Comments on: Top 20 Shooting Guards for Fantasy Basketball, 2012-2013

By: Tony

Tony — Fri, 21 Sep 2012 02:49:22 +0000

@Fenris-77, thanks fen i appreciate it.

By: Fenris-77

Fenris-77 — Fri, 21 Sep 2012 02:08:38 +0000

I think I’d do that deal for Millsap. Even if Turner does play a bunch it’s mostly not going to be at PG and there’s nothing really exciting in his advanced metrics to suggest that he’s ever going to be much of a stat stuffer anyway, aside from being possibly a source of solid rebounds and ok Ast from the wing slots. Millsap has some risk to his PT this year, but even with that in mind he still sounds like a good deal for the salary you’re getting him at. He might also bounce back in the Blk department (last year seems like a bit of an outlier on the low side) and that would only help his value in your format.

By: Tony

Tony — Thu, 20 Sep 2012 19:43:21 +0000

@ Chris, Fen, James, JP, or anyone that can help. Sorry for the monster post, i was going to post in the forums but it doesn’t seem like anyones posted there since July.

Helpful info: 18 teams, keep 4 players, subtract their salaries from $200 and that’s what you have left to bid with at a live auction for 4 more players, then a 5 round snake draft follows to complete a roster of 13. It’s a h2h points league and we start GGGFFFC and 1 UTL.

Scoring: Pts=1
Rebs = 1.7
Ast = 3
3s = 4
Stls = 4.4
blk = 6.5

My Keeps: Monta $36, J. Mcgee $22, P. George $16, and Evan Turner $9.

Currently I have $127 to spend since I acquired $10 extra in trades. Salaries do increase according to a scale thats set, $10 guys go to $16, but guys in the $30?s only go up like $3, guys over $60 go up $1 per yr. etc.

I’ve been sending out a few preseason emails seeing what guys are thinking about for their keeps. In some I’ve made some tenative proposals.

One proposal that might work is me sending my $9 evan turner to last years champ for a $26 Paul Millsap?

We do trade draft picks from the reserve snake draft as well so he wanted a pick swap along with the deal. So maybe my 2nd round pick for his 4th or something like that (personally draft picks are almost worthless, u have a chance at a breakout but we’re talking guys in 180+ range, and these guys rarely enter your line up due to weekly line ups).

Positives: I get a forward added to my keeps when when i’m guard heavy, Millsap is more for sure than Evan turner, Millsap could be traded and improve his value, at $26 he’s pretty cheap. Turner could flop and this could be huge for me. Milsap was #23 with my settings at BBM scoring 52.5 fpts per/gm.
(durant avg 73 fpts per game for reference, melo was like 57fpts pgm)

Negatives: Turners cheaper, taking on millsap costs me $15 of my draft money, ET is finally looking like he’s gonna see starter mins which could = huge breakout. PG’s tend to be more valuable in this format.

What do you think? Is it a no brainer? risk/reward?

Thanks ahead of time, i know its hard to access leagues like this, i appreciate any help.

By: Fenris-77

Fenris-77 — Wed, 19 Sep 2012 19:49:51 +0000

@ChrisV, Those last two seasons as a sample size seem a little picky-choosy when he shot .854 on 350 attempts his rookie year. Never mind that the more recent (and bigger sample size) season of the two you are considering he shot .825. I don’t have an issue with a little bit of statistical conservatism, but in this case I think it’s bit pessimistic. It doesn’t seem to have hurt his spot in your rankings though, so we’re really just playing roshambo about methodology at this point.

George was great in the semi’s for Stl, but that doesn’t make a season average of 2.2 any more likely. I like George a lot mind you, and a little optimism there doesn’t really feel out of place.

By: ChrisV

ChrisV — Wed, 19 Sep 2012 18:55:24 +0000

@JP, Harden’s ranking is subject to change once the preseason starts. In fact, all of these are subject to change, but frankly I can see moving him ahead of A.I.