Another fantasy season is upon us and with drafts slowly but surely starting, it is time for my top155 roto projections, proudly presented for the 9th straight year. Some final adjustments have been made based on the findings from the review of last year’s projections and I’m more confident in them than Ben Simmons landing a starting role in today’s NBA.
As always, note that each player’s value presented is their per-game value, so some players will be higher than the position I would draft them, especially in H2H. Injury risk, games played and personal preference are not included, so use them as a baseline for your drafts, but do rearrange them based on your willingness to risk and team build. A good example of this is Kawhi Leonard, who I have ranked at no 8, but is obviously a huge risk to miss games due to his injury history and his tree planting side hustle. He still will be an excellent per-game player when he plays and this is reflected in his ranking, but we obviously don’t draft him 8th. If you are interested in finding out the method used to calculate the player values, check this previous article of mine. Without further ado, let’s check the projections before I mention some notable players that stand out.
PS: The ranking have been updated to reflect the Fred VanVleet injury and Al Horford signing with the Warriors
# | Name | Value | p/g | 3/g | r/g | a/g | s/g | b/g | fg% | fga/g | ft% | fta/g | to/g |
1 | Nikola Jokic | 0.989 | 28.9 | 1.9 | 12.3 | 9.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 58 | 19 | 81 | 6.1 | 3.3 |
2 | Shai Gilgeous | 0.787 | 31.4 | 1.9 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 52 | 21.1 | 88 | 8.6 | 2.3 |
3 | Victor Wembanyama | 0.732 | 24.6 | 2.9 | 11.3 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 3.6 | 48 | 18.9 | 83 | 4.3 | 3.3 |
4 | Anthony Davis | 0.457 | 23.7 | 0.6 | 10.6 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 52 | 17.3 | 78 | 6.5 | 2.2 |
5 | Luka Doncic | 0.410 | 30.1 | 3.7 | 8.4 | 8.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 46 | 21.7 | 78 | 8.2 | 3.8 |
6 | Tyrese Maxey | 0.330 | 27.1 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 45 | 21.3 | 87 | 5.4 | 2.3 |
7 | Karl-Anthony Towns | 0.297 | 22.4 | 1.9 | 10.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 52 | 15.6 | 85 | 5 | 2.6 |
8 | Kawhi Leonard | 0.292 | 21.3 | 2.0 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 51 | 16.3 | 84 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
9 | Evan Mobley | 0.288 | 19.1 | 1.3 | 9.6 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 56 | 13.1 | 72 | 4.4 | 2.1 |
10 | Kevin Durant | 0.286 | 25.5 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 53 | 17.5 | 85 | 5.4 | 3 |
11 | Anthony Edwards | 0.285 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 45 | 20.8 | 84 | 6.5 | 3.1 |
12 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | 0.283 | 31.8 | 0.4 | 11.6 | 6.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 60 | 20.5 | 63 | 10.8 | 3.3 |
13 | Devin Booker | 0.274 | 26.5 | 2.3 | 4.2 | 7.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 47 | 19.5 | 89 | 6.6 | 2.8 |
14 | Domantas Sabonis | 0.261 | 18.0 | 0.8 | 12.9 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 59 | 12.2 | 74 | 3.8 | 2.8 |
15 | Stephen Curry | 0.257 | 24.0 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 45 | 17.7 | 92 | 4.1 | 2.8 |
16 | Donovan Mitchell | 0.253 | 25.0 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 45 | 19 | 84 | 5.3 | 2.3 |
17 | LeBron James | 0.240 | 23.5 | 2.1 | 7.5 | 7.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 51 | 17.7 | 77 | 4.4 | 3.4 |
18 | Jalen Johnson | 0.220 | 18.2 | 1.3 | 9.3 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 51 | 14.2 | 74 | 3.3 | 2.5 |
19 | Jimmy Butler | 0.219 | 17.4 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 50 | 10.7 | 85 | 6.9 | 1.4 |
20 | Jalen Williams | 0.218 | 21.4 | 1.9 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 49 | 16.5 | 80 | 4.1 | 2.1 |
21 | Kristaps Porzingis | 0.215 | 19.2 | 2.4 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 49 | 13.3 | 83 | 4.5 | 1.4 |
22 | James Harden | 0.185 | 20.8 | 2.8 | 5.5 | 8.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 42 | 14.8 | 87 | 6.4 | 3.7 |
23 | Jamal Murray | 0.179 | 21.0 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 6.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 47 | 16.5 | 87 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
24 | Dyson Daniels | 0.177 | 13.9 | 1.2 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 49 | 11.8 | 62 | 1.9 | 2 |
25 | Cade Cunningham | 0.176 | 26.2 | 2.1 | 5.9 | 8.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 46 | 21.1 | 85 | 5.5 | 4.1 |
26 | Franz Wagner | 0.167 | 22.9 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 47 | 18.2 | 86 | 4.9 | 2.1 |
27 | Jalen Brunson | 0.163 | 25.4 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 7.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 49 | 18.1 | 83 | 6.6 | 2.4 |
