Hoops fans were treated to a pretty entertaining six-game slate on Tuesday night, and those who were able to stay awake into the wee hours of Wednesday morning (for us East coasters anyways), saw history made at Oracle Arena. The Golden State Warriors set a new benchmark for best record to start an NBA season by winning their sixteenth straight game to open the 2015-2016 campaign.

For all intents and purposes, the game between the Warriors and the visiting Lakers was over before it started. GSW entered the contest as 17-point favorites and it took them all of 10 and a half minutes to cover that number. The Dubs were up 34 after three quarters and LA had the look of a team that might as well have just stayed home – they walked in defeated. (Aside: Byron Scott needs to go. Awful, awful ball coach.)

Unfortunately the blowout factor was in full effect as none of the Warriors starters were needed in the fourth quarter, evidenced by Stephen Curry and Draymond Green playing a game-high 30 minutes each. However, in honor of this Golden State team destroying the league so far this season, here are the lines for each of their starters tonight:

  • Chef Curry – 24/4/9/2/0, four triples, zero TOs
  • Klay Thompson – 11/3/2/0/1, two triples, one TO
  • Harrison Barnes – 8/2/1/0/0, two triples, one TO
  • Draymond Green – 18/7/5/1/2, two triples, 7-11 FGs
  • Andrew Bogut – 8/7/2/0/2, 4-7 FGs, zero TOs

Those are pretty pedestrian numbers (relative to each player’s typical contributions this year), but these are the types of lines that we’ll occasionally see with a team as dominant as the Warriors. For season-long owners you just have to move on to the next game and hope it’s a more competitive affair. And for DFS players, you know for the future to fade GSW players on nights when they’re huge favorites as the main guys won’t be needed for the full 48. At some point we’ll also have to keep an eye out for DNP-Rest days, though I can’t imagine that will happen until Golden State loses their first game. (For the record, the teams standing in the way of a 28-0 Warriors team hosting the Cleveland LeBrons on Christmas Day are: Phoenix twice, Sacramento, Utah twice, Charlotte, Toronto, Brooklyn, Indiana, and Milwaukee twice. Seriously – who of those teams is scaring you if you’re the Dubs?)

Let’s take a look at the non-Bay Area happenings on Tuesday night…

 

THE GOOD

Paul George – PG13 started the game en fuego, hitting his first six shots, three of which were from beyond the arc. He kept cooking all game long and wound up dropping a 40-burger on the Wizards, including seven triples. His final line ended up 40/8/4/2/0 with great percentages (14-19 FGs, 5-6 FTs). At this point I’d be very surprised if George finishes the year outside the fantasy top-10.

C.J. Miles – Not unlike his Indy running mate, Miles brought a flame thrower to the game against the Wiz. He hit eight of his nine 3-pointers, 10-16 overall from the field, and all four FTs in one of the finer shooting performances you’ll see all year. His final slash went 32/3/3/1/0 and a game-high +27 net rating as the Pacers rolled in D.C.

Gary Neal – 23 points and five triples in 29 minutes off the bench. Neal has flashed this kind of potential each of the last couple seasons, but it always ends up being unsustainable. Leave him on the wire.

Avery Bradley – Almost single-handedly kept Boston in the game against the Hawks. He was as hot as the Pacers’ wings for much of the night and finished with 25/1/2/3/1, including four triples. He’s the quintessential “three-and-D” player, but absolutely needs to be owned while his shot is falling. And right now his stroke looks pure, he’s shooting with a ton of confidence, and the fact that the rotation is thinned even slightly (i.e. Marcus Smart‘s two+ week absence) is a boon to his value.

Paul Millsap – The Sapper beasted yet again, putting a 25/9/3/1/1 line on the board with awesome percentages (10-14 FGs, 5-5 FTs). Stud.

Thabo Sefolosha – Sweet all-around game for Thabo, who is clearly enjoying life with Kent Bazemore in street clothes. 15/7/3/3/3 on 7-8 shooting. He didn’t make (or attempt) any threes, but that’s really just picking nits – he was great in this one and should continue to be startable until Baze comes back to muck up the rotation.

