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Ahhhhh, the love and hate of auctions!  You love them the first 20 picks for all the bickering and bidding wars, then you hate them at the end when it takes forever, because the last moneybags owner keeps cycling the clock down until 2 seconds are left, then $2 cockblocking the remaining owners.  Make your bids quicker, people!  And if this paints a bad picture of auctions, then be sure to come and join us in an RCL League!  100% free to join fan leagues, SNAKE drafts, with prizes, an immortalized name in the Hall of Fame, and general awesomeness!

If you read that last paragraph, you’re either thinking I’m jaded in auction leagues, or just continuing to whore myself out for more RCL leagues.  It’s the latter!  Just take advantage of me selling off my sweet, sweet body, why don’t ya?!  But I love the RCLs, and it ends up being hella fun the final few weeks and through the playoffs.

Any the who, auction leagues are dope as shit too!  I especially love the REL, which combines auction pricing with a dynasty aspect.  With a league of extraordinary fantasy foes, doing redrafts in the form of an auction is probably the purest test of fantasy acumen.  But it’s also the purest test of stamina, as redraft auctions are longgggggg.  So more power to you if you’re prepping for a redraft auction – hit that coffee, hit that Monster, hit that Red Bull…  and hit the floor apparently of a heart attack, but you get the picture!

This year is wildly different from the auction values I’ve put together in previous seasons.  There’s no clear stud, no clear “pair at the top”, but a concrete top 4 and a concrete #5 in Towns.  With that said, in a standard 9-category league, I’m deflating my top end values like never before.  I have Curry ranked #1 and Durant #4, but are they really $10 different?  Even $5?!  Hell, it’s all so close at the top!  So I’ll take the cheapest value of the top 4, might even just save for Towns, and go from there.  And one final reminder – these are guidelines based off my ranks, not explicit $ guesses.  I like Parsons more than most – it doesn’t mean I’m expecting to have to quite spend $26 -but it reflects what I would pay in a draft with 11 other JBs.  Girls have dreams about what to do with 12 JBs!

Without any further ado (or RCL whoring), here’s our 2016-17 Razzball Auction Values:

(Values are based on Yahoo standard line-ups (PG, SG, G, SF, PF, F, C, C, UTIL, UTIL, BN, BN, BN) and 12-team leagues with a $200 budget:)

