Offseason podcasts – commence! We’re back with our first offseason episode for the upcoming 2015-16 season to talk the fantasy impact of what’s gone on so far in the NBA Playoffs, recap injuries with guys recovering from surgery, take a quick look at our way too early top 50 ranks, preview the upcoming NBA Draft with our thoughts on the top prospects, then wrap up with what we’ve been watching on the small and big screen.
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Hi boys!
Teague or Holiday in dinasty?
Thanks
@Toni Vidal Ribes: It’s close… close enough that Jrue’s injury risk isn’t worth messing with. Jrue being 2 years younger might lessen the gap a bit, but it’s too much risk for nearly an identical fantasy player.
@Toni Vidal Ribes: Yeah I agree, even though Schroder has some great upside and will challenge Teague for minutes here and there, still gonna be Teague for me
And I have two more questios:
McCollum and Cameron Payne.
What do you think about them and if you can compare with someone.
Thanks and congratulations for your hard work.
@toni: Payne is solid, I don’t wanna go Lillard because that’s way too high. But a tad taller, versatile scorer and should be close to a lotto pick out of a mid-major. Interesting parallels. Maybe more like an early Jeff Teague would be a good comp, with great passing skills.
McCollum hasn’t really emerged quite as we thought, and isn’t in the best situation. A 1/2 hybrid who hasn’t really found a groove at either. Had a good 3 game finish though. I thought he’d be able to get a few assists but seems more 3-pt oriented. Also his FT% is under 70 his first few years, which is maddening. Very KCP-ish.
Thanks for stopping by!
@toni: Cameron Payne is really interesting. He’s the closest thing I can find to this years Elfrid. Not in how he plays but in how his stock has climbed. His sophomore numbers are really good, granted it wasn’t against the best competition but still. 20 ppg, 2:1 Ast/TO, 2 stls, 2.4 3s. If he gets a starting job somehow then he could push for top 50 production just based on what he’s capable of. Lillard isn’t a bad comp but Lillard came out as a senior and started immediately. So I imagine Payne will be behind Lillard’s rookie numbers, even with a starting job, which I also kind of doubt. My guess… backup in OKC. However I could see someone trading up to get him ala Orlando and Elfrid last year.
McCollums value is 100% tied to Wesley Matthews who is a free agent. If Matthews returns then McCollum will have a tough time getting enough minutes to help us. But… if he’s gets the starting job at the 2, which I would prefer, then he could very well crack the top 100. I’m not sure he can get much higher though. Low end boards, assists. Good 3s, should be decent steals, low TOs. FT% is a fluke based off low volume. He was 82% for his college career. So basically he’s Wesley Matthews with risky percents. Or KCP. These type of guys are a dime a dozen in a 12er or shallower, IMHO.
Guys I finally got to listening to your pod! Took me an age with me starting a new job and all, and I always listen to y’all unimpeded, so I needed to find some time. Plenty to discuss..
So, @Slim, very curious as to why you think Favors’ scoring could actually jump up a little from last season, particualrly with a scoring guard in Burks coming back? In fact, between Burks, Burke and Hayward, that wing offense is gonna be quite ball dominant.. I fear that Favors’ scoring may regress, but his % could go up. Kinda like an Ibaka, offensively speaking, without the threes.
I’m with you guys on on picking Kawhi over Klay, but IF Duncan somehow decides not to return, do you see this guy being a top 5 or 6 pick, even in roto? Roto is essentially all I really play, so consistent brilliance is what I’m after. What about my boy Jimmy? Yes I was hoping that Rose wouldn’t revert to his ball-hogging ways, but alas.. on top of that, with Thibs now officially being let go, Jimmy’s mins are sure to plummet. And much of what he did last season was based on just being out there for long stretches. He and PG are my fav players. Speaking of, I’m liking your rank for George @JB Gilpin! I, too, think he can get back in a big way. He’s too good and that injury woulda been completely healed by preseason.
So, onto movies!! Dredd IS a fantastic movie and it warmed my heart hearing you say so, JB! I just tweeted after watching Mad Max: Fury Road that I felt Dredd was as good a movie without any of the buzz and critical acclaim the former is currently recieving (98% on rotten tomatoes ftw!?). Both showcase great world building, visuals, action.. Dredd is far darker, whereas Max has a greater visual scope. But yeah, I’m keen on Ex Machina simply because of the director.
