I usually start of the write up with some news or something positive.  Today I am going in a different direction cause I got something to rant about.  I want to know how people in L.A., New York, and Philly go watch these crap ass NBA teams play ?  I just don’t get it.  Don’t tell me that people go to see the players on the other team either cause most teams are sitting there stars when they play these garbage teams.  It’s not even bearable to watch.  Do these people have nothing else better to do or spend there money on?  If so give your tickets to some underprivileged kids that normally couldn’t go to a game.  The money these people spend on tickets and other things at the arena, I am sure there are a bunch of charities that could use that money.  I see Spike Lee at the Knicks game shaking his head and throwing his hands in the air in disbelief.  Really?  Don’t tell me you went to the Knicks game the other night and thought they were going to be competitive. It’s a flipping joke and it’s hurting the NBA.  And if Adam Silver thinks these teams aren’t tanking on purpose he’s a damn moron.  The only way these owners get the picture is if you hit them in the pocket and that’s by not going to the arena.  How does this relate to fantasy you ask?  It hurts season long leagues more than the daily side of it.  In season long you’re just screwed when your stud player sits or barely plays against these weak ass teams.  In DFS you have to be careful using high priced stud players against these teams.  Yeah, you look on paper and the matchup is off the charts but is that player going to be needed for his team to win.  We seen that most teams back ups are good enough to blow these teams out.  So really it’s better if the player or players just sit out and we get to use the back ups in a good spot.  It also creates much needed salary relief for your rosters.  I bet you are all saying “will this guy just get on with it already”.  Ok you win.  We a nice 8 game slate on Saturday night with some very nice match ups.  I also have a couple links down below about some industry news that happen this week.

http://www.bizjournals.com/newyork/blog/techflash/2015/01/fanduel-triples-revenue-draws-1-million-users-in.html?ana=twt&page=2

http://rotoexperts.com/88013/anthem-media-acquires-ludawgs-com/

 

Point Guards

The prices on point guards are expensive across the industry.  One matchup I like is Ty Lawson at home against Minnesota.  Minnesota gives up the second most points to point guards and last in the league in defensive efficiency.  Also Denver is ranked 5th in pace and Minnesota is ranked 6th.  So it should be a up and down game.

Just play Michael Carter-Williams when Tony Wroten isn’t in the lineup.  His usage rate without Tony Wroten in the line up is 27.3%.  MCW has the upside of the high priced point guards.

One of the reasons for the Atlanta Hawks success this year is the play of Jeff Teague.   This game at Chicago should be really competitive between two top teams in the East.  Vegas has Atlanta favored by 1 ½ with a 199 ½ O/U right now.  Overall the Bulls defense hasn’t been good this year.  They rank 21st in defensive efficiency against point guards.  I don’t think he will be highly owned which is good for your GPP’s.

Mike Conley sat out Friday with his foot in a boot.  Beno Udrih drew the start and played 29 minutes.  He had no problem meeting value as a cheap punt point guard option.


Shooting Guard      

To be perfectly honest with you I think shooting guard sucks on Friday.  As I write this I don’t see any value I feel comfortable using.  That might change as we get closer to line up lock.  If you play on Draft Kings where the positions are strict you’re kinda handcuffed.  Now if you play on a site like Fantasy Aces you don’t have to worry about playing a shooting guard.  No matter what site you are playing on James Harden is going to cost you.  The way he’s playing he should be expensive.  I’m not going to give you all these fancy stats for a stud player.  I will tell you, James Harden is in a highly competitive game against the Warriors who are the leaders in the Western Conference.  The game has a low point spread and 212 O/U.

The only other player I feel some what comfortable talking about is Klay Thompson.  I think he is site specific too.  I like rostering him on sites that give you 4 points for a made 3 pointer. James Harden should be guarding him and that’s not a bad thing.

 

Small Forwards

Robert Covington, where he is SF eligible, has a nice matchup against the Pistons who are 29th in defensive efficiency against the small forward position and give up the 2nd most fantasy points.

If you want a cheap value play, Derrick Williams got the start with Rudy Gay out.  The Clippers really have a tough time guarding the wings.

Check the status of Andrew Wiggins before you put him your lineup.  He left the game early on Friday night with an injury.

 

Power Forwards

Greg Monroe is playing a Philly team that gives up the most fantasy points to power forwards.

Taj Gibson got the start with Joakim Noah sidelined with an ankle injury.  He let us down on Friday night but you have to have a short memory.  Taj has a nice price around the industry in a highly competitive game.

Kenneth Faried had a slow stretch for a little bit but seemed to find his groove the last two games.  On Saturday night the same Timberwolves team comes to town that Faried torched back on December, 26th for a 26 points and 25 rebounds.  He seems to always play better at home too.  Minnesota is dead last in defensive efficiency against power forwards.

If you want a little cheaper exposure against Minnesota’s front court J.J. Hickson is an option.