28 | Jaren Jackson Jr | 0.160 | 22.9 | 2.2 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 48 | 16.9 | 79 | 5.7 | 2.2 |
29 | Amen Thompson | 0.157 | 15.1 | 0.6 | 8.5 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 53 | 11.1 | 69 | 3.9 | 2.2 |
30 | Derrick White | 0.154 | 17.4 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 45 | 13.6 | 86 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
31 | Chet Holmgren | 0.154 | 16.2 | 1.5 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 50 | 11.3 | 77 | 4.4 | 1.7 |
32 | Mark Williams | 0.148 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 10.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 61 | 9.2 | 78 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
33 | Scottie Barnes | 0.148 | 19.5 | 1.4 | 8.0 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 46 | 16 | 78 | 4.3 | 2.7 |
34 | LaMelo Ball | 0.139 | 25.4 | 3.8 | 5.3 | 7.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 42 | 20.8 | 85 | 4.8 | 3.5 |
35 | Tyler Herro | 0.137 | 23.5 | 3.2 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 46 | 18.1 | 87 | 4.2 | 2.5 |
36 | Bam Adebayo | 0.130 | 17.6 | 1.1 | 9.3 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 48 | 14.1 | 77 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
37 | Trae Young | 0.124 | 25.0 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 11.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 42 | 18.5 | 87 | 7.3 | 4.5 |
38 | Lauri Markkanen | 0.120 | 19.8 | 3.1 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 46 | 14.6 | 88 | 3.7 | 1.4 |
39 | Nikola Vucevic | 0.120 | 16.9 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 51 | 13.7 | 81 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
40 | Trey Murphy | 0.115 | 20.2 | 2.9 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 45 | 15.3 | 88 | 4 | 1.8 |
41 | Walker Kessler | 0.108 | 10.5 | 0.1 | 11.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 65 | 7 | 55 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
42 | De’Aaron Fox | 0.102 | 22.3 | 1.9 | 4.6 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 46 | 18 | 80 | 4.8 | 2.6 |
43 | Desmond Bane | 0.101 | 18.7 | 2.6 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 49 | 14.1 | 88 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
44 | Jarrett Allen | 0.099 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 9.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 68 | 7.7 | 73 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
45 | Josh Giddey | 0.096 | 16.3 | 1.6 | 8.3 | 7.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 46 | 13.2 | 78 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
46 | Ivica Zubac | 0.096 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 10.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 63 | 10 | 68 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
47 | Christian Braun | 0.088 | 16.5 | 1.3 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 55 | 11.6 | 82 | 3 | 1.3 |
48 | Zion Williamson | 0.087 | 25.7 | 0.1 | 7.4 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 57 | 17.6 | 68 | 8.2 | 2.9 |
49 | Pascal Siakam | 0.085 | 23.0 | 1.8 | 6.7 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 50 | 17.6 | 73 | 4.9 | 1.7 |
50 | Ja Morant | 0.078 | 24.7 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 46 | 18.6 | 82 | 6.8 | 3.5 |
51 | Miles Bridges | 0.071 | 20.1 | 2.2 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 45 | 16.4 | 86 | 3.7 | 2 |
52 | Jalen Duren | 0.067 | 13.2 | 0.0 | 10.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 67 | 8.2 | 69 | 3.2 | 1.9 |
53 | O.G.Anunoby | 0.062 | 17.1 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 48 | 13.3 | 79 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
54 | Austin Reaves | 0.059 | 18.2 | 2.4 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 47 | 12.8 | 87 | 4.3 | 2.2 |
55 | DeMar DeRozan | 0.056 | 21.3 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 48 | 16.3 | 86 | 5.4 | 1.3 |
56 | Jakob Poeltl | 0.044 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 63 | 9.4 | 63 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
57 | Cameron Johnson | 0.043 | 17.6 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 47 | 12.4 | 86 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
58 | Payton Pritchard | 0.040 | 16.6 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 46 | 13 | 84 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
59 | Isaiah Hartenstein | 0.033 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 9.7 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 59 | 8 | 69 | 2 | 1.5 |
60 | Josh Hart | 0.031 | 11.3 | 1.0 | 8.2 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 51 | 8.5 | 78 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
61 | Tari Eason | 0.028 | 12.6 | 1.3 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 48 | 10.2 | 74 | 2 | 1.3 |
62 | Rudy Gobert | 0.024 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 10.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 66 | 7 | 66 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