Razzball Basketball 2016-2017 Fantasy Basketball Auction Rankings

$ PLAYER, TEAM, AGE POS NOTE
$66 Stephen Curry, GS (28) PG, SG My frequently used soundbyte now – Durant is a phenomenal player, Curry is a transcendent player. Curry will also be taking the ball up the court more. 3s with the FG% and the rest of the package keep him #1.
Slim’s Projection: .495/.900/4.2/27.5/4.7/6.9/2.0/0.2/3.1 :32
$64 James Harden, HOU (26) PG, SG, SF D’Antoni?! Sign me up! TO will be out of control again, but so will the Pts/Ast as well as the flops for FT.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.865/3.0/29.5/6.0/7.3/1.7/0.6/4.4 :38
$64 Russell Westbrook, OKC (27) PG Yup, with the contract solidified since I did the original top-10 article, I’m now flipping Westy to my 3rd besty. Crazy USG, will need to punt-TO and either punt or fix FG%.
Slim’s Projection: .435/.820/1.4/28.5/8.1/9.7/2.1/0.2/4.4 :34
$63 Kevin Durant, GS (27) SF, PF These top 4 are so razor close that I have some major chafing going on. I still expect Durant to be amazing, it’s just we have 4 amazing players.
Slim’s Projection: .520/.880/2.2/25.5/6.8/4.8/1.0/1.0/2.9 :32
$60 Karl-Anthony Towns, MIN (20) C Along with all the normal sexiness (Pts/FG%/Reb/Blk), he upped his Ast from 1.4 to 3.0 pre and post ASB in his rookie season. He’s unreal.
Slim’s Projection: .540/.800/0.6/21.0/11.0/3.0/0.8/1.9/2.4 :36
$57 Anthony Davis, NO (23) PF, C If we knew Brow would play 75+ games I migggghhhht lean him over KAT, but we all know the risk. GET THE PELS NEW MEDICAL PEOPLE!
Slim’s Projection: .505/.780/0.7/23.5/10.1/1.8/1.3/2.4/1.9 :34
$55 Chris Paul, LAC (31) PG After a rough start due in part to some early injuries, finished the bulk of the year going 20.3/4.4/10.5/2.1/0.2 with 2.6 TO and 46.4% shooting with 1.8 treys from hi 17th game on. Another year fully entrenched as a first rounder.
Slim’s Projection: .465/.880/1.8/19.0/4.1/10.2/1.9/0.1/2.4 :32
$54 Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL PG, SG, SF Over the last 26 games, Greek Freak went 18.8/8.4/7.5/1.5/1.9. Insanity! Shot 51.5% too. With Middleton gone, it adds more offensive onus on The Alphabet. I think it spells #8 value!
Slim’s Projection:   .495/.735/0.7/19.0/8.4/7.2/1.4/1.6/2.8 :36
$52 Hassan Whiteside, MIA (27) C Final 37 games, 3.9-5.4 FT good for 73.2%. On top of leading the league in blocks, if he hits his FT, he’s easily gonna be a first rounder. And no, this rank isn’t under the duress of an elbow to the noggin.
Slim’s Projection: .600/.730/0/19.5/14.0/0.5/0.7/3.5/1.9 :32
$51 Kawhi Leonard, SA (25) SG, SF The metrics love him, most people agree maybe a smidge too much, and he still gets a little docked for not playing 80 games. But the multicat, huge steals, and great FG% improvement with more 3s can’t be overlooked.
Slim’s Projection: .500/.835/1.8/21.5/7.2/2.7/1.8/1.0/1.6 :34
$50 LeBron James, CLE (31) SF, PF I feel like his dominant playoff run is clouding some judgment, as the Cavs are gonna coast harder than Usian Bolt in Olympic qualifiers. No need to push Bron, and the Cavs end with 3 games in the H2H semis and 4 in the finals, with back-to-backs in both. Might only get 4-5 games the pivotal final two weeks.
Slim’s Projection: .525/.730/1.2/25.0/7.3/6.7/1.3/0.6/3.1 :36
$49 Kyle Lowry, TOR (30) PG Career highs in 3s, FT volume and minutes that have me believing he can be a rock. “Welcome to The Rock!” [in Sean Connery’s voice]
Slim’s Projection:   .425/.810/2.5/20.5/4.5/6.6/1.6/0.2/2.8 :36
$49 John Wall, WAS (25) PG Slim hates me for having Lowry ahead, these two are pretty close to a coin flip. Not liking the bad FG% for a low-3s guy or the FT trending down last 3 seasons.
Slim’s Projection:   .425/.790/1.4/20.0/5.1/10.5/1.8/0.7/3.8 :36
$48 Paul Millsap, ATL (31) SF, PF More perimeter touches with Dwight clogging the lane, such an underrated commodity.
Slim’s Projection:   .470/.760/1.0/18.0/9.2/3.4/1.6/1.2/2.3 :32
$47 Paul George, IND (26) SG, SF Hard not to root for the guy bouncing back from the bad injury; played 81 games last year, set a huge career best in FT volume, and this is going to be a ridiculously paced team. Living up to the IND name!
Slim’s Projection:   .415/.850/2.3/22.5/6.8/3.8/1.8/0.3/3.0 :34
$47 DeMarcus Cousins, SAC (26) PF, C Missed 40 games the past two seasons, FT% came crumbling down around a huge volume, and without Rondo, look for Boogie to turn it over like the good ol’ days as well. Not close to a first-rounder for me anymore.
Slim’s Projection:   .460/.730/1.0/27.0/12.1/3.6/1.5/1.4/4.0 :34
$46 Draymond Green, GS (26) SF, PF Takes a slight nudge down to the nards with the GSW Dream Team assemblage, but he should still be the same #Occupy we know and love, but could no longer bear children with…
Slim’s Projection:   .485/.710/1.1/12.5/9.8/6.7/1.6/1.4/2.8 :34
$45 Kemba Walker, CHA (26) PG Breakout season from the Huskie, boosted the FG%, boosted the FT volume, and brings a very interesting skill set for only 2ish TO per.
Slim’s Projection:   .425/.840/2.0/20.0/4.1/5.2/1.6/0.5/2.2 :36
$45 Damian Lillard, POR (26) PG I really hate the lack of steals and the high TO when compared to Kemba. I can make up the other stats on ThrAGNOF!
Slim’s Projection:   .425/.880/3.2/25.5/4.0/6.6/1.0/0.3/3.1 :36
$41 DeAndre Jordan, LAC (28) C 4/5/3 playoff sched from a guy that almost never misses games. FT-punt is giving me a lot more interest after seeing DJ came out at 3rd overall when you take out FT% last year. Two cats in the bank for the quarters and semis of the H2H playoffs.
Slim’s Projection:   .700/.430/0/12.0/13.5/1.0/0.7/2.2/1.3 :34
$41 Andre Drummond, DET (23) C Still emerging, love his post game, but I like DJ’s playoff sched and blocks a smidge more.
Slim’s Projection:   .530/.380/0/17.5/14.7/0.8/1.4/1.7/2.0 :34
$40 Brook Lopez, BKN (28) C Injury risk seems to be by the wayside, but Ol’ Clownfoot is on an ugly Nets team on a fairly-friendly contract. Got shut down last year. A trade at the deadline would hurt.
Slim’s Projection:   .505/.790/0/20.5/7.6/1.7/0.6/1.7/2.3 :32
$40 Kristaps Porzingis, NY (21) PF, C The Posion Goose! Only rookie to score more than 1,000 points, grab 500-plus rebounds, make 75-plus 3-pointers and block more than a 100 shots. USG may hurt next to Melo/Rose, but he’ll still get his, and get dem swats on top of everything.
Slim’s Projection:   .445/.825/1.6/17.0/8.5/1.5/0.8/2.3/2.0 :32
$39 Al Horford, BOS (30) PF, C The way B-Rad runs rotations, I’m a little worried about the minutes being 29-30. Slim has more faith. His game is suited for a long career, but I worry about some early Boston meshing as well.
Slim’s Projection:   .505/.785/0.9/15.5/7.8/3.2/0.8/1.4/1.4 :32
$37 Blake Griffin, LAC (27) PF, C Disaster 15-16, but BG is playing for a contract (he’ll likely get max either way, but ya know) and I think bounces back fine, as long as you’re not on the Clip staff and clown him at dinner.
Slim’s Projection:   .505/.730/0.2/21.5/8.2/4.7/0.8/0.5/2.3 :34
$36 Eric Bledsoe, PHO (26) PG, SG Was looking great with my high rank of him last year, but those effin injuries… Risky, but did play 81 games sandwiched between the injury-plagued seasons. Had the meniscus surgery that takes longer to recover from so you can play at peak level, so I still see that big upside there.
Slim’s Projection:   .445/.800/1.4/19.5/4.2/6.0/1.6/0.5/3.4 :32
$35 Jimmy Butler, CHI (26) SG, SF 67 games or fewer in the past 3 seasons, and now has USG hogs Wade and Rondo to ruin possessions rather than Rose. 2 is worse than 1… Still should be his team and a solid value though.
Slim’s Projection:   .460/.830/1.0/18.5/5.3/5.8/1.6/0.5/2.0 :36
$35 Victor Oladipo, OKC (24) PG, SG I’m warming more and more on the player, but I really don’t love this situation. I’m confused as to why changing your running mate from Elfrid Payton to Westbrook is a GOOD thing, and not like OKC is too shabby compared to ORL everywhere else. I don’t trust the 3s and I think he could be overdrafted.
Slim’s Projection:   .450/.825/1.5/19.0/5.1/4.2/1.8/0.8/2.6 :36
$35 Kyrie Irving, CLE (24) PG, SG Looking at 15-16 seasonal numbers might be a turnoff, but he was eased in off the knee injury. Post-ASB and that final Finals shot is a turn ON though! What can Uncle Drew do for YOU?!
Slim’s Projection:   .455/.870/1.8/20.5/3.1/5.1/1.2/0.3/2.4 :34
$33 LaMarcus Aldridge, SA (31) PF, C Slim dislikes Aldridge with a Patrick Patterson-esque fury, but LA was 9th in per-game last year the final 31 games, and scores with a big volume of great FG% with virtually no TO. Being on the old Spurs is annoying though…
Slim’s Projection:   .495/.845/0/18.5/8.6/1.6/0.5/0.9/1.4 :30
$31 Isaiah Thomas, BOS (27) PG 37th overall finish last year, but mostly due to low REB and bad FG%. Makes him a beautiful fit in a punt-FT, if you loaded up on the big boys early.
Slim’s Projection:   .425/.870/2.0/21.5/2.8/6.0/1.0/0.1/2.7 :32
$29 Gorgui Dieng, MIN (26) PF, C Choo Choo! Who’s with me on the hype train?! Through games 14-82 – 10.8/7.5/2.0/1.1/1.2 with 53.9% from the field and 82.6 FT%. That was only in 28:30 MPG and not starting half those games. I think Slim is a little light on the projection with upside to play huge minutes for Tibby Tibs.
Slim’s Projection:   .515/.810/0.2/12.0/7.8/2.2/1.1/1.6/1.8 :30
$28 Rudy Gobert, UTA (24) C Monsieur Elbow was Le Poo last year, that’s for sure! FIBA ball apparently ruined his conditioning, and he tore his knee at one point. But he bounced back quick from injury – good to see for a big – and still has elite big man skills. Nice fallback FT-punt option.
Slim’s Projection:   .580/.600/0/10.5/11.3/1.6/0.8/2.5/1.8 :32
$28 Carmelo Anthony, NY (32) SF, PF With the facilitating ineptitude of Rose and coming off a career high in dimes, I could see Melo be a sneaky 5.0 AST source. We know scoring will be there with bleh peripheral stats, but me likey if his name value sours his ADP too much.
Slim’s Projection:   .440/.820/1.6/20.5/7.4/3.9/0.9/0.4/2.3 :34
$28 Kevin Love, CLE (27) PF, C Small steps up in per-minute stats, Love has gone from injury-plagued first rounder to low-upside mid-rounder. Might make your leaguemates fall asleep with this pick.
Slim’s Projection:   .435/.820/2.2/16.5/10.0/2.5/0.7/0.5/1.8 :32
$27 Serge Ibaka, ORL (26) PF, C Blocks dropping, turning into a jump shooter that is hurting FG%… He was clearly out of my top-50 pre-trade, but has some great upside for an expanded offensive role in ORL.
Slim’s Projection:   .475/.765/1.3/15.0/7.5/0.9/0.5/2.1/1.6 :32
$27 Derrick Favors, UTA (25) PF, C Favors would be 10 higher if not for back-to-back seasons with back-to-back spasms. Also the blocks didn’t come along like we thought… Love his game, hate the risk.
Slim’s Projection:   .510/.715/0/16.5/ 8.3/1.6/1.0/1.7/1.7 :32
$24 Chandler Parsons, MEM (27) SF, PF 19.0/5.9/3.1/1.1/0.3 with an unreal 2.6 treys on 51.9% FG shooting his last 26 games. Yes, two straight seasons ending with knee issues, but I believe in Memphis believing in him. By the transitive property, I therefore believe in Parsons.
Slim’s Projection:   .480/.710/1.9/15.5/4.9/3.1/0.9/0.3/1.8 :32
$24 C.J. McCollum, POR (24) PG, SG Yikes my anti-McCollum 15-16 calls didn’t go well! I don’t know if he has any more upside, unless he can get to 1.5+ steals.
Slim’s Projection:   .440/.830/2.4/20.0/3.1/4.2/1.1/0.2/2.4 :34
$24 Jae Crowder, BOS (26) SF, PF The Boston Clam Crowder! Sexy 1.7 swipes from a forward and I don’t see a way he could finish much worse than the 32nd per-game 15-16 he had.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.790/1.7/14.0/5.0/1.9/1.6/0.4/1.1 :32
$23 Pau Gasol, SA (36) PF, C Old and Spurs, go together like hangovers and carnival rides. You just have to build in a lot of regression, especially in minutes, but he can still be top-50 serviceable.
Slim’s Projection:   .480/.795/0.2/16.0/9.5/3.4/0.4/1.6/1.9 :30
$23 Klay Thompson, GS (26) SG, SF Takes the big hit amongst the Golden State Western All-Stars, and the D stats took a major step back last year as well. Back to being one of the NBA’s best ThrAGNOFs.
Slim’s Projection:   .465/.870/2.9/18.5/3.4/2.0/0.9/0.5/1.6 :32
$22 Gordon Hayward, UTA (26) SG, SF FG%, AST, STL and BLK all dropped last year, and now they have a competent PG. Love the player, but couldn’t rank him any higher.
Slim’s Projection:   .440/.820/1.8/20.0/5.0/4.2/1.3/0.4/2.6 :36
$21 Ricky Rubio, MIN (25) PG Despite having constant critics (both Rubio himself AND to me, for my love for Rubio!) he played 76 games last year and had a top-50 season. Kris Dunn does look awesome, but until the Wolves finally trade Rubio, I think he’s at the end of the top-50 again.
Slim’s Projection:   .380/.830/0.9/11.0/4.5/8.9/2.1/0.1/2.7 :32
$20 Nikola Jokic, DEN (21) PF, C The love is starting to get strong for this one! In per-game/per-36 min stats, he was 13th in the NBA last year. And not like he played mop up minutes, he started a ton, just Mike Malone wouldn’t play him. Gives you a legit 9-cat impact, even though no one stat shines.
Slim’s Projection:   .490/.810/0.4/11.5/8.2/2.8/1.1/0.8/1.7 :27
$20 Goran Dragic, MIA (30) PG, SG 17.3/4.6/6.7 post-ASB last year, with a lot more upside with Wade gone, despite the metrics not loving his game due to lack of STL/3s. His FG% makes him a great punt-FT fit though, and seeing how drafts are playing out and SOMEONE is punting FT by the 4th round, I am moving him snugly in my top-50.
Slim’s Projection:   .485/.765/1.2/18.5/3.7/6.7/1.1/0.2/2.6 :34
$20 Nicolas Batum, CHA (27) SF, PF A tad more upside for Frenchy with Lin gone, but he had a career-high in TO last year and always struggles in FG%, so those hurt him a tad.
Slim’s Projection:   .435/.845/1.9/15.0/5.9/5.7/1.0/0.5/3.0 :34
$19 Nerlens Noel, PHI (22) PF, C Still the allure of 2/2 STL/BLK! Sixers keep saying one of the bigs will be gone – make a deal already! Although it looks less likely with Simmons down… I moved Noel up one with that news, but not a huge change for me.
Slim’s Projection:   .510/.600/0/11.5/8.0/1.9/1.8/1.5/2.0 :28
$19 Nikola Vucevic, ORL (25) PF, C I thought I was going to be a smidge above consensus on Ibaka, but turns out I don’t want any part of the Magic frontcourt after all, especially Vuch. Any lapses on D, and Bis is gonna get the Business!
Slim’s Projection:   .515/.750/0/17.5/9.2/2.3/0.7/1.0/1.8 :30
$16 Tobias Harris, ORL (24) SF, PF So underrated. After getting traded to Motown, the numbers all boosted up – better FG%, 3+ PPG, more FT volume, more 3s, and a much better AST:TO that went from 2.0:1.6 in ORL to 2.6:1.1 in D-town. Full off-season with his new crew, and this could be an awesome, metrics-friendly season.
Slim’s Projection:   .470/.810/1.2/17.0/6.2/2.5/0.8/0.5/1.3 :34
$16 Mike Conley, MEM (28) PG Despite my hate on him last year (100% correct too!), I like him at about the same spot in 16-17 with an insane 6.1:1.5 AST:TO last season. Low TO from a PG fits a lot of builds, plus a good wing running mate in Parsons finally.
Slim’s Projection:   .430/.840/1.5/15.5/2.8/5.6/1.2/0.2/1.6 :32
