Welcome to your midweek guidance for Week 16!  In this post, I identify widely-available players who can help you win your head-to-head matchup.  With the trade deadline just around the corner, it’s almost time to see if any of those popular long-term stashes pan out.  We’ve already seen one relegated to the ash heap, with the annual Myles Turner trade rumors mostly fizzling out last week.

I use the word mostly because there’s a small chance that I might have to eat my words (meme?).  Technically, Turner could still be moved after signing an extension.  And though Indiana’s management is adamant that they’re committed to Turner, we know that NBA franchises are not always paragons of honesty.  In all likelihood, however, Turner will remain a Pacer well beyond next week.

Fortunately, there are other plausible trade scenarios that will alter the fantasy landscape.  Keep reading if you’re looking to lean into a couple short-term stashes that could turn into big fantasy contributors after the deadline.

The Celtics, Nets, Thunder, Spurs, and Jazz have just one remaining game before Monday, while the Knicks, Pelicans, Pacers, Nuggets, and Hornets play three more games.  Each day gives us opportunities for streaming, as Saturday’s slate is the largest with nine games on.

These are the players I’m watching and adding to close out the week.

Four Category Contributors

  • Mark Williams (Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, FG%): The upside is tantalizing, but Williams is still playing behind Mason Plumlee in the Hornet rotation.  That may all change next week, depending on what Charlotte does at the trade deadline.  If you have a cushion in the standings and can stash someone for what could develop into a huge return in the fantasy playoffs, Williams is a prime candidate (Plays Thurs, Fri, Sun).
  • Alec Burks (Points, Threes, Assists, FT%): If the Pistons manage to escape the Dallas cold in the hours ahead, Burks may draw his fourth consecutive start against Charlotte on Friday.  Playing Burks 30 MPG while benching Killian Hayes screams trade bait, but we’ll likely have to wait until next week to see if the former is dealt.  If the Pistons continue to showcase him in the coming games, Burks stands a good chance of sustaining the 16 points, 3.3 triples, 5.3 rebounds, and 3 assists he averaged over his previous 3 starts (Plays Fri, Sat).

Three Category Contributors

  • Daniel Gafford (Rebounds, Blocks, FG%): When the Pistons/Wiz game was postponed, we were robbed of a chance to see Gafford’s role beside a healthy Kristaps Porzingis on a Rui Hachimura-less front line.  As I’ve written before, 20 minutes is all Gafford needs to be a 12-team category league asset, and I’m confident he’ll exceed that mark going forward (Plays Fri, Sat).
  • Isaiah Hartenstein (Rebounds, Blocks, FG%): Despite ending with 5 fouls on Tuesday, Hartenstein played 40 minutes in a losing effort against the Lakers.  Mitchell Robinson’s recent injury update painted a dim picture, so it’s not unwise to grab one of the Knicks’ backup centers with the expectation that they’ll garner significant playing time through February.  While Jericho Sims presents as a good boards and FG% contributor, he’s severely limited in other categories.  On the other hand, hedging Hartenstein’s way allows you to potentially benefit from his passing ability in addition to traditional big man stats (Plays Thurs, Sat, Sun).
  • Donte DiVincenzo (Threes, Assists, Steals): At least one of the Golden State starters will rest on Thursday, which is all Donte needs to play 30+ minutes and serve up a nice fantasy line.  Even when the Warriors are at full strength, he continues to play anywhere from 25-32 minutes, making him a borderline hold in 12-team category leagues (Plays Thurs, Sat).
  • Larry Nance Jr. (Rebounds, Steals, FG%): Nance was back to playing good basketball in his past seven games after a series of short-term injuries curbed his early season momentum.  With the exception of an 85% free throw conversion rate, the 9.3 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 1.3 steals in 24.5 MPG over that period are consistent with what he’s done historically in that amount of playing time (Plays Thurs, Sat, Sun).
  • Zach Collins (Rebounds, Blocks, FG%): Readers of this post know I lean more conservative when it comes to stashing lower-end players, but with how close we are to the trade deadline, Zach Collins presents as a dude who might get a big boost if Jakob Poeltl is moved.  Assuming you can afford the lack of Spurs games on Saturday and Sunday, you might be able to cash in on holding Collins through February 9th (Plays Fri).
  • Moritz Wagner (Rebounds, FG%, FT%): Wagner went from a hot commodity on Wednesday afternoon to a drop on Thursday morning, thanks to Wendell Carter Jr.’s 33-minute performance against the Sixers.  Still, WCJ’s recurring plantar fasciitas issue should be reason enough to keep Mo on your watch list, since he averaged 13.9 points (52% from the field, 91% from the line on 3.3 attempts), 1.1 threes, 6.9 rebounds, and 1 steal across 14 December starts (Plays Fri, Sun).
  • Drew Eubanks (Rebounds, Blocks, FG%): Jusuf Nurkic exited Wednesday’s game after playing just two minutes, so it’s possible that Eubanks will draw a few starts in the coming days.  In 24 MPG over his last 7 outings, he averaged 6.9 rebounds and 2 blocks (Plays Fri, Sat).

