Razzball Hoops’ ultimate draft day tool is here! Well, actually whoever sniped Myles Turner before I could get him in my first RCL draft is the ultimate draft day tool! Slim’s projections in a sortable spreadsheet is back, and a huge thanks to Slim for all of his statistical Nostradamus-ing and Rudy for all of the… um… Excel-lent sort-ing… See what I did there?! These guys should’ve been the stars of CBS’s Numb3rs! I actually have no clue what that show was about, but if it was about fantasy basketball I’ll sure feel dumb… Rudy helped us get all of Slim’s projections in the Official Top 200 back into interactive mode, and he’s probably ready for a month off from math with baseball wrapping up. I can’t wait to see his charcoal drawings from his month away in Amish country! Anyway, here’s Slim’s 15-16 projections to utilize on draft day, and be sure to put them to test in the 2015-16 Razzball Basketball Commenter Leagues. Plenty of leagues open with October drafts, so sign up today!Please, blog, may I have some more?
Player projections for each of the next 7 days. A kick-ass DFS lineup optimizer and projections for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo!.
Previous “Jump Ball” articles:
9/26 – Kawhi Leonard v Jimmy Butler
TALE OF THE TAPE
|BLAKE GRIFFIN||SERGE IBAKA|
|Los Angeles Clippers||Team||Oklahoma City Thunder|
|PF, C||Position (Y! Eligibility)||PF, C|
|41st||9-Cat Rank (Total Value)||36th|
|28th||9-Cat Rank (Per Game)||18th|
|35.2||Minutes Per Game||33.1|
|27.0 (16th)||Usage Rate (Rank)||17.6 (T-194th)|
Auction drafts are chess, snake drafts are checkers! Pretty sure Denzel in Training Day agrees!
Nothing beats a good auction draft. Yes, they can be long, hard, and full of Kaman, but they also ensure you can get players you like as long as you’re willing to pony up the dough. Luckily this year has more parity across the first round, and you can spread your bets accordingly. Pre-Kevin Durant injury last year, it was back-to-back seasons of paying a ridiculous premium for the Slim Reaper since he was safe (ugh, I guess not really!) and so much better than the field. Now there’s a case to be made for any of the big 3 as #1 overall, I’ve heard KD even enter the discussion that high, some like DeMarcus Cousins over some of the PG, some don’t like John Wall as a first-rounder, etc. etc. etc. So while I do like the stars-and-scrubs philosophy, I don’t think I have to overpay too much unlike the past two seasons where I had KD in the high-$90s. However, I will note there’s a steep dropoff for me outside the top-10. And you’ll notice a bevy of guys at $1-$2. I’ll go in hoping to get two elites, a few mids, and a lot of dollar guys where I see value.
A big luxury of auction drafts is it’s much easier to maintain a team strategy. I don’t love punting in snakes, as guys that fit your build can be picked before you. But in an auction, you can build more efficiently and accurately. You can also punt positions – I would be all for getting two elite PG and having 3-4 $1-$2 high-upside bigs and hope I hit on one or two to flank some mid-range guys.
And one obligatory final note – I know I am high on Andrew Wiggins this year, so obviously if he hits $23 with only one team left bidding, don’t suddenly climb it with one bid from $23 to $39 willy-nilly! These suggested auction values are a framework for my ranks, and the price I’d go if drafting with 11 other mes. Ugh, horrifying, it’d be like having an auction draft in the “Malkovich, Malkovich, Malkovich!” scene!
Values are based on Yahoo standard line-ups (PG, SG, G, SF, PF, F, C, C, UTIL, UTIL, BN, BN, BN) and 12-team leagues (RCL size – and we need more leagues! Commish one now!) with a $200 budget:Please, blog, may I have some more?
The last two months of the NBA season can produce some extremely strange numbers. You don’t necessarily have to be a good basketball player to produce at the NBA level during these months. That doesn’t matter for winning fantasy leagues though. Numbers are NUMBERS:
2014/2015 NBA Season Final 2 Months Ranking 8-Cat:
Rudy Gobert (27)
Hassan Whiteside (63)
Jordan Clarkson (40)
Zach LaVine (85)
Nikola Mirotic (61)
What do all these players have in common?
-They were all undrafted or dropped to the wire in the majority of 12-team 8-cat roto leagues last year.
-They were all rookies or sophomores for the 2014-2015 season. (Whiteside excluded)
-They all provided top 100 per game value for the final two months of the 2014-2015 season.
Every year there are difference makers that arise throughout the final two months of the season. The correlation between winning teams and scooping up difference makers in the back end of the season cannot be underestimated. Below are some players I think may be able to break out in the final months of the season:Please, blog, may I have some more?
