Sorry folks, there will be no lengthy lead-in for this edition of the Daily Notes. (And likely very little attempt at clever humor.) I’m a bit under the weather and doing my best to spill any digital ink on the page at all. I hope everyone is cool with me just jumping right in to The Good, The Bad & The Noteworthy for Tuesday’s five-game slate so I can catch a few extra ZZZs.

 

THE GOOD

Ersan Ilyasova – 19/6/1/3/0 while connecting three times from beyond the arc @ the Mecca. He was coming in off three straight games of single digit scoring, so Tuesday’s effort was a welcome sign for his owners who are now hoping he can build some momentum and work his way towards top-120 value (currently sitting 135th in 9-cat per-game).

Carmelo Anthony – 24/6/6/1/0 for Melo with a couple treys in a team-high 38 minutes. He still isn’t even posting third round value on the year as his TOs and FG% continue to weigh him down. But with the Knicks fighting for a low-end playoff seed in the Eastern Conference, Anthony will have all the incentive in the world to play his best ball in the second half of the season.

Atlanta Frontcourt – When your team scores 121 points in regulation, you know there was going to be a number of sweet fantasy lines. That’s exactly what happened with the Hawks as they scored at will in Houston. Al Horford found his long distance stroke, canning a career-high five 3-pointers on his way to 30/14/2/1/1. Paul Millsap tried to keep pace by posting a 22/13/4/1/5. And the Hawks’ starting SF, Kent Bazemore, was dialed in from deep as well, knocking down five triples in a highly efficient 26/3/4/2/0 line that included 7-13 from the field and 7-8 from the foul line. Horford and Sapper have been killing it all year and owners can expect both guys to flirt with first round value, while Bazemore has surprised just about everyone (likely including Hawks coaches and management) and is a fourth round fantasy asset season-to-date.

Dwight Howard – Howard held his own against the versatile Atlanta bigs, matching Horford’s 30 points to go along with 16 boards, three dimes, a steal and a block. Unfortunately he was only 10-18 from the line as the high volume, low percentage FT shooting continues to be a bugaboo for fantasy owners rostering Dwight on a “balanced” (see: non-FT punting) team.

Michael Carter-Williams – The Bucks and Thunder got into a full blown track meet and there were a number of beneficiaries, perhaps no one more so than MCW. He narrowly missed a triple-double with 19/9/9/2/0 and connected on his only 3-point attempt. It wasn’t all roses though as he missed four of his six freebies, but offset that by only turning it over twice in 32 high-paced minutes. It remains to be seen how things will shake out once Milwaukee has all their arrows in the quiver (just got Jerryd Bayless back and are still waiting on Greivis Vasquez), but Carter-Williams looks like the Bucks PG to own for the moment.

Khris Middleton – The man that JB affectionately refers to as “The Duchess” poured in a season-high 36 against the Thunder, helped along by six 3-pointers. He added seven dimes, a steal, and great percentages for a line that should give his owners a big smile.

Russell Westbrook – Just another day at the office for Russ: 27/7/7/5/0. No triples and he turned it over three times, but there’s far more good than bad here.

Enes Kanter – 23 points in 22 minutes is really making the most of your minutes. Kanter added eight rebounds, an assist and two steals for a highly productive, if not somewhat brief, outing.

Marc Gasol – In a tough matchup against the league’s best shot blocker (Hassan Whiteside), the younger Gasol still had a great night. He went for 23/8/6/0/4 and made a perfect 7-7 FTs. He’s matchup proof and has been a second rounder in December.

LeBron James – In true LeBron fashion he had his sleeved jersey specially tailored so it wouldn’t be so tight around his arms, and maybe it actually did help as he produced for owners on Tuesday. 34/6/2/2/1 in 34 mile high (maintenance) minutes.

Will Barton – Thrill just keeps putting up monster lines. The last time he failed to score double-digits was November 24th and he’s now hit a 3-pointer in 17 straight games. On Tuesday against the Cavs he went for 29/7/1/0/2 with three triples. He is for real. And he’s here to stay.