Two Category Contributor

  • Chris Duarte (Threes, Steals): He lives!  It’s been a disappointing campaign for Duarte after a promising rookie season had him on everyone’s draft board heading into this year.  Injuries had a lot to do with that, but he’s healthy now and receiving starting nods.  If that trend continues, he could meet his pre-season expectations after all, especially if he continues to produce numbers in the ball park of his past four games – 13.3 points, 1.8 threes, 4.5 rebounds, 4 assists, and 2 steals (Plays Thurs, Fri, Sun).

Hit me up in the comments with any questions or feedback!

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Joe Beisbol
Joe Beisbol
1 month ago

While we can only speculate as to what the trade deadline brings, which of these guys do you like, or like most, for second half and beyond in a 12-team h2h? Aall are possible keepers in my league, though I could at most keep two of them: Avdija, Duren*, D.White, Eason, Hartenstein, Jalen Will*, Pat.Williams, Precious*, Quickley, Sochan (*Guys I already have).

Also, random but, do you think Herro, Sexton, and/or R.Williams are primed for big second halves?

Thanks!

Joe Beisbol
Joe Beisbol
1 month ago
Reply to  PB

Thanks! Wow. You’re really high on Duren! I get it. He can be a real machine, though then he goes and has two clunkers where he gets under 30 minutes and makes me wonder if he’s more of a next year than this year. I’m still in sixth and I’m actually debating whether to offer the Williams owner, who may be slipping out of contention, a one-for-one Duren for Williams trade since Duren can be kept at an 11th round price.

I don’t see Precious on your list, so obv. you’re higher on Eason. Would that assessment change if the Raptors traded any of their front court studs (OG, Siakam)?

TarmanGotHim
TarmanGotHim
1 month ago

Hey!

Thanks for everything.

I have a q. This dude in my league offers the most ridiculous offers, but he actually offered me something that intrigued me, but he offer me 4 for 1. 1 of the guys is injured but they don’t allow you to simply add him to the IL so I’d have to drop 3 guys. The offer is.

My Tre Jones

For his

Devin Vassell
Immanuel Quigley
Patrick Williams
Alex Caruso

Is it worth Vassell? I don’t have 3 guys to drop TBH. I could counter with Jones for Vassell and 1 of those guys like quigley.

What should I do and what do you think?

Thank you!!

TarmanGotHim
TarmanGotHim
1 month ago
Reply to  PB

1. My team is in 3rd place, 4 out of 1st and up 8-1 this week H2H 12 T 9 CAT Standard. It is 8 games between 1-9. Very tight.

My roster is as follows:

PG – Steph
SG – Bane
G – Ivey
SF – George
PF – Keldon
F – KCP
C – Embiid
C – Horford
UTIL – Murphy III
UTIL – Tre Jones
B – Onkongwu
B – Keegan Murray
B – Royce O’Neal

I’m very happy w my roster I had traded Jimmy and Mikal for Embiid and KCP. Had to do it. I don’t have anyone on IL right now but that always changes in todays ridiculous NBA, fantasy basketball has become a joke if you ask me with all the prima donnas and how the NBA and teams allow players to miss games due to “load management” or a sore finger.

So you think Tre for DV and Immanuel is worth it?