$16 Dennis Schroder, ATL (23) PG Ich Liebe the German! Were’s Paul?! I need to be sure I spelled that right! Yes, the TO was bad in per-minute terms last year, but he had an offensively inept 2nd unit around him and he was trying to prove he’s a starter. I don’t think they get too out of control. Gonna score and dime like a Blitzkreig!
Slim’s Projection:   .420/.795/1.4/14.5/3.9/6.1/1.2/0.1/3.3 :30
$16 Jeff Teague, IND (28) PG I know it looks lazy having these two back-to-back, but they’re sooooo close! Teague a little safer and will easily win STL, I just worry about how much rock he gets in that system.
Slim’s Projection:   .445/.850/1.5/16.5/2.8/6.2/1.4/0.3/2.7 :32
$16 Elfrid Payton, ORL (22) PG Get SKIIIIIILES!!! the F%*# outta here! Skiles even publicly said he didn’t think Elfrid was the PG of the future, and with a new system and a defensive-minded coach, I could see Elfrid getting off the Shelfrid and taking off.
Slim’s Projection:   .440/.600/0.5/12.0/4.2/7.0/1.6/0.4/2.5 :32
$15 Marc Gasol, MEM (31) C The bone in his foot he broke is a really tricky one for big men, and he couldn’t even run as of June 5th. There is confirmation there will be DNPs and minutes limits to open the season, but if he can stay healthy through winter, I expect his game to come back into form when you’re in the playoffs.
Slim’s Projection:   .475/.790/0/15.5/7.1/3.7/0.9/1.3/2.1 :32
$15 DeMar DeRozan, TOR (27) SG, SF My original blurb was too good – “Why I didn’t like DeRozan last year – Pts went down, AST:TO took a huge step back, treys down, FG% down, and a bad groin injury was the main reason he missed 22 games. Why I like DeRozan this year – Pts went back up (23.5 – career high), AST:TO took a huge step forward (4.0:2.2, ironically the exact same as in 13-14), treys up, FG% up, and he only missed 4 games.”
Slim’s Projection: .445/.845/0.5/23.0/4.4/4.0/1.0/0.2/2.2 :36
$15 Brandon Knight, PHO (24) PG, SG Apparently this rank still prices me in, but I love the high-output 3s with the AST contribution – easy to miss the 5.1 AST he brings amongst some other warts, mainly FG%…
Slim’s Projection: .415/.835/2.0/18.5/3.8/4.6/1.1/0.2/3.0 :34
$15 D’Angelo Russell, LAL (20) PG While I keep calling him D Barksdale for a character in one of the most sophisticated shows ever made, D Russell is anything but. 1.6/3.3/1.2 in 3s/AST/STL in sub-30 minutes as a 19-yr-old is still mad intriguing, especially with no Kobe-USG-suck. Hopefully Russell can keep from doing something stupid.
Slim’s Projection:   .420/.750/1.9/16.0/3.6/5.2/1.3/0.1/2.9 :32
$14 Evan Fournier, ORL (23) SG, SF The Virgin! Also, don’t google what his last name means. Posted a career year going 15.4/2.8/2.7/1.2/0.0 with 2 treys a game and only 1.7 TO, and had some assist-binges as well, diming 3.7/per in April. No Dipo will mean more usage, and they desperately need his scoring!
Slim’s Projection:   .460/.815/2.1/19.0/2.9/3.3/1.3/0.1/1.9 :34
$14 Darren Collison, SAC (29) PG I used to love his fantasy-friendly game as a PG with low TO, but now I hate his character. I like to cheer for my fantasy teams, and that’s tough to do with Colly. “Only” an 8-game suspension keeps him a pretty solid mid-round pick though…
Slim’s Projection:   .470/.860/1.2/15.0/2.8/6.5/1.4/0.1/2.5 :36
$13 Jonas Valanciunas, TOR (24) C The Luminescent Lithuanian’s per-game fantasy rank always looks purdy next to his MPG, but given an injury history, I don’t automatically think no Biyombo = 30+ MPG. I like him, don’t get me wrong! But I don’t have that Canadian love…
Slim’s Projection:   .565/.765/0/14.0/9.3/0.8/0.4/1.4/1.5 :28
$13 Bradley Beal, WAS (23) SG I actually might have some Beal shares this year, with some confidence in that the Wizards have faith his leg injury issues are behind him – hell, it’s THEIR medical staff that know him better than anyone! So if they had doubts, I suspect they wouldn’t have dropped all dat ca$h.
Slim’s Projection:   .440/.780/1.9/17.5/3.5/3.0/1.0/0.2/2.0 :32
$12 Marcin Gortat, WAS (32) C The Ten Foot Pole is about to be an Eleven Year Pro, but that ain’t stopping me! He’s finished in the top-50 in the past few seasons – yes it’s metrics-whoreish – but even with a few less MPG, I think this is good value.
Slim’s Projection:   .565/.700/0/12.0/9.2/1.2/0.5/1.2/1.4 :28
$12 Jusuf Nurkic, DEN (22) C In 17 MPG, Jamba Jus got to 1.4 BLK, 0.8 STL and has some really underrated playmaking ability as a post-passer. I think his %s take big hikes up, and even if he’s only at 24-25 MPG, I think can be a win at this rank.
Slim’s Projection:   .460/.650/0/14.0/8.8/1.6/1.0/1.9/2.2 :28
$11 Rudy Gay, SAC (30) SF, PF Gay only scores. Despite the real-life basketball metrics hating him though, he was 46th last year despite dropping from 3.7 to 1.7 dimes with Rondo hawgin’ it. No Rondo, mo’ dimes! But this is looking like a messier and messier divorce, with Gay publicly putting out there he’s opting out next year. Virtually any trade is going to hurt, plus he has to deal with internal strife for however long he plays in 16-17 with the Kings.
Slim’s Projection:   .455/.785/1.0/17.5/6.4/2.3/1.3/0.6/2.3 :34
$11 Danilo Gallinari, DEN (28) SF Uggghhhhh, Gallo! Why can’t you stay healthy! A big sleeper of mine last year was working out pretty well until a kankle. He’s major trade bait, but I still love his game.
Slim’s Projection:   .415/.860/1.8/17.5/5.0/2.3/0.7/0.3/1.4 :32
$11 Trevor Ariza, HOU (31) SG, SF He fits certain builds REALLY well, and like Gortat is a metrics-friendly finisher every year, but I don’t think the D’Antoni effect really impacts Ariza as much. The ups and downs in FG% can crush you, unless you’re outright punting FG%.
Slim’s Projection:   .410/.790/2.4/13.0/5.2/2.5/1.9/0.3/1.5 :36
$10 Rajon Rondo, CHI (30) PG Speaking of needing to punt stuff! Yes, AST and STL were great last year, but expect major hits in dimes next to Wade and Butler. Might be closer to DAL stats than SAC stats…
Slim’s Projection:   .450/.590/0.8/10.5/5.8/8.4/1.8/0.1/2.9 :32
$9 Andrew Wiggins, MIN (21) SG, SF Obviously needs to make improvements, but at least he’s durable! Big scoring sources aren’t too plentiful past here.
Slim’s Projection: .475/.785/1.0/21.5/3.7/2.4/1.2/0.7/2.1 :36
$9 Myles Turner, IND (20) PF, C From game 41-82, i.e. the “legit” 2nd half of the season, he went 12.2/6.4/0.9/0.5/1.7 in 26.6 MPG, shooting 49.7% from the field, 73.9% from the stripe, and only committing 1.4 TO. Seasonal numbers get jacked up due to low minutes out of the gate and coming off the broken thumb prior to this run.
Slim’s Projection: .465/.765/0.3/12.5/6.9/1.0/0.7/2.1/1.8 :28
$8 Dwyane Wade, CHI (34) PG, SG Rondo is a TO-vortex! We might get a little fix there, along with good scoring and some wing dimes. But ya know, for 65 games…
Slim’s Projection: .460/.780/0.1/18.0/3.8/3.6/1.0/0.4/1.9 :30
$8 Zach LaVine, MIN (21) PG, SG As a starter, was unreal for 17.3/2.8/3.2/1.1/0.2 in 33 games, including 2.4 treys at an absurd 47.4% clip from the field overall. I don’t know if that % is fully replicable, but heavy treys without killing your FG% should fit some FT punt builds.
Slim’s Projection: .445/.785/1.7/16.5/2.8/3.1/1.0/0.2/1.8 :32
$8 Dirk Nowizki, DAL (38) PF, C I’m glad I’m including ages, because that explains the only reason why The Gerimator is this low. He stands the test of time, but we’ll see if he can hold up another full NBA season.
Slim’s Projection: .450/.890/1.6/17.5/6.0/1.8/0.6/0.5/1.1 :30
$8 Jeremy Lin, BKN (28) PG, SG Had a great 15-16 in FT volume and a career-low TO rate, and joins a team in desperate need of playmaking. And cool hair.
Slim’s Projection: .415/.810/1.3/14.0/3.3/6.3/1.2/0.6/2.4 :32
$8 George Hill, UTA (30) PG, SG Provides 5ish dimes with a minuscule TO rate, with just an overall non-killing game in %s and TO. LET ME SEE THAT THONG!
Slim’s Projection: .440/.790/1.7/12.0/3.8/3.8/1.0/0.2/1.3 :32
$8 Aaron Gordon, ORL (21) SF, PF Vogel – “I’ma use A-Gord like P-George!” Me – erection.
Slim’s Projection: .470/.655/0.8/13.5/8.3/2.7/1.1/0.8/1.7 :32
$7 Robert Covington, PHI (25) SF, PF FG% remains a big issue, but his post-ASB got to 31:10 MPG with an absurd 3.3 treys and gorgeous 15.6/7.0/1.5/1.5/0.6 slash. Another strong fit for FG% punt.
Slim’s Projection: .390/.795/2.4/12.5/5.4/1.5/1.4/0.5/2.0 :28
$7 Kent Bazemore, ATL (27) SG, SF Fell off a smidge last year as the minutes I think caught up to him a bit, but he offers a very sexy metrics-friendly game, and could be a huge get if he can maintain across 82 games.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.795/1.7/13.0/5.0/2.6/1.3/0.5/2.0 :30
$7 Avery Bradley, BOS (25) PG, SG Career highs in STL, PTS and 3s, with a nice FG% for a high-end ThrAGNOF.
Slim’s Projection: .445/.790/1.9/15.0/3.0/2.2/1.4/0.3/1.4 :34
$7 Jordan Clarkson, LAL (24) PG, SG Ugh, a tough whiff last year, but with Kobe’s USG gonzo, I could see him being George Hill-ish this year…
Slim’s Projection: .440/.815/1.6/16.5/4.0/3.6/1.1/0.1/1.8 :32
$7 Enes Kanter, OKC (24) C Anemic in AST/STL/BLK, the upside for a 20/10 season with a good FG% keeps him well ahead of the 100 range.
Slim’s Projection: .545/.800/0.2/16.5/9.3/0.6/0.5/0.5/1.9 :28
$7 Wesley Matthews, DAL (29) SG, SF Even off the awful injury, played 78 games at 33:54 MPG in 15-16. Mark Cuban said Matthews couldn’t even dunk half of last year, but he’s apparently having a great, healthy offseason. A great unsexy name for sexy upside.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.850/2.6/15.0/3.3/2.2/1.1/0.2/1.0 :34
$6 Devin Booker, PHO (19) SG Mannnnn I want to rank him higher and higher with the PJ Tucker injury news, but 0.6/0.3 STL/BLK with 2.6 AST last year, meh, and a lot came without Knight and Bledsoe off the floor. I think you have an extremely sexy, admittedly young and sexy, player that could be overreached for if you went much higher than here.
Slim’s Projection: .435/.845/1.6/13.0/2.6/2.1/0.7/0.3/1.8 :28
$6 Luol Deng, LAL (31) SF, PF 15.2/8.1/2.5/1.2/0.5 over the final 28 games, with 1.1 treys shooting 48.4% with only 1.4 TO. Yes – no Bosh – but it’s not like the Lakers have a murderers row up front. Another unsexy name that I think will fall too far.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.770/1.0/13.5/5.8/1.8/0.9/0.3/1.0 :32
$6 Thaddeus Young, IND (28) SF, PF I think he’s going to be a little overdrafted, as his better numbers have come on awful PHI and BKN teams. I’m not quite sure how he’ll fit into the Pacers up-tempo system, as he’s likely the #5 option.
Slim’s Projection: .480/.675/0.3/13.0/8.1/1.9/1.4/0.4/1.7 :30
$6 Monta Ellis, IND (30) PG, SG HE’S STILL GETTING PAID ONLY $11 MIL A YEAR!? Readers last year get that one… 1.9 STL and 4.7 TO is what you’re drafting here, as any bounceback in scoring is tough to see with this new offense.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.780/1.1/14.5/3.2/4.2/1.9/0.3/2.4 :34
$5 Ryan Anderson, HOU (28) PF, C Ryno, the ThraAGNOF bigman dyno! If you get 70 games of his 3PTM/C combo, you’re happy.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.870/2.4/17.5/6.2/1.0/0.5/0.3/1.5 :30
$5 DeMarre Carroll, TOR (30) SF, PF In a limited sample due to injuries, 3PTM and STL were both career highs, At least all of his injury issues last year didn’t lead to some big surgery. I could see a nice big bounceback.
Slim’s Projection: .450/.720/1.8/12.0/5.3/1.6/1.4/0.2/1.1 :32
$4 JJ Redick, LAC (32) SG I don’t see the crazy high marks of 48% from the field again, 47.5% from deep, or scoring over 16 PPG with Blake back. ThrAGNOF!
Slim’s Projection: .475/.890/2.6/15.0/2.0/1.5/0.5/0.1/1.0 :28
$4 Rodney Hood, UTA (23) SG, SF Loves – 2 treys and 2.2-2.5 FT for 86% freebie clip. Hates – 0.9/0.2 in Stl/Blk and 2.7:1.9 AST:TO. I worry the dimes and steals are a little overrated and he’s more ThrAGNOF than not, but I do still like him!
Slim’s Projection: .425/.850/1.9/15.0/3.4/2.9/0.9/0.2/1.7 :32
$4 Emmanuel Mudiay, DEN (20) PG Makes the top 200 due to PG runs. Not that they have diarrhea, but you get it. Mudiay did finish 15-16 strong going 16.5/3.8/4.9/0.6/0.4 hitting 1.7 treys and shooting 40.8% (high for him) over the final 22 games, so there’s a little hope for minor-breakout potential.
Slim’s Projection: .405/.760/1.6/15.5/3.7/5.7/1.3/0.6/3.1 :32
$4 Joakim Noah, NYK (31) PF, C Goromotaro! I do like his upside for dimes continuing to play with Rose, but even if this is looking FANTASTIC through 20 games, I would sell immediately due to brittleness.
Slim’s Projection: .465/.690/0/8.5/9.4/4.8/0.8/1.1/1.8 :30
$4 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, DET (23) SG The KCP addiction remains STRONG! Well, I should say I’ve plateaued, now that his ADP is getting to where my rank is these days… About time!
Slim’s Projection: .425/.800/1.6/14.0/3.5/1.8/1.4/0.2/1.3 :34
$4 Greg Monroe, MIL (26) PF, C I have to rank him somewhere, although admittedly this hate might be going too far. I worry where he lands in an inevitable trade, as the Bucks hate him.
Slim’s Projection: .515/.740/0/13.0/8.3/2.2/0.9/0.8/1.5 :28
$4 Justice Winslow, MIA (20) SF, PF I’m admittedly a little iffy with this rank, but the combo of 0.9 STL and only 1.2 TO as a rookie excites me, as well as an expanded role. FT% is a little bit of an issue, but I think he can surprise, especially if no Bosh.
Slim’s Projection: .445/.730/0.8/12.5/7.9/2.7/1.2/0.8/1.7 :34
$4 Markieff Morris, WAS (27) PF, C FG% went WAY up even though he took more 3s, TO way down, and same STL/BLK after getting to the Wiz. Still only 27, with a full offseason with the new crew, there could be something here.
Slim’s Projection: .465/.760/0.8/13.5/6.0/1.8/1.0/0.6/1.8 :30
$4 Jabari Parker, MIL (21) SF, PF An unreal 18.8/6.2/2.2/1.1/0.3 line over his last 29 games, which I originally felt was unrepeatable and blah without threes, but now without Duchess, there’s a legit shot he could push for 20 PPG. With the added rebounds and still some youthful upside, I thought I was a buyer, but apparently he’s being hyped hard in other rankings-sets. I’m not going TOO nuts for a guy who can score but had bad D stats and no 3s…
Slim’s Projection: .490/.770/0.3/19.5/6.3/2.2/1.1/0.3/2.1 :36
$3 Jrue Holiday, NO (26) PG We wish he and his family the best, as he takes an indefinite period of time to be with the people that matter most. Hate to be callous, but in fantasy terms, I don’t think I want to invest in an uncertain amount of stat accrual.
Slim’s Projection: .445/.830/1.7/18.5/3.6/7.3/1.6/0.3/2.9 :32
$3 Otto Porter, WAS (23) SF There are some rankings and pre-ranks that are out of control for Porter, who was barely ownable when Beal was on the court – he only spiked when Beal was hurt.
Slim’s Projection: .465/.760/1.2/11.0/5.1/1.6/1.4/0.4/1.0 :30
$3 Derrick Rose, NYK (27) PG I had a little optimism he could be a little better than last year, but then his legal issue got more and more publicity, and he just doesn’t sound like a fun guy, guilty or not of a crime. I like to cheer for my fantasy teams, sue me!
Slim’s Projection: .420/.810/1.0/18.0/3.2/4.8/0.7/0.2/3.0 :32
$2 Matt Barnes, SAC (36) SF, PF One of my favorite late round staples, Barnes follows Joerger – who apparently loves him – to SAC, where he is going to play both F positions. 1/1/1 3/STL/BLK gonna be tough to find any later!
Slim’s Projection: .410/.780/1.5/9.5/4.7/1.8/0.8/0.6/1.2 :26