63 | Alperen Sengun | 0.017 | 19.1 | 0.4 | 10.2 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 50 | 14.8 | 69 | 5.6 | 2.6 |
64 | Kel’el Ware | 0.016 | 11.8 | 0.9 | 9.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 53 | 9.4 | 70 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
65 | Onyeka Okongwu | 0.015 | 12.4 | 0.5 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 58 | 8.5 | 77 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
66 | Jaylen Brown | 0.013 | 25.8 | 2.2 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 46 | 21.2 | 76 | 5.4 | 2.9 |
67 | Myles Turner | 0.012 | 16.8 | 2.4 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 48 | 12.1 | 77 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
68 | Darius Garland | 0.005 | 19.4 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 46 | 15.2 | 86 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
69 | Zach LaVine | 0.000 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 49 | 16.2 | 84 | 3.7 | 2.6 |
70 | Ausar Thompson | -0.001 | 11.9 | 0.5 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 52 | 9.2 | 65 | 2.8 | 1.7 |
71 | Michael Porter | -0.002 | 19.8 | 2.9 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 48 | 15.3 | 78 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
72 | Paul George | -0.004 | 16.3 | 2.2 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 45 | 13.5 | 84 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
73 | Deandre Ayton | -0.006 | 13.8 | 0.1 | 9.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 58 | 11 | 70 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
74 | Aaron Nesmith | -0.008 | 14.2 | 2.2 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 49 | 10.3 | 87 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
75 | Keegan Murray | -0.017 | 13.6 | 2.3 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 45 | 11.4 | 83 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
76 | Zach Edey | -0.022 | 11.2 | 0.3 | 10.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 58 | 7.9 | 72 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
77 | Coby White | -0.024 | 20.1 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 45 | 15.2 | 88 | 4 | 2.3 |
78 | Brandon Ingram | -0.027 | 20.0 | 2.2 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 48 | 15.6 | 84 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
79 | Brandon Miller | -0.030 | 21.2 | 3.3 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 42 | 18.3 | 85 | 3 | 2.6 |
80 | John Collins | -0.033 | 15.0 | 1.3 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 53 | 10.8 | 82 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
81 | Joel Embiid | -0.034 | 22.5 | 1.1 | 8.1 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 45 | 16.7 | 86 | 7.4 | 3.2 |
82 | Naz Reid | -0.036 | 15.1 | 2.3 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 47 | 12 | 76 | 2 | 1.5 |
83 | Deni Avdija | -0.037 | 17.5 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 48 | 12.3 | 77 | 5 | 2.5 |
84 | Bobby Portis | -0.037 | 14.9 | 1.4 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 48 | 12.6 | 82 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
85 | Tobias Harris | -0.040 | 13.5 | 1.2 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 48 | 10.7 | 87 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
86 | Dereck Lively | -0.041 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 7.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 70 | 5.7 | 61 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
87 | Jalen Suggs | -0.042 | 15.8 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 43 | 12.8 | 85 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
88 | Herbert Jones | -0.046 | 10.6 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 46 | 8.3 | 84 | 2 | 1.5 |
89 | Devin Vassell | -0.048 | 16.9 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 45 | 14 | 80 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
90 | Immanuel Quickley | -0.055 | 17.0 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 43 | 12.8 | 86 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
91 | Paolo Banchero | -0.069 | 26.7 | 2.0 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 46 | 20.3 | 73 | 8.2 | 3 |
92 | Andrew Wiggins | -0.071 | 18.9 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 46 | 14.8 | 75 | 4 | 1.8 |
93 | Toumani Camara | -0.076 | 12.0 | 1.9 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 46 | 9.5 | 73 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
94 | Mikal Bridges | -0.077 | 16.7 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 49 | 13.9 | 82 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
95 | Santi Aldama | -0.078 | 13.6 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 47 | 11.1 | 71 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
96 | Donovan Clingan | -0.078 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 10.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 53 | 6.7 | 60 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