Jeff Green – Looked great against the Mavs on Tuesday night in the absence of Zach Randolph. 19/7/3/0/2 with a long ball and stellar efficiency (8-14 FGs, 2-2 FTs). Green is going to be roster-worthy until the Memphis frontcourt gets healthier, and he’ll give you the occasional beauty of a line like he did on Tuesday.

Danilo Gallinari – With no Kenneth Faried for the Nuggets, there were a lot more rebounds to go around for everyone else. Gallo seized that opportunity and pulled down a career-high 18 boards. It wasn’t a very Gallinari-esque line though as he shot just 2-10 from the field, missed on all five 3-point attempts, and posted no defensive stats. His 16-17 from the free throw line really gives you a leg up in that category early in the week, so this was a net positive line for fantasy owners.

Los Angeles Clippers Starters – The fantasy production was spread out fairly evenly amongst the Clips’ starting five. Chris Paul went for 15 points, 10 assists, and three steals. J.J. Redick connected on 6-10 from the field – including both three pointers he attempted – to finish with 16 points. Wesley Johnson knocked down three of his four tries from beyond the arc and blocked a shot. Blake Griffin went 18/10/4/1/1 with a triple, but shot only 7-20 from the field. And lastly, DeAndre Jordan did exactly what you’d expect – 18 & 11 with four blocks, but killed your FT% with a 12-26 mark from the line on Tuesday. Only Blake saw over 30 minutes of run among this group as the Clippers led fairly comfortably throughout the game and it’s often tough for guys to play extended minutes at the mile high altitude.

 

THE BAD

Kris Humphries – He started and played all of nine minutes. He had a rebound and a turnover. Pretty special stuff. If he’s not floating face down in the free agent pool already, he will be after Tuesday night.

Isaiah Thomas – It’s tough to put a guy who hit a pair of threes and swiped the ball three times in the “The Bad” category, but IT2/3 hit just 3-11 FGs, had no rebounds, and turned the ball over five times while giving out only two helpers. He’ll be better than this most nights.

Jared Sullinger – 7/5/2/0/0, no D, no 3. 21 lousy minutes for Sully on Tuesday.

Jae Crowder – No swipes for the second consecutive game after averaging nearly three per game in his first dozen contests. A 6/3/2/0/0 slash on 3-11 shooting is going to have his owners wanting to forget this box score pretty quickly.

Chandler Parsons – Assuming my eyeballs aren’t playing tricks on me, it looks like Parsons is still a long ways away from his pre-injury form. 6/5/2/0/1 on 3-9 shooting in 25 minutes. He missed all four attempts from deep and he just doesn’t have it right now (by any reasonable measure of what “it” is).

Will Barton – 20 minutes of pure garbage. 0-6 FGs, missed one of two FTs, and had as many combined assists, steals and blocks as I did.

The Lakers (…but mostly Jordan Clarkson & Kobe Bryant) – The anti-Paul George/C.J. Miles combo of the night, Clarkson & Bryant shot a combined 3-35. Seriously. Three for thirty-five. I haven’t seen a duo miss the mark that consistently since JB & Slim decided to record podcasts in the morning. [editor’s note – hey now!!!!!!!!!!]

 

THE NOTEWORTHY

Zach Randolph – ZBo was questionable, then he was active but maybe/maybe not starting, then he definitely wasn’t playing, but maybe he still was going to dress as emergency depth…Anyways, Randolph didn’t play and Matt Barnes got the start in his place. It sounds like Zach was really close to playing so I’d have to guess Memphis will run him out there against Houston on Wednesday night.

John Wall – Had himself a nice shooting night with 5-9 from the floor (3-4 from deep) and a perfect 5-5 from the charity stripe. Things weren’t so great beyond that as he had no defensive stats and turned the ball over eight times, which goes a long way in explaining why he posted a game worst -24 net rating. That stretch of games where Wall was blocking everything in his vicinity is looking increasingly fluky as he only has one swat in his last five games (149 minutes). And with the defensive numbers dwindling, he’s going to have a hard time cracking the top-5 point guard ranks in 9-cat leagues. Sounds a bit funny, right? Well, as of now, would you turn down a one-for-one offer involving any of: Steph Curry, Russell Westbrook, Kyle Lowry, Eric Bledsoe, or Damian Lillard? I wouldn’t.