 

THE BAD

Eric Bledsoe – Awful news coming from the Suns organization on Tuesday afternoon as they announced their star point guard (and leading scorer), Eric Bledsoe would miss the remainder of the 2015/2016 season. It’s a huge blow for both Phoenix fans and Bledsoe’s fantasy owners as he was posting top-25 value on a per-game basis in 9-category leagues. His minutes will be divvied up between a combination of players and production is certain to fluctuate as it has all year under indecisive head coach, Jeff Hornacek. Depending on what stats you’re hunting, any of Devin Booker, T.J. Warren, Ronnie Price, P.J. Tucker, and potentially even Archie Goodwin & Sonny Weems at some point could be useful fantasy options. Give it some time to shake itself out before cutting bait on any proven assets in favor of a hunch that one of the aforementioned guys will be the main beneficiary over the others.

Stanley Johnson – StanJo was coming into Tuesday’s game with four straight contests where he hoisted double-digit shots from the field. Unfortunately his minutes and usage took a dip against the Knicks and he struggled to 4/2/3/0/0 in 19 lackluster minutes. Not much has changed with his outlook – he needs an injury or trade to clear a path to more minutes and shots or he’s going to be really hit & miss for the foreseeable future.

Kyle Korver – Missed all ten…yes, ten…three point attempts. Kyle’s team scored 121 points and 119 of ’em belonged to Hawks with names other than “Korver” on the back of their jersey.

Patrick Beverley – When you’re the starting PG on a team that scores 115 regulation points, you quite simply need to do more in the box score than 9/0/1/0/0. Despite the two long balls, Beverley is a prime cut candidate with Ty Lawson seeing more minutes (and production) off the bench as the Rockets try to artificially inflate his trade value.

Luol Deng – 34 minutes of not a whole lot. Deng went 6/2/4/0/0. He connected on a couple shots from deep but he’s barely clinging to top-100 value even with minutes safely in the 30s.

Kevin Love – K-Love couldn’t find the range in Denver. Chalk it up to the back-to-back factor, the fact he hurt his hand on Monday, or the altitude of playing in Denver, but Love went only 4-16 from the floor, missed all five attempts from beyond the arc, and both from the stripe. He salvaged a bit of value with 14 boards and two steals, but he needs to clean up the shooting stroke if Cleveland is going to become the elite team everyone says they should be.

 

THE NOTEWORTHY

Robin Lopez – Seemingly out of nowhere RoLo played 36 minutes (a season-high) and posted 11/7/2/1/6. His minutes are fluctuating from the teens to the 30s, largely depending on matchup, so he’s a really tough guy to count on night-in/night-out. On the year he’s outside the top-150 and Tuesday’s line seems more like an aberration than a sign of things to come.

Houston PFs – With no Terrence Jones (out with an illness), both Clint Capela (17/10/2/2/1 in 30 starter minutes) and Donatas Motiejunas (6/7/2/1/1, two 3-pointers in 27 bench minutes) posted versatile lines. Like a few other unsettled rotations around the league, the Rockets PF spot is tough to really get a feel for. All three guys have big upside if given a consistent 30 minute role, but the wealth of options makes each one a bit of a gamble rest-of-season.

Dennis Schroder – DNP-CD and I don’t know why. Shelvin Mack got his run and was awful (-19 rating in 14 minutes).

Cameron Payne – Looks like the rook has jumped D.J. Augustin (DNP-CD) on the depth chart and is taking advantage of the opportunity. 16/3/3/1/0 with a pair of threes in only 16 minutes. Definitely someone to look at in dynasty leagues but he still belongs on the wire in single-season leagues while Westbrook is healthy.

Dwyane Wade – Wade was a bit iffy coming into this one but appeared fully healthy as he played 37 minutes. He went 19/5/5/3/0 which was nice, but miss four of five freebies. He has been remarkably healthy season-to-date and is inside the top-75 players in December. On name value Wade feels like he should be higher, but he’d have to go on one heck of a run to threaten the top-50 this season.

Zach Randolph – ZBo re-entered the starting five and Memphis came away with an OT win against the Heat. Randolph was efficient, scoring 17 points on 7-10 FGs and 3-3 FTs. He chipped in seven boards and three dimes, but was typically absent in the defensive categories. He deserves to be owned in most formats, but anyone expecting him to be a top-100 player is going to be disappointed.