97 | Jaden McDaniels | -0.078 | 12.2 | 1.3 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 48 | 10.1 | 80 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
98 | Jordan Poole | -0.091 | 20.2 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 43 | 15.9 | 88 | 3.7 | 3.1 |
99 | Alex Caruso | -0.092 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 46 | 6.2 | 81 | 1.1 | 1 |
100 | Cason Wallace | -0.094 | 9.2 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 48 | 7.7 | 81 | 0.7 | 1 |
101 | Brandin Podziemski | -0.095 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 45 | 10.8 | 75 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
102 | Daniel Gafford | -0.095 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 70 | 6.8 | 68 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
103 | Nicolas Claxton | -0.106 | 11.2 | 0.1 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 59 | 8.3 | 53 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
104 | Cooper Flagg | -0.107 | 15.7 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 47 | 12.2 | 83 | 3.9 | 2 |
105 | Donte DiVincenzo | -0.108 | 13.2 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 43 | 10.8 | 78 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
106 | Matas Buzelis | -0.112 | 13.6 | 1.9 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 46 | 10.8 | 82 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
107 | Norman Powell | -0.118 | 17.1 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 48 | 12.4 | 82 | 3.2 | 1.4 |
108 | Julius Randle | -0.120 | 19.2 | 1.7 | 7.4 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 48 | 13.9 | 79 | 5.2 | 2.9 |
109 | Anfernee Simons | -0.128 | 18.2 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 43 | 15 | 90 | 2.6 | 1.8 |
110 | CJ McCollum | -0.129 | 20.5 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 43 | 17.2 | 75 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
111 | Bradley Beal | -0.129 | 15.1 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 50 | 11.6 | 81 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
112 | Neemias Queta | -0.132 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 61 | 6.2 | 74 | 2 | 1 |
113 | Sam Hauser | -0.145 | 11.0 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 44 | 8.5 | 88 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
114 | D’Angelo Russell | -0.145 | 15.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 42 | 13 | 83 | 2.5 | 2 |
115 | Andrew Nembhard | -0.149 | 12.1 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 45 | 10.2 | 80 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
116 | Jabari Smith | -0.150 | 12.8 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 44 | 10.3 | 82 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
117 | Cam Thomas | -0.162 | 23.0 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 44 | 17.7 | 87 | 5.6 | 2.3 |
118 | Ayo Dosunmu | -0.163 | 12.2 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 50 | 9.6 | 80 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
119 | Aaron Gordon | -0.164 | 13.7 | 1.2 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 53 | 9.4 | 77 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
120 | Isaiah Jackson | -0.164 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 7.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 60 | 6.4 | 62 | 3 | 1.2 |
121 | Obi Toppin | -0.168 | 12.5 | 1.7 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 51 | 9.3 | 78 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
122 | Chris Paul | -0.175 | 7.7 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 43 | 6.5 | 87 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
123 | Bilal Coulibaly | -0.176 | 13.2 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 43 | 11.1 | 75 | 3.3 | 2 |
124 | Taylor Hendricks | -0.178 | 8.5 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 44 | 7.1 | 76 | 1.2 | 1 |
125 | Keyonte George | -0.178 | 18.2 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 41 | 14.2 | 83 | 4.5 | 2.5 |
126 | Jrue Holiday | -0.179 | 10.5 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 46 | 8.8 | 87 | 1 | 1 |
127 | Draymond Green | -0.180 | 8.8 | 1.1 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 44 | 7.2 | 70 | 2 | 2.4 |
128 | Alex Sarr | -0.180 | 14.5 | 1.8 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 41 | 13.2 | 70 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
129 | Collin Sexton | -0.181 | 17.9 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 49 | 13.1 | 86 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
130 | Shadeon Sharpe | -0.185 | 18.5 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 45 | 15.2 | 79 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
131 | Lonzo Ball | -0.191 | 8.3 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 37 | 7.4 | 80 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
132 | De’Andre Hunter | -0.193 | 15.1 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 47 | 10.7 | 85 | 3.3 | 1.1 |
