This NBA DFS season has been kind of a roller coaster ride. The ownership of players is higher than normal. Seems like everyone is on the same value players night after night. If your high priced players you spend on don’t tank and reach value then you’re going to do well. So be smart and don’t take too many risky players. Also with the NFL, NHL and College Football going on too, be smart with your bankroll.
On Saturday we have a 7 game slate:
If you want to spend at point guard then look no further than Stephen Curry ($10,200) and John Wall ($9,600). Stephen Curry gets to play in a very competitive game at Houston with a over/under in the 205 range. Houston will be without their solid point guard defender Patrick Beverley. That’s a huge plus for Curry. John Wall gets to go up against Donald Sloan. Doesn’t get much better then that. This game doesn’t have a big over/under but should be a close game since it’s in Indiana.
If you want to go on the value side of point guard then take a look at Aaron Brooks ($3,200) if Derrick Rose is out and Isaiah Canaan ($3,000). As I mentioned above Patrick Beverley is out and Canaan should get 25 to 30 minutes. Don’t expect the world from these players, but if you want some studs you will need to play these guys.
Rajon Rondo will have a screw removed from his hand and will not play. Marcus Smart ($4,400) was taken off on a stretcher with a bad ankle injury on Friday night as well. So check the status of him, but my guess is he doesn’t play. Evan Turner ($3,500) could get the start at SG with Avery Bradley ($4,800) playing the point.
I think there are a lot of options at SG on Saturday. All depends how you want to construct your roster. If you want to spend, then plug and play James Harden ($10,300). If you want to go a little lower then I’m fine with Klay Thompson ($7,400) in the same game.
The guy I will have in my line-up is Jimmy Butler ($5,400). Jimmy Minutes continues to be under priced on Draft Kings. Take advantage of this cause his price won’t be like this for too long. If Derrick Rose is out again then that makes him that much better of a play. Put him in your line-up and sleep like a baby
Value players I like are Iman Shumpert ($4,100), Courtney Lee ($3,800), and Garrett Temple ($3,700). Iman Shumpert started at PG for the Knicks on Friday which helps his value. Courtney Lee continues to shoot the ball really well. Garrett Temple who we mentioned last weekend continues to be underpriced for the amount of production and playing he is getting.
With Golden State making a bad choice and bringing back David Lee too soon, Draymond Green ($5,700) steps into the starting role once again. Green is coming of his best game of his career. 26 pts, 8 rebs, 5 dimes, 1 blk and 1 steal against the Clippers on Wednesday. With not much to choose from at small forward on Saturday, this is the route I’ll be taking.
I don’t mind the price on Kawhi Leonard ($5,200) but I hate that Pop only gives him 30 minutes a game.
Shawne Williams ($3,900) has been a value play all year. He’s been a steady high 20s in points per game on our sponsor Draft Kings. So continue to use him if needed.
Power Forward seems like a spend position. If you want to spend, then Anthony Davis ($10,500) is your man. Not much to say except that he is a STUD. Pau Gasol ($7,600) should have no problem with the undersized Boston front court that gives up the 3rd most points to power forwards. Zach Randolph ($7,600) is another player going up against a soft front court in the Milwaukee Bucks.
Chris Copeland ($5,300) is as far as I am willing to go at power forward on Saturday. He took over the starting gig from the terrible C.J. Miles. He was averaging 30.6 mins off the bench and has a high usage rate of 26.8. If he shoots well, then he will have no problem exceeding value.
This is another spend position for me. Dwight Howard ($9,100) has a tough match up with Andrew Bogut, and Terrence Jones is out. He has 5 double-doubles on the season. His price is a little inflated after torching the Duncan-less Spurs on Thursday.
Chris Bosh ($8,800) has been real steady this year and there is nothing scary about a home matchup against Minnesota. Play him with confidence.
Marc Gasol ($7,800) is a really safe option and the price is good too.
I also don’t mind Roy Hibbert ($7,100) and Nikola Pekovic ($6,000).
On Sunday we have a 8 game slate. Not going to talk about the lone afternoon. Just the 7 night games.
Jazz at Pistons – Gordon Hayward seems to be liking the new uptempo offense of Quin Snyder. He is averaging 38.1 DK points. Derrick Favors is also a fine play. On the Detroit side, I really only like Greg Monroe for cash games. I’m fine Josh Smith and Andre Drummond in GPP’s. Smoove can shoot his team right out of the game and Drummond has a hard time not fouling guys. I don’t want any part of Brandon Jennings.
Kings at Thunder – Darren Collison, Rudy Gay and Boogie Cousins is all I want to play from Sacramento. Check the status of the Thunder players on Sunday. Jeremy Lamb came back on Friday and played over 40 mins. Reggie Jackson is also another 40 min player cause the Thunder don’t have much else. If you want to save a center then Steven Adams isn’t a bad option.
76ers at Raptors – Tony Wroten is coming off a career high 31 points on Friday and the safest play on Philly. Check the status of Nerlens Noel. He was out on Friday with a bum ankle. If you need a value players then Hollis Thompson, Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, and Brandon Davies are not bad options. The only Toronto players I am really looking at are DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry. The rotation is kind of a mess otherwise.
Heat at Mavs – Chris Bosh goes up against a tough defender in Tyson Chandler and Dwyane Wade, if he’s not too expensive, are both taking on a Dallas team that forgot how to play defense. Shawn Williams (see above) for a value play. The Mavs rotation is congested. I like Monta Ellis, Chandler Parsons and Dirk Nowitzki but they need to be priced right.
Warriors at Suns – Not much to say here. Play Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green. I don’t know what to make of the Suns. One game the starters are playing starters minutes and the next game you’re left scratching your head. The only player I feel comfortable playing in cash games is Markieff Morris. If Eric Bledsoe is priced decent I wouldn’t fault you for using him. There isn’t enough ball to go around on the Suns IMO. Seems like it’s a different player each night.
Nuggets at Trailblazers – Ty Lawson was a late scratch that screwed me on Friday. If he is out fire up Nate Robinson. He should be cheap. Brian Shaw doesn’t seem to be happy with how this team is playing which isn’t good for DFS purposes. As usual just play the starters for Portland.
Hornets at Lakers – The Lakers are a train wreck. Fire up Al Jefferson, Kemba Walker, Lance Stephenson and Michael-Kidd Gilchrist. I usually don’t stack teams, but you can stack the Hornets on Sunday. As for the Lakers it’s Kobe Bryant and that’s about it.
Get over to Draft Kings and get in on some NBA action. They have games at all different price points.
Don’t forget to check twitter for any late scratches and player news. As always you can catch me on twitter @realdaddybigs or leave a comment below. Good luck this weekend in your games.