Share on FacebookTweet about this on TwitterShare on Google+

The new season began and god, I couldn’t be happier. All the watching and analyzing of meaningless preseason games, all the theory-crafting of the rotations and playing time belong in the past. The real deal is here. Let the fantasy season officially begin. This weekly column will be divided into two separate parts. The Buy column will contain players that are either sitting on the wire in most standard leagues (and they shouldn’t) or you have a good buy low opportunity, as they will outperform their current value for the rest of the season. On the other hand, the Sell column is dedicated to players that are either hurting your team and you need to flat out release them or players that are playing at a higher level than they will for the rest of the season (so it would be smart to sell high on them). I will point out that since it’s the first week of the season there are clearer buy than sell opportunities. Patience is a virtue and you might want to give some of the players at least another week before making any decision which you will regret later (Jokic last year anyone?).

Without further ado lets dive into the Buy/Sell for the first week.

Want the best projections and tools to help dominate your league? Check out the Stocknator, the byproduct of Rudy and machine making love. Click HERE for a FREE 7-day trial.

Buy

Boston backcourt: The unfortunate Hayward injury means opportunity for the young guys in Boston to accelerate their development and contribute right away. The main beneficiary is Jaylen Brown, who is playing 34.9 minutes with averages of 17.3/1.7/6.3/1.0/1.3/0/44.7/50/1. He seems ready for his larger role and is a good bet to return mid/late round value for the rest of the season. Marcus Smart and Terry Rozier also get a boost and will likely see their playing time hover around 30+ minutes. Smart is a beast defensively and grabs his fair share of rebounds for his position, but his fg% is abysmal. Obviously in a fg% punt he is awesome but for Roto I kinda prefer Rozier’s better percentages. Both guys are worth a look in standard leagues right now.

Joe Ingles: I have to confess my love for the Australian. He is an example that you can be a very useful NBA player without necessarily being uber-athletic. He reads the floor well, has a great 3pt stroke, and quick hands on the defensive side. He has started the season scorching hot from deep, making four triples with a 61.5 fg%. This paired with his two steals, 3.7 assists, and low turnovers (1.3) makes him a great waiver wire pickup and a trade target if your team relies on efficiency.

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson: The transition to PF seems to have worked really well for him, as he can abuse slower defenders to get his offense going and his defense was already good. Coach Asshat won’t play him more than 28 minutes of course (it’s the Nets remember) but he can still be a great source of blocks and efficient scoring with low turnovers, if he is sitting on your wire (50% owned on Yahoo). DeMarre Carroll is also worth a mention from the Nets because he fits their style of play and can get you some triples and steals with decent points on most nights (57% owned on Yahoo).

Superstars with slow start: Every year we see superstars having a slower start than expected and some owners are convinced that this is going to be the norm for their season. Don’t be that guy and instead try to take advantage of the situation and make an offer. Just to name a few of them, Jokic will not have 12.0 points per game for the rest of the season and Jimmy Butler won’t continue to shoot 39,5 % from the field.

 Sell

LaMarcus Aldridge: Maybe I’m taking a risk here calling him a sell because he has looked really good, but the potential return of Kawhi is too scary. Leonard has become a legitimate superstar and although he is a team player, his usage won’t be denied by anyone. He is currently playing with a 33.0 usage which is way higher than his 25.9 from last year. My advice is to take the risk and sell high before Kawhi returns.

Willy Hernangomez: The arrival of Kanter removed him from the rotation and I think it’s time for a drop. Hornacek will eventually come to his senses and play him but that might be closer to the second half of the season.

Gorgui Dieng: I can understand if you want to give the big man a week or two before making the cut, particularly if you drafted him in the middle rounds. However the truth of the matter is that he is just a bench big for the start of the season with Gibson getting the lion’s share of minutes at the frountcourt. Thibs loves his guys and plays his starters big minutes so Dieng needs an injury to become relevant in standard leagues again.

 

As always let me know in the comments your thoughts and your suggestions about players I have not included and of course all your fantasy related questions!

  1. 2rule says:
    (link)

    Hi kostas,

    What about selling collison for Msmart+WBarton

    • Kostas

      Kostas says:
      (link)

      @2rule: Depends on the size of your league.I wouldn’t do it in any league sallower than 16 teams.Generally i like the side that takes the best player in a 2-1 trade and in this situation collison is the best player.

      • 2rule says:
        (link)

        What do u say, my Collison+DFavors for JTeague

        • Kostas

          Kostas says:
          (link)

          @2rule: Nah,don’t like it. Collison is playing better than Teague and i don’t see why he can’t continue to produce in a Indiana team than needs his offense and playmaking.

        • Brent

          Brent says:
          (link)

          @2rule: I agree, I don’t think Collison is a sell-high candidate, he can do this all year on Indiana

  2. Rad says:
    (link)

    Drop Dieng for MKG?

    • Kostas

      Kostas says:
      (link)

      @Rad: I think you do it.Generally i preach patience in the early portions of the season but in my opinion Dieng is just a bench player for Minnesota right now and Thibs loves him some Taj.