133 | Bennedict Mathurin | -0.208 | 17.8 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 45 | 13.4 | 83 | 4.9 | 2.2 |
134 | Keon Ellis | -0.209 | 7.7 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 48 | 5.6 | 82 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
135 | Kyshawn George | -0.212 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 41 | 9.5 | 76 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
136 | Rui Hachimura | -0.214 | 11.9 | 1.5 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 51 | 9 | 76 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
137 | Malik Monk | -0.215 | 15.5 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 44 | 12.7 | 85 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
138 | Reed Sheppard | -0.215 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 38 | 8.8 | 81 | 1 | 1.4 |
139 | Carlton Carrington | -0.219 | 12.1 | 1.9 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 42 | 10.7 | 82 | 1.5 | 2 |
140 | Grayson Allen | -0.224 | 11.3 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 45 | 8 | 84 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
141 | Al Horford | -0.224 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 44 | 6.1 | 88 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
142 | Dennis Schroder | -0.225 | 13.8 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 43 | 11 | 84 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
143 | TJ McConnell | -0.227 | 11.3 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 5.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 51 | 9.8 | 76 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
144 | Kyle Filipowski | -0.230 | 11.9 | 1.4 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 50 | 8.9 | 66 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
145 | Jay Huff | -0.243 | 9.7 | 1.6 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 49 | 7.2 | 78 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
146 | Adem Bona | -0.246 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 69 | 5.2 | 67 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
147 | Jalen Green | -0.249 | 22.4 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 42 | 18.8 | 81 | 4.5 | 2.7 |
148 | Kon Knueppel | -0.250 | 11.3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 46 | 8.5 | 85 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
149 | Zaccharie Risacher | -0.250 | 14.4 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 47 | 11.5 | 73 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
150 | Klay Thompson | -0.268 | 13.8 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 41 | 11.9 | 90 | 1 | 1.2 |
151 | PJ Washington | -0.270 | 12.1 | 1.5 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 44 | 10.1 | 71 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
152 | Luguentz Dort | -0.271 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 43 | 8.1 | 75 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
153 | Jerami Grant | -0.275 | 13.8 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 42 | 11 | 83 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
154 | Kevin Porter Jr | -0.275 | 13.2 | 1.8 | 4.1 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 43 | 10.8 | 77 | 2.8 | 2.4 |
155 | Brook Lopez | -0.283 | 8.4 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 50 | 6.3 | 82 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
Notable Players
Karl Anthony Towns: I reduced his projected minutes because Thibs is no longer his coach, but his stat game as a starting 5 is still very fantasy friendly so he ends up 7th overall.
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Despite the roto formula severely punishing bad percentages on huge volume, like Giannis’ ft%, he still ends up 12th overall, so he is a clear top5 in H2H.
Jimmy Butler: Another per game monster, Butler is a lock to provide great value when on the court, but we don’t draft him as early as his valuation, as he has failed to play more than 65 games for 7 consecutive seasons.
Mark Williams: Ranking 32nd was pretty crazy to me, but the averages don’t lie. However, he is a major bust risk, based on his health and total games played. Don’t reach for his that high.
Deandre Ayton: Can he revive his career in LA alongside Luka ? I was fairly conservative with his projections so he can easily outperform them, but he is Ayton so he can easily lose the starting job within 2 months.
Joel Embiid: Is it weird to see Embiid all the way to 81st ? Yes. Do I think his body has given up and he will never return to his All Star form ? Yes. Will I be clowned if he ends up the season miraculously in the top10 ? Also yes.
Paolo Banchero: His 91 ranking will rub a lot of people the wrong way, but remember he ranked 130th last season in per game value and his game has a lot of holes for fantasy.
Cooper Flag: Rookies have been traditionally overvalued and I have traditionally undervalued them, but I find it hard to rank him higher in his first NBA season.
I would love to discuss more with you fine folks about the projections, so feel free to drop a comment below!