BOS/ATL Rotations – All 26 players who dressed for this game saw playing time, none running any more than Kyle Korver‘s 33. R.J. Hunter was the most impressive of the unlikely contributors, pouring in 12 points with a pair of threes and steals in 21 minutes.

Mario Chalmers – Thief! Swiped the ball five times from the Mavs. The rest of the line was fairly “meh” but Rio is looking far better in a Grizzlies uniform and would be must-own if Mike Conley were to miss time.

Wesley Matthews – He looks better than Parsons, though Chandler hasn’t set a particularly high bar. The minutes are creeping up there (he played 33 on Tuesday) and he’s posting usable numbers – he was 11/4/4/0/0 with three triples against the Griz. It’s still going to be a month (or more) until he’s back to peak Matthews, but I wouldn’t mind him occupying a spot on my roster moving forward.

The Bulls/Blazers Game – There really weren’t any remarkable takeaways from this one. Jimmy Butler had the best line of the game with 22/2/4/4/0 (6-13 FGs, 8-8 FTs, two threes), but that’s pretty routine for the man they call “Buckets.” Nikola Mirotic re-discovered his shooting stroke and made 4-8 from the field, with three of the four hits coming from downtown. Pau Gasol double-doubled with 14 & 12 but shot poorly (5-15) and did very little else in the box. For the Blazers, Damian Lillard was on trip-dub watch, ending the night with 19/10/8. The only problem was he couldn’t hit the broad side of a barn, shooting 4-22 from the field and missing all six long balls. Mason Plumlee and Ed Davis each played 35 minutes and combined for 30 rebounds. Davis also added 12 points, three steals and two blocks for a fantasy-friendly line. Overall though, most of the main guys involved in this one played about as you’d expect with positive contributions in the usual categories and deficiencies exactly where you’d expect them.

 

OPPORTUNITY IS EVERYTHING

Players who saw over 36 minutes of floor time on Tuesday:

Paul George (37), Matt Barnes (38), Marc Gasol (36), Danilo Gallinari (37), Jimmy Butler (36), Damian Lillard (40), C.J. McCollum (36).

 

That does it for Tuesday’s wrap-up. I’d like to take this opportunity to wish all my American friends a very Happy Thanksgiving on Thursday. Enjoy your turkey, your football, and – most importantly – your time with family & friends. As always, if you want to chat waiver pickups, DFS plays, or anything else fantasy hoops, drop me a line on Twitter @moneyballmatty. Cheers.

  1. Hamtime says:
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    Hey Matty:
    1. Wiggins for ibaka straight up. Who wins? How about ibaka for Teague?

    2. Is Marcus smart worth a stash in 14ers? Would you drop cojo or Ezeli for him?

    • Hamtime says:
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      @Hamtime: 3. Might just do Teague for Wiggins. JB and slim love Wiggins. I wanna join their club.

      4. Ibaka for Hayward?

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Hamtime: Hey Hamtime.

      1) I’d prefer Ibaka. I think both guys improve their ranking throughout the year, but I can see Ibaka creeping into the 30-40 area whereas it’s going to be an uphill battle for Wiggy to crack the top-50 (he’s currently 126th in per-game). Teague and Ibaka are really close, but I think I’d prefer the Hawks PG ever so slightly.

      2) Smart is borderline for 14ers. They’re saying MINIMUM 2 weeks absence, but I saw somewhere that suggested that “tibfib” injury is more of a 4-6 week deal. And when he comes back he’s still battling for minutes with IT2/3 and Bradley (who can guard 1s & 2s just as well as Smart but shoots WAY better). That said, you’re not losing too much by dumping Ezeli – he’s never going to be a top-50 guy that’s gonna make you regret dropping him.

