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So who drives the hype-train?  Is it ESPN?  Is it Yahoo?  Is it Buster Keaton?  So what if you have to be 90-years old or a film school grad to get that!  I tend to think it’s a combination of all media outlets that all have similar, independent views.  Before touching any research on the draft, I immediately slotted Trey Burke as my #1 rookie for the 2013-2014 fantasy season, and it’s looking more and more like that’s going to be the consensus opinion.  Damn you, Keaton!

That said, I still think Burke is going to provide tremendous value to owners who spend a high pick on him.  The price may become steeper and steeper to a point too high for even me, but looking at it right now, he’s a guy that would slot in with Kemba Walker and George Hill in that tier of PGs and be ranked in the 50s in our rankings.  Hows that for some hype train?

Entering the draft thinking very few players would creep into the top 100, Burke’s selection by the Jazz immediately thrusts him into a starting role, and a role that currently has very little backup.  Letting Mo Williams hitchhike was an easy decision, especially since it’s Mo-Mo’s thumb that got them into a lottery pick anyway!  So that leaves a starting line-up of Burke, Alec Burks (Burke Burks!  Reminds me of “Bootstraps’ bootstraps” – chuckle.) Gordon Hayward, Derrick Favors (who I love, but more for the blocks) and Enes Kanter.  Yikes.

So Hayward comes in as the best incumbent scorer, but offense on this team will be tough to come by.  Well, not that tough as I think Burke steps into that leading scoring role while also facilitating the offense.  A scorer both from beyond the arc (1.9 threes a game last year at Michigan) and slashing to the rim (3.4-4.3 FTA/FTM a game – 80%), Burke has the best chance to flourish transitioning to the pro game with an all-around offensive polish.  Not to be confused with an offense Pole – “your American hot dogs are utter swill!”  I have no idea how accurate that really sounds…

In a league orienting more-and-more to slashing point guards and spot up shooters around the arc, Burke will have an immediate impact in the fantasy game, kicking out tons of dimes to Hayward spotting up.  It’s easy to mistakenly try and label a point guard from this class “the next Damian Lillard” and Burke isn’t quite at that level, but I think will be pretty damn close.  The upside is there for Burke to approach the top-60 and may even push into the top-50 for me.  I’ve got a lot of faith in the rook and love to be part of the long line of conductors on the hype train.

2013-14 Proj: 19.6 Pts/2.9 Rebs/7.8 Asts/1.7 Stls/0.3 Blks/6.2 FGM/1.8 3PTM/5.4 FTM

  1. And1 says:
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    Interesting lineup that the Jazz will have this season. Do you view any of their other starters as sleepers? Specifically Alec Burks or Enes Kanter?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @And1: For sure, lots of youth. I don’t like Burks too much, I think he’s a defensive specialist and too raw offensively, but Kanter is interesting and will definitely move up in our ranks. I thought the Jazz would try to hold one of Jefferson or Millsap so didn’t see Kanter getting a starting role, but now with FA shaking things out, Kanter will probably be top 100.

  2. Mike says:
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    I am a Michigan fan and graduate. I think your high if you think Burke will come close to Lillards first year. I had Lillard on every team last year, I will pass on Burke, I watched his games at Michigan, great shot but had a problem pentrating the defense and that will even be a bigger problem in the pros.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Mike: I think with the court a little more spread and dependable professional shooters on the perimeter he can improve on that. I didn’t watch as many Blue games as you, but he looked solid every time out when I saw him. But thanks for the info! Might have to temper expectations a little….

  3. Fenris-77 says:
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    With a pretty much uncontested shot at the starting job I think you have to pay some attention to Burke, but I’m pretty down on possible top 50 value. Top 100? Maybe not even that but I think he’s probably still worth drafting in there somewhere if you’re hurting at PG2 and need the Ast. He should be good for 6 to 6.5 dimes, 1.5 threes and 1.5 Stl as a conservative measure. My worry is that he’ll be more like a .400 shooter and push 3+ TOs per in his first season, which drags down his overall value a fair bit. Even then, a PG who dimes and hits the three has value, so I’d start looking for him in the 6th or 7th rounds for teams who need to take a flier at point. Maybe a touch earlier for builds that can accommodate his probably downside categories.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Fenris-77: Definitely agree with the turnovers, but I think he can be at least at the .430 range. I obviously think he can get a few more dimes too, but I’m high on the guy. If he goes a touch earlier than in the 6th or 7th rounds then you agree on my 50-ish rank – under the caveat you need the flier at point. Thanks for reading!

  4. Fenris-77 says:
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    You also need to be a team punting TOs and probably FG%, or at least willing to accept a big hit there, especially from a later round pick. Let’s call that the HtH ranking.

    For 9 cat roto I’d probably take him later, for a bunch of reasons. Closer to 100 maybe, and even then only if I needed Ast. In general I’d probably rank him around 85 with a caveat about reaching for Ast not always being a bad thing yadda yadda. I don’t think for a moment he’ll actually return overall value from a 50’s pick, but for rare cats I’m willing to make some exceptions on the right team.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Fenris-77: I don’t think he’ll be bad enough to have to fit a team punting, and don’t see it as big a hit as you do.

  5. Mike says:
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    I like Dennis Schroeder a rookie guard for the Atlanta Hawks. He has Teague for competition at the point guard but he really looks good. If Teague gets hurt I would be picking Dennis up in all my teams.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Mike: Yea he’d be a huge pickup, but Teague has missed only 2 games the past 2 years so there isn’t much injury history there, but guys can get hurt any time. Definitely will be on the radar if an injury should occur.

  6. Mike says:
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    If Greg Monroe is traded for a PG. The biggest sleeper would be the MVP of the Europe Luigi Datome a 6′ 9″ 53% shooter and 40% from 3 PT. I have not seen him play but with those credentials I will be watching him to see if he is good or not for one of my late draft picks.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Mike: Interesting, yea I don’t see him doing too much, coming off the bench as a swing man, but the Pistons will be hurting for points and if he starts getting more and more minutes, could be solid.

  7. nathan says:
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    hi i am in a 10 team keeper league keeping 2 players and who should i keep ? melo, d-will, horford, wall, brook lopez, drummond, ersan.,..
    i think the one obvious is melo. what do you think?each keeper is round 1 & 2..
    thanks!!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @nathan: I really like Wall, I have him and D-Will ranked the highest, but would leave you with no frontcourt. I’d still probably pick those two, but if you wanted to keep Melo, I’d keep him and D-Will. Thanks for reading!

      • Pete Nice

        Pete Nice says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        I agree on D-Will but I’m a tough-love Brook Lopez guy. I like his game but I want him to do more, get tougher. I think that might happen with KG and Pierce in the fold (definitely don’t think it will result in a real-life NBA title, though).

  8. Nykos says:
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    Hi
    How do you like Hayward in the new Jazz lineup since the old bigs departures? Can he sustain the value he had for the last month of last season? He was quite high, depending on the cats.
    Thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Nykos: I think he can still be solid, and remain close to that level. I see him improving his 3 PT% slightly and go up maybe 2-3 points a game from last year’s #s. Thanks for reading!

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