During the summer months, I try to predict the rotations and minutes allocations for each team. Then, I go to each player and figure out the per-minute production in each category. Multiply those numbers by the minutes played projection and…POOF! Per-game value of each player. Last season, I felt per-game wasn’t enough so I added totals to the equation. I weighted the total z-scores by 75% and the per-game z-scores by 25%. I’m continuing to learn, grow, and refine my process so we shall see how it comes out this season. After all that, the sheet is sent to the Wizard of Razzball, Rudy, who packages all the data and produces the aesthetically-pleasing and user-friendly sortable table that you have all become accustomed to at Razzball.

You can find the table by clicking on the RANKINGS tab on the basketball homepage or Preseason Projections.

 

  1. Moshe says:
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    was waiting for that, thanks Son.

    but a little question for the less.. what’s DD% and TD%?

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Double-doubles and triple-double. Rudy did some stuff for Fantrax

  2. Pedro says:
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    Hola Hijo!!!

    So was I.

    I was meant to do the draft last week but we had “technical problems” which is good because i now have your lists.

    A few doubts.

    1. I have the pick number 1 (pick 18 last year and i finished second!!!!!) and I am thinking of AD (99,99%). No objections, I guess.
    2. I am also thinking about a punting assist strategy. What are your thoughts about that?
    3. Because we are 18 people in my league, my second and third picks are 36 and 37, so I will probably have to choose between….. Aldridge, Hield, Otto… Would you consider picking Covington, which is a very nice kind of player for this strategy?

    Just to let you know my thoughts. AD – Covington, Hild (Aldridge or Otto if possible) – Shai, Oubre – Danny Green, Ibaka, TJ Warren (depending on my previous choices) – and then…. Marvin Williams, PJ Tucker, Clarkson….. bla bla bla bla…

    Gracias!!!

    • Son

      Son says:
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      1) AD or KAT for me

      2) I don’t like punting in general, so I’m the wrong guy to ask. Any strategy is viable if you plan and execute it. The table will allow you to access punt-assist rankings

      3) I prefer Otto over Covington. It really depends how you want to attack the draft. Punting assists is one thing, but each of those players listed offer different things. As a result, whoever you choose will take you on a different path. I can’t answer that for you. Really comes down to your preference and vision.

      Ha! Anytime! Good luck with your draft. Be like water, as every draft is different. Often times, if you set your sights on a particular path, you miss out on value and opportunites that may present themselves.

  3. Max says:
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    Hey, man. Second year player right here. Last year i won whole thing, but this year it is going be tough. I have 10th pick, and do not know who to pick. Snake draft so i will have 10th and 11th picks. Who you reccommend? Pg and kawhi maybe? Simmons and drummond? Embiid?

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Congrats on last season. Time to repeat!

      I’m out on PG and Kawhi at cost. Check out my Top 25 for why.

      I’d like to come out of the first two rounds with an assist guy and big man. I’d consider Kemba/Trae with Drummond/Gobert/Vuc. I’d like that foundation upon which to build off. I’ve considered going big/big as well. Really depends on your personal philsophy and wants.

      • Max says:
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        I have also thought about kemba/gobert pair. Pretty much my strategy is to have all around players and tree open spots to improve sone cats to win vs my competition. (H2h 9cat). So i also think this pair is perfect for that.
        P.s. whats your take on embiid at first round?

        • Son

          Son says:
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          I’d be happy to start with a Kemba/Gobert pairing.

          I’m good with Embiid in the end of the 1sr

  4. Hunter says:
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    Hi Son,

    Trying to trade Kemba + CP3 for Harden + nobody. Do you think this is a fair trade? I am intending to do some 2 for 1 deal and take the open spots for lotteries on some sleepers or rookies

    • Son

      Son says:
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      I prefer the Harden side. Fair is a relative term, as everyone has different perspectives and team needs. With that said, the best thing to do is ask yourself this:

      If you owned Harden, would you accept Kemba/CP3?

  5. Jep says:
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    This year I have the 2nd and 14th pick along with Trae and Bryant keeper. I’m thinking KAT and Jrue or Curry and Vuc. Your thoughts on the better build.

    • Son

      Son says:
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      That’s tough. I’m going KAT/Jrue

  6. JamesY says:
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    Excited for fantasy to fire back up… got Keeper Q….

    16 teamer that’s been running 25 years now? We do a LIVE auction each year, lots of fun….

    You can keep up to 4 players. They have salaries Attached that increase each year on a sliding scale. The total of their salaries gets deducted from $200 and then that’s what you go into auction with to buy 4 more players…. WE THEN do a snake draft for 5 more players once the bidding portion is done.

    So it’s FPTS
    Point = 1
    reb = 1.7
    ast = 3
    trey = 4
    stl = 4.4
    Blk= 6.5

    I’ve got James Harden $64 no brainer keeper, ya just can’t toss any stud back. He’d go for $100 if I threw him back.

    Then who’s my best values? I could keep 3 others:

    Norm Powell $1
    Mikal Bridges $12
    Robert Williams $10
    D’Andre Hunter $10
    Poeltl $10
    NAW $10

    My gut right now is norm, mikal and robert williams like I have them listed, but I have this weird feeling I’m going to throw back NAW or Hunter and they’re going to be monsters…. Norm is the you know it’s going to be nice, but not lots of upside play, but then he’s only $1 which makes it harder to toss him back, spend more on one of those other guys, etc

    If I’m keeping Robert Williams I have an easier time letting Poeltl go, although I see him having a great year too… I can always go after all of them in the draft, but just hoping to lock them up at the best salary now because once they go back who knows….

    Any thoughts are Appreciated.

    • Son

      Son says:
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      I’m with you – Norm, Mikal, and Williams for me. I have both Mikal and Williams rated pretty high

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