 

OPPORTUNITY IS EVERYTHING

Players who saw over 36 minutes of floor time on Tuesday:

Ersan Ilyasova (36), Marcus Morris (36), Andre Drummond (36), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (38), Carmelo Anthony (38), Robin Lopez (36), Al Horford (36), Dwight Howard (38), James Harden (39), Chris Bosh (41), Hassan Whiteside (37), Goran Dragic (41), Dwyane Wade (37), Giannis Antetokounmpo (40), Khris Middleton (37), Serge Ibaka (36), Kevin Durant (39), Kevin Love (36).

 

That wraps up another Tuesday evening in the Association. As always, if you want to chat waiver pickups, DFS plays, or anything else fantasy hoops, drop me a line on Twitter @moneyballmatty. Cheers.

  1. dom says:
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    hey matty hope you feel better. was wondering if you could help me strategize a bit

    I’m trying to figure out my PG, SG, and UTIL spot for tonight in my 9 cat league

    punt TO, I’ve huge lead in blocks, and trailing in 3’s it’s close but he has Curry so I’m considering punting that as well as if I win most the other cats I’ll win matchup.

    that leaves FG%, FT%, REB, AST, points, steals to focus on. Who should be the odd man out between Jordan Clarkson (@BOS), Andrew Wiggins (UTA), Ish Smith (@SAC), and Wes Matthews (GS)? Wiggins is prone to empty lines but could put up a big scoring night. Smith’s FG% is bad but assists would be very helpful. Maybe sit Matthews although he’s been playing well? Thanks a lot

    • dom says:
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      @dom: “Curry did not practice Tuesday and could sit out the Warriors’ next two games with an undisclosed lower left leg injury” hmm so maybe I wont worry about punting 3’s

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @dom: Hey man. Thanks for the well wishes.

      Yeah, with Curry looking like he could very well miss the next two games, that changes the dynamic quite a bit.

      Amazingly, I think Wiggins is your odd man out. He has the potential to murder your percentages while reliably only helping you in points. Just can’t count on him to give you much in boards, dimes or steals (though he does have three in his last two games).

      I’m a big Jordan Clarkson fan, though he has been struggling (especially that last game where he was 2-14. He’s shooting better from the FT line, he’s stealing the ball more frequently (13 in his last eight games), and his assists + boards are between 5 & 12 in all but one December game, so you’re not going to get a total dud there. I don’t love the matchup against a combo of Avery Bradley and potentially Marcus Smart, but he should be able to do enough even if he has another off shooting night.

      Ish looks like he’s going to be big time in Philly and gets a pace-up game against the Kings (O/U is 210.0). I wouldn’t be surprised to see something in the 16 & 10 range with a steal and a trey.

      Wes Matthews will be in a high-scoring game (O/U is 210.5) and has been killing it from downtown lately – 15 treys in his last four games!

      If it was my team, I’d sit Wiggins in the game that has the lowest projected total score of the night (10 games). I’d be a bit worried he blows up for 30, but it’s unlikely against a team like Utah, especially with the Wolves pretty much at full health these days.

      Good luck!

      • dom says:
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        @Matty: thanks that was well thought out and the right call. its halftime for sixers game and ish smith looks soo quick out there.

        for sunday stream, Garret Temple (MIA), PJ TUcker (@LAL), Crabbe (@DEN), or Sefolosha (@NYK)?

        • Matty

          Matty says:
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          @dom: Well, looks like sitting Wiggins was the right call. He was bad on percentages again, but he did surprise a bit with six boards and four dimes. Clarkson and Ish both had really nice lines though, so hopefully you went with them.

          Hmmm…for Sunday I’d say it’s between Tucker @ LAL or Crabbe @ DEN (but only if Lillard sits). I’m not a Temple fan and Sefolosha has gone scoreless in two of his last four games.

          Tucker gets a prime matchup against the defenseless Lakers, but there is the Hornacek factor to consider. Crabbe also gets a nice pace-up game in Denver, but he’s only reliable if Lillard continues to miss time. Gun to my head, I’m going Tucker.