TarmanGotHim
TarmanGotHim
1 month ago
Reply to  PB

Playoffs Start March 13 by the way.

I’m right there with you but I’m a Baseball hit 1st, but I do all Fantasy sports! Would never give up lol, but it’s silly already.

Like in baseball I rather have a player not try to go for a catch which affects my starting pitcher to ensure they don’t break their body running into a padded wall. Lol. 9/10 times the player dislocated their body LOL. I don’t get it. Injuries happen and I know that but Jonathan Issac for instance. He’s not going to break playing 20+ min. 8-10 min then not even on a B2B he gets rested he’s making like 18 Mil a season. It’s sickening.

ANYHOW, I’ll try to pull the trigger. Hopefully he accepts the counter.

Thanks for all the help!!

J C
J C
1 month ago

Hope you are good sir!
Ultimate WW coolers this week. Sochan goes down which leads to Tyus who blows for two games which leads to Lowry who is done me thinks which leads to P Williams who sprains his ankle. one bad pickup after another. Need Hartenstein (my final pickup) to come through this weekend as somehow I still lead 5-4 but several cats are leaning his way.
No questions yet, just some whining.

J C
J C
1 month ago
Reply to  PB

I did not even put Eubanks on my list of failures. Felt good about his two games after Nurkic went down. Not very good last night. Slo Mo spasms – wow.
With four weeks left until the playoffs, it looks like four teams will battle for the final three spots. I like my odds but….
WW: Hayward, E Gordon, Sochan, J Rich the best so not great. If Trendon shines again tonight, I guess he goes into the short term mixing bowl.
End of my bench: Hartenstein, BClark and Eubanks. Swaps? Team below as I like to type their names in anger scaring them into better performances.

Jokic, Embiid, Hartenstein, Kessler
Eubanks, Ingram, PJ Wash, B Clark
Middleton, Slo Mo, Maxey
Jrue, McCollum, FVV,
IR: Portis

J C
J C
1 month ago

I was offered Fox for Maxey and Kessler. One item to consider is that The Kings have a beautiful playoff schedule with four games each week. Utah has only two games and Philly three in that first week. Then both have four the remaining weeks.
I would likely be punting blocks I guess.With my team construction, would you do that trade?

J C
J C
1 month ago
Reply to  PB

Thank you.
Just for grins, would you do this trade if I had the bye week? I ask because my opponents who I am chasing both are on the verge of losing ground this week and had some injuries/Kyrie too. So by this time next week I could be at or very near that bye pace. Funny how 24 hours changed things. Thanks for your patience.

J C
J C
1 month ago

Made the trade. Here’s the new squad and WW options. Bruno was his drop in our trade so I just took him. Cam Thomas was a pickup before the Kyrie trade. They play Mon and Tues. Feels like some work to do here!

Jrue, FVV, Fox,
McCollum, Middleton, SloMo, Cam Thomas
PJ Wash, Ingram, B Clarke,
Embiid, Jokic, Bruno, Hartenstein
IR: Portis

WW: Eubanks, S Adams, Rui, Eason, E Gordon, P Williams, Looney, Suggs, Sochan

J C
J C
1 month ago

Would you rather stash S Adams or grab M Williams hoping Plumlee is on his way out?

J C
J C
1 month ago

1. I grabbed Collins with Poeltl leaving. What kind of production and minutes should we see from him? Not sure he gives me D stats but grabbed him so I could ponder.
2. Gafford on the WW. Love his blocks. Claim him for Collins or M Williams or leave him alone? Note: Williams only has two games the first week of our playoffs while Collins has four and Gafford three. If Plumlee is out of the way by mid-March That would be nice.
3. With the Nets getting CamJo, Crowder and Mikail, is Cam Thomas’ 15 minutes of fame done or does he stay relevant even with the new guys coming in?
Thank you

J C
J C
1 month ago
Reply to  PB

Looking forward to your post trade analysis. Thanks for the advice and quick turnaround. Very helpful. Gafford’s block total this week is ill timed for him to sneak through waivers but I will try of course.
Collins a bit soft but he has a nice playoff schedule and hopefully those minutes translate into production. Getting him and M Williams for free was nice!
I basically stare at my phone for two days at work just waiting for these trades!