (94) Arron Afflalo (Orl – SG) $4
8. (98) Jose Calderon (Tor – PG) $3
9. (124) O.J. Mayo (Dal – SG) $2
10. (130) Ekpe Udoh (Mil – PF,C) $1
11. (138) Jordan Crawford (Was – PG,SG) $1
12. (145) Jeremy Lamb (OKC – SG,SF) $1
13. (150) Ramon Sessions (Cha – PG,SG) $1
Unused $1

Thoughts: With all live drafters, the values were much better, and there were some great bargains in the 2nd tier guys, which made me regret bidding on Paul again. I’m not in love with my team, but there’s potential there.

Of the players that went for more than $25, here are some that stand out and my thoughts:

James Harden – He is absolutely worth the increased price tag. He has already taken advantage of his new surroundings and could even finish as a top ten player.
Harrison Barnes – I drafted him for $1 and someone else took him for $43. I think my valuation is closer to his actual value.
Rudy Gay – He has not been up to full value and is still producing 21.5/7.5 PPG/RPG.
Ty Lawson – I’m still not sure I would take him that high, but he is producing 14.0/6.7 PPG/APG
Nicolas Batum – His price range (and average draft round) are higher than I think his value warrants.
Serge Ibaka – See Batum, Nicolas. He’s not quite one-dimensional but even a two-dimensional player isn’t worth $40 (or a 2nd round pick). I don’t hate the guy, I hate his draft value.
Anthony Davis – He has a mild concussion, which is 80% “he should be fine,” 20% “lingering injury that affects him all season.” I think he will have a good season, but his sex appeal is over-inflating his value a bit.
Danny Granger – Well, he’s a good player, but as of press time he has an unknown knee ailment, so there’s a big risk if you’re still drafting.
Goran Dragic – His assists have been spectacular recently, but his APG is still only 9th among Point Guards. His value may be a little too high for people still in draft mode.
Marcin Gortat – Among guys with only Center (not dual Power Forward) eligibility, he is ranked 3rd, behind Marc Gasol and Spencer Hawes. Considering he has better PPG, RPG and BPG averages than Hawes, I think rankings are stupid. He is tied with Roy Hibbert for the most blocks (12) this year. He certainly looks sexy.
Steve Nash – As described above, he is likely to miss a month, which hurts his value. Who knows how he comes back? I mean, I doubt he comes back gimpy, but he may not hit full steam until 2013.

  1. ETMcgee says:

    If drafting today, harden should be considered with a top 3-5 pick. barring injury, his floor is top 10 for roto and likely ends top 5.

    gotta agree with iblock-ya. I don’t like 1 category specialists, especially early in a draft (or high value auction).

    Batum’s value seems about right, maybe a little too low in the 2nd draft above. he’s got a top 35 floor with a chance to break top 20. not many guys have a chance to contribute 2+ 3s, 1 block, 1 steal, with good percentages and relatively low turnovers (assuming 9 category, b/c 8 cat is weak). Batum is roto-gold, and the blazers are no longer walking the ball up every time like they did under mcmillan, so lots of minutes + lots of possessions = lots of fantasy goodness.

    • James Redacted

      James Redacted says:

      @ETMcgee, You are very generous with your floors after ~3 games of basketball per team:
      I love Harden and had him as my #1 SG even before the trade but let’s take into consideration that his FG% may drop if he feels compelled to jack up shots as “the guy”. He is definitely a first rounder but let’s stay rational.

      I also like Batum but keep in mind the blazers have Aldridge, Lillard, Matthews, and Hickson in their starting rotation. That’s alot of mouths to feed, especially if the early returns on Lillard hold true. You may see his points fluctuate from game to game.

      Definitely excited about both so far though.

      • ETMcgee says:

        @James Redacted, Firstly, i’m not going off 3 games, i’m using a cumulative analysis based on prior seasons, competition for minutes, and potential for improvement based on age/team situations. I’ve been successful every year i’ve played fantasy sports and was a former basketball player, so i feel confident in the players i evaluate.