          • Dom says:
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            @Matty: bleh can’t decide between playing Wes Matthews (NOR), Ish Smith (LAC), or TJ Warren (@SAC). The matchup is close in every category however I usually plan on losing TO. Who do you think I should start? Thanks

            • Matty

              Matty says:
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              @Dom: Hey Dom. You’re right, it’s pretty close and you’ve got three good options there. If possible, wait to see if Leuer is playing tonight for the Suns. If he’s not, I think you have to go Warren (who will likely start). He is coming off a career game so he’ll be riding a lot of confidence (in both himself and from his coach who should give him 30+ minutes). The matchup against the defense-averse Kings is primo. The game has a 213.0 O/U with a 6.5 point spread so you know there’s a really good chance for some big numbers on both sides.

              Both Ish and Wes are on the second half of a B2B so there could be some fatigue there. Ish also gets Chris Paul who should chew him up and spit him out. The Clippers, even sans Blake, are 13 point favorites so there’s definitely blowout potential here where the minutes go to McConnell & Marhsall.

              I would rank ’em: Warren (esp if Leuer is out), Matthews, Ish

  2. Steve says:
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    Matty,

    Have an offer on the table for my Hayward for their Noel and Oladipo. Obviously, this is a trade that sees me giving away a lot of a sure thing for two players with great upside and questionable roles. I would also have to drop Taj Gibson. Let me know what you think about the trade.

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Steve: Hey Steve. That’s a tricky one. Let’s break it down by how these guys have been (9 cat, per game) season-to-date and how they’ve been just in December…

      Hayward: season – 60th; month – 26th (trending up)
      Gibson: season – 151st; month – 106th (trending up)

      Noel: season – 132nd; month – 83rd (trending up)
      Oladipo: season – 103rd; month – 180th (trending down)

      So it looks like you’re better off keeping Hayward & Taj based on the ranks.

      That being said, there’s a couple other things to consider:

      1) Hayward has been without Gobert for the month and Favors for a couple games. Those guys will both be back sooner than later and the dynamic could change where GH isn’t needed to do quite as much. I think he’ll settle in the 50-60 range by season’s end given his lousy start to the year.

      2) Noel has been awesome over the last five. 10 blocks, 10 steals and only one game shooting sub-.500 from the field. He loves playing with Ish Smith, but we haven’t yet seen Ish + Nerlens + Okafor since Jahlil has been hurt. I’m not sure how the rook’s return will change the dynamic, but Noel’s arrow is pointing up regardless. He’s an attractive guy to have on your roster ROS.

      Personally, I think I’d pass. I’m a Gordon Hayward fan and I hate owning players on a Scott Skiles-led team, so I’m bearish on ‘Dipo. Can’t blame you for swinging for the fences and taking the deal for the upside, but I would prefer the safety of GH/TG.

      • Steve says:
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        @Matty: thanks so much for your help that’s what I was leaning toward

  3. hamtime says:
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    1. trade my dragic for dipo?

    2. drop smart for lawson, mahinmi, rolo or just drop him altogether and stream (3 moves/week)

    3. drop capela or tyson chandler to stash myles turner (16m 11cat)?

    4. drop pbev for calderon or tyler johnson (16m 11cat)?

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @hamtime: 1) No. Hold Dragic. Far safer than a bench guy on a Skiles team.

      2) I’m not a Marcus Smart guy and never have been. Gets dinged too often and he’s a lousy shooter. I would just stream as I don’t love any of your options as a permanent roster guy.

      3) Definitely don’t drop Capela. But I could see you cutting bait on Chandler in favor of Turner since Tyson isn’t doing much of anything, so you won’t miss his production. Just be aware that Turner could be a few more weeks before he starts returning any value. Indy is going to bring him along very slowly.

      4) I’m ok giving up on P-Bev, but not for Calderon and his inconsistency. Things could get even worse in NY if they’re serious about signing Tony Wroten. Knick guards are an avoid for me. Tyler Johnson has some appeal, especially if you believe Wade is due for an injury or rest. Miami also has nice schedule density with six of their next nine weeks 4-gamers.