      3) If you’re that high on Wiggins, go for it. Trust your gut. Just know that he’s well outside the top-100 currently in per-game value and the sample size is starting to get “big enough” that it matters. I have no doubt AW will finish inside the top-100, and most likely inside the top-75…but Teague is already there and he has room for improvement as well. I’d try to get a bit more by using the current stats/ranks when negotiating the trade.

      4) Hayward is a lot like Wiggins – way underperforming pre-season expectations and sits outside the top-120 currently. But there’s so much room for improvement and he’s proven his value exceeds his current rank for multiple seasons. I guess I’d roll the dice and say Hayward over Serge…but it’s far from a no-brainer.

  2. miles proudfoot says:
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    Need someone at the C position, thinking of a 2 for 1. What do you think of Tobias Harris and one of dragic/Middleton/Covington/Collison for Ibaka? Too little? Have TJones too who I can try to move.

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @miles proudfoot: Hey miles…

      I’m not a Tobias Harris fan (especially now that Skiles is jerking everyone in a Magic uniform around with no discernible plan). Right now Tobias (77th) and Serge (68th) are only nine ranking spots removed from one another in 9-cat per-game value, so I wouldn’t add another top-100 asset to the mix unless you really think Ibaka is going to blow up and get back to his top-25 value. I think Harris and Covington is probably in the ballpark.

  3. Carp says:
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    Aaron Gordon or zach Lavine moving forward?

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Carp: Aaron Gordon. All day.

      Even with Scott Skiles dicking around with the Magic rotation, I think AG has himself a 25 MPG role for the rest of the season. It seems like all Skiles wants is guys to play with energy and a defense-first mentality and that’s kinda the name of Gordon’s game. Hopefully his natural inclination to “hustle” will insulate him better than guys like Vucevic and Oladipo.

  4. Trul says:
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    Drop Rose&Noah for EdDavis%Calderon??

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Trul: Ummm, damn. Those are close. Ed Davis will lose some of his appeal once Meyers comes back (which could be a week or a month+, who the heck knows?)…but I think Noah is going to be limited all year. Even if one of Pau, Niko or Taj goes down, Bobby Portis is still sitting right there on the bench waiting to soak up those minutes. And then Calderon and Rose are both so darn fragile. Yuck. I don’t like any of those four! Ha. Sorry.

      Best advice I could give would be to just play the schedule and roster the guys that are on 4-game weeks and don’t be afraid to trade them out regularly.

  5. TheJohn says:
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    Would u trade ibaka for m gasol?

    Are overly on block so lookin to bring rb/other cat from ibaka trade…

    Also which low end center d u prefer

    Nokic
    Rhj
    Biyombo
    Sulimger

    Thanks!

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @TheJohn: I would rather have Marc Gasol. He & Ibaka are really close in value currently, but I think MG is more likely to find his way into the top-30 by season’s end.

      Nokic? That’s the amalgamation of Nurkic & Jokic, right? Could be a special player! Ha. Just kiddin’ – I’m assuming you mean Jokic and he’d be my top choice between him, Bismack and Sully. Malone seems to really like him and I think he could have nice value as the season progresses, even with the return of Nurkic.

      RHJ isn’t a center, he’s a wing…so he doesn’t really belong in that group.

  6. dom says:
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    any chance Millsap is at risk of short minutes on the 2nd game of a back to back tonight @MIN?

    I’m leaning towards starting Whiteside (illness, @DET) over Gobert (tailbone, @LAC) tonight

    great write up

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @dom: It’s possible Sapper sees a DNP-rest or limited minutes, but I haven’t heard any rumblings about that yet. With Splitter hurt, their frontcourt isn’t quite as deep which helps a bit. Also, I think the Hawks are going to want that top seed to prove last year wasn’t a fluke (and also to potentially have home court advantage over the Cavs), so it’s tough for them to justify resting stars when the schedule has been softened overall with more rest already built in.

      I would go with Hassan. It’s going to be an AWESOME matchup between him and Drummond to see who can out-board and out-block one another. I’d guess that both guys go for 15 & 15 tonight and the “winner” will be the guy with the most swats and the fewest attempts from the foul line.

      And thanks, dom. Glad you’re enjoying the daily notes!