      • Brent

        Brent says:
        (link)

        @Kostas: If Thibs were to be fired tho? Lol

  3. Bryce as Nice says:
    (link)

    Long term and short term, who do you lik better in a points league where double doubles and triple doubles are awarded bonus points:

    DeMare Carroll, Dejuante Murray, Avery Bradley.

    8 team league so ww is somewhat deep…..I have Carroll and Bradley but not Murray, who I want to add. Jrue Holiday is available too, but Lavine will be back soon enough. Rozier is out there too.

    3 adds per week, and already used 1 on Markinen yesterday.

    • Kostas

      Kostas says:
      (link)

      @Bryce as Nice: I think Avery is the best player of the bunch both short term and long term. DeMare in playing well right now and seems capable to maintainhis level of play through the season(he is a great fit for the Nets).Murray also showed potential with his 14 rebounds game but the eventual return of Parker will hurt him.I think you stay put or if you really love Murray you swap DeMare for him….

    • Brent

      Brent says:
      (link)

      @Bryce as Nice: I agree, Parker will hurt Murray because you know Pops will play Parker. I’m also preaching caution with relying on Zach Lavine to do anything of value this season. He could have some nice games late in the season, but I wouldn’t pass up on someone who can help you now, especially in a season-long points league.

  4. Philzilla says:
    (link)

    Coach Asshat? Don’t be ridiculous. You’re way wrong on that one bud. I have no bias here (not a Nets fan) other than my own two eyes. Atkinson is working miracles with a bunch of cast-off guys like D’Angelo, Carroll, Booker, Crabbe, while also developing youth like Levert and RHJ. He’s having them play at a crazy pace which more than makes up for the lack of minutes. Atkinson is becoming one of the most fantasy friendly coaches in the league.

    • Kostas

      Kostas says:
      (link)

      @Philzilla: It’s a nickname stuck from last year.They do play at a a crazy pace but sometimes capping your starters at 26-28 minutes can be frustrating.Still it was just a mention to last year,when he was not that fantasy friendly.I agree than he is doing a great real life job especially this year that he has slightly better talent at his disposal.

    • Brent

      Brent says:
      (link)

      @Philzilla: You have to admit tho…Dimwitty and Asshatson were made for each other

  5. Rob says:
    (link)

    Hi Kostas,

    How do you like the idea of my Klay + Marc Gasol for his Towns + Russell? How about Klay + Marc for Towns + Beverly?

    Thanks!

    • Kostas

      Kostas says:
      (link)

      @Rob: I like both trades since you get by far the best layer in the deal. Between Beverly and Russell i think i would go for the potential of the later, although i can understand if you prefer the defensive stats of Beverly.

      • Rob says:
        (link)

        @Kostas: thanks for the advice and I pulled the trigger for the Beverly + Towns deal since the other owner rejected the Russell deal. How do you like Beverly’s outlook this year? I Guess I will be the winner of the deal if Beverly can finish around 50. Also Marc Gasol is on fire in the first couple of game, do you think he could finish in the TOP 15?

        • Kostas

          Kostas says:
          (link)

          @Rob: I have very high hopes for Beverly,i think i have drafted him in every single league i play this season. He is in a great situation and can realistically be in the top 50-45 this season. Marc is off to a great start but i think a top 20-25 finish is more probable.

    • Brent

      Brent says:
      (link)

      @Rob: I would definitely lean towards the Russell deal. Russell is only going to get better as the season goes on, and in fantasy, I always go offense over defense

      • Rob says:
        (link)

        @Brent: thanks for the advice but the other owner also don’t want to give up Russell… have to settle with Berverly + Towns and hope I still get the better side of the deal

  6. Michael Choi says:
    (link)

    Hi Kostas,

    would you drop THJ for Danny Green?

    Thanks

    • Kostas

      Kostas says:
      (link)

      @Michael Choi: I’m a believer of THJ and i think the Knicks need his offense so he will eventually start making his shots.Keep in mind he was playing through a tweeked ankle so it’s possible it was bothering him. Still Green is balling right now and if you have anyone else on your roster worth cutting give him a look.

      • Michael Choi says:
        (link)

        @Kostas: Thanks for the reply! what about KCP or Jackson? Someone also dropped RoLo who I was looking at too!

        • Kostas

          Kostas says:
          (link)

          @Michael Choi: Depends on your team needs. Both KCP and RoLo are worth rostering. I am not sure if it’s Reggie or Josh Jackson you are referring to but both of them are a tier below the two players mentioned above…

  7. Daniel says:
    (link)

    Hey Kostas,

    So I’m in a 15 cat 11 team roto league, and was wondering if I should do this trade,

    I’d be giving up Gary Harris, John Collins, & Thaddeus Young for Mike Conley/CP3 & Skal/M. Chriss

    If so do you think cp3 is the better deal even with his injury uncertainty or Conley.

    Thanks

    • Kostas

      Kostas says:
      (link)

      @Daniel: I don’t know the rest of the categories you are using in the league and they might impact the deal.In a standard 9 cat league i think it’s an even deal,but i always prefer the side with the less players in a shallow 11-team league. Cp3 is the better player as he is a late first-early second round player when he is playing while Conley is a late second early third at best.

Comments are closed.