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Entering this season, everyone (including this humble narrator) was weary of Dirk Nowitzki, which is a weird thing to be for a healthy reigning NBA Finals MVP. I saw him drop deep into the second round in more than a couple drafts. He’s 33, which ain’t young, but he’s not 43. To call what Dirk has done in the first third of the season a slump is putting it mildly. There are slumps and then there are season lows in just about any category you would care about. That’s Dirk right now. Say hello. Shake hands. The problem is, and the problem will continue to be all season, that he’s Dirk. Redirkulous. The Dirkus Circus. The German PERman (stat geek nickname). He’s still this team’s leader, but a collapse of this proportion from a bona-fide, basically healthy superstar is unheard of. And fantasy owners for weeks have started seriously wondering what to do and how to do it. It’s stinky, even for Dallas where everything smells like beef jerky. At this point, there are two options: 1) close your eyes, hang onto your butts and pray Nowitzki hits his stride toute suite or 2) get what you can from someone who’s willing to be no. 1. Only you know who you are. Me? I’m done. A week ago I was saying buy low. Now, I’m suggesting you sell. Not for pennies on the dollar, but maybe dimes on the dollar. Is that an expression? It should be. Anyway, pour out a little for your fallen German and let’s move on to some more fantasy basketball news from Wednesday.

Shelvin Mack – Um, I only know three things about Mr. Mack: 1) He dropped a season-high 12 points last night, 2) Of the 20 games he’s appeared in, yesterday was the first time he hit double-digits, and 3) if you re-arrange the letters in his name, they spell “Clank ‘Em, Shiv” Plan for Shiv to clank ‘em pretty good in the future, despite his performance last night.

John Wall – 0-for-6 from the floor at halftime, and 1-for-11 by game’s end. Sweet Sue! That’s-a funky clunky. Wall’s shooting .385 on the season. And now let us open the floor to discussion that Brandon Jennings is the better fantasy option between the two.

Brandon Jennings – 31/4/8, with 4 stl and 7 3ptm. The rest of the Bucks are several inches below, but I just wanted to belabor my point up in the John Wall blurb.

J.J. Redick – Matched his season-high 21, with three threes (stutterer!) Anyway, neither Jameer Nelson, nor Jason Richardson are playing. As long as this is the case – and assuming you can look past J.J.’s hedge fund trader haircut – he’s a decent play in medium or deep leagues.

C.J. Watson – Finished with 20/4/4, including 4 3ptm. It’s worth nothing that he played most of his minutes at the two alongside Rose (or in garbage time). Might be somethin’. Might be nothin’. Either way, I’d hover my FA-drafting finger over his name and wait.

Lavoy Allen – 15/6/3, with two steals. Allen dropped a career-high 15 on Wednesday. Only his second double-digit game of the season. You gotta like it. Although I should warn you, I’ve been told that if you like something, you should put a ring on it. And that’s just silly. It’s also silly to add this guy based on one blowout win.

Ed Davis – 10/12, and 2 blocks. It was his second double-double of the season and week. Yesterday I told you to skip him. Today I’m telling you to skip him in a much softer, meeker voice. Tomorrow, I’ll be wearing an “Add Ed” trucker hat.

Jordan Farmar – No Mar$hon, no Morrow, so there were, ahem, farmar minutes available for Jordan than there normally would be. I’d tell you that Farmar should be owned, but not only did you all already stream this guy for the ninth time this season, you’ll only need him for another game before dropping him back into the FA pool.

Jared Dudley – Despite having played in a rather dud-ly manner so far this season, three of Dudley’s five best games this season have come in the last week. His upside and expectations coming into this season were big enough that he’s worth grabbing if he was dropped, or worth starting if he’s been benched.

Greivis Vasquez – Dropped 20 points, 12 assists and sank 3 threes (all season highs) from the bench. Jarrett Jack only had 10/6, whereas Vasquez has had at least 10/4 in each of his last three. Sheesh. Why can’t you be more like Greivis, Jarrett? By the way, “Why Can’t You Be More Like Greivis, Jarrett” is the title of a new play I’m writing about two brothers who both suspect the other was adopted.

Serge Ibaka – Got the rare block-rebound double-double (10/11). All is forgiven, my man.

Luis Scola – 4/3/0, with 5 tov. I am now convinced he’s daring us all to flat drop him. Al Jefferson had a better first quarter last night than Scola’s last two games.

Reggie Williams – Played in his second game of the season last night. He hasn’t done much in either game, but he’s a firecracker that can play either guard position and should be on a short list of guys you’re keeping your eye on despite not having earned such interest in any way. Even if he plays only in garbage time, on this Bobcats team, that’s still all of the second half of most games and parts of the second quarter!

Caron Butler – His back caused a late scratch. Ryan Gomes took his spot and wasted everyone’s time doing shockingly little. I can’t feel too bad about Caron’s back scratch, I can’t even reach mine.