  4. Hope you’re feeling better Matty. The Monta Ellis owner in our league is seeking a PF. What do you think of trading Dirk for him? H2H 12-team 8 cat (no TOs)

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @WNWDOTCOM: Hey man, thanks.

      It’s pretty close. In December Dirk is only outperforming Monta by five ranking spots in 8-cat. I’m not sure what to expect from the Pacers moving forward as Monta’s emergence seems to be coinciding with Paul George’s offensive struggles. Dirk seems like he is in a more solid situation and with Dallas right in the thick of the playoff hunt, I doubt he’ll be resting as much as he might have had the Mavs sucked like we all thought. Personally I’d hold Dirk, but it’s close enough that I can’t blame you for going with your gut if you think Monta has higher upside.

      • @Matty: Thanks for the response – I agree with you and am going to hold. I was talking to Pete about it last week, Dirk is such a difficult player to own. I didn’t draft him but got him for next to nothing as part of a bigger trade. No one is going to give me Top 30 value for Dirk and while Monta has been there over the past week, it’s come at a time when PG13 is struggling and CJ Miles is injured. Dirk is consistent, even though he’s no longer what he once was and closer to 40 years old.

        I’ll be honest I’m more scared of Dirk’s age than anything else but I also don’t think it’s a coincidence that he has been helping people win their leagues for the past three or four years. While not a Top 12 talent, he continues to outperform his ADP, providing some sneaky value. I guess my biggest concern is I hope he can hold up but the way he plays, he should have some extra left in the tank.

        Thanks again for the response dude!

        • Matty

          Matty says:
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          @WNWDOTCOM: You’re absolutely right – the only thing “sexy” about owning Dirk is looking up his ranking. His game is so metrics friendly and you never really think he’s going to be as high as he actually is.

          Agreed on him holding up. Not like his career-to-date has been predicated on athleticism or banging around in the low post for tens of thousands of minutes. No reason to think he’s all of a sudden going to break down, and he’ll fight through the minor stuff if his team is in contention (which they thankfully are to this point in the season).

  5. Everybody Loves Draymond says:
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    Is Biyombo an automatic drop now that Valuncias is back? Or should I wait and see how the minutes shake out? I was loving his REB/BLK. My team:

    PG- Rubio, Elfrid Payton, George Hill
    SG- Fournier, Wiggins
    SF- LeBron, Jeff Green, Dudley, Ilyasova
    PF- Draymond, Faried
    C- Al Jefferson, Biyombo, Nurkic

    NOTE: I just traded MCW for Faried.

    So I could drop Biyombo and pick up another big man like Kanter, Frye, Adams?

    Or grab a guard like Lawson, Schroder, Stuckey, Barea, Dellavedova, Tyler Johnson.

    Or just stick with Biyombo?

    • Matt says:
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      @Everybody Loves Draymond: I just dropped Biymobo myself for this reason. Your team will have a hard time winning blocks so unless you can pick up a shot blocker you may want to consider punting blocks and grabbing a guard but you have slim pickings there too. Kanter has been doing well lately so he might be worth grabbing, but with those options I can see just waiting out Biyombo to see what happens. He’ll still get you rebounds/blocks in limited action. Is Taj Gibson available? He’s a decent shot blocker until Noah comes back.

      • Everybody Loves Draymond says:
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        @Matt:
        Taj isn’t available. Best shot blockers available are: John Henson, Rolo, or Ezeli. Either of them worth the swap?

        • Matt says:
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          @Everybody Loves Draymond: I’d say just hang on to Biyombo until someone else comes along on your waiver wire or he is really bad. I think he should still get around 20-25 minutes so he’ll get decent rebounds and blocks (he was in foul trouble last game so only played 18 but still got 9 boards).

          • Matty

            Matty says:
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            @Matt: I pretty much agree with everything Matt said. I don’t love any of your WW options and I still think Biyombo will get minutes in the 20s which should be enough to give you 7-10 RPG and hopefully a block or two.