I saw Chappie because of my James Hardon for Neil Blomkamp and holy sh*t, what happened!? I’m a huge D9 fan – story, the way it was shot, acting. All from a debut film director. Elysium was fine. So yeah, not sure how he pooped out such an atrocity of a movie, and thought casting a bunch of ratty underground SAfrican hip hop artists would help. Dev Patel (from Slumdog Millionaire) was just as crap. Hugh Jackman was an absolute cardboard cutout bad guy. Just terrible.
@JB Gilpin, I mentioned in a post last november that my director friend and I were collaborating on a short film. Well, he’s recently released the trailer: http://thisislekker.com/#!/exile
These finals are gonna be fantastic. Wish Bron played this well during the re season – dude would be a top 3 fantasy pick! Gonna be fun. I’m out.
@Lasandro: Awesome man, thanks for listening! Unimpeded, huh? this one musta taken a while to get through!
Kawhi – ummmm maybe 1 or 2 up, he might even be 1 higher in my ranks in Roto already with Russell Westbrook’s TO a problem.
Butler – Slim dislikes him more than me. Thinks he’s brittle, but now with Tibs gones, maybe the lower minutes keep him healthy? But I’d argue it hurts his value. Hah, you said the same thing! I left off after you mentioned him.
PG13 – Yeah I imagine some varying ranks, but no way I would let him go further, can only go up for me if he’s healthy.
I need to see Mad Max! I liked road Warrior the best of the original 3. Excited to see the new one. And excited for Ex Machina when I can get to it.
Hah, I’m gonna tell my best friend who loves Die Antewoord what you called them haha.
Whoa, trailer looks great! Very nice cinematography, and I might add you look dashing in a suit.
Oh man, yeah these are gonna be good finals. I would like to see the Warriors win, and beat the Cavs again in the finals next year and have LeBron walk again haha
@Lasandro: The big thing that I’m looking at with Favors is the “usage” of the other big next to him. Kanter was 25% whereas Gobert is only 14%. I think that should help Favors get more shots up. When I look at those 3 guards, and Exum, I see lots of low percentage long jumpers. I think for them to win they will need to take higher percent shots which I think should help Favors. Burks in particular I think could benefit Favors as guys come over to stop his penetration and leave Favors to either clean up the board or get an open shot. This is all conjecture of course but I really believe Utah as a whole becoming a better team should help every ones stats.
As for the finals… I hope Draymond covers LeBron, and that at least one game isn’t a blowout.
Hey Guys,
Will you be making a pre-draft fantasy rankings blog? My dynasty league does their rookie draft right after the draft is complete so unfortunately I can’t wait to here post draft rankings. I draft 5th, 10th and 11th. My thought is taking Mudiay if he falls, Winslow otherwise with the 5th pick. Then Payne, and whichever PG gets drafted by the Mavs.
What are your guys thoughts on prospects? Any merit to drafting Cauley-Stein or Stanley Johnson with the 5th pick? Obviously fit with team and competition for 25-30 minutes is the biggest factor but I’d like to take my best crack at who to draft before it happens.
@Nick: Just put out or mock draft this morning! We don’t really rank the rookies, but talk fantasy impact of each guy with the possibility of how they do on that possible team: http://basketball.razzball.com/jb-slim-mock-2015-nba-draft
Sounds like a good draft strategy! Only one I might not do is Mavs PG since I doubt they get anyone good unless they trade up. Our mock had me taking Jerian Grant for them who I don’t like that much.
Cauley-Stein for a blocks need I could completely see. He’s NBA ready for blocks/rebounding just offensive numbers anf FT% will hurt. Johnson seems to be going to the Hornets in all mocks (including ours) and with Mo Williams probably staying as well, it’s a lot of bodies for PG/SG/SF.
It’s certainly a down year overall, I think D’Angelo Russell if he indeed goes 76ers is the only guy that will be in my top 100 overall. Mayyyyybe Okafor, but the FT issues are so so bad.
Thanks for stopping by, hopefully our mock is close to what you’re looking for!