From Around The Web

  1. Benny says:
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    Is Bayless now waiver wire fodder again now that the Raptors coach has come out and said he’s back to the bench since Derozen cannot play the SF position?

  2. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @Benny: His value takes a hit, but he’s still seeing minutes. He’s not undroppable, but I’d hang onto him unless there’s someone in the FA pool you’d prefer.

  3. Hola Adam –

    Nice mention of Reggie Williams, who Im considering (along with Gary Neal) as a preemptive add in my 14 team H2H league in light of Gerald Hendersons hammy strain last night. Given CHA suckiness, I tend to agree with you that he may provide some value in the near future

    Right now, Im rotating these guys in my 3 UTIL spots based on Games Played and certain match ups. Looking for overall best stats:
    D. Harris
    M. Dunleavy
    R. Brewer
    J. Howard
    A. Daye

    Do you like adding the likes of Reggie Williams or Gary Neal and kicking someone here to the curb? Been hoping Brewer would do more with his minutes… Earl tweaked his ankle, so maybe Devin gets it going…SJax is a stage 5 problem, hence the Dunleavy appearance…if Howard can stay healthy and Raja remains sidelined, kinda like his upside… Forever bullish on Daye and once DET packs it in, he going to be unleashed plus I own Prince, so like having that option….

    I can’t get a pulse on Pops rotation and Manu likely back in a few wks, so I’m leaning more towards a Reggie add. What do you think?

    Let me know your thoughts….thx!

  4. thefonz says:
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    Drop Roddy for Vasquez and hope for starters mins? Despite the minutes differential, I feel like production isn’t far off between the two.

  5. Zebo says:
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    @Adam: Dudley or Shawn Marion?

  6. mindicohn says:
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    Made a series of trades lately hoping to improve my 12 tm h2h.

    Moved d.will and g.wallace for conley,Harris, gay and blopez.
    Moved paul for granger and jennings.

    Team now is
    c splitter/haywood/hawed
    G conley holliday jennings bayless Harris
    F gay george granger booker j.johnson
    IR blopez and blatche.

    Been offered gortat for gay? Do it or too much tinkering?

  7. Ryan says:
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    I could use another big. I’m thinking about trading for okafor. Do you see any players I should offer to get him?

    14 team h2h keeper

    pg stephen curry
    sg Paul pierce
    g kyle lowry
    sf kevin durant
    pf markieff morris
    f andre igoudala
    c amare staudamire
    c javale mcgee
    util rodrigue beaubois
    util evan turner
    bn Lamar odom
    bn bryon mullins
    bn jarryd bayless

  8. Lance says:
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    Pekovic or Blair ROS?

  9. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @El burro: I’d prefer Harris the most of the five. Daye the least.

    @thefonz: Sure. I like Vasquez’s position on the Grizz more than Roddy’s on the Mavs.

    @Zebo: Marion. More tools.

    @mindicohn: Leave it be. Get to know your new team.

    @Ryan: I see plenty. Find out what the other guy wants or needs, first.

    @Lance: Rest of the season? Neither. For the next week? Pekovic.

  10. Zebo says:
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    @Adam: time to jump off the Beasley train?

  11. Ryan says:
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    Cool thanks Adam. Went ahead and offered odom for okafor. On a side note, what ya think of a trade where I get Holliday and Al Jefferson for my Lowry and amare.

  12. EK says:
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    Diaw was just dropped in my 10 team 9 cat H2H keeper league (no max on keepers). I have 3rd waiver position but not sure if its worth it. I’m good in REB & BLK but could use help in 3s and assists.
    I’m thinking of passing on him. Here’s my squad:

    Curry
    Beaubois
    B. Davis
    Harden
    M. Thornton
    P. George
    Fields
    Griffin
    Boozer
    Gooden
    R. Anderson
    Bynum
    Hibbert
    Dalembert
    D. Jordan

  13. Dimitri says:
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    Adam,

    my team is 10h2h:

    Pg: Lowry, lawson, jack, kemba
    Sg: Harden, Ginobili
    Sf: Igoudala
    Pf: Frye, Stat
    C: Gasol, Ibaka, Brook lopez, T. Booker

    batum, dudley, knight, tony allen on waivers. Do i drop anyone (booker? can you see him being a long term guy?) and pick one of those up? I want to be strong as possible for the playoffs.

  14. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @Zebo: I would have jumped off the train a month ago. But seeing as how you stayed on the train this long, you might as well take it around the track once more until you get back to your destination. (NOTE: I am totally lost in this metaphor)

    @Ryan: It’s fine. I’m not really sure what it does for you though if you end up with Okafor. It’s just sort of a lateral movement.

    @EK: Yeah, pass. You don’t need him.

    @Dimitri: I’d rather have Dudley than Booker now and Batum over Frye in a week or two.