  6. Melo says:
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    Hey Matty, get well soon!

    Yeah, that Bledsoe news is a huge bummer, i picked up Bayless instead of him, for now, it was him or Trey Burke, but I already own 3 Jazz players, so I’ll roll with Bayless. The big thing I’m waiting for now is the trade deadline, I snatched Reggie Jackson last year 2 days before OKC traded him, so I hope I can get some good value again (I’m looking at you Jennings!). What do you think about Al Jefferson, should I wait with him or what, he’s just so unrealiable at the moment, and I don’t think it’s going to get better, Hornets were playing very good basketball without him in the lineup, and they’re ready to move in that direction, I think he’ll be in the low 20-s minutes wise, so there is no much upside, and I’m considering droping him for Nurkic who’s coming back soon. I know it will be a painfull start with him coming from a major injury, but it could payoff down the stretch in April.

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Melo: Thanks, Melo – appreciate it.

      Bayless was the right call over Burke in that situation. You don’t want too much exposure to the team with the slowest pace in the league.

      Tough call b/w Big Al and Nurk. I don’t particularly like either – Big Al because he is either hurt or suspended, and when he does play he’s looked pretty disinterested (and the Hornets are just fine without him). And I’m bearish on Nurk because he’s coming back to a situation where there are two other talented, young bigs in Lauvergne & Jokic who have both flashed some nice potential. I don’t see any guy averaging more than 26 minutes over the course of a month if all three are healthy.

      I’m probably not the right one to ask about this. I know Slim values Nurkic a lot higher than I do, so maybe fire that comment into his last REL post and he should hit you back with an answer…hopefully he’ll be able to make a more compelling argument on Nurkic’s behalf so you can feel better about the move! (if you make it…)

      Good luck.

      • Matty

        Matty says:
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        @Matty: Soooooo….I just saw the Big Al news. Looks like you’ve got your answer – dump him for the upside play in Nurk. This looks like a lost season for Jefferson and hopefully Nurkic can earn himself a steady 24-26 MPG role and produce some nice post-All Star break lines for you.

        • Melo says:
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          @Matty:

          huh, can’t believe this, first Bledose, now Big Al (he did not play very well at all, but still..) I’m still undefetaed in my league, and I had a pretty good team, but I can’t fight injuries, we’ll see how it goes from here..

          • Matty

            Matty says:
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            @Melo: Yeah, nothing you can do about injuries – sometimes you just get bit and wonder “why me?”

            Bledsoe hurts the worst because he was ballin’. Big Al at least wasn’t someone you were relying on for much of the year, so you should be able to absorb the blow a bit easier there.

            Fingers crossed that you have better luck with player health in 2016!

  7. Billay says:
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    Hey Matty, thanks for the updates despite your health.

    A) Would you trade away PG13 and Dragic to get Durant?

    B) Would you trade away Horford and Gallo to get Towns and Teague?

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Billay: Billay! What’s up, man? Yeah, I wanted to get something on the page for you guys to read over your morning coffee. I feel bad it’s not quite up to standard, but it’s better than nothin’!

      A) Yes. If you can get KD for those two, do it. I am a Paul George owner and I HATE watching him play right now. Man has he ever gone soft. He is so focused on being “wronged” by the refs that he has abandoned the idea of getting anywhere near the basket (i.e. that place where shots are easier to make, but where you’re more likely to have to play through contact). His shot chart in the second half of December is an absolute embarrassment. I wish I could trade him where I own him, but it’s a no-trade league so I’m stuck with his mid-30s shooting percentage. Dragic isn’t likely to reach his draft day value this year, so in my mind you’re trading a 2nd or 3rd rounder (PG13) and a top-75 guy (Dragic) for a legit top-5 asset. You do that deal and smile.

      B) Oh man. I am a huge Horford guy. Love him. But I feel very similarly about KAT! Both guys are legit top-20 threats, with a slight edge going to Horford only because “he’s been there before” so the concern of a rookie wall is absent. I like Teague better than Gallo, especially now that Schroder is in the dog house. There’s no way Shelvin Mack is going to demand as many minutes as Schroder did in the backup PG role. Mind you, that won’t last, but it looks like Teague has a clearer path to minutes for the time being. I guess I’d lean ever so slightly towards KAT & Teague, but it’s close.

  8. sliimbo says:
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    hey boss

    who do you like in a 9 cat ros

    Marvin Williams or Matt Barnes

    thanks

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @sliimbo: sliimbo – what’s good?