Previous “Jump Ball” articles:
TALE OF THE TAPE
|KAWHI LEONARD||JIMMY BUTLER|
|San Antonio Spurs||Team||Chicago Bulls|
|SG, SF||Position (Y! Eligibility)||SG, SF|
|12th||9-Cat Rank (Total Value)||15th|
|6th||9-Cat Rank (Per Game)||8th|
|31.8||Minutes Per Game||38.7|
|21.4 (T-93rd)||Usage Rate (Rank)||20.6 (T-112th)|
Ah, the big boys. Remember when they used to say you should build your franchise around a center? I actually have no idea if they said that, Patrick Ewing and Hakeem the Dream were peaking before my time! But it did seem to be the focus of the NBA, as then it shifted to Shaq and his Kazaam-type activity. Now the big slow C is the way of the past, with fantasy’s best C a do-it-all wet dream of gorgeous fantasy-a-tude. I’m just making up words I’m so in love! The best microcosm of this shift has been the oft-commented Luminescent Lithuanian, who is so hard to rank if the Raptors keep their big fellah mired in a 26 MPG role. We want to stretch the ball more! Ugh, frickin’ rotations and less minutes going around! Matty’s Minutes Men article is just depressing, I want to see guys go 40+ again. I’m getting rambly – Monty Python get on with it! – here’s the top C for the 2015-16 Fantasy Basketball season:Please, blog, may I have some more?
Bring the powah! In one of the more shiftiest of positions in the NBA, we now embrace the stretch-4 as if small ball is the cure-all for everything in the NBA, and have thrown out the twin towers philosophy. No more Monroe and Drummond and 800 pounds worth of NBA center clogging the paint! The NBA is getting more versatile, and I think we’re seeing it more with all the ways a PF can help you in fantasy. Dimes from LeBron, treys from like half of em, a lot of rainbow line threats… It’s as variant as Johnny Depp’s characters in Tim Burton movies! Oh wait, they’re all weird/bumbly/creepy, that’s completely wrong… It’s as variant as nationalities in the NBA! Love that FIBA had so many NBA players participating, so fun… Anyway, the point is (if there ever was a point to this open), that PF can fit a lot of builds, and can band-aid some stats late, so it’s not a positional necessity. I might have made up a completely new term there… Here’s the top PF for the 2015-16 Fantasy Basketball season:Please, blog, may I have some more?
The big wings! Not to be confused with the big wigs. Not to be confused with the big Whigs. No William Henry Harrison here! We got history jokes! Continuing our week of tiers, which I think is probably in the 2nd tier of preseason weeks of content, it’s time to group our small forwards. Certainly a misnomer since guys like Giannis are 7-feet, and the multi-cat guys certainly aren’t small in production. I’m certainly small in interesting opens! Intro-ing these tiers articles is tough! I lump this intro in the “Undraftable in 12ers” Tier. Here’s the top SF for the 2015-16 Fantasy Basketball season:Please, blog, may I have some more?
Ah, the poor poor SG for fantasy… Often the ThrAGNOFfiest of the wings – the empty cat specialist scorer, the waiver wire player who scores 30 points and everyone grabs them then they’re terrible again for a few weeks… Lookin’ at you C.J. Miles! Luckily Yahoo is pretty slutty with their position eligibility, slapping two positions on most players and keeping SG from being the barren wasteland it could otherwise become. I’m hoping at least one of my SG eligible guys is actually more a PG, as the PG runs hit you harder than lunch at Chipotle. I MISS JON STEWART! Here’s the top SG for the 2015-16 Fantasy Basketball season:Please, blog, may I have some more?
It’s time for tiers! And with PG, it’s top-tiers or fears. It’s top tier or Britney Spears! Top tier or… Or… Eh I got nothing for a PG who rhymes with that… Top tier or your team takes it in the rear! Yes, PG is rife with a precipitous falloff after the first class, with a dive off a cliff that is like the third act of The Abyss. Underrated movie! Ed Harris is the man. And sure, I guess some omniscient underwater aliens (…are they aliens?) could do enough to resurrect your team from the depths, but I’m not going to pass on the top end guys and hope for a deus ex machina ending. Well, the ending wasn’t quite deus ex machina, but it wasn’t the best… And I doubt waiting and relying on Rondo or the rookies will result in any sort of happy ending… Poor phrasing! Here’s the top PG for the 2015-16 Fantasy Basketball season, and we’ll be putting together positional tiers based on Yahoo position eligibility every day this week:Please, blog, may I have some more?