      • dom says:
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        @Matty: thanks. Any opinion on Gary Harris? Hit 3 threes as my streamer last night. I can keep him for my Util spot Saturday or drop him for someone like Dwight Powell in my 10 teamer. Might wait til tonight’s games to have a better feel for what categories I’ll need

        • Matty

          Matty says:
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          @dom: Harris is looking a little more consistent of late, having hit double figures scoring in five straight and playing between 27 and 35 minutes in those games. His long range shot is starting to fall, but I’d still like to see some more defensive stats from him – he’s averaging 1.0 STLs in last five but no blocks. He should be doing a bit more than that with the higher minutes. I think I’d keep him over Dwight Powell (though I do like his potential moving forward).

  7. Bobby says:
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    Is my reggie jackson and gortat for his kevin love too much to give up…??

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Bobby: It looks like it on paper, but it might not even be enough if the Love owner is savvy to the rankings. Currently in per-game 9-cat, Love is top-20, whereas neither Reggie nor Marcin are cracking the top-90.

      I guess it’ll come down to what categories the other owner needs help in. If he’s hard up for assists, he might take that offer because Reggie is a plus there.

      But if this is a roto league or the other owner is looking for balance, he probably would decline that offer. Your best bet would be to try the “well Kyrie is coming back soon so Love will lose a lot of touches by Christmas” angle. Might work, might not.

  8. Eddie Rooskie says:
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    The Lakers, specifically Kobe, need to have their own special section called The Worst Basketball I’ve Ever Seen. I didn’t know going 1-14 was even possible.

    Anyways, unfortunately I’m one of those Kobe owners (not by choice, missed the draft) and was wondering what type of player you think I could trade him for, if any at all. Maybe wait for him to put up another fluky good game?

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Eddie Rooskie: I hear ya, Eddie. Kobe would fit in quite nicely with the 76ers right about now. It’s a sad ending to a remarkable career. But he’s done. I saw a stat posted on Twitter last night that said Kobe is ranked 775th out of 775 qualifying seasons as far as true shooting percentage for players averaging 16 FGAs/game. The worst high-volume shooting performance of ALL-TIME through 11 games. Yowsa!

      I don’t think you can get anyone inside the top-150 for Kobe right now in 9-cat. Unless you can find a nostalgic Lakers homer who trades based on name value, you’re stuck with him (until you send him to the FA pool). You could maybe try to flip him for someone who is currently injured that might have value later on (like a Meyers Leonard) or another old dude who might be slightly more valuable (like a Joe Johnson).

  9. Stan says:
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    Long term keeper league where you can keep everyone. 16 teams.

    I was offered his Kemba for my CJ Mcollom and Gary Harris. I would pick up Chalmers from waivers. In a vaccum, are you taking this?

    This is Stan

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Stan: That’s an interesting one. Kemba is BALLIN’ right now (he’s 13th in 9-cat per-game value currently!!), but I think his shooting and TOs are due for negative regression. That said, I think Kemba’s floor – with the way this CHA team is constructed – is approximately McCollum’s ceiling. And Chalmers and Harris are both end-of-the-bench kinda players who will alternate productive games with duds. All of the guys involved here are relatively young, so there’s no age factor given that it’s a keeper league.

      I’d say to go with the Kemba side, unless you live in Portland and REALLY wanna hang onto CJM.

  10. Hamtime says:
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    Your inputs are awesome, thanks.

    1. If you were to keep 1 for ROS, would you choose favor or ibaka?

    2. Do you think ty Lawson had any chance of redeeming himself and being fantasy worthy? He’s sitting in my FA pool and do feel he has a higher ceiling than smart

    3. Is kaminsky worth a grab? Looking to drop mo or pbev if they don’t pan out.

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Hamtime: Thanks, man – we aim to please!

      1) Favors. So much less competition for minutes and usage in UTA than there is in OKC (assuming everyone is healthy). Both guys have 2nd round upside, but I think D-Fave has the higher likelihood to hit it given his circumstances.