        Batum was a top 35 player last year and top 50 the year prior. last year he only averaged 30 minutes per game and had to deal with a bad coach, bad system, older vets getting minutes in his place, and felton and jamal crawford as the “pg”. Don’t overvalue points and undervalue defense/turnovers in roto leagues, where being deficient in any category can cost you a title. I agree batum isn’t going to score 20 ppg, but 16-18 ppg with good percentages and low TOs, 1.5 3s, 1 steal, 1 block, 6 reb, 2-3 assists can go a long way.

        as for the beard, Harden was a top 25 last year in 31 mpg. he will definitely increase his points, assists, and rebounds playing 35-40 minutes a night, and still can contribute +steals and +3s. He is an outstanding FT shooter, and while i agree his FG will take a slight dip, i don’t think it will be substantial as he gets a bunch of open looks and layups (using his 3 step euro-move). plus, there aren’t that many really good defensive sgs. harden has a legit chance to lead the league in scoring, and contributes well across the board (except TOs, but all the top guys are negative in this category due to usage). barring injury, if he doesn’t end up a top 10 player this year, i’d be absolutely shocked. I’m not saying i would take him over paul, but he’d be my 4th pick (if klove was healthy for full year, i’d consider love or harden @4). a very high floor is a good thing in the early rounds. i’d say his floor is around a line of:
        26+ ppg, 5+ reb, 5+ assists, 47% FG, 85% FT, 2+ 3s, 1.5 – 2 steals, .5 blocks, with bad turnovers

        • James Redacted

          James Redacted says:

          @ETMcgee, Lol, with that response you’d think I was eviscerating what you said before.

          If your FLOOR for Harden is that statline… I have no idea why you wouldn’t take him #1 overall. I can’t even imagine what your Bron or KD statline is.

          Batum – Like I said, I like him. I just don’t like your floor as Top 35. I could easily see him Top 50 if he’s scoring less and has and worse %’s.

        • ChrisV

          ChrisV says:

          @ETMcgee, I see your points on Batum, it’s just that he has been seeing minutes for three years now and isn’t running away with them. This season, for example, he is averaging 39 MPG with 15 PPG. Someone seeing that much court time should be scoring more (not to mention rebounding better than his 5.3 RPG).

          I like Batum and targeted him in all of my drafts, but there are people who love him and I’m not there yet.

  2. Moez says:

    I agree 100% with everything 1 ETMcgee just said.

    • ChrisV

      ChrisV says:

      @Moez, get a room you two! Nah, just kidding, I like to watch.

  3. JT says:


    In my near dynasty, I could get Nash for Biyombo. I’m tempted to do it; last year, I finished barely out of the playoffs, and I’m suffering through Stoudamire and Rose now, too. Getting all three healthy for the playoff run would be a boon.

    Sound like a plan?

    • James Redacted

      James Redacted says:

      @JT, I don’t see Biyombo being a factor for anything but blocks and boards for a couple years (or at all). He’s 20 years old and can barely get playing time on the Bobcats. I’d lean Nash.

      • JT says:

        @James Redacted,


        I’m leaning on giving up Tristan Thompson over Biyombo: Biyombo’s just so young and athletic. Tristan seems like a far lower ceiling.

        Safe to make that swap?

        • James Redacted

          James Redacted says:

          @JT, Trade whichever you like least. Thompson is getting playing time now but I don’t particularly like him.

          • ChrisV

            ChrisV says:

            @James Redacted, TT isn’t really running away with the minutes he’s been getting.

  4. AdamH says:

    What did you use during your draft for auction values?

    • ChrisV

      ChrisV says:

      @AdamH, my brain. I looked at my projections and used some free market economics. It’s all supply and demand and what people are willing to pay, and that fluctuates by league.

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