      Probably Marvin Williams. Even before Barnes got suspended his game went into the tank. Last three games he went 2, 7, 5 in the scoring column and was only 2-10 from deep. He still contributed the defensive stats that made him nice for a stretch while Randolph was benched, but I think that’s his high point for the season and he’ll be a very borderline ownable asset moving forward.

      I just saw the news about Al Jefferson undergoing surgery, so that definitely bumps up the other Hornets’ frontcourt rotation players, including Marvin Williams. He’s your guy in this pair.

  9. Margaret says:
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    Would you trade John Wall and Kevin Love for Chris Paul and Marc Gasol?

    Thanks.

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Margaret: Hey Margaret, how are ya?

      It’s an interesting swap of players since Gasol is really the only one in a “set” situation. Each of Wall (Beal), Love (Irving), and Paul (Griffin) are waiting for superstar teammates to return to the court and the usage/offensive flow changes when that happens.

      That being said, I think I prefer the CP3/Marc side.

      Crazy stat – on a per-game basis, John Wall was ranked 115th in 9-category leagues in November when he was playing alongside Brad Beal. In December (most of which Beal has missed), Wall is 5th. So when Beal comes back, it reasonable to assume that Wall’s value will take a bit of a hit (though not by 110 ranking spots, I’m sure).

      This is the best time to sell Wall at his peak value for the season. Getting CP3 & Marc Gasol back for him & Love is a good haul. I’d do it.

      • Margaret says:
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        @Matty: Thanks for the advice. I’m going to take the trade offer. Hope you are feeling better soon.

  10. Sneaky Pete says:
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    How’s it going Matty? I was wondering what your thoughts were on Kentavious Caldwell Pope vs Otto Porter Jr for the rest of the season heading into the playoffs.

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Sneaky Pete: Hey, SP.

      I prefer Porter. Despite KCP getting huge minutes (3rd in NBA at 37.6), he’s about two rounds of value less than OPJ on the season. Otto doesn’t really kill you anywhere whereas KCP is a major drain on your FG% and gives you nothing in boards or blocks.

      If KCP can’t crack the top-75 in 37.5 minutes, he’s probably never going to, whereas Porter is doing his damage in about six fewer MPG.

  11. Steve says:
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    In a h2h points league 12er(no 3s).
    Here is my roster:
    G: C. Paul, Jack, Rubio, Payton, Clarkson, Matthews, Collison
    F: Draymond, Gay, Wiggins, Porter, Carroll
    C: KAT
    I’m currently in 4th and like my team but I’m obviously super light at center and would like more depth at that position. Few people seem willing to trade in this league, but the centers with owners who might be open to a trade: Griffin, Kanter, Aldridge, Sullinger, Monroe, M. Gasol, Poison Goose, Randolph
    Wire options aren’t great: A. Johnson, C. Zeller, Henson, Len, Hill

    Can you recommend any moves/trade offers I might make? Thanks!!!

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Steve: Well, you’re really stacked in the backcourt, so you could afford to move a guy like Jarrett Jack who is valuable in a points format. I like both Clarkson and Collison to have big post-All Star break runs, so I’d hold them. Payton is dinged up so you won’t get full value for him right now. And Paul is your stud who could be without Blake for a little while if his quad doesn’t heal up quickly.

      Monroe would be a favorite target of mine in a points league and his last two games have been down, so you might be able to get him for a slight discount. Randolph would be a decent lower end target because his points & boards work just fine in non-roto leagues, and he’s regained his starting spot.

      See what Jarrett Jack can fetch you, and failing that, I’d be willing to part with Rubio coming off a 10 & 17 game (his dimes & steals are his best contributions and they lend themselves better to roto scoring obviously).