      2) I’ve been a bear on Lawson all year and wanted no part of him throughout the preseason. I own no shares, nor will I. He’s lost confidence in his game, he can’t play next to Harden, and Beverley is about to come back to muddy the PG waters. If Harden were to get hurt, Lawson could regain some of his Denver-esque value, but Beard is pretty darn durable so it’s tough to count on that. Is there no one else with a clearer path to minutes who can shoot above 40% in your FA pool?

      3) No. Kaminsky sucks. I just don’t like his game and I don’t see how Clifford can give him more than minutes in the teens anytime soon since the Hornets are actually winning games and have playoff aspirations.

  11. The Gintern says:
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    Hey Matty, good stuff. How would you rank these guys ROS in a roto league: CJ Miles, Langston Galloway, Tyson Chandler, Jokic, and Colly? Purely from a total value standpoint because they’d be my last two bench spots.

    Thanks!

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @The Gintern: Thanks man, appreciate it.

      I would rank those guys:

      1) Collison – I like him for the second half of the season
      2) Miles – If he can just stay healthy, the Pacers up-tempo style suits his game and he’s got the deep ball workin’ and stealing at a pretty good rate too
      3) Galloway – the shooting is going to regress a bit, but he could flirt with top-100 value if he continues to see 25+ MPG
      4) Jokic – Like I said above, it seems like Malone really likes this kid and even once Nurkic comes back I think there’s a 22-24 MPG role for him
      5) Chandler – Where are the minutes? Five of last six games he’s been 25 MPG or less…not a good sign, especially since he’s not doing a ton with the minutes he is getting

      • The Gintern says:
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        @Matty: Cool – appreciate it!

  12. Trul says:
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    My rose+noah for his har barnes+afflalo? What do u think?

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Trul: I’d do that, yeah. Barnes is really the only guy who is startable in a 12-teamer right now. Afflalo is playing decent ball, having hit double figures scoring in five straight and averaging over two treys per game during that span, so he’s a decent streamer for 3s. Rose just murders your FG% and has only made 4 triples all year (he’s shooting sub-20% from long range). He is also a stubbed toe away from another month on the shelf, so he’s an avoid for me.

      Definitely prefer the Barnes/Afflalo side.

  13. AT says:
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    Hi Matty,

    Looking to trade Vucevic or Gortat for a PG in a 10 team H2H 8cat league. Any suggestions who to target for each player?

    Thanks!

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @AT: Well, this really breaks down to two things – 1) where are these guys currently ranked?, and 2) where do you think their season-long value is going to settle?

      Current: Rankings for 8-cat (which is my jam, BTW): Vuc is 42nd in per game value (24th last year), Gortat is 99th (64th last year).

      Considerations: Obviously there was no Skiles factor for Vuc in 2014-2015, so that would help to explain why he’s dropped nearly 20 spots so far this year. Gortat just simply hasn’t been putting up the volume until very recently (had a nice game last night). I think he’ll start to come around, but he’s never going to be that Drummond-esque 20/20 threat. I think he’ll settle into a top-75 player, but he doesn’t have the look of a guy who is going to threaten the top-50 on a per-game basis (perhaps in total value if he doesn’t miss any time due to injury).

      So if we’re thinking that Vuc is probably going to land somewhere in the 30-40 range (factoring in inconsistency from Skiles’ herky-jerky rotations), your current PGs of similar value are: Teague, Reggie, and then slightly lower Conley and George Hill. I would aim for the top two in a one-for-one swap with Vuc, and I’d need a little something extra to sweeten the pot if I’m only getting back a Conley or Hill. Isaiah Thomas is another consideration, and he’s currently flirting with the top-25. It all depends on if you think he can sustain that. You could probably get him straight up for Vuc.

      For Gortat, it’s going to be tougher to get a really solid PG because Marcin has done nothing flashy all year. He’s not a sexy player to own and isn’t really an elite contributor in any one category. PGs currently in the 75-100 range include all of: Tony Parker & Zach Lavine. I don’t think you’re giving up Gortat for either of those guys (though Lavine has an opportunity now for a nice stretch of production if Rubio’s ankle keeps him out for a while). Jarrett Jack could be a target, but he scares me because I don’t think he finishes the season in a Nets uniform. Other likely PG-eligible players in that general area are guys like Ish Smith, Jerryd Bayless, and Mo Williams – all of whom have temporary value and may struggle with posting season-long top-100 value given their roles. So this all leads me to suggest that you’ll need to package Gortat with someone else to get a solid PG asset in return.