$2 Marcus Morris, DET (27) SF, PF Not flashy, but only has missed 3 games the last 3 seasons, and offers a nice well-rounded scoring boost.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.750/1.3/13.0/4.9/2.3/0.8/0.3/1.7 :34
$2 Marvin Williams, CHA (30) SF, PF As metrics-whorey as it comes, with only 0.8 TO last year in a spread line. I don’t know if I buy 45+ FG% again or the 1.0 BLK though…
Slim’s Projection: .435/.800/1.7/10.5/5.8/1.3/0.8/0.6/0.8 :28
$2 Jared Sullinger, TOR (24) PF, C The Raptors desperately need deep shooting from guys other than Lowry (and I guess Carroll), but at well under 30% from downtown in his career, I think it could get a little ugly, and I don’t think we see this huge 1+/1+ STL/BLK season either.
Slim’s Projection: .440/.725/0.7/13.5/8.2/2.6/1.0/0.7/1.4 :28
$2 Robin Lopez, CHI (28) C Worst player in basketball! He is what he is, a nice nab for big man depth in non-FT punt builds.
Slim’s Projection: .535/.790/0/11.0/7.5/1.5/0.3/1.5/1.5 :28
$2 Jerryd Bayless, PHI (28) PG, SG JB love JB! The Sixers need a PG who can hit treys and keep the TO down. With no Simmons development most of the season, there will be a little more rock for Bayless, upside for added 3PTA and more usage, I likey.
Slim’s Projection: .420/.805/1.8/12.5/2.8/4.1/1.0/0.2/1.8 :30
$2 Dwight Howard, ATL (30) PF, C Obviously a fun FT punt asset if he lasts this long, but the TO issues, injury-proneness, and changing to another team worry me a smidge. I think the resurgence season last year was an anomaly to his career trends.
Slim’s Projection: .585/.520/0/15.0/11.0/1.3/0.9/1.6/2.6 :32
$2 Will Barton, DEN (25) SG, SF People are being way too chill on Will the thrill! 5.8 REB, 2.5 AST, 0.9/0.5 STL/BLK, and 1.4 treys as ancillary stats to the scoring is nothing to sneeze at, and I think he gets a similar MPG role, even with everyone healthy and the new wing rooks.
Slim’s Projection: .430/.790/1.0/12.0/4.9/2.1/0.8/0.4/1.6 :26
$2 Clint Capela, HOU (22) PF, C More D’Antoniiiii! Obviously a must-draft for FT punters; for other builds, the upside in Boards-n-Blocks is capped a little due to the drain.
Slim’s Projection: .565/.420/0/11.0/9.6/1.0/1.0/1.7/1.3 :28
$2 Harrison Barnes, DAL (24) SF, PF Doesn’t hit enough treys or bring enough D-stats, but maybe can get to 18 or 19 a night in Big D.
Slim’s Projection: .445/.755/1.4/15.0/5.2/1.8/0.8/0.2/1.5 :32
$2 Evan Turner, POR (27) SG, SF Both Turner’s AST and AST:TO took massive steps forward in Boston, but nothing else really jumps off the page. I imagine a similar role in POR.
Slim’s Projection: .460/.780/0/10.5/5.0/4.2/1.0/0.2/1.9 :28
$2 Reggie Jackson, DET (26) PG, SG Brutal news that R-Jax “could” miss 6-8 weeks with knee issues. It wouldn’t be the end of the world, but this is for knee tendinitis, and not off a surgery. So who knows if this lingers. I am hoping to steer clear, and nab Ish late to see what happens…
Slim’s Projection: .440/.860/1.6/19.0/3.0/6.6/0.8/0.1/3.0 :32
$2 Buddy Hield, NO (22) SG Steals consistently went down in college and he shot 32.7% in Summer Ball, with only a 22.9% clip on treys. Small sample, but there’s going to be some big % waffles to his ThrAGNOF game.
Slim’s Projection: .400/.820/2.2/14.5/4.4/2.3/1.0/0.2/2.3 :34
$2 Jahlil Okafor, PHI (20) C Surprised me as a rookie with over a block/per and a non-killing FT%, but I hate their big man mix and all the issues he had mostly off the court.
Slim’s Projection: .510/.670/0/17.0/6.9/1.3/0.4/0.9/2.0 :28
$2 Ish Smith, DET (28) PG I admittedly waffle at times with the true “purpose” of these ranks, but I am looking to draft Ish in the last 2 or 3 rounds in all drafts right now with the R-Jax news. Was previously effective as a starter on a bad team, now he starts for a good team. I think this start could be pretty epic, then you address when/if R-Jax is back.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Kris Dunn, MIN (22) PG Insane in Summer Ball, going 24/7/3/2/1 shooting 54.3% from the field and getting to the stripe for 15 freebies in only 2 games (due to a concussion). It’s tough to project HUGE playing time, but the counting stats could be sexy in a major combo guard role. %s and TO are an issue though, cough MCW…
Slim’s Projection: .435/.700/0.5/11.5/2.3/4.2/1.3/0.3/2.3 :26
$1 Deron Williams, DAL (32) PG Limited upside, low D stats, low FG%, but is a PG who starts in the NBA and had 5.8 AST last season. We obviously can’t expect a full season either.
Slim’s Projection: .410/.860/1.5/14.0/3.0/6.0/0.9/0.2/2.2 :32
$1 Mason Plumlee, POR (26) PF, C 4.8 dimes in the postseason, and shot 64.2% at the stripe which is a big step forward. Maybe he can be a sneaky C dimes source, and has played all 82 the past 2 years.
Slim’s Projection: .525/.635/0/10.0/7.8/3.0/0.8/0.8/2.0 :26
$1 Tim Frazier, NO (25) PG With Jrue likely out a good stretch at the beginning of the season, Frazier is penciled in as your PG starter. Went 13.1/4.4/7.5/1.4/0.1 over the final 16 games last year! And not even all of that came as a starter! I’m tempering my expectations a tad because we just don’t know the Jrue game played this year.
Slim’s Projection: .415/.745/0.6/12.0/4.1/6.8/1.0/0.1/2.5 :28
$1 Zach Randolph, MEM (35) PF, C We know about what we’ll get, and he barely turns it over, for a PTS/REB source I would buy at this point. Not too worried about a bench role, yeah maybe a few less minutes, but should be better per-36 against 2nd units.
Slim’s Projection: .475/.775/0/15.5/7.9/2.2/0.6/0.2/1.6 :30
$1 Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, BKN (21) SG, SF Had a 7.6/7.7/1.6/1.9/0.4 9 game stretch pre-injury, and BKN needs him to be their SG of the future.
Slim’s Projection: .460/.720/0.2/9.5/7.6/2.1/1.8/0.7/1.3 :32
$1 Patrick Beverley, HOU PG, SG While I initially liked the upside for P-Bev in D’Antoni system, injuries are rearing their ugly head already with a lingering knee issue… Would just be preseason noise for most guys, but P-Bev already hurt has me scurred.
Slim’s Projection: .425/.765/2.1/10.5/3.9/3.6/1.4/0.4/1.4 :30
$1 Julius Randle, LAL (21) PF About as low-hyped as we could get for a guy who averaged a dubdub as a rook… FG% and lack of D stats hurt.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Danny Green, SA (29) SG, SF We saw how fickle metrics-whore guys can be – didn’t hit his 3s and it destroyed his value last year. Could bounce back a little.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Nikola Mirotic, CHI (25) SF, PF I’d be much more intrigued if they didn’t bring in Wade squeezing out SF minutes as I don’t think he’s a great fit at PF due to defensive issues.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Kyle Korver, ATL (35) SG, SF After shooting treys in the high-40%s for a long stretch, 39.9% last year. A healthy offseason instead of recovering from two surgeries including one on his elbow – I think a sneaky bounceback ThrAGNOF.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Bismack Biyombo, ORL (24) PF, C Not investing in the ORL frontcourt, but there’s obviously Boards-n-Blocks usability with your last pick or two here. Even if he’s coming off the bench, it should be for good minutes.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Michael KIdd-Gilchrist, CHA (23) SF In his 6 full games before the [re]injury last year, he was a pretty saucy 13.5/7.0/1.2/0.3/0.5 shooting 52.6%. Sure a small sample, but he’s still really young and had big improvements the past two seasons. Just needs to keep those shoulders in those sockets!
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Zaza Pachulia, GS (32) C Pizza arms! Up until Feb 19th in 15-16, he was 10/10.9/2/1/0.3 before they massively scaled back his minutes. Should fit a nice boarding need for the Golden State NBA All Stars of the West Warriors.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Steven Adams, OKC (23) C Despite low-volume, vastly improved his %s and AST:TO last year. I’m not sure the volume goes up a ton though, making him barely above the streaming class.
Slim’s Projection: .590/.600/0/11.0/9.6/1.0/0.8/1.5/1.3 :32
$1 Amir Johnson, BOS (29) PF, C Sneaky punt-FT target with a great FG% and bad FTs. I was surprised to actually like Amir this year, but with no Sully, there isn’t heavy-hitting PF to really rival Amir’s role. Love dem D stats.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 JaMychal Green, MEM (26) PF The Grizz lack A TON of depth up front, and he had a 16 game stretch in March of 12.6/7.4/2.3/0.9/0.8 in under 29 MPG. On non-Gasol nights, he could easily do that, and now it looks like he’s starting with Zach Randolph reportedly coming off the bench (which annoys the nuts outta me, I wanted to be on an island here!). Love the PT upside.
Slim’s Projection: .475/.755/0.2/7.2/4.7/0.8/0.6/0.4/1.1 :18
$1 Al Jefferson, IND (31) PF, C Big Al has big tread on the big tires, but could easily go 11/6 with low TO for a backend big. But hopefully someone else in your league nabs him higher for name value 🙂
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Kenneth Faried, DEN (26) PF, C You’re probably hoping for a trade to be honest… Even in a low MPG role out of the gate if he’s still in DEN, I think there’s enough for early-season ownership.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Alex Len, PHO (23) PF, C Only gets ranked here due to upside – he was a trainwreck when a starter last year, and projected to still come behind grandpa Tyson. More a stash-and-hope.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Tony Parker, SA (34) PG Interesting note – looks like Parker had his best AST:TO ratio of his career last year: 5.3:1.8. I know he’s old and not going to play a huge MPG or games played, but I found that intriguing as a final AST boost.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Michael Carter-Williams, MIL (24) PG Middleton injury doesn’t change much, although maybe he helps swing a trade to a team needing a PG.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Al-Farouq Aminu, POR (26) SF, PF I don’t buy that a guy had a FG% of 41.6 – right where it was last year – while going from 1.7 to 4.3 treys attempted. 36.1% from deep seems like an epic fluke to me, and his ups and downs make him too annoying to own for me to invest.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Timofey Mozgov, LAL (30) C If he gets to 28 MPG, he could get 1.5 blocks and a few boards, but health has been an issue and I have no faith in the Lakers not to screw the pooch somehow.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Josh Richardson, MIA (23) SG, SF I wasn’t fully buying into the hype, as he shot 53.3% from deep (!!!) in the second half last year during that huge run. I saw some regression coming …andddddd, he tears his knee in offseason workouts. Ugh! This is going to cost him an epicly important training camp and preseason, but I still have him on the fringe of draft-worthy as an IL slot, since RCL leagues have 2 IL spots.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Taj Gibson, CHI (31) PF, C With Noah and Pau outta there, there’s a shot for 28-29 MPG with a 9/9 1.3 BLK sort of line, with a great FG%. Low end, but usable.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 J.R. Smith, CLE (31) SG, SF 12.4 Pts and 2.6 treys we saw last year I think regress with a full season of Kyrie. But the Cavs do play a ton of off nights, so that could help his ThrAGNOF ownability a tier above the streamers.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Tyler Johnson, MIA (24) PG, SG I think the plan was always to mainly play him behind Dragic, so I’m not tinkiering his rank with the J-Rich injury. Lovvvvvve TyJo’s game, but I dunno if he’ll play enough to reap the full rewards.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Courtney Lee, NYK (30) SG, SF Pretty lame last roster-filler, but he contributes STL/3s with virtually no TO.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Tyson Chandler, PHO (33) C Very usable 10.1/9.4/0.9/0.6/0.8 run over his last 24 games, shooting 67.8%. Injuries and age knock him down a round or two, but I’d be fine with him as my last pick.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Jared Dudley, PHO (31) SG, SF Probably a forgotten name come draft day, but did go 10.1/3.9/2.7/1.2/0.2 over 39 games while Wiz had injuries, with 1.7 treys and shooting almost 50%. Has a chance to replicate that as the Suns starting SF or PF.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Dario Saric, PHI (22) PF More TO than AST in Euro play, and even with the opening of minutes with Simmons hurt, I’m still not sold how “must-own” he’ll be even in 12ers due to the TO question mark and defensive-stats apititude. But I’ll 100% take a stab at him with my last couple picks if he’s there.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Ivica Zubac, LAL (19) C Sexy upside time! Mozgov is obviously bleh, and Zubac was unreal in Summer Ball, with low TO, awesome %s, and game-changing D.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Andrew Bogut, DAL (31) C We know the Bogut schtick by now – steals and blocks, bad FT, legs made of glass.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Marcus Smart, BOS (22) PG Seems like there’s some buzz for him to take the next step, but I don’t see that happening until they let him slash instead of shooting 3s. STL in the bank is nice, but meh.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Omri Casspi, SAC (28) SF, PF A key FT punt target – Casspi hits 3s and shoots a good % while having a tough time at the stripe. A Gay trade locked in stone will boost him a good bit for me.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 John Henson, MIL (25) PF, C Well, an OBVIOUS FT target, and a Monroe trade locked in stone boosts HIM up a bit!
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Mirza Teletovic, MIL (31) SF, PF Was going to be a ThrAGNOF off the bench for the Bucks with a murky outlook for minutes; alas, Middleton is out most of the year, and the Bucks DESPERATELY need perimeter shooting. They’ll find a way to play Teletovic a good bit, but I’m not going too crazy… ThrAGNOF!
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Michael Beasley, MIL (27) SF, PF In only 18 MPG, Beasley went 12.8/4.9 with a usable-enough 0.6/0.5 STL/BLK in his stint in Houston, I already liked him as a sleeper and then he gets traded to a BETTER situation! They obviously need scoring, but unfortunately he’s not a huge perimeter shooter, so I’m not sure exactly what his role will be.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Bojan Bogdanovic, BKN (27) SG, SF ThrAGNOF! Nets need wing scoring/3PTM in the worst way, but the rest of his stats are so empty to rank him higher, even with the Pts/3s upside.
Slim’s Projection:
$1 Gary Harris, DEN (22) SG Expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a groin strain, likely having him miss the first few weeks of the season. I just HATE this for younger guys. Blah
Slim’s Projection: .465/.820/1.7/14.0/3.3/2.1/1.5/0.3/1.4 :32
  1. Dante Green says:
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    Nurkic: 18/14/2/4/1