Centers

Andre Drummond has the same great matchup as Greg Monroe.

Just like peanut butter and jelly go together, so does playing Gorgui Dieng against the Nuggets.    Plain and simple, he just owns the Nuggets.  In the two games this year he has a total of 36 points, 25 boards, and 7 blocks.


Don’t forget to check twitter for any late scratches and player news.  As always you can catch me on twitter @realdaddybigs or leave a comment below. Good luck this weekend in your games.

  1. danb

    Dan B says:
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    Kemba Walker is out today. Brain Roberts starts

  2. Joe says:
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    Trade Gortat for Plumlee? Take the gamble that Lopez is traded?

    • danb

      Dan B says:
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      @Joe: I would just keep Gortat

  3. Bye Felicia says:
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    Westbrook went hamm last night 64 DF pts
    I haven’t decided on a line-up for tonight but MCW is definitely going in with Wroten out.

  4. Bye Felicia says:
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    Oh btw, I said the same thing about teams taking when ATL sat Teague & Millsap earlier this week. People shouldn’t be purchasing tickets, rewarding this type of behavior. It’s cheap…. almost cheating imo. The NBA needs to crack down on this shit

    • danb

      Dan B says:
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      @Bye Felicia: A little more than half the league is playing for next year and beyond. The 7 and 8 seeds in the East don’t care about this year.

  5. patrick says:
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    I completely agree. other than people not going to the games, what rules could they set up to stop that from happening tho?

    Is greg Monroe for nurkic too much?

    Amongst kaman, pachulia and ed Davis, who has best value for the rest of the year?

    Also who has the best value for the next 3 weeks?

  6. danb

    Dan B says:
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    Yes it’s way too much. Kaman

  7. Worlds First Analrapist says:
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    12-team H2H 9-cat league (OREB instead of TO)

    Hey Dan, great write up!!

    I currently have Smart as my only droppable player. George Hill and Deron Williams were recently dropped. My weakest catagoies are Points and Asssists, but neither are horrible. Would you drop Smart for either Hill or Williams?

    Thanks

    • danb

      Dan B says:
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      @Worlds First Analrapist: Thanks man. Didn’t do too well on Saturday though. Want no part of Hill. There is no timetable for D Will’s return either. Smart is going to be playing and will get better as the year goes on.

  8. DANTEGREEN says:
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    Can u name a player from top 10-15 i could target in exchange for dirk+mcw? Not really looking to get a particular position but you can exclude a point guard cos i already have curry bledsoe colly and jennings, thanks alot

    • danb

      Dan B says:
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      @DANTEGREEN: Thats hard to answer. I am more of a daily then season long player. Ask one of our season long guys this question

  9. John says:
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    Would you drop Carroll for Middleton if you needed more steals? 9cat, H2H league.

    • danb

      Dan B says:
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      @John: No

  10. Anthony says:
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    So I have a situation in my 12 team, h2h auction league…We keep 6 and my last one will be Oladipo ($48) or Wiggins ($40). I’m trying to win it all this year and Wiggins trade value is through the roof. I just want to make sure I am getting the right value for him..I’ve been offered these two trades that seem like no brainers, but I’m loving Wiggins right now, and long term over Oladipo.

    Trade 1: Wiggins for Beal and Valan (Raptors center)

    Trade 2: Wiggins and JR Smith for Jennings and Noel

    I like both offers, but how much am I going to regret trading Wiggins and keeping Oladipo instead? Please help!

    • danb

      Dan B says:
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      @Anthony: Keep both Wiggins and Dipo

  11. WalleyWorld says:
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    I have a dynasty league question for ya. I’m trying to acquire Elfrid Payton and Jabari Parker. Here is what I have to offer.

    Kemba Walker
    Brandon Knight
    Victor Oladipo
    Shane Larkin
    Dante Exum
    Shabazz Napier
    Draymond Green
    Giannis Antetokounumpo
    Kris Middleton
    Anthony Davis
    Derrick Favors
    Nerlens Noel
    Bismack Biyambo
    Ersan Ilyasova
    Noah Vonleh
    Bruno Cobaclo
    IR – Julius Randle
    IR – Tony wroten

    So there’s my full roster. Not even sure if I should go after the two players I mentioned or just be patient with the team I have. Middling in the rankings atm, will be lucky to make a playoff push. I have already offered walker/vonleh and he said not enough. Thinking of giving up walker/favors but hesitant to do so. Any thoughts? Thanks! Love the site, keep up the good work.

    • danb

      Dan B says:
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      @WalleyWorld: Pretty much your whole roster plays on terrible NBA teams. Thats not good.

  12. Pickleball says:
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    Question. In a keeper league, do you think this deal is unfair?