      Good luck! Let us know if you’re able to swing any deals and what you got back in return.

    • hamtime says:
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      @hamtime: would you also trade tjones for middleton? tjones is turrible recently

      • Matty

        Matty says:
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        @hamtime: Yes. I’d rather have Middleton. Houston is a mess, TJones isn’t getting a ton of minutes, and DMo is going to come back to muddy the waters. Middleton had a dynamite game last night (21/2/6/1/0 with five triples in only 24 minutes! He was in foul trouble but played great when he was on the floor). I think he’s a better season-long hold than TJ.

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @hamtime: 1) Absolutely – if you can get Middleton AND Hayward for just Favors, do it. Favors may very well end up the most valuable of those three assets at season’s end, but Hayward is starting to come on and Middleton is no scrub himself.

      2) No. Keep Collison.

      3) Hmmmm…I’d say Mo is the most valuable as he’ll still have value playing 25’ish minutes off the bench even when Kyrie returns. Then I’d have to go Beverley (feels like the Rox are already giving up on Lawson), Henson (he is just too talented – and is getting paid too much – to continue playing minutes in the teens all year), and finally Gerald Green who is frustratingly inconsistent and…ummm…”unstable” in a city that is known to encourage bad decisions.

  14. Tyler says:
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    Hey Matty, wanna hear your thoughts:

    drop stanjo for ty lawson?

    Which side would you take?
    Wiggins+Jabari+KCP or Mirotic+Holiday+MarvinWilliams

    • Tyler says:
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      @Tyler:
      Or maybe drop StanJo for Nurkic?

      • Tyler says:
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        @Tyler: olynyk and stauskas are also available

      • Matty

        Matty says:
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        @Tyler: I’d rather have StanJo. Nurk will get eased into the mix slowly and even when he’s back to 100% he’s entering a messy Denver frontcourt rotation.

        • Tyler says:
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          @Matty:
          How about olynyk or stauskas?

          • Matty

            Matty says:
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            @Tyler: Still StanJo. Olynyk has a pretty metrics-friendly game if he gets minutes, but with that Boston frontcourt situation you need MULTIPLE injuries/trades for that to happen. Amir Johnson battling an ankle won’t be enough.

            And I’m pretty much out on Stauskas. Shooting really poorly, Covington is coming on, Marshall & Wroten getting closer to returns every day, and Sauce is battling a knee issue for the second time in a month…pass.

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Tyler: No. Steer clear of Lawson. Rockets are done with him now that PBev is back and Terry is serviceable. Lawson will need a trade out of Houston to a PG-desperate (and I mean DESPERATE) team who will give Ty the run. At least StanJo has some upside if a Detroit wing player gets hurt.

      And in that trade, I’d go for the Wiggins side…though there are a LOT of inconsistent players involved in that deal. It probably depends on the week as to which side I’d lean, but as of right now I think you have to just go with the side that has the best player with the highest ceiling and that’s Wiggins.

  15. jonny says:
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    Hey Matty, good stuff as usual. My moneys on the raptors to be the ones to finally take down the dubs! lol

    Would you drop stanjo for jeff green or chalmers? looking for long term value, not sure if green is gonna be that consistent when randolph is back.

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @jonny: Thanks, jonny. Appreciate it and happy to hear you’re enjoying the content.

      I wouldn’t hold your breath on the Raps taking down the Dubs, but it’s possible. They played them tough at Oracle nine days ago. Plus, it will be the third straight road game for GSW (though they’ll be on a couple days rest).

      The game I’m actually really wondering about is December 12th against Milwaukee. It’ll be the second half of a B2B for the Warriors and the last game of their seven-game road trip. They’ll have played a reasonably paced game the night before in Boston and they’ll be crossing a time zone. All of those things may add up to a letdown against a team that has enough depth and talent to give ’em a run.