    Sweet Jesus.

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Dante Green: The TOs were a few too many but how about 2 games in a row with high volume good FT%. He’s so good, one of my top 5 must watch players.

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Dante Green: Jokic had a nice game too but absolutely did what I’ve been arguing. 8/10/3/4/1. When he plays next to Nurkic his USG plummets.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Dante Green: @Slim: Hah the Nurk hype train, which we started before preseason, is now gonna start catching up to us… Slim, that’s still great for Joke! And I think we trust his minutes and health more

        • Slim

          Slim says:
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          @JB Gilpin: Yeah i know. I just dont trust his stats as much as Nurk. And yeah solid game for Jokic (steals for both were a product of it being the Lakers). But that isnt close to top 30 type of production (aka Goose). It came on 3/9 shooting, no 3s, and 2 TOs too so it wasnt without its issues too.

        • Dante Green says:
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          @Slim: @JB Gilpin:

          Hah. I just hope Nurk plays more minutes than Faried! That’s all I’m asking for!

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
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            @Dante Green: If somehow Faried isn’t traded, then by the end of the year I def expect so!

  2. Dante Green says:
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    Not a great way to start my campaign with Hayward in the sidelines. Dude is going to miss about 6 weeks, and that’s like the first 3 weeks of the season. I checked my first three opponents and fortunately they aren’t the top dogs of the league. I’m not at all worried, BUT STILL, I would’ve liked to start the season on fire. I know it’s not alwaysabout how you start the season, but how you end it but you know exactly how fucked up I really was in the beginning of the 2015-16 season. Good thing as the commissioner, I included the IR Slot.

    There’s no way I could find someone from the wire who can put up numbers like Hayward’s–19/5/3.7/1.2/0.3 with 1.8 treys a game, but I think Josh is ready to start of the season so I’m going to try to get him. And by the way, I dropped Capela and claimed Saric. Hah

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Dante Green: Yeah it’s a tough break. Left finger though makes me think he’ll be 100% full speed when he gets back. At least it isn’t a leg. My REL team is struggling… Hayward, Adams, Reggie, Gary Harris, Beverley, Josh Richardson, Tucker, Burks. That’s legit half my team is currently injured.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Dante Green: @Slim: Ugh yeah that one sucks. Gotta do a little jostling in the ranks. Hah I remember your injury issues last year… Yeesh Slim. Of course we play week 16, so you’ll be healthy by then and I’ll be battered up haha

        • Slim

          Slim says:
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          @JB Gilpin: This doesnt move Hayward for me. Certainly still top50.

        • Dante Green says:
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          @Slim: @JB Gilpin:

          Hah yea! Favors, Gobert, Lillard all missed quite a number of games. Jesus, I cringe everytime it crosses my mind

          And isn’t Hayward teammates with Favors and Gobert?? God, them Utah boys do love gettin injured!!

          Damn Slim, you’re team’s pretty beat up

          • Slim

            Slim says:
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            @Dante Green: My injuries are going to effect my keepers. I can’t start the year with 8/17 guys injured or I’ll fall too far behind.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Slim: @Dante Green: @Slim: Meh, maybe right to 50ish. I don’t have the Hayward boner you do Slim 🙂 Yeah in a 20 teamer with 6 playoff spots, you can’t afford a bad month

  3. Slim

    Slim says:
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    Blurbs I disagree with…

    Josh Richardson doesn’t need the offseason at all, he looked NBA ready in summer league, and kids his age tend to heal quick, hell they already think he may be ready to open the season. Preseason doesn’t matter for a guy who isn’t a project.