    A minimum keeper in Paul George ($15) and josh smith (who is terrible) for a $100 serge ibaka, $25 jrue holiday, and $20 lance Stephenson. The guy with ibaka has 0 shot at making the playoffs and his best keeper is mcw

    • danb

      Dan B says:
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      @Pickleball: $100 Serge Ibaka? Now way am I paying that price for him

  13. WalleyWorld says:
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    Looking for some advice on a dynasty league. I’m trying to acquire Jabari Parker from an owner who has just put him on the block. He also has Elfrid Payton and I would like to swing deal for Parker for sure, and maybe both.

    My roster:

    Kemba Walker
    Brandon Knight
    Victor Oladipo
    Dante Exum
    Shabazz Napier
    Shane Larkin
    Giannis Antetokounmpo
    Draymond Green
    Kris Middleton
    Bruno Cabaclo
    Anthony Davis
    Derrick Favors
    Nerlens Noel
    Noah Vonleh
    Bismack Biyambo
    Ersan Ilyasova
    IR – Tony Wroten
    IR – Julius Randle

    So I have offered him Walker/Vonleh for Payton/Parker and he says not enough. Waker and Parker were taken in the same round of our inaugural draft and vonleh and payton were taken in succession in the nba draft, so I thought that was pretty fair.
    Should I offer Walker/Favors for Payton/Parker? Or maybe Favors for Parker straight up? Just stand pat and keep what I have? Thoughts and advice appreciated.

    • danb

      Dan B says:
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      @WalleyWorld: Larkin, Ersan, and Cabaclo suck. Get rid of them. You have 4 Bucks, 2 Hornets, 2 Jazz, and 2 Magic players. That sucks too. If it were me I overhaul the shit out of this roster. See what you can get for Noel.

  14. mamba says:
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    Time to drop Reggie Jackson for Elfrid Payton? points based league with extra points for double doubles, no negative points for field goal %.

    Reggie Jackson is a good stash but he’s barely playing lately and Payton is killing it right now. All the numbers say to pick up Payton before somebody else does. I don’t think anybody picks up Reggie Jackson if I drop him and in case he gets traded I can keep him on my watch list.

    Thoughts?

    • pickleball says:
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      @mamba: get elfrid

      • mamba says:
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        @pickleball: Maybe I’m just overthinking it but Reggie Jackson will have more value in the playoffs because Payton has a 2 game playoff schedule in the first round.

        average fantasy points per game in the last 2 weeks: Jackson – 19, Payton 27

        19 x 4 = 76 for Jackson with current production in playoffs
        27 x 2 = 54 for Payton with current production in playoffs

        Basically pick up Payton though because his regular season fantasy points will make up for less playoff points?

        • mamba says:
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          @mamba: Meant to put 2 games in semifinals. Orlando has a 4-2-3 playoff schedule

          • pickleball says:
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            @mamba: just find a replacement pg during that 2 game week. maybe reggie will be there to pick back up. elfrid is on your waiver wire he wont be for long. or shouldnt be.

  15. tmorgan says:
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    I have a unique question.

    We play in a very competitive keeper league.

    The keeper rules are such that you can keep a player at one round less than they were drafted (i.e. if you used a 12th round pick you keep as an 11th rounder next year). And you can only keep for 3 years. You also can only keep 4 guys. A round number 1 player stays as a round number 1. When you keep a guy you lose your pick for the round that you kept at.

    Keepers are extremely valuable. I am out of it this year (combination of drafting badly and players getting hurt). I am stocking for next year. I have the following possible keepers

    LeBron (round 1 – one more year)
    Markeiff Morris (8th round next year – 2 more years)
    N Noel (12th round – keep next year).
    T. Wroten (11th round next year – 2 more years)
    R. Jackson (10th round next year).

    I can get Danny Green who is a 12 rounder (keepable for two years) next year for Lebron and
    Faried (who has no keeper value as he was picked in the 5th and would be a 4th next year).

    The question is should I do it. LeBron would go back in the pool next year (as the person I am trading to would have the Brow who will be kept). Also coming back into the pool are Curry and Paul. So If I got top three pick (which is random out of 12) I could get one of those guys (the rest will be like Carmelo etc…).

    Would you make that trade for next year or role with the guarantee of LeBron?

  16. danb

    Dan B says:
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    Danny Green for LBJ and Faried? No wonder you’re out of it. No way am I doing that deal. Also Noel is way overrated.

    • tmorgan says:
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      @Dan B:
      You don’t understand. It is not for this year. It is for next year. 3/12 chance of getting someone like Lebron (or lebron himself) [actually 3/9 as the top three teams draft at the end] and Green with the 12th round pick (which is far better than his draft value).

      • danb

        Dan B says:
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        @tmorgan: You have to get a hell of a lot more for LBJ

  17. fields says:
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    Would you trade Wade for Monroe?

  18. DANTEGREEN says:
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    Is MCW a hold? Smart is producing fairly well

    • danb

      Dan B says:
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      @DANTEGREEN: MCW is the better option

      • DANTEGREEN says:
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        @Dan B: Thanks bud

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