  12. Dante Green says:
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    Sup Matty! So I’ve been bugging Knight’s owner for weeks now but he would not give in, altho he’s fine swapping his Dragic for my Wiggins straight up. Here’s the thing, with Bledsoe gone the opponents will prioritize guarding Knight which may result to poor % and higher to rate — in his last 3 he’s just shooting 35% from the field. In case you’re wondering why I still like Knight, it’s because I bleed purple and orange. Hah. So this is just an emotional thing, however, let’s just say the owner finally gives in and sends Knight for my Wiggins, am I actually making the right choice? Knight over Dragic? Getting rid of Wiggins is the best thing to do, now that I actually have a taker, but the Suns are a mess right now, and I think Dragic (with Miami) is a safer choice. JB doesn’t like Dragic, he likes Knight (lemme remind you that we had this conversation way before Bledsoe went down), but Bledsoe going down and the Suns’ organization in turmoil changes everything. Just wanna hear what you have to say about this man! Thanks!

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Dante Green: Hey, DG. Thanks for the comment. Must be tough to be a Suns fan these days with Hornacek jerking things around every five minutes. (Seriously, Leuer wasn’t THAT bad last night and he only gets 15 minutes and loses his second half start to a guy who has been a black eye for the franchise? WTF?)

      Even with all the increased attention on Knight (and poor early returns sans-Bledsoe), I think he’s the better choice over Dragic. Certainly more upside…but probably a bit lower floor too. If you can get him for Wiggins, you do it. Wiggy is a percentage killer right now and now doing enough defensively to offset that. With Rubio gobbling up all the dimes, KAT taking down all the boards, and them running a pretty deep rotation, this just isn’t AW’s year in roto.

      If you believe Wade is going to rest or get hurt, I could see you making a case for Dragic. But seeing as how that’s pretty hard to predict, I think you should go for BK.

      Let us know how it works out. And Happy New Year.

  13. Kris Janko says:
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    hey matty hope u feel better,
    quick one for you… korver has fell off and has been on my bench for a month if not more,
    is he dropable?
    i saw nurkic in free agency, and is coming back and i have al farug aminu , smart, and korver and i read your previous commet about smart i just think he has great upside
    i added nurkic dropped korver,
    should i go back and get korver back? or is it time to move on?
    thanks man hope ur feeling better!
    Happy New Years!

    • Matty

      Matty says:
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      @Kris Janko: Hey Kris – thanks. I’m hangin’ in there and my wife is far worse off than me, so I guess I’m lucky in that respect. Unfortunately it means I can’t fully embrace the “man cold”…

      Korver has been nothing short of brutal lately. He is the 111th ranked 9-cat player on the season, but was 176th in December, so he’s trending in the wrong direction.

      Totally understand you being higher on Smart than me. I’m probably the biggest bear on his prospects for both the short- and long-term. It’s a combo of his game, his propensity for injury, and his situation (ultra deep rotation) that screams “stay away” to me. So far I’ve been right about him, but that’s far from a guarantee that I’ll continue to be going forward.

      Depending on your specific needs (category-wise), I can’t really fault you for grabbing Nurk. In a vaccuum, you have to think that once Jusuf gets his legs under him and carves out a 24’ish MPG role, he should be able to post 10th round value (top-120) or better, which puts him right around Korver’s season-to-date range and better than Korver’s last month by a good margin.

      I think part of Korver’s issue this year is that the Hawks have more long-range shooters to space the floor. Horford is stepping out and connecting at a 34% clip. Sapper’s percentage hasn’t been great, but he’s still hitting nearly a 3 per game. And Bazemore is shooting by far a career-best .414 from downtown. So really, opposing defenses know they need to guard just about everyone in the Hawks starting five all the way out to the 3-point line and from what I’ve seen, Korver is being tightly contested on the majority of his shots, which explains the career-worst percentage.

      The other thing to make you feel more confident about cutting bait on Korver is that it’s not just his shot that is killing his value. He has seen year-over-year drops in boards, dimes and blocks, his steals have only improved by 0.1 and his TOs have held steady at 1.4. So he’s doing pretty much nothing at last year’s rate. This should give you some comfort if you’re worried about him posting top-50 value if he rediscovers his shooting stroke – EVERYTHING needs to improve.

      I guess that’s all just a long-winded way of saying: you (probably) did the right thing dropping Korver for Nurkic. From an upside perspective, you definitely did. And given how awful Korver has been lately, I doubt anyone will swoop in and grab him off waivers immediately, so if he shows signs of life, you can always drop that turd Marcus Smart for him! Ha.

      Happy New Year, Kris.

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