    Tyson Chandler and useable in the same sentence doesn’t make sense…

    Courtney Lee tops out at 1 3 and 1 stl. That makes both low end for wing and he does nothing else. Virtually unownable in 12ers. Maybe a streamer at best. I’d take Bogdanovic over Lee and I don’t like his game at all. Obviously I’m not worried about Gary Harris since those young guys heal faster than old guys and everything sounds like he’ll barely miss time if at all.

    Obviously I’m not buying Matt Barnes nearly across the boards career year at 35 years old. If he was available in a 12er I wouldn’t be looking to add him.

    I’m not dropping Reggie NEARLY that low. Maybe 60s/70s in a snake. I’d put him in the Lin/Hill tier at worst. Ish at the same price as Reggie is a bit absurd. I know you’re worried about tendenitis (aka soreness and probably some swelling that just gets iced) but I’d be far more worried about a guy needing or coming off surgery.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Slim: J-Rich – huh? I thought we agreed on this that we didn’t like offseason injury for him… I don’t think he’s a project, but he isn’t proven over a whole season at all.

      Chandler – hah

      Lee – Sure, but a better one. Barely in my draftable range. When I did the re-ranks, the timetable wasn’t pushed up. Might move him back up a few more.

      Barnes – We get it, you hate old people!

      Reggie – I’m worried since it seems nebulous. Like “we’re not entirely sure” approach scares me

      • Slim

        Slim says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Nah. Richardson knows the offense and had a healthy offseason before this. Its not like he had surgery and missed the whole thing. His basketball IQ has me not worried about production.

        Lee is better for really deep leagues since there is virtually zero upside.

        I know you’re worried about Reggie but after that Lin/Hill tier there are almost no more season long PGs.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Slim: I still have some concerns, what if he doesn’t feel right? Will it mess with that fluky high 3pt%?

          Hah well R-Jax isn’t a season long PG now!

          • Slim

            Slim says:
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            @JB Gilpin: By season long I meant someone who will be still usable in the playoffs.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Slim: I buy that, but it’s still a risk given it’s kinda a wait-n-see

  4. Travis says:
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    How does a person adjust auction values based on league structure? For example, I’m in a 20 team auction league with 8 roster spots (+ an IR slot). 5 players start in this league, one player at each position.

    So, the player pool will 160 players. Is this pretty standard? Would these auction values translate to my league, or would I need to adjust them in some way?

    Thanks in advance.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Travis: Yeah 160 is about the same, I think this translates pretty well. I did this for RCL leagues, so 12 teams with 13 roster spots, so 156 players and I made it add up to $2400 (12 teams at $200 budget). I might push up the values on the top 5 guys a tad, because having a stable rock in a league that deep will mean more.

  5. Mike says:
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    How would you draft for the fantrax H2H leagues? There no points for FG%, FT%, or 3’s. Points are 1. Asts are 1.5, Rebs are 1.25, Blocks are 2, Steals are 2, and Turnovers are -1 pt

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Mike: Interesting. FT punt guys go THROUGH THE ROOF. Drummond would be unreal in that league. Westbrook would be my #1 no question. Not much of a TO penalty. If anyone I rank is low TO/high 3ptm guys, they all go way down. Thinking like Jae Crowder goes down a ton. Klay Thompson is super blah.

      • Slim

        Slim says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Nurkic DESTROYS Jokic in these settings.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Mike: @Slim: Hah no disagreement there

  6. JoeMorgan'sMustache says:
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    JB been enjoying content my man and I have a keeper question for you. 14 teams we keep 2-5 $5 yearly inflation. Right now my for sure 4 are AD $40, Dray $24, Hood $12, and KP $7. Not sure I will keep a 5th as my options aren’t too exciting. So, this one guy wants AD…I love the guy but we all the injury history. He is offering Lopez $25/dragic $22/Booker $5. I am intrigued because i love Booker at that cost in this keeper…I think he is going to turn into a stud. Lopez and Dragic costs are good and I like them both. But man we have seen AD upside and $40 is still well below market. So I am a bit torn as a part of my wants to hold other part really wants that package with Booker. FWIW the costs of players in draft are a bit crazy at times due to the supply and demand factor.

    So, do I take this deal or hold? If I take my keepers are then Lopez $25, Dray $24, dragic $22, Hood $12, and Booker $5. Thanks man!

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @JoeMorgan’sMustache: If this trade means you aren’t keeping Goose then I hate the trade. Porzingis, at his price, is your top keeper, and WAYYYYY better than Hood at $12. I like the top 4 keepers much better. The other issue is that Booker and Hood are redundant. Both are basically just scoring and 3s with low defensive stats. I might like the 2nd group if Goose was kept instead of Hood but if that’s the case then why even make the trade. Nah, I’m way off this trade.

      • JoeMorgan'sMustache says:
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        @Slim:

        Thanks I messed up on second set if trade was done as I would have prob kept Booker instead of hood and KP should have been in there instead. He’s def my best asset due to his tremendous ceiling and low cost. I ended up not taking the deal. Appreciate the feedback.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @JoeMorgan’sMustache: @Slim: @JoeMorgan’sMustache: Thanks man, good to see ya again! Sorry for slow comments, I’m without power right now and squeezing em in at work haha.

          Yeah there’s no way you can give up on Goose at $7. No way at all. Oh I gotcha now though. Cool yeah I like the deal if you’re all in on Booker, plus it saves you money at draft day. I think it looks good with KP there instead of Hood, nice set of depth and upside with money for draft day

  7. Thejohn says:
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    I have a redraft league… can keep 3 (19 team roto 200$ budget)

    1. Durant 83
    2. Gobert 31
    3. Dieng 20
    4. Bledsoe 32
    5. Ellis 10
    6. Rhj 13

    Plannin to keep gobert dieng bledsoe… will hav 127 left… who should i aim to build a team arnd??

    Thanks!

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Thejohn: Those 3 are a good start. 1st I’d look for another PG. Preferably someone with high 3s. Steals aren’t as important since those 3 are all solid. Scoring would be another target with the 3s, and 6+ assists. A high volume FT shooter is going to be important at some point to offset Gobert, he should be better but I don’t think he’s going to be good.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Thejohn: @Slim: Yup those would be my 3 as well. I was thinking 3ptm as a need as well, and one that scores. Hah Slim and I thinking the same here. So like Lowry would be AWESOME

  8. nont nontiskul says:
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    1. (38) Myles Turner (Ind – PF,C) $22
    2. (50) Nikola Mirotic (Chi – SF,PF) $12
    3. (54) Isaiah Thomas (Bos – PG) $30
    4. (66) D’Angelo Russell (LAL – PG) $17
    5. (68) Evan Fournier (Orl – SG,SF) $24
    6. (72) Aaron Gordon (Orl – SF,PF) $17
    7. (81) Chandler Parsons (Mem – SF,PF) $27
    8. (92) Marcus Smart (Bos – PG) $8
    9. (94) Jeremy Lin (Bkn – PG,SG) $15
    10. (111) Kelly Olynyk (Bos – C) $1
    11. (129) Andrew Bogut (Dal – C) $6
    12. (131) Mason Plumlee (Por – PF,C) $7
    13. (145) Zaza Pachulia (GS – C) $14

    Hi, Jb
    i’m in the same re-draft league 18 deep roto, as the guy above we can keep 3 players
    who should I keep ? I am thinking fournier, russell, Thomas or Parson
    If I keep them which big man should I target ?

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @nont nontiskul: Russell for sure. Thomas is probably #2. I’ll go Myles Turner #3. Price tag isn’t too high and he fits the best next to 2 PGs. Thomas is a smidge expensive but it’s not out of hand.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @nont nontiskul: @Slim: Mannnnn that’s a lot of close options to think about. Agree Russell at $17 is a lock. I dunno about Thomas… I honestly like Gordon. Wait, so it’s keep 3 every year right? just being sure since you said “redraft league”. So I like Gordon’s age. Damn yeah I’m struggling, but I think Turner 3rd as well for the blocks

  9. Marshall says:
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    Hey guys,
    What about these news of Thibodeau loving Bjelica?! I know it’s still early but we have seen this story before…
    If Bjelica keeps playing more minutes than Dieng in the preseason, is it something to worry about?

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Marshall: Yeah it makes sense for Bjelica to run with the 2s for some extra offense. The lack of Dieng playing center is a bit concerning too. I don’t think we can assume 36 for Gorgui but he should still be able to pass 30 minutes. So yeah this worries me a bit, but then again I think of him more in the 50s than JBs 30-something rank so I’m already a bit “low” on him.

      • Marshall says:
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        @Slim: I think he just needs those 30 minutes to be top 40, I took him 45 in my last draft and I am hoping he can match that…The thing is centers with good FT and blocks dry up so fast in a draft !!

      • Lasandro says:
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        @Marshall @slim: then be sure to draft Nurk! And yes, equally concerned about that twat Nemanja endearing himself to get another coach. Starting to feel a guy like Jokic may be a safer bet, particularly in roto. But Nurk man.. I’m all in. @jb gilpin: think Dieng is able to produce top 40 value in 30min, because it’s sounding like that’s the PT he’ll be facing (damn)?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Slim: @Marshall: @Lasandro: Thing is, through games 14-82 when Dieng played big minutes, Dieng finished 24th in per-game last year, in only 28:30 MPG! Barely started half of those too. Yes, it’s metrics-friendly, but whatever. 30+ MPG and he easily gets to my rank.

          I’m not too worried about Bjelica, I think he’s gonna struggle against good PF on D (Tibby loves D), which will keep him 2nd unit

        • Lasandro says:
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          @Slim @Marshall: I get your point completely @JB Gilpin. But yet another preseason game in which Thibbs is testing out game-time rotations, and yet another game in which Bjelica plays more. I’m not liking this for a season-long outlook. I’m sure Dieng will find his way closer to 30min per when all’s said and done, but drafting him so high over sure-bet bigs like Gobert and Jokic (and Nurk, IMO) is looking less likely for me. Particularly if Steiffel keeps hitting them freebies!

          If I’m looking for a boring metrics-whorey C to make up some low end Gorgui stats, I’ll draft JVal or RoLo, further down. This saddens me because I told Gorgui IN PERSON that I’d be drafting him! *siiiigh* I really thought Thibbs would look at him and love his low post hustle a la Taj. But hey, Taj has always played those bench-type mins, so perhaps he’s liking that kinda role for Gorgui based on matchups. Me no likey..

          Also, did I mention Nurk? He’s great.

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
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            @Lasandro: Well, “testing out” is different to me than seeing something to worry about. Dieng vs. Gobert I have close, I still don’t think Joke or Nurk are in that range yet, there’s still concern over the Nugs minutes too! Preseason is causing lots of overreactions, all I’m sayin!

          • Lasandro says:
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            @JB Gilpin: Preseason’s got me freakin out maaaaan!

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Lasandro: Hah still two weeks of meaningless games to go, don’t let it get to ya!