      I agree with you on Green seeing a drop in value once ZBo is back. But Wright doesn’t sound like he’s that close to a return and the Griz frontcourt rotation is pretty thin. They’ve won their last couple games with Green playing heavy minutes at the 4. So there’s reason to believe he’ll still see close to 30 MPG with minutes split at SF & PF once everyone is healthy. But if we’re looking at a season-long stash, it’s really close with Green & StanJo. I love Johnson’s potential if Marcus or KCP get hurt (or Ilya and they have to slide people up a position and play more smallball). I think I’d lean Johnson, but it’s really close.

  16. Hamtime says:
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    Am I giving too much if I trade my favors + goran for Hayward kmid nurk?

    • Hamtime says:
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      @Hamtime: can also do my favors + tjones for Hayward nurk Middleton

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Hamtime: Tough to say. Goran is starting to come around ever so slightly, but then again, so is Hayward. I think I’d hold off for a bit (maybe another couple weeks) to see if Hayward’s run continues.

      • hamtime says:
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        @Matty: Thanks. The guy is willing to accept tjones+favors for kmid, hayward, nurk, but i would need to throw in either pbev or nemanja. Do you like the trade or still suggest to hold?

  17. 123 says:
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    Hey man…joining a daily fantasy contest for the first time on Friday. Who should I pick for Friday for max production? Thanks!

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @123: Hey, 123. Good luck tomorrow night. Hope you enjoy it. The advice is going to be dependent on whether you’re playing a GPP (i.e. tournament) or a cash game (i.e. 50/50, H2H). Quick & dirty is that you want high ceiling guys in GPPs because they usually only pay top 20% (at best) and you want more predictable (higher floor) guys in cash games since you only have to beat half the other contestants.

      A couple games you’re going to want to target are: GSW @ PHO (guard-heavy), WAS @ BOS, and NOP @ LAC – those are your three highest over/unders, so there should be the most production coming from there. Also, there’s the “revenge game” narrative for Reggie Jackson going back to OKC in what should also be a high-scoring affair.

      At PG it’s going to be tough to fade Steph Curry against Phoenix. He could drop 40 pretty easily. Keep an eye on Rubio’s status – if he sits, Lavine becomes a really nice play in Sacramento. I also wouldn’t be afraid to go with Ish Smith (if Tyreke sits again) as he’ll come in against the Clippers godawful second unit.

      At SG, Harden is going to be the highest salary but the blowout factor could be in full effect, especially if Okafor gets suspended for punching a dude. Maybe look to save some salary here and go with a guy like JR Smith who has scored at least 15 points in his last five games and his salary hasn’t quite caught up to it yet.

      For a SF, maybe look to ride the hot hand of CJ Miles? If his stroke is like it was on Tuesday, he’s going to easily outscore his price. Jeff Green is also worth a look if Zach Randolph can’t go.

      At the 4, how can you not go with Anthony Davis? It’ll be really tough to fit both he and Steph on the same roster, but if you can find enough value on a big slate, you might be wise to do it. Draymond can save you a few grand in salary and should get a lot of run and production in a smallball game vs Phoenix. And as a value option, maybe try to find a Philly bench big who is in line to get more minutes if Okafor faces discipline from the league.

      For a center, Greg Monroe could be a nice play against a Magic frontcourt that isn’t exactly defensive-minded. Marcin Gortat can save you a few bucks here and has had two nice outings in a row after a slow start kept his salary way down there.

      Overall I would stay away from San Antonio players because they’re playing in the altitude (Denver) and are on the front end of a B2B. The rotation will probably be 12-deep and I’d be surprised if anyone not named Kawhi plays over 30 mins.

      Hope that helps. It’s a big slate so it’s tough to really go into all of the matchups, but I always look to see which games Vegas thinks will be highest scoring and try to grab the surefire studs to have some exposure there. Then I look to find value as a result of injury (i.e. Lavine if Rubio is out) or suspension (i.e. a Philly big if Okafor is out).

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