  15. Ryan says:
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    True that. Btw would u move Lowry for Josh Smith? Lowry has been shaky lately. Not sure if he produces like he did earlier in the year.

  16. Mr. Duck Fat says:
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    Who’s the better add Isaiah Thomas or Kleiza?

  17. GoHawks! says:
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    Hi, love the blog fyi. Is there any good in being proactive and picking up players like Kenyon Martin. Will any of these international players have a huge fantasy impact the second half? Thanks.

  18. josh says:
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    hey adam, i have augustin/henderson/hawes on the bench , i was thinking of dropping henderson for vasquez. your thoughts? and on a side note talk about kMart he had a nasty game last night putting me over for 3s do you think this is a one night thing?

  19. Jeff says:
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    @ Adam post #14. Your train track comment cracked me up haha. Just had to say it.

    Cp3, Nene — Ty Lawson, Gortat, Joe Johnson. Which side do you like more?

  20. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @Ryan: Even if he did, I’d still prefer Smith.

    @Mr. Duck Fat: Isaiah, I guess. But Kings and Raps are hard to own. Copy and paste that last statement onto every comment involving these two teams for the rest of the year.

    @GoHawks!: That’s nice of you to say! It’s definitely good to be proactive with the players returning from China. They won’t juke your team like adding a first round draft pick, but someone like Wilson Chandler or J.R. Smith could be the difference between first and second in a deep league. Absolutely. But you have to be careful not to add them too early. Today is too early. I’d wait until they sign with an NBA team, then evaluate accordingly.

    @josh: Vasquez for Henderson sounds fine to me. Not a lot of risk there. Also, I’m confused about your second question. Are you asking if Kevin Martin’s three-point shooting was a fluke?

  21. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @Jeff: Hehe. Thanks! I’m still not sure I answered that question helpfully. Anyway, I prefer CP3/Nene.

  22. Shawn says:
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    should I drop D.Blair for Ersan Ilyasova?
    would u?

  23. Ryan says:
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    So I take it I should trade Lowry for Smith?

  24. Nick says:
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    Who would you drop out of these players, if any?

    Kemba Walker
    Gerald Henderson
    Baron Davis
    James Johnson
    Mo Williams
    Ronnie Brewer
    Richard Jefferson

    And are any of these free agents worth an upgrade over the players listed above?

    Greivis Vasquez
    Ed Davis
    JJ Redick
    Jerryd Bayless
    Tony Allen
    Ramon Sessions

    Thanks

  25. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @Shawn: I would, yeah.

    @Ryan: I would, yeah. (I swear I didn’t just copy/paste these two answers.)

    @Nick: I’d drop Hendo for Vasquez or Bayless now. And in a week or so, be prepared to move on Sessions, possibly at the expense of Brewer.

  26. Shawn says:
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    Thx!

    Another one for you sir

    would you drop Marvin William for Jared Dudley?

  27. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    @Adam: have deng coming of ir,drop booker,pekovic or Ilyasova,thanks

  28. josh says:
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    gotcha, and i meant do you think kmart will produce even with such a recent plantar fascitis (i think this is how spell it..) ?

    also, dwight is up for trades. a guard and big man is wanted for him. what trade would you make (if any) for him?

    Team:

    Curry, K Martin, Lowry, Augustin, Vasquez

    Gay, Smith, Bosh

    Gooden, Bynum, Dalembert, Ibaka, Hawes

    my teams been lagging lately btw, whats wrong with it adam?! :(

  29. Dro says:
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    Brook Lopez is still on the waiver wire. I’m going to make the move, who would you drop? Shumpert or Bayless?

  30. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @Shawn: Yeah, sure. Bigger upside with Dud.

    @AL KOHOLIC: Pekovic.

    @josh: Why not Kevin Martin/Ibaka. Kill two birds with one stone.

    @Dro: Shumpert.(That hurt to type.)

  31. Lou says:
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    if you already answered this sorry: is Henderson and/or Marshon Brooks droppable in a 12 tm league? i’m a Kobe wrist flare away from having Evan Turner as my sole 2 man.

  32. Jeremy says:
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    would you drop JRich or Afflalo for Tayshaun (I need some sf help plus I think he’ll be solid)? I’m leaning towards dropping JRich

  33. Lou says:
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    more the the point: theres not much on the wire but if something pops up, who is the drop… Henderson or Brooks

  34. Steve Stevenson says:
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    Pick 2: Bayless, Vasquez, T. Allen.

  35. Adam

    Adam says:
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    @Lou: Both are droppable, especially if you need to find sufficient backup. I’d drop Hendo first.

    @Jeremy: Yup. At least Afflalo is healthy.

    @Steve Stevenson: Bayless, Vasquez.

  36. Rob says:
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    Adam:
    In one of my leagues I received an offer Boris Diaw for my Amir Johnson.

    When I research rhis, to me it looks like a coin flip. Thoughts?

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