  10. Nont Nontiskul says:
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    Hi jb, is it worth trading away white side for brolo+fournier in 18 deep roto

    Team

    Guard. Isiah Thomas. Derozan. Lin
    Wing. Mirotic. Covington
    Bigs. Mason plumlee. Mozgov. White side
    utl. Elfrid. Amir Johnson

    Thanks

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Nont Nontiskul: I’d hold. It isn’t a bad offer but Whiteside is going to be a monster this year. I do however agree that another 3pt shooter wouldn’t be a bad thing. But it’s not worth losing Whiteside for, we can find one with losing a far lesser player, *cough* Mozgov *cough*.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Nont Nontiskul: @Slim: Yeah I’m holding as well. Love you bigs with Whiteside, I think they’re a little iffy without him. Especially with Whieside making FT now, helps him A TON in roto

  11. KAT says:
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    Nurkic is killin in pre-season,what a beast,his ranking should bump up a lot

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @KAT: I’m not sure how much more to bump him up. We’re already about 50 picks higher than anyone else on fantasy pros. People are concerned about his knee, I’m not, and people think his minutes are going to be restricted, I don’t. In the 60s seems completely reasonable and should nab him EASILY in any non-RCL. In an RCL, against fellow razzball readers, goodluck.

    • Lasandro says:
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      @Slim: please explain why you only have him ranked where you do if you truly think he’s gonna be healthy and get all those mins? Makes no sense to me. He’s obviously a walking dub dub with good blocks and decent C-assists, who hits his FTs and won’t kill you in %s. Forget your comparisons in fantasy pros – shouldn’t this guy be inside your top 50 on a per game basis? I’m likely reaching for him in even my shallow roto L, just to watch him play if anything else!

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @KAT: @Slim: @Lasandro: If ranks were a grade of pure talent, he def would keep moving up! But minutes and injury risk have to keep the hype in check. Plus what Slim said, we’re already nuts for him, according to the industry: https://www.fantasypros.com/nba/players/jusuf-nurkic.php

        Slim, when I say “minutes restricted” I don’t think like 20 MPG, but no way does he play 30 MPG pre-ASB.

        Las – for me, lower minutes than what Slim expects, plus still injury risk

      • Lasandro says:
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        @JB Gilpin @Slim: I did it for BroLo and I’m doing it this year for the big-bootied Bosnian: I think he’s in for a healthy season. I don’t think we can underestimate the benefits of a 7 footer spending an entire offseason getting in shape and consequently losing 35 pounds of weight. I, too, think that he’ll likely not eclipse the 30min+ mark, but, as you and @Slim rightfully point out, he doesn’t need all that to be a fantasy stud. Take his skillset and “injury risk” out of the equation – if I’ve learned one thing from the preseason games I’ve watched, it’s that he is absolutely the alpha on the floor. Gallo knows it. Mudiay knows it. Barton. Jokic sure as hell knows it. He’s a usage monster and plays extremely big on D. I’m a believer (and a Belieber), and I’ll be drafting him accordingly, even in my shallow Ls.

        The last time I felt this excited about someone in the preseason was when I drafted Jimmy B a couple of seasons ago when he exploded as a #1 option with the Bulls. As I point out in my comment above, I may be end up drafting nurk over Dieng, based on his role and watch-ability, alone.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Lasandro: Well Brolo, which you mentioned before, was off that foot thing with the high rate of success. Nurk has had back, ankle, and a serious knee thing. A little scarier than ol clownfoot.

          Watchability isn’t something to throw out though, which I know some fantasy “experts” say. If you enjoy watching your teams, it means you maintain them better, making you a better owner. So go with who gets you goin’ in the morning my man!

          • Slim

            Slim says:
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            @JB Gilpin: I couldn’t disagree more about Nurk vs Clownfoot injury history. I can’t find anything about a Nurkic back injury, and the only ankle I can find he didn’t even miss a game. The knee is 17 months removed from surgery and didn’t have any setbacks over the offseason in which he worked it extremely hard. I’m with Las on Nurkic injury history, a long rehab from one surgery has greatly skewed peoples opinion of his sustainability.

        • Lasandro says:
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          @JB Gilpin: That’d be Salma Hayek or Monica Belluci… wow. It’s like choosing between Gorgui and Jokic!

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
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            @Slim: @Lasandro: Wasn’t there a game where he had to be wheeled out on a wheelchair? I did find knee lingering things in Feb and March last year. That’s still recent enough to have some concern. If he had come back and not missed games last year, I would be with you.

            Haha I’ll go Belluci! As long as that = Dieng

  12. Wook says:
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    Nurkic: 21/16/3/0/0

    9/12 FTs.

    He is potential top 50.

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @Wook: 6-10 FGs too… Absolutely dominated Mozzy. Yeah I doubt Nurkic makes it even into the 70s now in an RCL. I know people are concerned about his minutes but 24, 27, and now 32 min in preseason has me think there isn’t going to be any kind of minutes restriction. His only injury that I know of was his knee and he’s something like 17 months from the surgery. I’m running out of things to say about him…

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Wook: @Slim: Absolutely potential top 50! Ranking him at 64, for a guy young with upside, means that’s easily within the upside range.

        Well, preseason games are more spread out, with a nice week break before the season. I dunno if they play him that kind of run once we’re in the grind of the reg season

  13. Lior says:
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    Hey JB, just had the commenters REL draft last night. I think I did well! Had $75 and 4 open roster spots.
    I got:
    Blake Griffin for $35
    Allen Crabbe for $6
    Wilson Chandler for $6
    Nemanja Bjelica for $6

    I really didn’t plan on the latter 3 but I couldn’t believe the value for Griffin! Unfortunately, I had $28 left for one guy and there was no one particularly good left. I wanted to grab a rookie but there’s no point of overpaying for a young guy and then not keeping him.
    Anyway, with my team build, I now have some money t trade for a star. Unfortunately, most of my potential trades involve *me* being the one to give up he highest valued guy.
    I ahve a trade offer of my Jimmy Butler ($44) and Tobias Harris ($23) for DeMarcus ($57) and Joakim Noah ($3). Not sure if it’s worth the risk. Thoughts on that offer and my draft? Not sure if you remember my team, I can post it again if necessary.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Lior: Damn, that value for Griffin! Yeah I’m with ya that’s insanity! The other 3 I think are pretty solid, not huge, but good depth. Mehhhhh yeah I’m passing on that deal, too much money in a risky Cousins for me.

      • Lior says:
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        @JB Gilpin: I feel ya on that one. I think I like Cousins more than you. My problem is more that Harris was really good last year, and I’d be giving up Jimmy on a solid deal. I’d rather wait and see if I can get a stud for a less expensive guy later on.
        Btw, did you catch the Jays game last night? Insanity!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Lior: Yeah I felt dirty drafting him in the RCL I nabbed him. Yeah Harris at 23 with his age is a great value. I didn’t man, I’m still without power from the hurricane! Living in the dark ages…

          • Lior says:
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            @JB Gilpin: Aw man, forgot you’re in NC. Can’t believe it hit you guys harder than it hit us. Stay safe, man!

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Lior: Got power back last night wooooo! Luckily it was only the power out, no damage or flooding in my neighborhood. Worst hurricane I’ve been in since Hugo when I was like 3, which I don’t remember haha

              • Slim

                Slim says:
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                @JB Gilpin: ’04 was absolutely bonkers here. Francis, Jean, Wilma. All Cat3 or greater when they hit and I got eye of both Francis and Jean. Then again I can barely remember it due to massive consumption of alcohol. There’s a picture that was real popluar from back then, let me see if I can find it… I can’t find it. It was a shot of the atlantic ocean and super mario was standing on africa throwin fireballs at us. Something like this but with Mario.

                http://www.trbimg.com/img-57449e78/turbine/os-hg-hurricane-websites-apps-20160518

                • Slim

                  Slim says:
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                  @Slim: oh wait. that might be Ivan, not Wilma.

                  • JB Gilpin

                    JB Gilpin says:
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                    @Slim: Haha well glad you don’t remember it too bad!

  14. Bryce Krispie Treats says:
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    In a non-%’s league, how high do you go on Drummond and Jordan?

    Any other guys that stick out to you in non-% leagues?

    • Bryce Krispie Treats says:
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      @Bryce Krispie Treats:

      Disregard that last question… i have already asked you that one haha

  15. Zinger says:
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    I’m trying to get De’Angelo in a 9cat h2h keeper league…
    Thinking about trading Kemba/Demarre for his De’Angelo/Fournier
    Is that too much for De’Angelo? Or not enough.. maybe switch out Fournier for Marvin Williams?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Zinger: Def not trading much more than that. I think it’s a solid, even offer in a keeper. Kemba is still young and best in the deal right now, so I think it’s about right. You get a little younger and more upside

      • Zinger says:
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        @JB Gilpin: The upside is so sexy! But from what you’re saying switching Fournier for Marvin Williams would be too much huh

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Zinger: Agree, a huge season could be coming! But yeah, only getting Marvin back with D Russell would be giving up too much for me

          • Zinger says:
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            @JB Gilpin: Btw here is what I ended up with:
            Harden
            Porzingis
            Kemba
            Dipo
            Horford
            George Hill
            Rodney Hood
            Demarre Caroll
            Joakim Noah
            Taj Gibson
            Winslow
            Seth Curry
            Ish Smith

            It seems my bigs are a little iffy…someone is interested in my George Hill (hes short on PGs), only comparable big he has for a 1 for 1 is Greg Monroe. Do you think its worth it? He also has LMA, but I’ll probably need to offer a lot more for LMA.

            Thanks as always!

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Zinger: Damn, love this punt FG build! Russell would fit it too… Yeah you could use a little more depth up front, and Hill isn’t as FG-punty as your other guards. Hill + Carroll for Aldridge and see if it opens a discussion?

              • Zinger says:
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                @JB Gilpin: Hmm.. I was hoping to save my FG by getting Horford and Hill but taking a second look I realized the rest of my players have terrible FG% lol

                He won’t give up LMA unless I offer Kemba, so that’s a no go.
                I did sent out a trade Ryno for my Hill, the guy is short on PGs. I think it’s a pretty fair trade.

                • Zinger says:
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                  @Zinger: Scratch that Ryno trade, got rejected right away lol.

                  I probably should just stick to what I have for now and stream bigs if needed.

                  What are your thoughts on Winslow and Seth? Both instantly droppable for a hot FA right?

                  • Slim

                    Slim says:
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                    @Zinger: Yeah I think so. Seth goes 1st just because Winslows minutes are guaranteed.

                    • JB Gilpin

                      JB Gilpin says:
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                      @Zinger: @Slim: Yeah def not doing an Aldridge offer then… Sounds good to stand pat, see how the first few weeks pan out.

                      Seth for sure. Winslow I like this year, unless he’s not taking steps forward in aggression and D stats, I wouldn’t be cutting him early

  16. MJC says:
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    Man D Barksdale is lighting it up in pre season! Excited to see the reigns off this guy!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @MJC: Hah yeah, cmon Avon, let D Barksdale run the show! I’m excited too, I think I have him ranked pretty favorably, I do worry about FG slumps and TO. But the role is there for him!

  17. NYFantaC says:
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    . what is your ideal draft spot on a 14-team league.? If you could pick one, .. With a keeper round..Snake draft.. H2H

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @NYFantaC: Probably 4 or 5. You get the last of the big 4 or Towns at 5. Then a better pick on the swingback

    • Slim

      Slim says:
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      @NYFantaC: I’ll go top 6. Giannis has leapfrogged them all and Giannis vs KAT is razor thin for me sans Middleton.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @NYFantaC: @Slim: I still like Brow 6. CP3 vs. Giannis is razor razor close. I might flip flop those next update

  18. Sam says:
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    Hey JB!
    With 2 days to go before my draft, the commissioner has totally changed the layout of the league to a points system:
    -1 point= TO/fga/fta
    1 point = reb/blocks/fgm/ftm
    1.5 points = steal/assists
    7 points = DDs
    15 points = TDs
    This is my first points league and I was wondering looking at those points if you could suggest some players who you think get a boost in rankings that i could maybe target?
    Cheers mate! Love ya work!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Sam: Ewwww that’s annoying! Did everyone agree on that I hope? I will admit, I’m not as versed on Pts leagues anymore. Let’s see, no points for 3s? So no need to go after shooters, since they will miss more shots too. Do it all big men get boosts here. Noah. Guys who will get DD a lot. Julius Randle gets a big boost. Zach Randolph still. I’d be going big heavy in this format

  19. Mcgruber says:
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    in a 14 team league dynasty league… with a $200 auction budget… is $30 too much to keep Ryan Anderson?

    • Mcgruber says:
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      @Mcgruber:

      Also is Mirotic a must keep at $11?

      • Mcgruber says:
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        @Mcgruber:

        Last one… Nikola Vucevic at $30?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Mcgruber: Yeah I think so. Much rather have Vuc at $30, but honestly might throw both back. I don’t think Miro is a “must keep” but I likely would. I think him and Vuc for $41 is a nice little combo

          • Mcgruber says:
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            @JB Gilpin:

            Thanks!

  20. RicoSuave says:
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    Great Stuff JB,

    Where do I find the Playoff schedule? Last year I drafted my team and targeted players based on that schedule and was the best thing ever… Is it out yet? or when is it coming?

    Thanks and looking forward for a great season!

    Cheers

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @RicoSuave: Thanks man! Just got you on the update this morning, will be up tomo morning as the lead 🙂

  21. Phil says:
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    Just drafted a Punt FT% team.

    1 Whiteside C
    2 Wall PG
    3 Brook C
    4 Deandre C
    5 Fournier (probably a reach looking back, he’s ranked pretty high on yahoo) SG/SF
    6 Parsons SF/PF
    7 Knight PG/SG
    8 Payton (picked him over Wade, not sure if I made the right move but needed assists?) PG
    9 Redick SG (missed out on Capela right before this pick)
    10 Noah C
    11 Mason Plumlee C
    12 Buddy SG
    13 Barton SG/SF

    PG’s were gone after Payton so I tried so go out of position assists with Parsons/Noah/Plumlee. I feel like steals are super weak but I went hard (maybe too hard) at getting 3 point shooters with a punt FT team . The reddck pick was because he has high FG% and hits a lot of threes I tried not to go with too many bad FG% guys.

    What do you think? Any advice? I feel like I did solid up to Payton but after that I’m not too sure.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Phil: Damn, I dunno if you even had to punt FT here! DJ in the 4th is too good of value though… But I actually think you’ll win it 25-30% of weeks. Redick def fits well. I love the Payton pick for you, you desperately needed the assists, and I have payton ranked higher. I think you did fine at the end, I def would look for another PG off the wire. Ish and Frazier get drafted?

  22. Tony says:
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    Does Slim have a downloadable Excel file of all his projections? I’d like to take his as a starting point and rearrange however I need to

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Tony: We do a sortable spreadsheet on the site every year, likely up early next week. Sorry for the delay on that!

      • Tony says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Can you ask him to email me? I have a draft tomorrow, and Slim always gets me started

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Tony: We work off a google doc, it’s not very fancy, not sure we can get you something in time!

          • Tony says:
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            @JB Gilpin: Here’s the team:
            All in Balls out
            1. (5) Karl-Anthony Towns (Min – C)
            2. (20) Kyle Lowry (Tor – PG)
            3. (29) DeAndre Jordan (LAC – C)
            4. (44) Gorgui Dieng (Min – PF,C)
            5. (53) Aaron Gordon (Orl – SF,PF)
            6. (68) Chandler Parsons (Mem – SF,PF)
            7. (77) Dennis Schroder (Atl – PG)
            8. (92) Clint Capela (Hou – PF,C)
            9. (101) Elfrid Payton (Orl – PG)
            10. (116) Matt Barnes (Sac – SG,SF)
            11. (125) Luol Deng (LAL – SF,PF)
            12. (140) Emmanuel Mudiay (Den – PG)
            13. (149) Marcus Morris (Det – SF,PF)
            Any tips? Obviously punting FT for boards, FG% and blocks

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Tony: Awesome team name! Love the values for Elfrid and Schroder, Mudiay as well. Can’t believe the PG depth you were able to put together so late! Love Morris with your last pick as I think scoring is your achilles heel. Honestly, I think you might be a little overkill in boards and blocks, if DJ starts mad hot, I might try to flip him for an efficient scorer and it would probably fix a lot of your FT too

              • Tony says:
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                @JB Gilpin: In H2H, overboard is good right? I’ve done enough mocks to know where those guys go.

                • JB Gilpin

                  JB Gilpin says:
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                  @Tony: Sure, but at some point you’re giving away an opportunity. If you’re winning by 30 blocks and 150 rebounds every week, but barely losing FT% and Pts, it’s worth it to try and make a deal

  23. Everybody Loves Draymond says:
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    JB,

    I won last year fantasy basketball with your stuff. Know you best from Monday fantasy baseball pitching column. Just finished my basketball draft. I spent early and often this year, What do you think, and what should I be looking for early on the waiver wire? I spent $175 on paul millsap wall and green, so had to go from there

    PG- Chris Paul
    SG- Lou Williams
    G- John Wall
    SF- Parsons
    PF- Millsap
    F- Draymond
    C- Bismack
    UTIL- Evan Turner
    BN-Al Jefferson
    BN-Amir Johnson
    BN-MCW
    BN-Taj
    BN-Mahinmi
    BN-Stan Jo

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Everybody Loves Draymond: Thanks man, really appreicate that and glad we helped! Appreciate ya reading my baseball stuff too 🙂

      Def a stars and scrubs team, but that’s my strategy too! Killed it in AST. Your scoring is wayyyyyyy low though. I think your 3s are OK, could use a smidge more in blk and reb. I’d look for scoring bigs on the wire, or maybe float some buy lows for like Zach Randolph. If you can add a scoring big to the fold I think you’ll be golden!

  24. DORIAN says:
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    Embiid!!!! Guy looks more and more like the type of rookie of the year talent we thought he’d be. I can keep him for $7 just to lock up that potential in my keeper league, and I think i’ve got to pull the trigger. Put him on the board!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @DORIAN: Hah yeah you’re def keeping Embiid at that price in a keeper 🙂 In redraft, I’m tempering expectation, but if he gets through this year healthy, he could easily push to that 50ish overall range next year!

      • DORIAN says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        Agreed. I’m seeing tons of keeper questions on here, ever think about putting out a ranking/auction value list for keeper leagues? ( adjusting values upwards or downwards based on value trajectory/potential)

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @DORIAN: Hmmmm I hadn’t this year, but I got really crunched for time this offseason prep with a lot of busy weekends and now no power, its been a struggle! We’ll be sure to put that on our radar next year 🙂

          • DORIAN says:
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            @JB Gilpin:

            No worries, just a suggestion.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @DORIAN: This whole side of Razzball has been completely built up on suggestions and comments 🙂

  25. Tony Montana says:
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    Hey JB,
    Standard keeper league just converted to auction league, so I’ve been working to ship off high-salary stars for low-salary up-and-comers in hopes of maximizing potential for profit.

    Standard cat, H2H, $300 auction budget, keep 7 with salaries increasing by $4 each year:

    A Davis ($69), Whiteside ($32), Drummond ($23), Conley ($13), Rubio ($8), Clarkson ($7), M Turner ($5), Nurkic ($5), A Gordon ($4), Fournier ($4), Jokic ($4), D Booker ($4).

    Leaning toward Whiteside, Drummond, Rubio, Nurkic, Jokic, Fournier, Booker, leaving me with $220 for the auction. That said, I don’t have the build of true FT punt team, so as much as it pains me, maybe Drummond isn’t an ideal fit with these guys?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Tony Montana: Damn that’s a big change! But I love me the auction keepers! Ugh, yeah Drummond isn’t a great fit at all, especially next to Whiteside and his new FT acumen. Def with you on Whiteside, Rubio, Nurk, Joke, Fournier. Booker, mannnnn he’s so young with upside and you need scoring, but $5 Turner and $4 Gordon are just as sexy to me. I honestly think I’d take Turner and Gordon and use your immense budget buying vet scorers around the young stat stuffers

      • Tony Montana says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Thanks, JB! I built my team around what are now high-priced studs I couldn’t keep so I was hesitant to agree to the change, but after league discussion, I’m all aboard.

        I thought about keeping Turner and Gordon over Booker too , since he’s a little ThrAGNF-y but thought that might be overkill on the big man stats since then 5 out of 7 keepers would be bigs. Working on trying to pry a $22 Irving away, so I might be coming back to you if anything comes of that! But otherwise, yeah, I think my focus would be on scoring and G stats in the auction.

        Really appreciate your input and love the site. Can’t remember how I stumbled across it a couple years back but it’s been my go-to for baseball, basketball, and football ever since (and if I were a hockey/soccer/golf guy, it’d be my go-to there as well)!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Tony Montana: Yeah you have some great youth at good values, I like the change too seeing those keepers! Cool, yeah let me know! Good thing with your keepers is you have sooooo much budget to fill the guards.

          Hah well glad you found us man! Appreciate that!

  26. Bobby says:
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    Hey JB,

    This is super helpful list. I am in the final year of my keeper league where we are allowed to keep 4 players. I am going to keep Durant, Towns, Draymond Green and Porzingis for a total of $93, so I will have $107 left for the draft.

    Any suggestions on who I should target in the draft / what type of team I should be trying to build? Draft values will be inflated since a lot of people will have big auction budgets given their keepers, so I probably won’t have a realistic shot at drafting any first/second round names (I do have Paul on my team so he will definitely be available).

    The league scoring is 9 category head-to-head so turnovers count.

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Bobby: Awesome, glad it’s useful! Damnnnnn those are some good values haha. Gotcha, so you’re def looking for rebounds. You slaughter blocks, have boards, scoring, and a few assists brought in. I might not fully “punt” AST, but get guys with low-ish TO that also get steals. Teague comes to mind. Monta Ellis. Guys like that. Win AST here and there, but mostly get your steals up and don’t hurt your pretty low TO rate. Hope that helps!

      • Bobby says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Thanks! I’m also thinking of trying to get Conley, who seems to fit in the category of Teague/Ellis.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Bobby: Yup exactly! those kinda guys

          • Bobby says:
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            @JB Gilpin: Do you think there’s any value in trying to make a run at 3s as well given they are all decent in that category too for forwards?

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Bobby: Sure thing! I mean, you’re kinda pretty solid in 3s as well, so it’s not a major need with the rest of your picks, but those we talked about do fit

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